For about a quarter century, Nvidia has been leading the revolution in computer graphics, becoming a beloved brand by gamers along the way.
Nvidia dominates the market for graphics processing units (GPUs), which it entered in 1999 with the GeForce 256. Gaming brought in over $9 billion in revenue for Nvidia last year despite a recent downturn.
But Nvidia’s latest earnings beat points to a new phenomenon in the GPU business. The technology is now at the center of the boom in artificial intelligence.
“We had the good wisdom to go put the whole company behind it,” CEO Jensen Huang told CNBC in an interview last month. “We saw early on, about a decade or so ago, that this way of doing software could change everything. And we changed the company from the bottom all the way to the top and sideways. Every chip that we made was focused on artificial intelligence.”
As the engine behind large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT, Nvidia is finally reaping rewards for its early investment in AI. That’s helped to cushion the blow from broader semiconductor industry struggles tied to U.S.-China trade tensions and a global chip shortage.
Not that Nvidia is immune to geopolitical concerns. In October, the U.S. introduced sweeping new rules that banned exports of leading-edge AI chips to China. Nvidia counts on China for about one-quarter of its revenue, including sales of its popular AI chip, the A100.
“It was a turbulent month or so as the company went upside down to reengineer all of our products so that it’s compliant with the regulation and yet still be able to serve the commercial customers that we have in China,” Huang said. “We’re able to serve our customers in China with the regulated parts, and delightfully support them.”
AI will be a major focus of Nvidia’s annual GTC developer conference taking place from March 20-23. Ahead of the conference, CNBC sat down with Huang at Nvidia’s headquarters in Santa Clara, California, to discuss the company’s role at the heart of the explosion in generative AI.
“We just believed that someday something new would happen, and the rest of it requires some serendipity,” Huang said, when asked whether Nvidia’s fortunes are the result of luck or prescience. “It wasn’t foresight. The foresight was accelerated computing.”
GPUs are Nvidia’s primary business, accounting for more than 80% of revenue. Typically sold as cards that plug into a PC’s motherboard, they add computing power to central processing units (CPUs) built by companies like AMD and Intel.
Nvidia Founder and CEO Jensen Huang shows CNBC’s Katie Tarasov a Hopper H100 SXM module in Santa Clara, CA, on February 9, 2023.
Andrew Evers
“It’s very easy to use their products and add more computing capacity,” said Vivek Arya, semiconductor analyst for Bank of America Securities. “Computing capacity is basically the currency of the valley right now.”
Huang showed us the company’s next-generation system called H100, which has already started to ship. The H stands for Hopper.
“What makes Hopper really amazing is this new type of processing called transformer engine,” Huang said, while holding a 50-pound server board. “The transformer engine is the T of GPT, generative pre-trained transformer. This is the world’s first computer designed to process transformers at enormous scale. So large language models are going to be much, much faster and much more cost effective.”
Huang said he “hand-delivered” to ChatGPT maker OpenAI “the world’s very first AI supercomputer.”
Not afraid to bet it all
Today, Nvidia is among the world’s 10 most valuable tech companies, with a market cap of close to $600 billion. It has 26,000 employees and a newly built polygon-themed headquarters. It’s also one of the few Silicon Valley giants with a founder of 30 years still at the helm.
Huang, 60, immigrated to the U.S. from Taiwan as a kid and studied engineering at Oregon State University and Stanford. In the early 1990s, Huang and fellow engineers Chris Malachowsky and Curtis Priem used to meet at a Denny’s and talk about dreams of enabling PCs with 3D graphics.
The trio launched Nvidia out of a condo in Fremont, California, in 1993. The name was inspired by NV for “next version” and Invidia, the Latin word for envy. They hoped to speed up computing so much that everyone would be green with envy — so they chose the envious green eye as the company logo.
Nvidia founders Curtis Priem, Jensen Huang and Chris Malachowsky pose at the company’s Santa Clara, California, headquarters in 2020.
Nvidia
“They were one among tens of GPU makers at that time,” Arya said. “They are the only ones, them and AMD actually, who really survived because Nvidia worked very well with the software community, with the developers.”
Huang’s ambitions and preference for impossible-seeming ventures have pushed the company to the brink of bankruptcy a handful of times.
“Every company makes mistakes and I make a lot of them,” said Huang, who was one of Time magazine’s most influential people in 2021. “Some of them put the company in peril, especially in the beginning, because we were small and we’re up against very, very large companies and we’re trying to invent this brand-new technology.”
In the early 2010s, for example, Nvidia made an unsuccessful move into smartphones with its Tegra line of processors. The company then exited the space.
In 1999, after laying off the majority of its workforce, Nvidia released what it claims was the world’s first official GPU, the GeForce 256. It was the first programmable graphics card that allowed custom shading and lighting effects. By 2000, Nvidia was the exclusive graphics provider for Microsoft’s first Xbox. In 2006, the company made another huge bet, releasing a software toolkit called CUDA.
“For 10 years, Wall Street asked Nvidia, ‘Why are you making this investment? No one’s using it.’ And they valued it at $0 in our market cap,” said Bryan Catanzaro, vice president of applied deep learning research at Nvidia. He was one of the only employees working on AI when he joined Nvidia in 2008. Now, the company has thousands of staffers working in the space.
“It wasn’t until around 2016, 10 years after CUDA came out, that all of a sudden people understood this is a dramatically different way of writing computer programs,” Catanzaro said. “It has transformational speedups that then yield breakthrough results in artificial intelligence.”
Although AI is growing rapidly, gaming remains Nvidia’s primary business. In 2018, the company used its AI expertise to make its next big leap in graphics. The company introduced GeForce RTX based on what it had learned in AI.
“In order for us to take computer graphics and video games to the next level, we had to reinvent and disrupt ourselves, change literally what we invented altogether,” Huang said. “We invented this new way of doing computer graphics, ray tracing, basically simulating the pathways of light and simulate everything with generative AI. And so we compute one pixel and we imagine with AI the other seven.”
‘Boom-or-bust cycle’
From the beginning, Huang was committed to making Nvidia a fabless chip company, or one that designs the product but contracts out production to others that have chip fabrication plants, or fabs. Nvidia keeps capital expenditure down by outsourcing the extraordinary expense of making the chips to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company’s U.S. office space in San Jose, CA, in 2021.
Katie Tarasov
Investors are right to be concerned about that level of dependence on a Taiwanese company. The U.S. passed the CHIPS Act last summer, which sets aside $52 billion to incentivize chip companies to manufacture on U.S. soil.
“The biggest risk is really U.S.-China relations and the potential impact of TSMC. If I’m a shareholder in Nvidia, that’s really the only thing that keeps me up at night,” said C.J. Muse, an analyst at Evercore. “This is not just a Nvidia risk, this is a risk for AMD, for Qualcomm, even for Intel.”
Then there are questions about demand and how many of the new use cases for GPUs will continue to show growth. Nvidia saw a spike in demand when crypto mining took off because GPUs became core to effectively competing in that market. The company even created a simplified GPU just for crypto. But with the cratering of crypto, Nvidia experienced an imbalance in supply and demand.
“That has created problems because crypto mining has been a boom-or-bust cycle,” Arya said. “Gaming cards go out of stock, prices get bid up, and then when the crypto mining boom collapses, then there is a big crash on the gaming side.”
Nvidia caused major sticker shock among some gamers last year by pricing its new 40-series GPUs far higher than the previous generation. Now there’s too much supply and, in the most recent quarter, gaming revenue was down 46% from a year earlier.
Competition is also increasing as more tech giants design their own custom-purpose chips. Tesla and Apple are doing it. So are Amazon and Google.
“The biggest question for them is how do they stay ahead?” Arya said. “Their customers can be their competitors also. Microsoft can try and design these things internally. Amazon and Google are already designing these things internally.”
For his part, Huang says that such competition is good.
“The amount of power that the world needs in the data center will grow,” Huang said. “That’s a real issue for the world. The first thing that we should do is: every data center in the world, however you decide to do it, for the goodness of sustainable computing, accelerate everything you can.”
In the car market, Nvidia is making autonomous-driving technology for Mercedes-Benz and others. Its systems are also used to power robots in Amazon warehouses, and to run simulations to optimize the flow of millions of packages each day.
“We have 700-plus customers who are trying it now, from [the] car industry to logistics warehouses to wind turbine plants,” Huang said. “It represents probably the single greatest container of all of Nvidia’s technology: computer graphics, artificial intelligence, robotics and physics simulation, all into one. And I have great hopes for it.”
Bitcoin slumped on Tuesday as a spike in Treasury yields weighed on risk assets broadly.
The price of the flagship cryptocurrency was last lower by 4.8% at $97,183.80, according to Coin Metrics. The broader market of cryptocurrencies, as measured by the CoinDesk 20 index, dropped more than 5%.
The moves followed a sudden increase in the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield after data released by the Institute for Supply Management reflected faster-than-expected growth in the U.S. services sector in December, adding to concerns about stickier inflation. Rising yields tend to pressure growth oriented risk assets.
Bitcoin traded above $102,000 on Monday and is widely expected to about double this year from that level. Investors are hopeful that clearer regulation will support digital asset prices and in turn benefit stocks like Coinbase and Robinhood.
However, uncertainty about the path of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts could put bumps in the road for crypto prices. In December, the central bank signaled that although it was cutting rates a third time, it may do fewer rate cuts in 2025 than investors had anticipated. Historically, rate cuts have had a positive effect on bitcoin price while hikes have had a negative impact.
Bitcoin is up more than 3% since the start of the year. It posted a 120% gain for 2024.
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The company, which offers a range of direct-to-consumer treatments for conditions like weight loss, erectile dysfunction and hair loss, is the latest in a string of tech companies that have tried to curry favor with the incoming administration. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Meta both announced $1 million donations to the inaugural fund late last year, and Amazon and Apple CEO Tim Cook have also reportedly contributed.
“At Hims & Hers, we stand with leaders and advocates who are committed to improving America’s broken healthcare system,” the company said in a statement to CNBC.
Hims & Hers was a breakout star in the digital health sector last year, largely thanks to the success of its popular new weight loss offering.
The company began prescribing compounded semaglutide through its platform in May after launching a weight loss program late in 2023. Semaglutide is the active ingredient in Novo Nordisk‘s blockbuster medications Ozempic and Wegovy, which can cost around $1,000 a month without insurance. Compounded semaglutide is a cheaper, custom-made alternative to the brand drugs and can be produced when the brand-name treatments are in shortage.
The future of compounded GLP-1s in the U.S. is not entirely clear, especially as members of Trump’s circle have expressed conflicting opinions about the drugs more broadly. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Trump’s pick to lead the Department of Health and Human Services, has criticized GLP-1s. He told CNBC in an interview that “the first line of response” to obesity should be lifestyle changes, though he added that “GLP drugs have a place.”
Dr. Marty Makary, Trump’s pick to lead the Food and Drug Administration, has served as an executive of the telehealth company Sesame, which connects consumers to physicians who can prescribe compounded GLP-1s. However, Makary’s role at Sesame has been mostly ceremonial in recent years.
Elon Musk, the Tesla CEO who has been a close confidant of Trump’s since the election, has openly expressed his support for the medications.
“Nothing would do more to improve the health, lifespan and quality of life for Americans than making GLP inhibitors super low cost to the public,” Musk wrote in a post on his social media platform X in December.
At an event with reporters in New York City late last year, which was attended by CNBC, Hims & Hers said it would work with the incoming administration and share the company’s point of view about the value of the medications.
Meta on Tuesday announced it will eliminate its third-party fact-checking program to “restore free expression” and move to a “Community Notes” model, similar to the system that exists on Elon Musk‘s platform X.
The company said Community Notes will be written and rated by contributing users to provide more context to posts across its platforms, and the feature will roll out in the U.S. over the next couple of months. The announcement marks Meta’s latest attempt to smooth over relations with Republican President-elect Donald Trump before he takes office.
“We’ve reached a point where it’s just too many mistakes, and too much censorship,” Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg said Tuesday in a video announcement. “The recent elections also feel like a cultural tipping point towards once again prioritizing speech, so we’re going to get back to our roots and focus on reducing mistakes, simplifying our polices and restoring free expression on our platforms.”
Zuckerberg said the third-party fact-checkers have been “too politically biased” and have “destroyed more trust than they’ve created, especially in the U.S.”
Meta said it will simplify its content policies by removing restrictions on subjects like immigration and gender and implement a new approach to policy enforcement that will focus on illegal and high-severity violations. The company is moving its trust and safety and content moderation teams from California, a historically Democratic state, to Texas, a historically Republican state.
“We’re going to work with President Trump to push back on governments around the world that are going after American companies and pushing to censor more,” Zuckerberg said.
Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan addressed Meta’s announcement in an interview Tuesday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box,” stating, “We should have an economy where the decisions of a single company or a single executive are not having extraordinary impact on speech online.”
Joel Kaplan, Meta’s head of global policy, appeared Tuesday on Fox News’ “Fox and Friends” and said Meta thinks the Community Notes system on Musk’s platform X has been working “really well.” Musk, who has been a vocal advocate for Trump online and donated millions of dollars to his campaign, has been in close contact with the president-elect since the election.
Last week, Meta said that Kaplan would become the company’s top policy officer, succeeding Nick Clegg, who was a former British deputy prime minister and a leader of Britain’s centrist Liberal Democrats party.
Kaplan, who has held several policy-related positions at Meta since joining the company in 2011 when it was still named Facebook, is well known within the Republican Party. He was a White House deputy chief of staff under former President George W. Bush and also once worked as a law clerk for former Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia.
In December, Kaplan revealed in a Facebook post that he joined Vice President-elect JD Vance and Trump during their recent visit at the New York Stock Exchange.
“We want to make it so that, bottom line, if you can say it on TV, you say it on the floor of Congress, you certainly ought to be able to say it on Facebook and Instagram without fear of censorship,” Kaplan said Tuesday.
Meta’s Oversight Board, which provides an independent check of the company’s content moderation, lauded the company’s changes on Tuesday.
“The Oversight Board welcomes the news that Meta will revise its approach to fact-checking, with the goal of finding a scalable solution to enhance trust, free speech and user voice on its platforms,” the board told CNBC in a statement, adding that “specifically in the United States, rightly or wrongly, Meta’s previous approach has been perceived as politically biased by many of its users.”
Prominent Republican lawmakers have previously criticized Meta and other technology companies for allegations regarding the censorship of conservative voices on their respective platforms. For instance, House Judiciary Chair Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, subpoenaed Zuckerberg and other tech CEOs in 2023 as part of a probe to “understand how and to what extent the Executive Branch coerced and colluded with companies and other intermediaries to censor speech.”
Zuckerberg has had a rocky relationship with Trump over the years, with the president-elect more recently describing Facebook as an “enemy of the people” in a March interview with CNBC. Meta levied a two-year suspension on Trump’s Facebook and Instagram accounts in 2021 shortly after the company determined that the former president’s actions following the Jan. 6 insurrection in Washington, D.C., could potentially incite more violence.
In 2023, Trump was able to regain access to his Facebook and Instagram accounts, but he also faced some restrictions and potential penalties if he were to violate the company’s community guidelines. Meta eventually removed Trump’s account-related restrictions in July during the lead-up to the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
The company has taken additional steps to appease the incoming administration in recent months. On Monday, Meta announced Dana White, CEO of the Ultimate Fighting Championship and a longtime friend of Trump, is joining its board.
Following Trump’s presidential victory in November, Zuckerberg joined a number of other big technology executives who visited the president-elect at the Mar-a-Lago resort in Palm Beach, Florida, and in December, Meta confirmed a $1 million donation to Trump’s inaugural fund.