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After a brief flirtation with doom, the newly discovered asteroid that was given a 1-in-600 chance of slamming into Earth on Valentine’s Day 2046 is now highly unlikely to hit our planet, NASA announced. 

The asteroid, which was first detected on Feb. 27 and named “2023 DW,” measures about 165 feet (50 meters) in diameter, or roughly the length of an Olympic-size swimming pool.

Initially given a slim but possible chance of a direct impact by NASA’s Planetary Defense Coordination Office (opens in new tab) , the threat posed by the asteroid generated a flurry of news coverage advising readers to reconsider any romantic plans made for 2046. Now, NASA has revised this estimate, putting the asteroid’s chances of hitting Earth at around 1-in-770, meaning it has a 99.87% chance of missing us. The European Space Agency’s (ESA) Near-Earth Object Coordination Centre (opens in new tab) has also lowered its risk estimate — downgrading the impact odds from a 1-in-625 chance to around 1-in-1,584. 

Related: Could an asteroid destroy Earth?

“It will go down now with every observation until it reaches zero in a couple of days at the latest,” Richard Moissl (opens in new tab) , the head of the ESA’s planetary defense office, told Agence France-Presse (opens in new tab) on Tuesday (Mar. 14). “No one needs to be worried about this guy.”

NASA tracks the locations and orbits of roughly 28,000 asteroids, following them with the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS), an array of four telescopes that can perform a scan of the entire night sky every 24 hours. The space agency flags any space object that comes within 120 million miles (193 million kilometers) of Earth as a “near-Earth object” and classifies any large object within 4.65 million miles (7.5 million km) of our planet as “potentially hazardous.”RELATED STORIES—’Potentially hazardous’ asteroid twice the size of the World Trade Center will shoot past Earth —tonight

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NASA has estimated the trajectories of all these near-Earth objects beyond the end of the century. Earth faces no known danger from an apocalyptic asteroid collision for at least the next 100 years, according to NASA (opens in new tab) .

If 2023 DW did smash into Earth, it would not be a cataclysmic event like the 7.5-mile-wide (12 km) dinosaur-killing asteroid that struck Earth 66 million years ago. But this doesn’t mean smaller asteroids of its size aren’t dangerous. In March 2021, for example, a bowling ball-size meteor exploded over Vermont with the force of 440 pounds (200 kilograms) of TNT. Even more dramatically, a 2013 explosion of a 59-foot-wide (18 m) meteor above Chelyabinsk, Russia, generated a blast roughly equal to around 400 to 500 kilotons of TNT, or 26 to 33 times the energy released by the Hiroshima bomb, and injured around 1,500 people.

Space agencies around the world are already working on possible ways to deflect a dangerous asteroid if one were ever headed our way. On Sept. 26, the Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) spacecraft redirected the non-hazardous asteroid Dimorphos by ramming it off course, altering the asteroid’s orbit by 32 minutes in the first test of Earth’s planetary defense system. NASA has since hailed the mission as a success beyond all expectations.

China has also suggested it is in the early planning stages of an asteroid-redirect mission. By slamming 23 Long March 5 rockets into the asteroid Bennu, which will swing within 4.6 million miles (7.4 million km) of Earth’s orbit between the years 2175 and 2199, the country hopes to divert the space rock from a potentially catastrophic impact with our planet.

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World

Who were the suspected gunmen in Bondi Beach terror attack?

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Who were the suspected gunmen in Bondi Beach terror attack?

A father and son have been identified as the suspected gunmen in the terror attack on a Jewish event in Bondi Beach which killed at least 15 people.

More than 1,000 people were celebrating the Jewish festival of Hanukkah on the beach on Sunday evening when two people opened fire on them.

Those killed in the attack range from 10 years of age to 87, including a rabbi and a Holocaust survivor, while 38 others have been injured.

One of the alleged gunmen has been named by New South Wales (NSW) police as 24-year-old Naveed Akram, while the other has been identified as his 50-year-old father Sajid Akram.

How did they carry out the attack?

Footage shows the gunmen start firing into the crowd from a footbridge that leads over a car park to the beach.

Sky News has identified from the footage that the younger gunman was using a rifle, while the older one was using a semi-automatic shotgun.

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What’s been said about the gunmen

Police commissioner Mal Lanyon said officers searched two properties in connection with the suspects and found that the father had six firearms licenced to him.

Follow live: 15 people and gunman killed in shooting

He said they were confident that those firearms were the six found at the scene of the shooting.

More footage from the scene showed that a man, later identified as 43-year-old fruit shop owner Ahmed al Ahmed, tackled and disarmed one of the gunmen, believed to be the father Sajid, before pointing his own weapon at him, which was empty.

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Moment ‘hero’ disarmed gunman

The footage then showed the disarmed gunman running towards where the other gunman was located. Mr Ahmed was shot twice in the incident and required surgery, his family said.

The shooting is estimated to have gone on for roughly 10 minutes from 6.47pm. Eventually, the police took down the gunmen 75 seconds apart on the bridge.

Read more:
The victims of Bondi terror attack
Eyewitness accounts of ‘utter panic and chaos’

The father was killed at the scene by police, while the son was shot and wounded.

He is being treated at a hospital, according to police. Mr Lanyon said he “may well” face criminal charges.

In an update on Monday, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese told ABC that the suspect was in a coma.

He also said there were a range of IEDs and “explosive devices” in their car that they intended to use to “cause further damage”.

What do we know about their backgrounds?

Sajid Akram arrived in Australia in 1998 on a student visa and transferred to a partner visa three years later, before becoming a permanent resident, according to Home Affairs Minister Tony Burke. Officials have not disclosed what country he migrated from.

He had his gun licence for approximately a decade and held a gun club membership, Mr Lanyon said.

The younger suspect was an Australian-born citizen who first came to the attention of the Australian Security Intelligence Organisation (ASIO) in October 2019, Mr Albanese told reporters.

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Younger gunman was part of 2019 ‘investigation’

“He was examined on the basis of being associated with others and the assessment was made that there was no indication of any ongoing threat or threat of him engaging in violence,” Mr Albanese said.

Mr Albanese said the suspect was investigated for six months over his connections to two people who later went to jail, one man for planning terror attacks.

He said he was not put on a watch list because the investigation uncovered no evidence that he was planning or considering any act of antisemitic violence.

Neither the father nor son have been on the ASIO’s radar since the 7 October Hamas attacks, he added.

What do we know about the motives?

New South Wales Police designated the attack a terrorist incident, and Mr Lanyon said a “significant investigation” would be led by counterterrorism and that “no stone will be left unturned”.

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Community mourns after attack

“When I asked for calm, that is really important,” he said. “This is not a time for retribution. This is a time to allow the police to do their duty. So police are responding to make sure that all of the community is safe.”

Mr Albanese called the massacre an act of antisemitic terrorism that struck at the heart of the nation.

On Monday, he said the attackers were “two evil people… driven by ideology” whose actions were the result of an “extreme perversion of Islam”.

NSW Premier Chris Minns said after the attack: “This attack was designed to target Sydney’s Jewish community on the first day of Hanukkah. What should have been a night of peace and joy celebrated in that community with families and supporters has been shattered by this horrifying, evil attack.”

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Environment

Tesla warns of massive lease price hikes coming at end of the month, the prices are crazy

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Tesla warns of massive lease price hikes coming at end of the month, the prices are crazy

Tesla has been pulling every demand lever it can find to end the year on a high note, resulting in some of the most aggressive lease pricing we’ve ever seen.

The automaker is now signaling that these deals are expiring at the end of the month, and the price jumps are going to be significant.

We are talking about monthly payments increasing by up to 67% in some cases.

For the last few weeks, the story has been all about the $299/month Model 3 lease. It’s a headline-grabbing number that frankly makes the math of driving a gas car look terrible.

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But Tesla is subsidizing this pricing. It’s not sustainable and the automaker is doing it temporarily to compensate for low demand. It looks like Tesla is planning a hard reset on pricing once the Q4 delivery wave crashes on December 31.

Tesla announced a price increase coming on December 26th to encourage people to take delivery as soon as possible:

Here is the breakdown of the signaled price increases:

  • Model 3 Premium RWD: Increasing to $499/month with $3,000 down. (Currently ~$299/mo with $1,500 down. That is a massive 67% increase in monthly payment, plus a doubled down payment.)
  • Model 3 Premium AWD: Increasing to $549/month with $3,000 down. (Up from ~$449/mo with $1,500 down. A 22% increase.)
  • Model 3 Performance: Increasing to $749/month with $3,000 down. (Up from ~$699/mo with $1,500 down. A 7% increase.)

The Model Y, which is currently one of the best best-selling vehicles in the world, is not spared either:

  • Model Y Premium RWD: Increasing to $549/month with $3,000 down. (Up from ~$449/mo with $0 down. A 22% increase.)
  • Model Y Premium AWD: Increasing to $649/month with $3,000 down. (Up from ~$479/mo with $0 down. A 35% increase.)

Even the Cybertruck is seeing a bump, though less dramatic percentage-wise:

  • Cybertruck AWD: Increasing to $849/month with $5,000 down. (Up from ~$729/mo with the same down payment. A 16% increase.)

This puts significant pressure on buyers to take delivery within the next two weeks. Tesla is known for these end-of-quarter pushes, but usually, the incentives simply vanish. In this case, we are seeing a reversion to standard pricing that highlights just how subsidized the current offers are.

Electrek’s Take

This is the classic Tesla end-of-quarter playbook, but the contrast here is sharper than usual and a focus on leases.

I’ve said before that the $299 Model 3 lease is practically a no-brainer. When you look at the total cost of ownership, it competes with used Toyotas.

A 67% increase on the base Model 3 is wild. It shows that Tesla was willing to burn significant margin to clear inventory and compensate for lower demand following the end of the tax credit.

It remains true that the best time to buy a Tesla is at the end of a quarter and ideally, at the end of the year.

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UK

Mother jailed after ‘losing her temper’ and killing her three-month-old daughter

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Mother jailed after 'losing her temper' and killing her three-month-old daughter

A mother who “lost her temper” and killed her three-month-old daughter has been jailed for nine-and-a-half years.

Nazli Merthoca gave birth to Kaylani Kalanzi prematurely, and the newborn had to spend 29 days in hospital before she was allowed home on May 13 2024.

But the infant was on social services’ radar before she was even born, and had been placed on a child protection plan, the Old Bailey was told.

Kaylani Kalanzi. Pic: Met Police/PA
Image:
Kaylani Kalanzi. Pic: Met Police/PA

Prosecutor Zoe Johnson KC told jurors that Merthoca was in a “mutually abusive relationship” with the child’s father, Herbert Kalanzi.

Before they could take custody of the child, the parents had to demonstrate they were fit parents, with Mr Kalanzi agreeing to attend a fatherhood programme.

But Ms Johnson said social services’ strategy was “doomed to fail” and the “ever-present risk” to Kaylani became a “fatal reality” on 8 July 2024.

The couple called emergency services shortly before 10.30pm, saying Kaylani had stopped breathing, and requesting help at Merthoca’s grandmother’s flat in Homerton, east London, where they were staying at the time.

Central Criminal Court. Picture: PA
Image:
Central Criminal Court. Picture: PA

When paramedics arrived, Merthoca failed to inform them that Kaylani had been violently shaken, causing bleeding to the brain, damage to her eyes and fractures to her tibia and ribs, the court was told.

Admitted with catastrophic brain injuries, as well as a broken leg and ribs, Kaylani died in hospital 15 days later.

Merthoca became upset at being questioned about what happened, and claimed she was being blamed because of her “race and gender”, according to staff at Great Ormond Street Hospital.

Ms Johnson said Merthoca had “lost her temper with the baby after an accumulation of factors” and also “challenged” social workers instead of accepting their help.

Great Ormond Street Hospital. File pic: Reuters
Image:
Great Ormond Street Hospital. File pic: Reuters

Benjamin Aina KC, defending, told the court that his client had faced “a number of significant challenges” in her life.

These included suffering physical abuse as a child and entering the care system when she was 12, where she started being “groomed by older men” and relying on cannabis and alcohol.

He also told of her “grief” over Kaylani.

Merthoca was tried over her daughter’s death in October, and a jury cleared her of murder but found her guilty of manslaughter.

Jailing her for nine years and six months on Monday, Judge Mark Lucraft KC called the death of the baby a “loss of a precious life”.

“The impact of the death of Kaylani will be felt by many,” he told Merthoca.

“You will have to live with the knowledge that you killed your daughter.”

Read more:
Warning about danger of ‘baby sleep pillows’ after infant deaths
Every baby in the UK to receive DNA testing

Mr Kalanzi had also been on trial, accused of causing or allowing Kaylani’s death, but was cleared by jurors.

He had been formally acquitted of her murder on the directions of the judge.

The defendants, from East Ham, east London, did not give evidence at their trial.

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