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2:29
Kids outside marriage is ‘wrong’
After she confirmed her long-held and well-known conservative Christian views in interviews to launch her campaign to lead the Scottish National Party, 32-year-old Ms Forbes went – in a matter of hours – from “favourite” to being branded a “dinosaur”.
Nicola Sturgeon, the outgoing first minister, and Deputy First Minister John Swinney both questioned her suitability to be leader and half a dozen SNP MSPs withdrew their endorsements.
As nominations close on Friday, Kate Forbes has vowed to “fight on”.
It will be up to the 104,000 members of the SNP to vote for their next leader. The winner is due to be announced on 27 March.
Forbes’ big dipper ride in popularity exposes deep fissures in the “broad church” coalition of ages, faiths and backgrounds, which has made the SNP the dominant force in Scottish politics.
Beyond that, it throws an unforgiving spotlight on the stresses and contradictions in the British political culture in which people who claim to be liberal and progressive are nonetheless eager to “cancel” those with divergent opinions.
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Kate Forbes should not have been surprised that her beliefs got her into trouble.
Strongly held religious principles has helped curtail the careers of prominent politicians at the top, including evangelical Liberal Democrat leader Tim Farron and the Roman Catholic Labour cabinet minister Ruth Kelly.
Spotting the potential dangers, Tony Blair’s spin doctor Alastair Campbell famously blocked an interview with his devout boss with the words “We don’t do God.”
Blair held back on converting to Roman Catholicism until he left office. When I told him he could have been the first Catholic Prime Minister since Henry VIII, he just laughed.
Image: Tony Blair converted to Roman Catholicism after he left office
Presumably, that record now belongs to Boris Johnson whose most recent marriage took place in Westminster Cathedral.
“I was surprised to find Boris was a Catholic,” his father Stanley told me because he had been confirmed into the Church of England at Eton.
On consulting family records, Stanley was reminded that his son had been christened in a Catholic church, the faith of his mother.
Other politicians, including Forbes, take their religious beliefs more seriously.
Kate Forbes’ was educated at Cambridge and Edinburgh Universities and is a qualified accountant.
After she stepped in as finance minister to present a budget successfully in the Holyrood parliament, and at just a few hours’ notice, she was widely tipped as a “rising star”.
The Spectator magazine and Daily Telegraph warned this week that she is the potential SNP leader that the Conservatives would have most cause to fear.
Kate Forbes’ parents were missionaries for the strictly Calvinist Free Church of Scotland. She shares their faith in the puritanical “Wee Frees”.
She was not an MSP when Holyrood voted for same-sex marriage and was on maternity leave when it backed Sturgeon’s flagship Gender Recognition Reform Act (GRR).
But she did not hide her views in interviews when she launched her campaign, insisting that the public is “longing for a politician to answer straight questions with straight answers”.
Forbes admitted she would not have voted for gay marriage. She does not support gender self-identification.
On the controversial case of the transgender double rapist which led Sturgeon to u-turn on their prison accommodation, Forbes told Sky News: “A rapist cannot be a woman and therefore my straight answer would be that Isla Brayson is a man.”
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1:40
‘A rapist cannot be a woman’
She stated that having children outside marriage is “wrong according to my religion.”
In spite of pledging to stay out of the race for her successor, Sturgeon commented witheringly, saying: “Scotland is a socially progressive country and I believe that is the majority opinion… people look to their first minister to see someone who will stand up for them and their rights.”
John Swinney “profoundly disagreed” with Forbes’ views, observing ominously that “the party membership will make their judgement whether they think are appropriate to hold if you are a leader”.
Four days after throwing her hat in the ring, Forbes responded to her critics in a lengthy thread of tweets.
She wrote: “I feel greatly burdened and heartsore that some of my responses to direct questions in the media have caused to friends, colleagues and fellow citizens, but I’ve listened carefully.”
She went on to pledge: “I will protect the rights of everybody in Scotland, particularly minorities, to live and to love without fear or harassment in a pluralistic and tolerant society”.
Whether this reassurance will be enough to get her campaign back on course will decide whether she or someone else – currently most likely to be Health Secretary Humza Yousaf, a progressive and practising Muslim – becomes first minister.
Image: SNP leadership rival Humza Yousaf
Polls suggest that there is considerable support for Forbes’ reservations about the GRR. But there are overwhelming majorities in favour of same-sex marriage.
Ironically for someone who could be the first “Millennial” leader in UK politics, her views are most out of step with younger voters.
The previous experience of other politicians of faith does not bode well for her.
Tim Farron’s religiously motivated reservations about gay rights caused uproar in the Liberal Democrats and contributed to his resignation as leader.
Farron remains an MP and commented ruefully: “We Christians do not always help ourselves, and can come across as judgemental and intolerant.
“I firmly believe that I have no right to legislate to make people who aren’t Christians live as though they were.”
Ruth Kelly, who was also once seen as a “rising star”, left politics altogether in 2010.
Her staunchly held Catholic beliefs and social attitudes had come into conflict in roles which included being new Labour’s education secretary and equalities minister.
However inclusive Forbes promises to be, she will symbolise a change in significant change in direction for the SNP if she is elected leader.
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0:59
How the SNP will select its new leader
The party has not always been the religiously diverse and progressive movement that Alex Salmond and Nicola Sturgeon made it.
They took the SNP to power by expanding its support into working-class communities which had been loyal Labour. It was not always so.
During an election in the 1970s, a Catholic friend was shocked to be offered a pen as a campaign freebie with the slogan “Vote SNP to keep Scotland Protestant”.
There were tea towels with the same message on sale in Glasgow’s Barras market. The venerated political academic Tom Nairn supported independence, but he joked that the old SNP was “a junta of corporal punishers and Kirk-going cheeseparers”.
The party’s roots were not in the central belt stretching from Glasgow to Dundee but in the countryside and Highlands, in constituencies such as Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch, which Kate Forbes represents.
Forbes’ straight-talking about her private morality may “torpedo” her chances, as the Guardian newspaper gloated.
If she is able to stay in contention, it is possible that the membership will be more tolerant than her colleagues at the top of Sturgeon’s party and regard her religious views as less of a liability than they do.
Her faith aside, she is an impressive and dedicated politician who could open up a future for her tired party.
Christianity may be in terminal decline but it seems it can still shape political destinies for people and nations.
Care workers will no longer be recruited from abroad under plans to “significantly” bring down net migration, the home secretary has said.
Yvette Cooper told Sky News’ Sunday Morning with Trevor Phillips programme the government will close the care worker visa route as part of new restrictions which aim to cut the number of low-skilled foreign workers by about 50,000 this year.
She said: “We’re going to introduce new restrictions on lower-skilled workers, so new visa controls, because we think actually what we should be doing is concentrating on the higher-skilled migration and we should be concentrating on training in the UK.
“Also, we will be closing the care worker visa for overseas recruitment”.
The move comes ahead of the Immigration White Paper to be laid out this week, which will give more details on the government’s reforms.
Care England, a charity which represents independent care services, described Ms Cooper’s comments as a “crushing blow to an already fragile sector” and said the government “is kicking us while we’re already down”.
Its chief executive Martin Green said international recruitment is a “lifeline” and there are “mounting vacancies” in the sector.
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9:47
Reform: Immigration ‘should be frozen’
Cooper refuses to give immigration target
Ministers have already announced changes to the skilled visa threshold to require a graduate qualification and higher salary.
Ms Cooper told Trevor Phillips that this – along with the care worker restrictions – will result in a reduction “probably in the region of up to 50,000 low-skilled worker visas in the course of this year alone”.
However, she refused to give a wider target on the amount the government wants to see net migration come down by overall, only saying that it needs to come down “substantially”.
Ms Cooper said the Conservatives repeatedly set targets they couldn’t meet and her plan was about “restoring credibility and trust”.
She said: “It’s about preventing this chaotic system where we had overseas recruitment soar while training in the UK was cut and we saw low-skilled migration in particular, hugely go up at the same time as UK residents in work or in training fell. That is a broken system. So that is what we need to change.”
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1:46
Care companies say they can’t carry on after NI hike
The government is under pressure after it’s drubbing at the local elections, when Reform UK took control of 10 councils in England.
Richard Tice, Reform’s deputy leader, said the party’s strong performance was because people are angry about both legal and illegal immigration and called for immigration to be “frozen”.
He told Trevor Phillips: “The reality is that we’ve just won by an absolute landslide – the elections Thursday last week – because people are raging, furious, about the levels of both illegal and legal immigration in this country.
“We need to freeze immigration because the way to get our economy going is to freeze immigration, get wages up for British workers, train our own people, get our own people who are economically inactive back into work.”
Net migration – the difference between the number of people immigrating and emigrating to a country – soared when the UK left the EU in January 2020.
According to the Home Office, the number of ‘Health and Care Worker’ visas increased from 31,800 in 2021 to 145,823 in 2023, with the rise primarily due to an increase in South Asian and Sub-Saharan African nationals coming to work as care workers.
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7:00
Sky News investigates UK care homes
The number decreased significantly in 2024 to 27,174 – due to measures introduced by the Tories and greater compliance activity, the government said.
Speaking to the BBC’s Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg, Ms Cooper said there are around 10,000 people in the UK who came on care worker visas for jobs that didn’t exist and “care companies should recruit from that pool”.
“They came in good faith but there were no proper checks, they were badly exploited,” she said.
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Nadra Ahmed, of the National Care Association, told Sky News this was a “scandal of the Home Office’s own making”, with care workers allowed to come to the UK “legitimately but with spurious contracts from profiteers preying on an already fragile sector”.
She added: “Understandably, many of those who are displaced have a preference of which part of the sector they work in or are qualified to do so, based on the promises made to them.
“Our preference would always be to recruit from within our domestic options but sadly we are not able to generate enough interest in social care when the funding remains a barrier to ensure that pay adequately rewards the skills and expertise of our workforce.”
Polls regularly show the issue is a top concern for voters. While stopping the boats driving illegal migration is proving as difficult for Labour as it was for the Tories – the government has the levers to control legal migration much more directly.
This week, Sir Keir Starmer and Yvette Cooper have decided it’s time to pull them, with their long-awaited white paper due to be published on Monday. But the trade offs involved in reforming the system certainly aren’t without controversy.
Speaking to Sky’s Sir Trevor Phillipsto sell her plans to reduce visa numbers, the home secretary repeatedly talked about “restoring control”.
It’s no coincidence to hear her invoking the language of Brexit – highlighting the fact it was Boris Johnson who presided over the spiralling increase in migration after the vote to leave the European Union – and attempting to court the voters who believed doing so would close the borders to the influx of overseas workers.
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“It’s about restoring control and order,” she said. “It’s about preventing this chaotic system where we had overseas recruitment soar while training in the UK was cut…
“That is a broken system. So that is what we need to change.”
The home office plan is to link the reduction in overseas workers with government efforts to get the economically inactive back into work. In future, only those with degree-level qualifications will be eligible for skilled worker visas.
Employers who want to employ lower-skilled workers, on a temporary basis, will have to demonstrate they are training and recruiting UK workers as well.
The home secretary says 180 occupations will be removed from the shortage list, with the shortfall filled by training schemes to fill the gaps with home-grown workers. Questions abound about how training schemes will marry up with immediate business needs now.
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9:47
Reform: Immigration ‘should be frozen’
Many in the sector are desperately worried about pre-existing staffing shortfalls, unconvinced by government advice to recruit from a pool of 10,000 workers already in the UK on care visas.
Professor Martin Green, of Care England, said: “This is a crushing blow to an already fragile sector. The government is kicking us while we’re already down.”
But the government is determined to try and wean the economy off its dependence on overseas labour.
The increase in net migration is staggering. Before Brexit, the highest figure was 329,000, in the year up to June 2015.
But by June 2023, the annual number had soared to 906,000. While last year that figure fell to 728,000, following restrictions on dependents on care and student visas – the number is still strikingly high.
Kemi Badenoch’s Tories have decided there’s no room for evasion and have regularly issued dramatic apologies for the decisions of the past.
“The last government,” said Shadow Home Secretary Chris Philp on Sunday, as if he had no part of it, “made some very serious mistakes with immigration. They allowed it to be far, far too high…that was a huge mistake.”
But Mr Philp is characteristically full of criticism of Labour’s “failure” on the “radical reforms” needed.
He wants to see parliament voting for an annual cap on numbers, although hasn’t specified what that would be.
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Ms Cooper says migration targets have no credibility after years of Tory failures – but also acknowledged that she wants the numbers to fall “substantially” and “significantly” below 500,000.
She claims the skilled worker visa changes will lead to 50,000 fewer visas being issued this year alone – a small proportion of that overall too, but a quick result all the same.
Will it be enough?
Reform UK are clearly delighted to be directing the government’s policy agenda.
Deputy leader Richard Tice told Sir Trevor “the Labour Party is talking the talk. Will they actually walk the walk? I actually think the people are voting for us because they know that we mean it.”
But the policy is a risk.
Assuaging voters’ concerns on migration could mean taking a serious hit to an already anaemic economy and struggling care sector. Not to mention the longer-term political decision to move the party firmly to the right.
A woman has been arrested after allegedly trying to abduct a baby in Blackpool.
Police said it was reported that a woman had approached a baby in a pram on Central Drive, near to the Coral Island amusement arcade in the Lancashire seaside town, at around 11.55am on Saturday.
Members of the public and the baby’s parent intervened, Blackpool Police said, adding the baby was unharmed.
A 51-year-old woman has been arrested on suspicion of child abduction and police assault.