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About a year-and-a-half before Election Day 2024,the political landscapecontinues to be a bit of a mystery, with only two major candidates announcing their White House runs. A new poll shows the race remains close between threepotentialfrontrunners.

Trump, Haley Announce 2024 Runs: Former President Donald Trump became the first of three expected frontrunners for the 2024 presidential election to officially announce he was running for office again.

Recently, Nikki Haley also announced plans to run for the GOP nomination, setting up a potential Republican showdown between Trump, Haley and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.

How Democrats, Republicans Are Lining Up: A new poll from NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist shows support for President Joe Biden growing among Democrat voters and Republicans wanting someone other than Donald Trump to be the nominee.

When asked if the Democrats have a better chance of winning in 2024 withBiden as the nominee, 50% of those polled who identify as Democrat-leaning said yes. The option for someone else to be the Democratic nominee was selected by 45% of Democrats.

The results of the poll have flipped since November 2022, when 54% of Democrats wanted someone else to be the partys nominee for the best chance to win the 2024 election compared to 38% who selected Biden.

Republican-leaning respondents polled were asked if they thought the party had the best chance to win the 2024 presidential election with Trump as the nominee or someone else. Of those polled, 42% said the Republicans had the best chance of winning if Trump was nominated.

The majority, at 54%, chose the option of having someone else as the GOP nominee for the best chance to win the 2024 election.

The poll is in line with results from November 2022 that saw 54% of those polled stating that Trump gave the party the best chance of winning in 2024. Trumps 42% vote of confidence is higher than the 35% he received in November for the same question.

The midterm elections are barely in our rearview mirror, and the jockeying for position in the 2024 presidential cycle has begun. Although for the Democrats, President Biden has improved his pole position, Marist institute for Public Opinion Director Lee M. Miringoff said.

Related Link: Exclusive: Benzinga Poll Unveils How US Favors Biden Vs Trump Vs DeSantis, How Opinions Shifted Since 2020

How Harris, DeSantis, Others Rank: While Biden has not officially announced his intention to seek re-election in the 2024 election, it is widely expected.

Outside of Biden, Democraict voters are most familiar with current Vice President Kamala Harris.

Harris has a 63% favorable opinion in the poll, compared to 21% having an unfavorable opinion and 16% unsure of their opinion or never have heard of her.

Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieggets a favorability rating of 63% from Democraticvoterscompared to 12% having an unfavorable opinion and 25% unsure of their opinion or not familiar with him.

Michigan Gov.Gretchen Whitmer has a 42% favorable rating and 9% unfavorable rating. The near majority at 49% have not heard of Whitmer or are unsure how to rate herahead of a potential presidential run.

On the Republican side, Florida's DeSantis scores high with voters. DeSantis has a favorability rating of 66%compared to an 11% unfavorable rating and 23% who are unsure of or not familiar with the governor. These results are in line with scores in July 2022.

Former Vice President Mike Pence has a 51% favorability rating and 30% unfavorable rating, along with 19% of Republican voters unsure of their opinion or unfamiliar with Pence. The former vice president had a 59% favorable rating in July 2022.

Haley, who recently announced her presidential run, scores a favorability rating of 41% and an unfavorable rating of 12%. Forty-six percent of respondents wereunfamiliar with the former South Carolina governor her or unsure of their rating.

Why Its Important: The improvement in support forBiden comes after his State of the Union address earlier this month.

Bidens approval rating in the poll comes in at 46% overall, higher than the 43% reported last month and the presidents highest approval rating since March 2022.

Bidens approval rating is 86% among Democrats, 36% among Independent voters and 15% among Republican voters.

Until another candidate emerges, Biden is likely to see strong support, and it could grow as time goes on and the 2024 election gets closer without a major challenger.

Trumps favorability rating among Republican voters hit its lowest point since his presidency in the fall of 2016 in the latest poll. Among Republican voters, Trump has a favorability rating of 68%, down from 79% in November.

A majority of Republicans would prefer to turn the page on Trump, but a potentially crowded field could ultimately benefit the former president, Miringoff said.

Benzinga previously reported in January that polls among Republican voters with only Trump and DeSantis as options saw DeSantis holding a 48% to 43% lead. Polls with three or more candidates showed Trump in the lead, with 41% to 37% of the vote.

Haley entering the mix makes three likely leading candidates for the GOP side and could sway the primary contestin Trumps favor.

The latest poll shows that DeSantis is more well-liked among Republican-leaning independents, which could be a change of pace.

Read Next: Exclusive: How Would People Vote in Biden Vs Trump And Biden Vs DeSantis Matchups

Photo via Shutterstock.

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US

Virginia Giuffre, who accused Prince Andrew of sexual assault, has died, her family says

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Virginia Giuffre, who accused Prince Andrew of sexual assault, has died, her family says

Virginia Giuffre, who accused Prince Andrew of sexual assault, has died aged 41.

In a statement to Sky’s US partner network NBC News on Friday, her family said she took her own life in the Perth suburb of Neergabby, Australia, where she had been living for several years.

“It is with utterly broken hearts that we announce that Virginia passed away last night at her farm in Western Australia,” her family said.

“She lost her life to suicide, after being a lifelong victim of sexual abuse and sex trafficking.

“Virginia was a fierce warrior in the fight against sexual abuse and sex trafficking. She was the light that lifted so many survivors.

“In the end, the toll of abuse is so heavy that it became unbearable for Virginia to handle its weight.”

FILE - Virginia Giuffre, center, holds a news conference outside a Manhattan court in New York, Aug. 27, 2019. (AP Photo/Bebeto Matthews, File)
Image:
Pic: AP

Police said emergency services received reports of an unresponsive woman at a property in Neergabby on Friday night.

“Police and St John Western Australia attended and provided emergency first aid. Sadly, the 41-year-old woman was declared deceased at the scene,” a police spokeswoman said.

“The death is being investigated by Major Crime detectives; early indication is the death is not suspicious.”

Sexual assault claims

Prince Andrew attends the Royal Family's Christmas Day service at St. Mary Magdalene's church. File pic: Reuters
Image:
Prince Andrew has denied all claims of wrongdoing. File pic: Reuters

Ms Giuffre sued the Duke of York for sexual abuse in August 2021, saying Andrew had sex with her when she was 17 and had been trafficked by his friend, the billionaire paedophile Jeffrey Epstein.

The duke has repeatedly denied the claims, and he has not been charged with any criminal offences.

In March 2022, it was announced Ms Giuffre and Andrew had reached an out-of-court settlement – believed to include a “substantial donation to Ms Giuffre’s charity in support of victims’ rights”.

She stuck by her version of events until the end

Of the many dozens of victims of Jeffrey Epstein, it was Virginia Giuffre who became the most high-profile.

She was among the loudest and most compelling voices, urging criminal charges to be brought against Epstein, waving her right to anonymity in 2015.

She told how he and Ghislaine Maxwell groomed her and “passed around like a platter of fruit” to be used by rich and powerful men.

But her name and face became known around the world after she accused Prince Andrew of sexually abusing her when she was 17 years old.

The picture of her together with the prince and Maxwell at the top of a staircase, his hand around her waist, is the defining image of the whole scandal.

Prince Andrew said he had no memory of the occasion. But Giuffre stuck by her version of events until the end.

‘An incredible champion’

Sigrid McCawley, Ms Giuffre’s attorney, said in a statement that she “was much more than a client to me; she was a dear friend and an incredible champion for other victims”.

“Her courage pushed me to fight harder, and her strength was awe-inspiring,” she said. “The world has lost an amazing human being today.”

“Rest in peace, my sweet angel,” she added.

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Dini von Mueffling, Ms Giuffre’s representative, also said that “Virginia was one of the most extraordinary human beings I have ever had the honour to know”.

“Deeply loving, wise, and funny, she was a beacon to other survivors and victims,” she added. “She adored her children and many animals.

“She was always more concerned with me than with herself. I will miss her beyond words.

“It was the privilege of a lifetime to represent her.”

Ms Giuffre said at the end of March she had four days to live after a car accident, posting on social media that “I’ve gone into kidney renal failure”. She was discharged from hospital eight days later.

Raised mainly in Florida, she said she was abused by a family friend early in life, which led to her living on the streets at times as a teenager.

She said that in 2000, she met Ghislaine Maxwell, a British socialite who was convicted in 2021 on federal sex trafficking and conspiracy charges and was sentenced to 20 years in prison.

Undated handout photo issued by US Department of Justice of Ghislaine Maxwell with Jeffrey Epstein, which has been shown to the court during the sex trafficking trial of Maxwell in the Southern District of New York. The British socialite is accused of preying on vulnerable young girls and luring them to massage rooms to be molested by Epstein between 1994 and 2004. Issue date: Wednesday December 8, 2021.
Image:
Ghislaine Maxwell and Jeffrey Epstein. Pic: US Department of Justice

Ms Giuffre said Maxwell then introduced her to Epstein and hired her as his masseuse, and said she was sex trafficked and sexually abused by him and associates around the world.

‘A survivor’

After meeting her husband in 2002, while taking massage training in Thailand at what she said was Epstein’s behest, she moved to Australia and had a family.

She founded the sex trafficking victims’ advocacy charity SOAR in 2015, and is quoted on its website as saying: “I do this for victims everywhere.

“I am no longer the young and vulnerable girl who could be bullied. I am now a survivor, and nobody can ever take that away from me.”

:: Anyone feeling emotionally distressed or suicidal can call Samaritans for help on 116 123 or email jo@samaritans.org in the UK. In the US, call the Samaritans branch in your area or 1 (800) 273-TALK.

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Politics

Crypto banking rule withdrawal by Fed ‘not real progress’ — Senator Lummis

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Crypto banking rule withdrawal by Fed ‘not real progress’ — Senator Lummis

Crypto banking rule withdrawal by Fed ‘not real progress’ — Senator Lummis

United States Senator Cynthia Lummis suggests the crypto industry may be celebrating too soon over the US Federal Reserve softening its crypto guidance for banks.

“The Fed withdrawing crypto guidance is just noise, not real progress,” Lummis said in an April 25 X post. Lummis called the Fed’s April 24 announcement — withdrawing its 2022 supervisory letter that had discouraged banks from engaging with crypto and stablecoin activities — “just lip service.”

Lummis’ tone was different from the rest of the crypto industry

Lummis, a pro-crypto advocate known for introducing the Bitcoin (BTC) Strategic Reserve Bill in July 2024, pointed out several flaws in the Fed’s announcement, even as Strategy founder Michael Saylor and crypto entrepreneur Anthony Pompliano suggested it was a step forward for banks and crypto.

Cryptocurrencies, United States
Source: Anthony Pompliano

She argued that the Fed continues to “illegally flout the law on master accounts” and still relies on reputational risk in its bank supervision practices. It comes as the Federal Insurance Deposit Corporation (FDIC) is working on a rule to stop examiners from considering reputational risk when reviewing a bank’s operations, according to a recent Bloomberg report.

Lummis also highlighted the Fed’s policy statement in Section 9(13), which hasn’t been withdrawn, stating that Bitcoin and digital assets are considered “unsafe and unsound.”

She also reiterated many of the same staff behind Operation Chokepoint 2.0 are still involved in crypto policy today.

“We are NOT fooled. The Fed assassinated companies within the industry and hurt American interests by stifling innovation and shuttering businesses. This fight is far from over.”

“I will continue to hold the Fed accountable until the digital asset industry gets more than a life jacket, Chair Powell — they need a fair shake,” Lummis said.

Related: If Trump fired Powell, what would happen to crypto?

Custodia Bank founder and CEO Caitlin Long seemed to share a similar view to Lummis.

“THANK YOU for seeing this for what it is,” Long said.

Cryptocurrencies, United States
Source: David Sacks

However, many crypto executives praised the Fed’s announcement as a positive development for the industry. Saylor said in an April 25 X post that the Fed’s move means that “banks are now free to begin supporting Bitcoin.”

Anastasija Plotnikova, co-founder and CEO of blockchain regulatory firm Fideum, said the Fed’s decision “is a significant development, as it will simplify the path to institutional adoption.”

Magazine: Ethereum is destroying the competition in the $16.1T TradFi tokenization race

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Science

Water on Ancient Mars? New Study Challenges the Cold Planet Theory

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Water on Ancient Mars? New Study Challenges the Cold Planet Theory

Despite being a vast and inhospitable planet today, scientists believe Mars, the Red Planet, used to look much like Earth, the Blue Planet. Over the last four years, NASA’s Perseverance rover has wandered across an area of Mars where researchers believe a powerful river once poured into a crater, forming a sizable delta. According to computer models, ancient Mars most likely had frequent snowfall and rain, which shaped the enormous networks of lakes and river basins. In the Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets, a recent study found that the distribution of these land characteristics is more consistent with precipitation models than with only the consequences of melting ice caps.

Investigating Early Martian Climate Through Modeling

The researchers published their findings April 21 in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets. According to the research by geologists at the University of Colorado in Boulder, our planetary neighbour, on average 140 million miles away in space, was warm and wet billions of years ago. This challenges a long-held belief that early Mars was mostly cold and icy. However, there’s a vital mystery buried in the story: It’s unclear where Mars’ water could have come from, and most climate models predict the world exhibits surface temperatures that are far too cold to sustain liquid water, raising questions about how those visible geological features could have formed.

“It’s very hard to make any kind of conclusive statement,” Amanda Steckel, a postdoctoral researcher at the California Institute of Technology’s Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, said in a statement. “But we see these valleys beginning at a large range of elevations. It’s hard to explain that with just ice,” she further added in the official blog posted by University of Colorado. 

Through computer simulations, Steckel and her team explored what Mars might have looked like during the Noachian epoch, when water may have drastically shaped the planet’s surface, some 4 billion years ago. Initially created for Earth, their model was modified to simulate how Mars’ landscape changed near the equator, where expansive channel networks extend from the highlands and drain into ancient lakes, possibly even an ocean. NASA’s Perseverance rover is currently exploring one of these sites, Jezero Crater, where a once-powerful river poured into the basin.

Comparing Climate Models and Implications for Planetary History

The group explored two major simulation models, the ice-melt model and the wet and warm model for how precipitation might have created the valleys on Mars: one in which the planet was warm and humid, and another in which ice briefly melted at the edge of a huge ice cap, signifying a cold, arid climate. With valley roots showing up in radically diverse places, each scenario produced a very different Mars.

Their goal was to determine whether ancient Mars may have had a more Earth-like climate, at least for a while. While more evidence is needed and answers to questions, such as how the planet stayed warm enough for rain or snow, are part of an ongoing investigation. Still, Hynek said the study offers valuable clues, not just about Mars, but about the early history of Earth as well.

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