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The low point came on Sunday evening.

For two days and two nights the Bank of England had, alongside the Treasury and its fellow financial regulators, been locked in talks with a stream of potential buyers for the UK branch of Silicon Valley Bank.

With the clock ticking down to the opening of financial markets on Monday morning, things were suddenly looking bleak.

For a time on Sunday morning, it had looked as if a buyer could be found from one of the Gulf states. But those talks had foundered.

Officials had been calling round British banks but they were nervous about stepping in to buy SVB UK.

Would they be liable if anything emerged about the way the bank had done business in previous years? What about anti-money laundering rules – would they be liable there too?

As the questions hung in the air, the Bank began to map through a worst-case scenario.

Far from a normal bank

If it failed to find a buyer then it would have to announce that the bank was insolvent before markets opened on Monday.

Deposits up to £85,000 would be protected by Britain’s deposit insurance scheme, but while this would be sufficient for many “normal” customers in “normal” banks, Silicon Valley Bank was far from being a normal bank.

SVB, which as the name suggests began life on the west coast of the US, was a bank which catered not for regular individuals or for that matter regular businesses, but for the denizens of the tech sector.

Its American branch was the darling of Silicon Valley – the favourite place for its start-ups to bank.

Indeed, some venture capital firms insisted that the companies they were financing would put money there.

Something similar went for the UK arm, which was set up to provide financial services for Britain’s burgeoning tech scene.

Although it was considerably smaller than its American parent, SVB UK had built up accounts with more than 4,000 companies – including many prominent tech firms.

And since the UK’s tech sector is particularly focused on biotech and fintech (finance and medical technology firms respectively) that meant its customer base included some of the country’s most promising start-ups.

But in recent months, the US parent ran into trouble: the rise in global interest rates had caused a sharp fall in the value of bonds in SVB’s balance sheet.

As it sought to rebuild its financial position last week, it announced plans to raise more money from investors.

Read more:
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UK branch of bank bought for just £1 as taxpayer protected
US authorities step in to protect deposits

The panic spiral

The news triggered a panic about its survival.

Founders and executives began to pull money out of the US bank, and so began a bank run, with customers pulling their deposits out rapidly – both in America and, as news of the bank’s travails spread – in the UK too.

Bank runs are always fast, and SVB UK’s was no exception.

While the UK wing of SVB was far smaller than its American parent (which had $175bn as of December) the speed of its collapse was nonetheless breathtaking.

On Thursday afternoon SVB UK had around £11bn in customer deposits. By early afternoon on Friday customers had withdrawn more than £1bn, leaving just over £9bn.

As Friday afternoon wore on, the stream of withdrawals turned to a flood with a further £3bn being withdrawn by companies desperately worried about their funds.

Silicon Valley Bank

That was when the Bank of England intervened and took control: with its deposit base having nearly halved in the space of just over 24 hours (to £6.7bn by close of play Friday), it was clear that SVB UK couldn’t survive on its own anymore.

By the time the Bank of England stepped in, executives at SVB UK seemed, as far as the regulators were concerned, to be relieved that they could at least stem the flow of deposits.

There was no question of getting an infusion of cash from the American parent bank (which had already effectively collapsed itself) so the only question was what kind of end SVB UK would face.

Could its demise be processed in an orderly manner or not?

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HSBC purchase ‘best possible outcome’

The potential outcomes

There were, broadly speaking, three potential outcomes.

The first (and by far the most preferable) was to sell SVB UK in its entirety to another bank – ideally a British one, regulated in London.

The second was for a “bridge bank”: the government would take possession of SVB UK and find a way either of running it down over time or running it until it could be sold off.

The third was formal insolvency. The bank would be wound down. Depositors would have the first £85,000 of their deposits insured but anything above that would depend on how much money could be recouped from the insolvency process.

The problem with the latter two options was that both would involve the deployment of public money.

But that Friday evening, with no potential buyers having surfaced, the assumption at the Bank of England was that SVB UK would face insolvency.

Officials made a terse public announcement along those lines, and then they got to work trying to find a buyer.

Hundreds worked through the night

So began a long weekend at the Bank, and the biggest test yet of the “resolution” system put into place following the 2008 crisis, which promised to find a way to neatly wind up (or sell on) a bank in the event of collapse.

Hundreds of officials were drafted in – some in the Bank itself, some working from home, some from the other parts of Britain’s financial regulatory system and some from the Treasury – to find a solution.

Governor Andrew Bailey – who was in Basel, Switzerland, for a regular central banker summit – was involved in all the calls.

Officials worked through the night, catching a couple of hours’ sleep when they could.

The effort was given various codenames: at Threadneedle Street they called it “Operation Cork”, in the Treasury it was “Operation Yeti” and the various potential suitors to SVB UK were also given their own codenames to prevent news of them leaking.

The talks progressed, day and night, from Friday through to Sunday.

While on Friday night insolvency looked like the most likely outcome, as Saturday progressed a few suitors emerged.

For a period it looked as if a buyer would be found in the United Arab Emirates. Then those talks unravelled.

And by Sunday night, the low point, insolvency once again looked like the most likely endgame.

A collapse that threatened to be especially messy

No bank collapse is pretty, but SVB UK’s threatened to be especially messy.

On the one hand, it didn’t have individual customers – so there was no risk of hard-pressed households losing their savings.

This was a business bank, so the main victims would be companies. However, many of those companies had significant deposits at SVB UK.

By the close of play on Friday there were just over 4,000 customers of SVB UK.

Of these businesses, around half had less than £85,000 in their accounts, so would be fully protected by Britain’s deposit insurance scheme, a post-crisis innovation which protects bank customers up to a certain amount.

However, that left just under two thousand businesses with large amounts of money in their accounts – the average deposit of these customers was £3.5m.

Some had far greater amounts, with certain companies having hundreds of millions of pounds.

These companies faced an existential threat if SVB UK had collapsed without a buyer.

While in such insolvencies much of the lost deposits are eventually recouped, it is a slow drawn-out process which invariably causes deep uncertainty and leaves scars among those depositors.

Of even greater worry inside the bank were a set of “fintech” companies which acted as “deposit aggregators”, taking money from customers and then leaving some of that cash in a variety of other bank accounts.

Sky News understands that a number of these companies had significant amounts of customer money at SVB UK.

While those customer deposits would have been protected by deposit insurance in the event of a collapse, it would nonetheless have caused ripples of concern in the financial world.

As the officials worked through the night to find a buyer, they made plans for SVB UK’s formal insolvency. They tried to work out whether they could farm out some of its accounts to other banks, but the talks were difficult.

Then, in the early hours of Monday morning, things started to change.

HSBC’s bid came so late it didn’t get a codename

HSBC, which had surfaced in the negotiations so late that it hadn’t even been given a codename, emerged as a serious buyer.

It wanted certain assurances – that it wouldn’t face onerous anti-money laundering checks for its new customers and that it wouldn’t have to take responsibility for any previous misconduct at SVB UK – but it was willing to buy SVB UK for £1.

By about 1am on Monday, the Bank’s staff, bleary-eyed after a marathon weekend, realised that the worst seemed to have been averted.

HSBC was serious. The lawyers set to work on the contracts.

SVB UK would carry on operating, under the ownership of HSBC, who would gradually incorporate it into their business.

The thousands of customers – tech founders who had been facing potentially catastrophic consequences – would have all their deposits protected.

No public money would be deployed. It was, in the circumstances, about the best possible outcome.

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Deal to save bank shows ‘great resilience in UK’

A UK response that looks, comparatively, like a triumph

On the one hand, said some of those involved, the episode illustrated the strength of Britain’s bank resolution system.

A disaster was averted. No public money was deployed.

In the US, the Federal Reserve was forced to intervene and signal that it was standing behind customer deposits. The American parent faced insolvency; no buyer was found. By contrast, the UK’s response looked like a triumph.

However, the episode underlines a few things.

First, the financial system remains vulnerable to these unexpected shocks.

Second, there are question marks about why tech firms put quite so much money – way more than was insured by deposit protection – into a single bank, and especially about the fact that some were reportedly coerced to do by their financial backers.

Third, given this was yet another earthquake triggered in large part by rising interest rates (the first being Britain’s liability driven investment pensions crisis last autumn), what other bombs are buried in the system?

The final concern is that even as it helped confront this bank collapse, the Treasury is making plans to overhaul Britain’s financial regulation.

Its proposals will, say some economists, pare back some of the controls and rules imposed after the financial crisis.

Some wonder now whether this episode underlines why those controls matter so much.

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Unilever faces investor revolt over new chief’s pay package

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Unilever faces investor revolt over new chief's pay package

Unilever, the FTSE-100 consumer goods giant behind Marmite and Lynx, is facing an investor backlash over its new chief executive’s multimillion pound pay package.

Sky News has learnt that ISS, a leading proxy adviser, has recommended that shareholders vote against Unilever’s remuneration report at its annual meeting later this month.

Sources familiar with ISS’s report on Unilever’s AGM resolutions say the agency objects to the discount of just €50,000 that the Ben & Jerry’s owner has applied to the base salary of Fernando Fernandez, compared to Hein Schumacher, his predecessor.

Tariffs latest: Trump claimed world was ‘kissing my a**’ for deals

Unilever surprised the City in February when it announced Mr Schumacher would leave after just two years in the job, amid frustration in its boardroom about the pace of growth.

In an accompanying statement, Unilever said Mr Fernandez – previously the chief financial officer – would be paid a basic salary of €1.8m, modestly lower than Mr Schumacher’s €1.85m.

In a summary of ISS’s report, the proxy adviser said Mr Fernandez’s “base salary as new CEO is significant and represents a small discount to the former CEO Hein Schumacher’s base salary”.

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“The company does not appear to have sufficiently accounted previously raised shareholder concerns on the CEO role’s pay arrangement when setting Mr Fernandez’s remuneration.”

Unilever had also “disapplied time pro-rating” in respect of former executive directors’ long-term share awards, meaning that the company could have legitimately decided to award them smaller amounts of stock than it did.

On Wednesday afternoon, shares in Unilever were trading at around £44.79, giving the maker of Magnum ice cream and Persil washing-up liquid a valuation of close to £115bn.

Unilever did not respond to a request for comment.

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Could Trump’s tariffs tip the world into recession?

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Could Trump's tariffs tip the world into recession?

Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs last week spooked the markets. 

Stock markets tumbled on Monday, with most US markets down and stocks in Hong Kong falling 13.2%, their worst day since 1997 during the Asian financial crisis.

There was slight growth in Asian and UK markets on Tuesday, but recovery is still a way off after a steep decline in reaction to Mr Trump’s tariffs on goods imported to the US, which he announced last week.

Tariffs latest: Follow live updates

US economists at Goldman Sachs raised their assessment of the odds that America will tip into recession to 45%, up from 35% the week before.

And if most tariffs aren’t reduced or negotiated away, “we expect to change our forecast to a recession”, Goldman’s chief economist Jan Hatzius said in an analyst note.

Other economists are raising similar alarms, with JPMorgan putting the odds of a US and global recession at 60% and projecting inflation will reach 4.4% by the end of this year, up from 2.8% currently.

How do you know if a recession has begun?

The most commonly used definition of a recession is at least two consecutive quarters of economic contraction – or “negative growth” – in gross domestic product (GDP).

To break that down, GDP is the total value of goods and services produced over a specific time period. When it goes up, the economy is considered to be doing well.

When it goes down – negative growth or economic contraction – it’s not doing well. And when it doesn’t do well for six months, it counts as a recession.

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Trump: ‘No pause to tariffs’

In the US, the National Bureau of Economic Research is the body which officially declares a recession – taking in a variety of economic data, not just GDP, defining it as “a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and lasts more than a few months”.

Currently, there are no signs the US or global economy is in recession, and it remains unknown if tariffs will have a large enough impact to knock America’s into reverse.

But it is this uncertainty that has the potential to cause the most damage.

“People are all at sea,” Sky News Business Live presenter Darren McCaffrey told the Sky News Daily podcast.

👉 Listen to Sky News Daily on your podcast app 👈

“No one can quite work out whether President Trump wants a genuine rewiring of globalisation, what the consequences of that will be for the US and globally, and that these tariffs will remain permanent, or whether this is part of a negotiating tactic.

“That’s what no one can work out. That uncertainty is difficult, and it is going to cause damage.”

Stockbroker Russ Mould added that the markets are hoping the Trump administration is planning to use tariffs as a way of extracting better trade deals from existing trade partners. If this happens, it would help restore global trade to what’s been the standard in recent decades.

A screen shows trading of the Dow Jones Industrial Average after the closing bell. Pic: Reuters
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Pic: Reuters

What could a global recession mean?

If the US and the rest of the world falls into recession – even if the UK doesn’t – it will “fundamentally mean we will all be poorer in the future,” McCaffrey said.

He added that Britain especially has not had a prolonged period of serious economic growth for a long time – held back by the financial crisis in 2008, the shock of Brexit, COVID, the Ukraine war and now US tariffs.

However, it is not all doom and gloom.

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Day 79: Trump’s tariff turmoil

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“The markets will always find a way,” McCaffrey says.

“The US is the world’s largest economy, but it is only 13% of global trade. Countries like China, Vietnam, Cambodia and others with high tariffs will find new markets. And one of the places that benefit from that in the short-medium term could be the UK.

“It will also force big wealthy blocs – the biggest of which is the EU – to look for new markets. Canada is also suggesting they would like a trade deal with the UK.

“This will cause damage to the US economy more than anywhere else, because other countries will want to be more reliant on more stable partners. As always with economics, there are winners and losers and ultimately the market will find a place for lots of these goods.”

How could the UK best prepare for potential recession?

Instead of retaliatory tariffs, the UK is looking to secure a post-Brexit trade deal with the US, Russ Mould explained, calling that “the UK’s primary goal”.

But if the UK is stuck with tariffs in the long-term, Mr Mould said it would be wise to consider deals with other countries.

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PM makes first post-tariff moves

He said: “Statistics show that 87% of global trade does not involve US, so maybe you can look elsewhere for trade deals with countries who also feel they have been badly treated by tariffs. I would guess India would be at the top of that list.

“The question is how quickly can trade deals be struck, given the fact the UK has been casting the net around for the last five years without a huge amount of progress.”

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Mr Mould added that the recipe for economic growth in any market is the growth of the labour force coupled with productivity growth.

“In terms of productivity, [leaders] are probably looking at targeted tax breaks for investment and to stimulate research and development. Other positive things for long-term benefits include examining infrastructure and transport access,” Mr Mould said.

“In terms of encouraging labour participation, you are into the deep waters of whether it is education or tax breaks for child care. All of those are very long-term solutions to a potential near-term challenge.”

Listen to the full Sky News Daily episode here

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Philip Green’s human rights not breached when he was named in parliament over injunction, court rules

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Philip Green's human rights not breached when he was named in parliament over injunction, court rules

Retail tycoon Sir Philip Green’s human rights were not breached when he was named in parliament as the holder of an injunction against the Telegraph newspaper, the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) has ruled.

The former Topshop boss previously obtained a court injunction preventing the Telegraph from publishing allegations of misconduct made against him by five ex-employees who had agreed to keep the details of their complaints confidential under non-disclosure agreements (NDAs).

Sir Philip “categorically” denied any unlawful sexual behaviour.

However, he was named as the businessman behind the injunction in parliament in October 2018 by Labour peer Lord Hain who used parliamentary privilege.

Parliamentary privilege grants certain legal immunities for members of both the House of Commons and House of Lords and is in place to ensure MPs and peers can go about their work without fear of being sued or prosecuted for contempt of court.

Sir Philip brought a complaint to the ECHR, with lawyers for the Monaco-based businessman challenging the absence of controls on the power of parliamentary privilege to reveal information covered by an injunction.

On Tuesday, the ECHR ruled against Sir Philip.

In a unanimous decision, eight judges in Strasbourg found the right to privacy under Article 8 of the European Convention on Human Rights had not been violated.

A majority of the judges also found that his complaints brought under Article 6, the right to a fair hearing, and Article 13, the right to an effective remedy, were “inadmissible”.

NDAs are legal contracts often used by companies to preserve confidentiality. If the contract is breached, the party breaking the agreement could be liable for damages in the form of hefty financial compensation.

Read more from Sky News:
Trump’s tariffs: what you need to know
Warnings of retail closures over NI hike

Following the ECHR ruling on Tuesday, Lord Hain said: “I’m really pleased that the Strasbourg Court [has] defended parliamentary privilege.”

Sir Philip became one of the UK’s best-known retail tycoons when he bought department store group BHS in 2000 and Topshop owner Arcadia Group in 2002.

But his reputation was damaged by the collapse of BHS after he sold the chain for one pound in 2015 to a businessman who had previously been declared bankrupt.

Arcadia Group subsequently went into administration in 2020.

Sky News has approached Sir Philip’s representatives for comment on Tuesday’s ruling.

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