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After two days of diplomacy and negotiations, NATO’s meeting broke up with lots of ideas, but no deal to send fighter jets to Ukraine.

Despite the smiles and bonhomie of Ukraine’s Defence Minister Oleksii Reznikov, NATO’s resolve didn’t buckle.

The question of supplying planes remains “under discussion”, we are told, but other things took precedence. For one, the more prosaic question of ammunition.

Ukraine war latest: Russia burning bodies ’round the clock’ to hide losses

NATO’s assessment is that Russia is initiating an offensive that will be focused on creating a long, attritional ground war.

Russia’s advantage is that it has a lot of people, a willingness to accept a high casualty rate, and big stockpiles of munitions.

It’s not the sort of war that most nations had predicted, or would choose.

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The frontlines of this conflict are now lined with trenches that would not look out of place in the First World War. But NATO, its members and its wider allies are all having to adapt to that reality.

So the alliance has agreed to step up its production of the ammunition that Ukraine will need, even though the likelihood is that Ukraine will use up supplies quicker than they can presently be made.

And no nation will want to send all its ammunition to Ukraine only to leave itself empty-handed.

As US Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin put it: “Even as we rush to support Ukraine, and build up our industrial capacity, we must replenish our own stockpiles.”

A Ukrainian serviceman fires an NLAW anti-tank weapon. Pic: AP
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A Ukrainian serviceman fires an NLAW anti-tank weapon. Pic: AP

None of this will happen overnight

Alongside that, of course, are heavy weapons, including tanks, that have been promised by various nations, including the UK.

Ukrainian soldiers will need training on their use and maintenance, and spares are going to have to be delivered as well.

Soldiers of the 79th Air Assault Brigade, take position on a frontline near the town of Marinka, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, Donetsk region, Ukraine, February 14, 2023. REUTERS/Marko Djurica
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Soldiers of the 79th Air Assault Brigade take position on a frontline near the town of Marinka in the Donetsk region

None of this will happen overnight. For one thing, NATO will need to work on how to deliver all those resources to the right place – sending an army’s worth of equipment into a warzone is no easy job.

And no cheap matter, either.

The cost of sustaining Ukraine’s war runs into many, many billions of pounds for NATO countries, predominantly borne by the United States.

A Ukrainian serviceman drives a tank along a road outside the frontline town of Bakhmut, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Donetsk region, Ukraine February 14, 2023. REUTERS/Yevhenii Zavhorodnii
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A Ukrainian tank outside the frontline town of Bakhmut

America keen to start conversation on how other NATO members could spend more

And, not for the first time, America is keen to start a conversation about how other NATO members could spend more of their budget.

NATO presently demands that member states spend 2% of their national turnover on defence. Now, the organisation wants that to become a minimum, rather than a target.

“It is obvious that we need to spend more,” said NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg. “We should go from viewing 2% as a ceiling to seeing it as a floor. It should be obvious that 2% is a minimum.”

The topic will be discussed when NATO holds a meeting in July for heads of state.

Ukrainian servicemen fire a BM-21 Grad multiple launch rocket system towards Russian troops, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Donetsk region, Ukraine February 11, 2023. REUTERS/Yevhenii Zavhorodnii
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Ukrainian servicemen fire a BM-21 Grad multiple-launch rocket system towards Russian troops in the Donetsk region

By then, both Finland and Sweden may have become full members, if Turkey and Hungary have finally been persuaded to drop their objections.

Mr Stoltenberg has made it clear that he thinks both should be members by now, and will fly to Turkey to hold further discussions.

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‘Are fighter jets top of your wish list?’

Ukrainian defence minister brandishes fighter jet handkerchief

As for the fighter jets, Ukraine has made it clear that it wants them, as well as more air-defence systems.

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy beat that drum during his whistle-stop tour of Europe, and it was a message repeated by Mr Reznikov when he came to Brussels showing off a handkerchief designed with the blueprint of a fighter jet.

It didn’t matter that the plane in question was actually a Russian Su-30. His message was clear, but so far not heeded.

The problem with supplying jets remains the same – it takes a long time to train pilots to use them and they require burdensome specialist maintenance. And if Russia is launching missiles from its own territory, their use may be limited.

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‘Ukraine has window of opportunity to tip the balance’

That’s why, for the moment at least, NATO nations prefer to concentrate on shells, ammunition, heavy weapons, training and supply chains.

The ingredients, so they believe, to hold Russia back and enable Ukraine to launch a counter-offensive in the spring.

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Turkey urges US to act after accusing Israel of breaching Gaza ceasefire

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 Turkey urges US to act after accusing Israel of breaching Gaza ceasefire

Turkey has urged the US to take action after accusing Israel of violating the Gaza ceasefire deal.

The country’s president Recep Tayyip Erdogan said Washington and its allies should consider sanctions and halting arms sales to put pressure on Israel to abide by the agreement.

Turkey, a NATO member, joined ceasefire negotiations as a mediator, and increased its role following a meeting between Mr Erdogan and Donald Trump at the White House last month.

“The Hamas side is abiding by the ceasefire. In fact, it is openly stating its commitment to this. Israel, meanwhile, is continuing to violate the ceasefire,” Mr Erdogan told reporters.

“The international community, namely the United States, must do more to ensure Israel’s full compliance to the ceasefire and agreement,” he said.

Mr Erdogan was also asked about comments from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who hinted that he would be opposed to any peacekeeping role for Turkish security forces in the Gaza Strip.

The Turkish president said talks on the issue were still underway, adding: “As this is a multi-faceted issue, there are comprehensive negotiations. We are ready to provide Gaza any form of support on this issue.”

Israel has accused Hamas of breaching the truce and previously said its recent military action in Gaza was designed to uphold the agreement.

Relations between former allies Israel and Turkey hit new lows during the Gaza war, with Ankara accusing Mr Netanyahu’s government of committing genocide, an allegation Israel has repeatedly denied.

A rally in support of Palestinians in Istanbul. Pic: Reuters
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A rally in support of Palestinians in Istanbul. Pic: Reuters

Speaking during a visit to Israel on Friday, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that a planned international security force for Gaza would have to be made up of “countries that Israel’s comfortable with,” but declined to comment specifically on Turkey’s involvement.

Around 200 US troops are working alongside the Israeli military and delegations from other countries, planning the stabilisation and reconstruction of Gaza.

The US is seeking support from other allies, namely Gulf Arab nations, to build an international security force to be deployed to Gaza and train a Palestinian security force.

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Rubio warns against West Bank annexation

Mr Rubio said many nations had expressed interest, but decisions had yet to be made about the rules of engagement. He added that countries need to know what they were signing up for.

“Under what authority are they going to be operating? Who’s going to be in charge? What is their job?” said Mr Rubio.

Read more:
British troops deployed to Israel to ‘monitor ceasefire’
US takes centre stage in show of diplomatic power

The secretary of state also reiterated his earlier warning to Israel not to annex the occupied West Bank, land that Palestinians want for part of an independent state.

A bill applying Israeli law to the West Bank won preliminary approval from Israel’s parliament on Wednesday.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks with US military personnel in Israel. Pic: Reuters
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US Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks with US military personnel in Israel. Pic: Reuters

“We don’t think it’s going to happen”, Mr Rubio said, adding that annexation “would also threaten this whole process”.

“If [annexation] were to happen, a lot of the countries that are involved in working on this probably aren’t going to want to be involved in this anymore. It’s a threat to the peace process and everybody knows it”, he added.

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US ramps up ‘drug boats’ operation by sending in aircraft carrier to region

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US ramps up 'drug boats' operation by sending in aircraft carrier to region

The US has announced it is sending an aircraft carrier to the waters off South America as it ramps up an operation to target alleged drug smuggling boats.

The Pentagon said in a statement that the USS Gerald R Ford would be deployed to the region to “bolster US capacity to detect, monitor, and disrupt illicit actors and activities that compromise the safety and prosperity of the United States homeland and our security in the Western Hemisphere”.

The vessel is the US Navy’s largest aircraft carrier. It is currently deployed in the Mediterranean alongside three destroyers, and the group are expected to take around one week to make the journey.

There are already eight US Navy ships in the central and South American region, along with a nuclear-powered submarine, adding up to about 6,000 sailors and marines, according to officials.

It came as the US secretary of war claimed that six “narco-terrorists” had been killed in a strike on an alleged drug smuggling boat in the Caribbean Sea overnight.

A still from footage purporting to show the boat seconds before the airstrike,  posted by US Secretary of War Pete Hegseth on X
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A still from footage purporting to show the boat seconds before the airstrike, posted by US Secretary of War Pete Hegseth on X

Pete Hegseth said his military had bombed a vessel which he claimed was operated by Tren de Aragua – a Venezuelan gang designated a terror group by Washington in February.

Writing on X, he claimed that the boat was involved in “illicit narcotics smuggling” and was transiting along a “known narco-trafficking route” when it was struck during the night.

All six men on board the boat, which was in international waters, were killed and no US forces were harmed, he said.

Ten vessels have now been bombed in recent weeks, killing more than 40 people.

Mr Hegseth added: “If you are a narco-terrorist smuggling drugs in our hemisphere, we will treat you like we treat al Qaeda. Day or NIGHT, we will map your networks, track your people, hunt you down, and kill you.”

While he did not provide any evidence that the vessel was carrying drugs, he did share a 20-second video that appeared to show a boat being hit by a projectile before exploding.

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Footage of a previous US strike on a suspected drugs boat earlier this week

Speaking during a White House press conference last week, Donald Trump argued that the campaign would help tackle the US’s opioid crisis.

“Every boat that we knock out, we save 25,000 American lives. So every time you see a boat, and you feel badly you say, ‘Wow, that’s rough’. It is rough, but if you lose three people and save 25,000 people,” he said.

Read more:
Survivors reported after boat strike
US destroys ‘drug smuggling submarine’

On Thursday, appearing at a press conference with Mr Hegseth, Mr Trump said that it was necessary to kill the alleged smugglers, because if they were arrested they would only return to transport drugs “again and again and again”.

“They don’t fear that, they have no fear,” he told reporters.

The attacks at sea would soon be followed by operations on land against drug smuggling cartels, Mr Trump claimed.

“We’re going to kill them,” he added. “They’re going to be, like, dead.”

Some Democratic politicians have expressed concerns that the strikes risk dragging the US into a war with Venezuela because of their proximity to the South American country’s coast.

Others have condemned the attacks as extrajudicial killings that would not stand up in a court of law.

Jim Himes, a member of the House of Representatives, told CBS News earlier this month: “They are illegal killings because the notion that the United States – and this is what the administration says is their justification – is involved in an armed conflict with any drug dealers, any Venezuelan drug dealers, is ludicrous.”

He claimed that Congress had been told “nothing” about who was on the boats and how they were identified as a threat.

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Sanctions alone won’t force Putin to end Ukraine war

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Sanctions alone won't force Putin to end Ukraine war

Donald Trump has swung like a pendulum between favouring Russia and less often sympathising with Ukraine. This week he has tilted more toward Kyiv.

Leaders in the coalition of the willing meeting in London on Friday were keen to add momentum to that shift.

The US president has imposed sanctions on two leading Russian oil firms, doing what many had hoped America would do months ago.

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What happened at ‘coalition of the willing’ meeting?

European allies were quick to follow that lead. And some countries that have been trading Russian oil appear spooked enough to start backing away from doing so.

But analysts are warning against overstating the impact of all this.

Alexander Kolyandr, senior fellow at the Centre for European Policy Analysis, told Sky News that sanctions won’t be enough on their own.

“There should be an understanding that sanctions alone would not force Putin to stop the war,” he said.

“So Ukraine should get more arms, Ukraine should get more support, and Ukraine should get more guarantees.”

The aftermath of a Russian airstrike in Kharkiv, Ukraine. Pic: Reuters
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The aftermath of a Russian airstrike in Kharkiv, Ukraine. Pic: Reuters

There appears to have been progress on sending more long-range weapons to Ukraine.

It needs them to neutralise the threat of drones launched from miles behind Russia‘s border.

And possibly towards unfreezing Russia assets to use the proceeds to help fund the Ukrainian war effort, though some nations still oppose the idea.

But this week has seen an unusual level of alignment between the allies on both sides of the Atlantic. That will last as long as Trump does not change his mind.

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Sanctions are ‘unfriendly act’

The US president wants to broker an end to the war.

Putin will not be serious about negotiating for peace as long as he thinks he has a chance of victory.

Read more from Sky News:
US sends its largest aircraft carrier to South America

Turkey accuses Israel of breaching Gaza ceasefire

“Putin and the Kremlin are pretty much sure that they are winning the war,” Mr Kolyandr told Sky News, “and that if they keep on pushing, Ukraine might collapse.

“And that’s why I don’t think that President Putin is ready to agree to any kind of compromise which would be acceptable for Ukraine or its European allies.”

It may take a lot more than sanctions on a handful of oil companies to persuade Putin it is not in his interest to continue this war.

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