The rate of inflation has taken a surprise leap, driven by a rising cost of alcoholic drinks in pubs and food – partly a consequence of the recent salad shortage.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) calculated the consumer prices index (CPI) measure of inflation at 10.4% over the 12 months to February.
That was up from an annual rate of 10.1% the previous month, dashing expectations of an easing that has been seen since the 41-year high of 11.1% in October last year, as the cost of living crisis gathered steam.
At that time, unprecedented energy prices were being swallowed by businesses and households alike amid the war in Ukraine despite financial support from the government.
Since then, wholesale energy costs have gradually eased.
However, it takes time for those to filter down through the economy to goods and services.
Some supply chains are also complicated by related factors such as wider commodity cost shifts and shortages, such as the lack of tomatoes and other veg items that struck in February but has since eased.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
2:06
Feb: Why tomato production was delayed
ONS chief economist Grant Fitzner said: “Inflation ticked up in February mainly driven by rising alcohol prices in pubs and restaurants following discounting in January.
“Food and non-alcoholic drink prices rose to their highest rate in over 45 years with particular increases for some salad and vegetable items as high energy costs and bad weather across parts of Europe led to shortages and rationing.
Advertisement
“These were partially offset by falls in the cost of motor fuel, where the annual inflation rate has eased for seven consecutive months.”
The latest figures come after Chancellor Jeremy Hunt said in last week’s budget that the Office for Budget Responsibility had forecast inflation would fall to 2.9% by the end of 2023.
Interest rate hike ahead?
The inflation data will also be closely watched by the Bank of England ahead of its next interest rate decision on Thursday, which had been thought to be finely balanced in advance of the figures.
But financial markets now firmly believe that policymakers will raise Bank rate again though slow the pace of increase – helping the pound make some gains.
A Reuters poll of economists also expects a 0.25 percentage point hike to 4.25% following February’s rise of 0.5 percentage points.
Like the European Central Bank last week, the Bank’s monetary policy committee is expected to send a clear signal that it is focused fully on inflation and not worried by the effect its rate rises have had on bank balance sheets amid the recent turmoil for shares in the sector.
There had been a popular school of thought, ahead of Wednesday’s data, that the Bank would pause for breath after consistently raising rates since December 2021.
That was because core CPI inflation figures, which strip out volatile elements such as energy, had undershot the Bank’s most recent forecasts.
The latest inflation figures showed core inflation rising to 6.2% from 5.8% in January.
Mr Hunt said of the inflation spike: “Falling inflation isn’t inevitable, so we need to stick to our plan to halve it this year.
“We recognise just how tough things are for families across the country, so as we work towards getting inflation under control we will help families with cost of living support worth £3,300 on average per household this year.”
For Shelley Mclean, every night is a sleepless one, just to keep her 11-year-old daughter alive.
Missy was born with a rare genetic condition that affects her breathing, digestion and movement.
She spent the first nine months of her life in hospital before coming home with a breathing tube in her throat, a feeding tube in her stomach, and a line into her bowel.
At first, the family had some NHS-funded nighttime care to help keep Missy safe while she slept.
But when her local NHS body decided she no longer met the threshold, that support was taken away.
Image: Missy has a breathing tube in her throat, a feeding tube in her stomach, and a line into her bowel
Now, Missy’s mother is responsible for her care.
“I’m her nurse, her physio, her carer,” says Shelley. “I don’t sleep properly because I’m scared she’ll stop breathing.
“They say we don’t meet the threshold – but I don’t know what more they need to see.”
Every night, Shelley prepares Missy’s medicines, checks her tubes, and monitors her breathing.
“This is an epilepsy medicine,” she says, holding up a syringe.
“If she’s not tolerating food orally, I put it down the tube.”
Despite her exhaustion, Shelley is grateful for the care that once saved her daughter’s life.
“I’m very grateful the NHS saved Missy – she wouldn’t be here without them. But they’re crippling the parents.”
Image: Shelley Mclean cares for her daughter Missy round the clock
The postcode lottery
Children like Missy who leave hospital but still need intensive support are meant to receive what’s called NHS continuing care – specialist help for those with the most complex, life-limiting or life-threatening needs.
But Sky News has seen new data which shows access to this care is deeply inconsistent across England, creating a postcode lottery that leaves many families struggling to survive without the help they require.
New figures obtained by Sky News reveal just how uneven continuing care has become.
NHS spending on children’s continuing care ranges from just 80p to £6 per head depending on where families live.
Out of almost 100,000 children in England with a life-limiting or life-threatening condition, only around 4% – roughly 4,400 – receive NHS continuing care funding.
And more than half of all disabled children referred for this kind of support are rejected.
Anna Bird, chief executive of charity Contact, says the system is leaving thousands of families on the brink.
“We’re not seeing the commitment to make sure those who need continuing care are getting it,” she told Sky News.
“Our research shows there’s a huge postcode lottery – families are running kind of little hospitals at home just to keep their children well and alive.
“They’re being let down by continuing care, and they’re not getting the support they need.”
In some areas, campaigners say local NHS bodies have cut back on support even for children with the most serious medical conditions.
Parents report being told their child no longer qualifies for help despite their needs remaining unchanged.
For Shelley, that decision means she rarely sleeps through the night.
“If I don’t go to her, she could be dead,” she says quietly. “She could have a fit and… you know, she could be dead.”
Image: Shelley, Missy and her brother
In a statement, NHS Cheshire and Merseyside said: “We understand Ms Mclean will be disappointed with the decision relating to her daughter’s funding.
“While we’re unable to comment on individual cases due to our commitment to patient confidentiality, all patients are reviewed jointly by health and care professionals to ensure they are receiving the most appropriate care for their needs.
“Patients who wish to discuss their funding decision are able to contact NHS Cheshire and Merseyside using the contact details included in their patient letters.”
But campaigners say that without national standards – and without the law forcing consistent assessments – those reviews will continue to vary wildly from one area to the next.
The result is that parents like Shelley find themselves trapped between two systems – the NHS and social care – neither of which can agree who is responsible.
“I’m not the type of person who wants to ask anyone for help,” she says. “But it’s brought me to my knees.”
For Shelley, that gap is more than bureaucratic. It’s personal, relentless, and exhausting.
“I would invite them to come and have a week in my position – to try to wake up every hour, on the hour, every night. Then they might understand.”
Campaigners say no parent should have to shoulder that burden alone – and they want ministers to act.
They’re calling on the government to make continuing care a statutory entitlement, with consistent assessments, proper funding, and transparency about who gets help and who doesn’t.
Until then, families like Shelley’s will continue to do the work of the NHS from their own homes – unpaid, unsupported, and exhausted.
Image: Shelley feeding Missy
The Department for Health and Social Care said: “Our thoughts go out to Shelley and Missy – everyone should have access to high-quality, compassionate care.
“As part of our 10-Year Health Plan, the government is shifting more healthcare out of hospitals and into the community, to ensure patients and their families can get the care they need, where and when they need it.
“Integrated Care Boards are responsible for meeting the needs of local people – including Children and Young People’s Continuing Care and ensuring the care requirements of people like Missy and Shelley are met.
“This government has set out best practice, and provided guidance around assessments, decision-making and agreeing care packages for Children and Young People’s Continuing Care.”
Sir Keir Starmer has dismissed calls for an investigation into his chancellor after she apologised for putting her family home up for rent without obtaining the necessary licence.
The newspaper reported that the chancellor rented her family home in Dulwich when she moved into Number 11 Downing Street, but was unaware she had to obtain a licence to do so.
Some London boroughs require private landlords to obtain a specific kind of licence if they are putting their property up for rent – including Southwark Council, where Ms Reeves’ home is listed.
The newspaper said Ms Reeves had now applied for a licence, but the Conservatives have called for an investigation.
A spokesperson for Ms Reeves said: “Since becoming chancellor, Rachel Reeves has rented out her family home through a lettings agency.
“She had not been made aware of the licensing requirement, but as soon as it was brought to her attention, she took immediate action and has applied for the licence.
More on Labour
Related Topics:
“This was an inadvertent mistake and in the spirit of transparency, she has made the prime minister, the independent adviser on ministerial standards and the parliamentary commissioner for standards aware.”
It is understood that Sir Laurie Magnus, the prime minister’s ethics adviser, has not launched an investigation into Ms Reeves.
Sir Keir said further investigation into the issue was “not necessary” after consulting Sir Laurie.
In a letter to Ms Reeves, he suggested her apology was a “sufficient resolution”.
Daisy Cooper, deputy leader of the Liberal Democrats, said the chancellor was adding to the government’s “list of scandals”.
“The chancellor is meant to be delivering growth but the only thing she appears to be growing is the government’s list of scandals,” she said.
“Just weeks before the budget, this risks seriously undermining confidence in this government and its ability to focus on the urgent tasks at hand.”
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
Under the proposal, sellers, instead of buyers, would be responsible for paying the tax.
The chancellor is understood to be looking at an annual 1% charge on the amount a property’s value exceeds £2m – a £10,000-a-year levy for homes worth £3m.
Another proposal would see capital gains tax (CGT) charged when someone sells their main home, based on the amount it has increased in value during ownership.
Reports suggest this would only be applied to the most expensive properties, with a possible threshold of £1.5m, which would affect about 120,000 homeowners and higher-rate taxpayers getting CGT bills of nearly £200,000.
Migrant sex offender Hadush Kebatu, who was wrongly freed from prison, has claimed in an interview with Sky News that he tried to hand himself in to police a day before he was arrested, but was ignored by officers.
The Home Office said Kebatu, 38, was deported from the UK on Tuesday night.
Speaking to Sky News after he arrived back in Ethiopia on Wednesday morning, Kebatu shared details of his accidental release from HMP Chelmsford on 24 October and the two-day manhunt that followed.
The convicted sex offender was repeatedly questioned on his crimes, but Sky News has chosen not to broadcast this part of the interview.
‘Ignored’ by police
The morning after he was released from prison, Kebatu claimed he tried to hand himself into police, but was ignored.
He said: “I [told] police, look here, police I am wanted man, I am arrested, I will give you my hand, please help where is police station? He ignored me, he drove [off].”
He added that he told the officer his name and that he was mistakenly released from prison.
“I am not unknown. The police station, where is the place? But also I go to police, I will give you my hand please help me where is the police station, take me, I am wanted.
“You know me, or my image, my name is Hadush Kabatu, nationality Ethiopia. Please, I was the mistake release from Chelmsford prison. Please help me.”
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
0:45
Moment Hadush Kebatu put on deportation flight
Responding to Kebatu’s claims, the Metropolitan Police told Sky News: “The Met is not aware of any evidence to support the claims that Kebatu approached officers on Saturday morning.
“The actions of officers who responded to the sighting of him on Sunday morning show how seriously they were taking the manhunt. Kebatu’s actions on the morning of his arrest were more like those of someone trying to avoid officers, not trying to hand himself in.”
Release from prison
Kebatu was released by HMP Chelmsford a month into his 12-month sentence on the expectation he would be picked up by immigration enforcement.
He said after he was released he waited more than three hours outside the prison, for what he described as someone who was “responsible” for him.
He said: “At that time I am waiting more than three hours… who [is] responsible for me? Where is Home Office, where is [immigration]?
“I was told there was a bus. Also, all the experts, they all ignored me.”
In another Sky News story, a delivery driver who spoke to Kebatu outside Chelmsford prison said he looked “confused”.
The driver said he was approached by the prisoner, who had no idea where he was supposed to go. He said Kebatu waited outside the prison for roughly “an hour and a half” before leaving.
Kebatu said after he left the prison, he asked a passerby where the train station was. He claimed someone helped him, and bought him a train ticket for £18.
Image: Kebatu’s movements the day he was released from prison
The Ethiopian national arrived in the UK on a small boat on 29 June. Days after his arrival, he sexually assaulted a 14-year-old girl and a woman in Epping, Essex, where he was staying.
He was found guilty of two counts of sexual assault, one count of attempted sexual assault, one count of inciting a girl to engage in sexual activity and one count of harassment without violence.
When approached by Sky News, the Ministry of Justice (MoJ) pointed to a statement made by Justice Secretary David Lammy upon Kebatu’s deportation: “Kebatu has been returned to Ethiopia where he belongs.
“I am grateful to Home Office colleagues for acting swiftly to secure his deportation. I have been clear from the outset that a mistake of this nature is unacceptable, and we must get to the bottom of what happened.
“I have established an independent investigation chaired by Dame Lynne Owens into last Friday’s events to get the public the answers they rightly deserve, and we have introduced the strictest checks ever seen in our prison system to stop similar unacceptable errors in future.”
Essex Police, who arrested Kebatu after the assaults in July, told Sky News: “Our officers responded quickly to the reports of the sexual assaults committed in Epping and arrested Hadush Kebatu on the same day the offences were reported to us.
“Kebatu was then immediately remanded in custody, while officers acted diligently and professionally securing charges and building a case which saw Kebatu convicted following a trial. Protecting women and girls is a priority for Essex Police and our swift and thorough actions highlight our commitment to this.”