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close video US economy faces very dire situation if Fed cant keep rates high: Mike Lee

A ‘Word on Wall Street’ panel with Michael Lee Strategy’s Mike Lee, Strategic Wealth Partners’ Mark Tepper, Bulltick Capital’s Kathryn Rooney Vera discuss market trends amid banking collapse volatility.

While some of America’s top banking CEOs discuss a new rescue plan and the Federal Reserve kicks off its two-day meeting, one market expert has warned of a "very dire situation" dependent on fiscal policy. 

"If the Fed can't keep rates high, if they can't keep raising as they need be, and we have persistently high inflation, we are in a very, very, very, very dire situation," Michael Lee Strategy founder Mike Lee said on "Mornings with Maria" Tuesday.

"So I think the Fed goes 25 basis points. I think how the market reacts depends 100% on what Powell says and reacts to the questions and how the market absorbs that," he continued. "But what I see is not so much as a contagion from banks or some sort of massive solvency crisis, it's what do we do if the Fed can't raise any more, can't keep tightening? It has to ease, so there's no systemic shocks from the banking system."

With a strong market rally underway Tuesday morning, the Fed began discussing its latest interest rate decision. Sixty-two percent of investors expect the policymakers to continue hiking rates, which would mark the ninth straight increase, while 38% expect no change, according to CME's FedWatch.

BANK TURMOIL COULD BRING ‘VICIOUS’ END TO BEAR MARKET, MORGAN STANLEY SAYS

While the Fed under Chairman Jerome Powell has embarked on its most aggressive rate hike path since the 1980s to combat stubbornly high inflation, a recent report written by U.S. economists indicates if history is destined to repeat itself, then the Fed will "find it hard" to avoid a recession later this year.

The Federal Reserve could bring the U.S. economy into a “very dire situation,” Michael Lee Strategy founder Mike Lee said on “Mornings with Maria” Tuesday. (Fox News)

The central bank is also navigating bank-run contagion fears this week, after the recent insolvencies of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, and potentially First Republic Bank.

Lee signaled the banking and rate hike dilemmas are ones of "confidence," as opposed to structural issues. Image 1 of 4

Markets often react when Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks or announces a rate hike decision. | AP Newsroom

"No matter how good the banking laws are, no matter how good the oversight is, no matter how strong your balance sheet is, nobody can withstand a 20 to 25% deposit base withdrawal in a single day, as happened with Silicon Valley Bank," Lee explained. close video The Fed to meet this week to decide possible rate hike

Mercatus Center distinguished fellow Thomas Hoenig discusses how the Fed’s plan for inflation, argues it has been running poorly for years on The Bottom Line.

"So I think the upshot of what just happened is lending standards are most likely going to increase, further slowing the economy," he added.

Also joining the "Word on Wall Street" panel, Bulltick Capital’s chief market strategist Kathryn Rooney Vera agreed with Lee that the Fed will likely raise rates by 25 basis points Wednesday.

"It has to hike 25 basis points. It has a dual mandate, 2% inflation and full employment, it has to comply with that. If they do not hike this week, tomorrow, this is going to be a huge additional shock to credibility and they're very focused on that," Rooney Vera said. "So they have to recoup credibility. If they do not hike 25, I think it will be poorly received by the markets."

GET FOX BUSINESS ON THE GO BY CLICKING HERE close video US will see 25 basis point hike from the Federal Reserve: Michael Kantrowitz

Piper Sandler chief investment strategist Michael Kantrowitz provides insight on the Federal Reserve’s response to record-high inflation on ‘Making Money.’

Michael Wilson, the chief U.S. equity strategist at Morgan Stanley and a longtime Wall Street bear, said in an analyst note on Monday that the stock market is in the early and painful stages of exiting the bear market than began in the summer.

"The last part of the bear can be vicious and highly correlated," he said. "Prices fall sharply via an equity risk premium spike that is very hard to prevent or defend in one’s portfolio."

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FOX Business’ Megan Henney contributed to this report.

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CEO of Southeast Asia’s largest bank warns investors: ‘Buckle up, we’re in for a volatile ride’

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CEO of Southeast Asia's largest bank warns investors: 'Buckle up, we're in for a volatile ride'

Tan Su Shan is the CEO and director of DBS Group.

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With valuations in the U.S. stock market becoming increasingly stretched, the chief executive of Southeast Asia’s largest bank is warning investors to expect turbulence ahead.

“We’ve seen a lot of volatility in the markets. It could be equities, it could be rates, it could be foreign exchange,” DBS CEO Tan Su Shan told CNBC, adding that she expects that volatility to continue.

Tan, who took over the helm of DBS from longtime CEO Piyush Gupta in March, said that investors were particularly worried about the lofty valuations of artificial intelligence stocks, especially the so-called “Magnificent Seven.”

The Magnificent Seven — Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla — are some of the major U.S. tech and growth stocks that have driven much of Wall Street’s gains in recent years.

“You’ve got trillions of dollars tied up in seven stocks, for example. So it’s inevitable, with that kind of concentration, that there will be a worry about. ‘You know, when will this bubble burst?'”

Earlier this week, at the Global Financial Leaders’ Investment Summit in Hong Kong,  it was likely there would be a 10%-20% drawdown over the next 12 to 24 months.

Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick said at the same summit that investors should welcome periodic pullbacks, calling them healthy developments rather than signs of crisis.

Tan agreed. “Frankly, a correction will be healthy,” she said.

Recent examples include Advanced Micro Devices and Palantir, both of which posted stronger-than-expected quarterly results on Tuesday, yet their shares — and the wider Nasdaq — fell.

Her remarks follow similar warnings by the International Monetary Fund and central bank chiefs Jerome Powell and Andrew Bailey, who have all cautioned about inflated stock prices.

Singapore as diversification play

Tan advised investors to diversify rather than concentrate holdings in one market. “Whether it’s in your portfolio, in your supply chain, or in your demand distribution, just diversify.”

Tan, who has over 35 years of experience in banking and wealth management, noted that Asia could attract more investment from the U.S.—and that it’s not a bad thing.

Singling out Singapore and the country’s central bank’s efforts to boost interest in the local markets, Tan described the city-state as a “diversifier market.”

“We’ve got rule of law. We’re a transparent, open financial system and stable politically. We’re a good place to invest…. So I don’t think we’re a bad place to think about diversifying your investments.”

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New film ‘proves beyond shadow of a doubt’ that Elgin Marbles were stolen, director claims

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New film 'proves beyond shadow of a doubt' that Elgin Marbles were stolen, director claims

A new documentary proves “beyond any shadow of a doubt” that the Elgin Marbles were stolen, according to its director.

David Wilkinson claims The Marbles settles one of the most divisive debates in cultural heritage: whether 19th-century diplomat Lord Elgin legally acquired the Parthenon Sculptures, better known as the Elgin Marbles.

The film revisits how the sculptures were removed from the Parthenon in Athens while Greece was under Ottoman rule – and ended up in London.

It argues that Lord Elgin did not legally acquire the artefacts – and instead, it amounts to “the greatest heist in art history”.

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Reuters file pic

Actor Brian Cox, historian Dominic Selwood and solicitor Mark Stephens are among those who appear in the documentary.

The British government bought the sculptures from Lord Elgin and installed them into the trusteeship of the British Museum, where they have remained for 200 years.

“He needed the money from the British government to pay for all the bribes he’d given to members of the Ottoman Empire,” Wilkinson says of the transaction.

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“Lord Elgin did sell them … but the question becomes, did Lord Elgin actually have the right to purchase them?”

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PA file pic

Classical archaeologist Mario Trabucco della Torretta dismisses Wilkinson’s claims.

“The allegation of bribery to obtain the Marbles is just wrong in historical terms,” he told Sky News.

Torretta was the key architect behind a joint letter that included former prime minister Liz Truss, historian Dr David Starkey and Sir John Redwood – alleging the British Museum is part of a “covert” and “accelerating campaign” to return the Elgin Marbles to Greece.

Responding to Wilkinson’s claims of bribery, he added: “The only reference to ‘presents’ comes years after the start of the removals … do people presume that they run a ‘bribe now, pay later’ scheme back then in Constantinople?”

One of the most contentious points in the debate is the legitimacy of an Ottoman permission document known as a “firman”, which is claimed to have authorised Lord Elgin removing the items from Greece.

There is only an Italian text referred to as a translation of this document.

David Wilkinson
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David Wilkinson

Wilkinson said: “It was normal practice at the time that a copy would be kept in what was then Constantinople, and another copy would have been sent off to Athens.

“There would be a record in Istanbul and the Turks have gone through it in great detail over many decades and they can find nothing.”

Speaking to Sky News in 2024, Dr Zeynep Boz – head of combatting illicit trafficking for Turkey’s culture ministry – said there is no proof of the firman in the Ottoman archive.

“Despite extensive archival research, no such firman has been found. It is even difficult to call this document a translation when the original is not available,” she said at the time.

Torretta offers an explanation: “Burning the Ottoman governor’s archive was one of the first acts of the Greek revolution.”

Reuters file pic
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Reuters file pic

While the arguments are not new, The Marbles also examines how other institutions have handled similar restitution cases.

In the film, Cox says if the marbles would have gone back to Athens already if they had found their way to Edinburgh and not London.

Back in 2023, the National Museum of Scotland returned The House Of Ni’isjoohl memorial pole to Canada.

Meanwhile, Glasgow’s Kevingrove Art Gallery Museum returned a shirt to the South Dakota Cultural Heritage Center in the US.

And when it comes to the Parthenon Sculptures – Germany’s Heidelberg University and The Vatican have both returned fragments to Greece.

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Dec 2024: Elgin Marbles ‘belong in the UK’

The British Museum Act 1963 prevents treasures being legally given away by the British Museum.

The government has repeatedly it has no plans to change existing policy on restitution, and that it is up to the trustees of the museum to decide.

A spokesperson for the British Museum repeated a statement given to Sky News in July: “Discussions with Greece about a Parthenon Partnership are ongoing and constructive.”

The documentary scrutinises the ethics of foreign national treasures that were taken and are now housed in Western museums, but as it stands the institutional and governmental answers don’t appear to be changing.

The Marbles is in UK and Irish cinemas from today.

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