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Population growth could grind to a halt by 2050, before decreasing to as little as 6 billion humans on Earth in 2100, a new analysis of birth trends has revealed.

The study, commissioned by the nonprofit organization The Club of Rome, predicts that if current trends continue, the world’s population, which is currently 7.96 billion (opens in new tab) , will peak at 8.6 billion in the middle of the century before declining by nearly 2 billion before the century’s end. 

The forecast is both good and bad news for humanity: A plummeting human population will slightly alleviate Earth’s environmental problems, but it is far from being the most important factor in solving them. 

And falling populations will make humanity older as a whole and lower the proportion of working-age people, placing an even greater burden on the young to finance health care and pensions. The researchers — members of the Earth4All collective (opens in new tab) , which is made up of environmental scientists and economists — published their findings March 27 in a working paper (opens in new tab) .

Related: Why global population growth will grind to a halt by 2100

“We know rapid economic development in low-income countries has a huge impact on fertility rates,” Per Espen Stoknes (opens in new tab) , director of the Centre for Sustainability at Norwegian Business School and the project lead of Earth4All, said in a statement (opens in new tab) . “Fertility rates fall as girls get access to education and women are economically empowered and have access to better healthcare.” 

The study is a follow-up to The Club of Rome’s 1972 Limits to Growth study, which warned the world of an imminent “population bomb.” The new result diverges from other recent population forecasts. For instance, in 2022, the United Nations estimated (opens in new tab) that the world population would reach 9.7 billion by 2050 and rise to 10.4 billion by 2100. U.N. estimates from a decade ago suggested the population would reach 11 billion (opens in new tab) .RELATED STORIES—How many people are in the world?

—How many people can Earth support?

—What would happen to Earth if humans went extinct?

Other models forecast population growth based on factors that affect women’s social independence and bodily autonomy, such as access to education and contraception. Earth4All’s model is slightly more complex, integrating variables connected to the environment and the economy. These include energy abundance, inequality, food production, income levels and the impacts of future global warming.

The model predicted two possible outcomes for the future human population. The first, “business-as-usual” case — in which governments continue on their current trajectories of inaction, creating ecologically fragile communities vulnerable to regional collapses — would see populations rise to 9 billion people by 2050 and decline to 7.3 billion in 2100. The second, more optimistic scenario — in which governments invest in education, improved equality and green transitions — would result in 8.5 billion people on the planet by the century’s halfway point and 6 billion by 2100.

The team also investigated the connection between population sizes and the planet’s ability to sustain human populations. They found that, contrary to popular Malthusian narratives, population size is not the key factor driving climate change. Instead, they pinned the blame on high levels of consumption by the world’s richest individuals, which they say must be reduced.

“Humanity’s main problem is luxury carbon and biosphere consumption, not population,” Jorgen Randers (opens in new tab) , one of the modelers at the Norwegian School of Business and a member of Earth4All, said in the statement. “The places where population is rising fastest have extremely small environmental footprints per person compared with the places that reached peak population many decades ago.”

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Tesla sales are down in every single European country except the UK, here’s why

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Tesla sales are down in every single European country except the UK, here's why

Tesla sales were down in every European country except for the UK in the first quarter, and there’s a reason why.

That’s while electric vehicle sales are still booming in Europe.

Tesla’s sales declined for the first time in Europe last year, but the decline accelerated in 2025.

Over the last three months, we have been reporting on worrying sales results for Tesla across most European markets, especially in important markets like France and Germany.

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Now, we have the delivery numbers for Tesla in all European countries, and the automaker is down 37% on the old continent compared to 2024, which was already a down year for Tesla.

On top of it, Tesla is down in every single country except the UK.

Here are Tesla’s Q1 2025 deliveries in each European country compared to Q1 2024:

Country Q1 2024 Q1 2025 Change
Germany 13,068 4,935 -62.2%
UK 11,768 12,474 6.0%
France 11,360 6,696 -41.1%
Belgium 7,219 3,019 -58.2%
Netherlands 6,854 3,445 -49.7%
Norway 5,121 3,817 -25.5%
Other 4,420 3,301 -25.3%
Sweden 4,312 1,929 -55.3%
Italy 3,721 3,469 -6.8%
Spain 3,601 3,169 -12.0%
Denmark 3,558 1,549 -56.5%
Switzerland 3,264 1,238 -62.1%
Portugal 2,888 2,145 -25.7%
Austria 2,506 1,304 -48.0%
Poland 1,264 899 -28.9%
Finland 894 475 -46.9%

The drop in sales in Germany was the most devastating for Tesla. It went from being Tesla’s biggest European market to being a distant third.

France also saw a significant 41% decline in sales.

This is also happening while electric vehicle sales are surging, regardless of Tesla’s performance.

Tesla is feeling the pain virtually everywhere in Europe except in the UK, but that’s because Tesla is selling its vehicles for much cheaper there.

In the UK, the Model Y PCP leasing starts at £399, which is the equivalent of €462, when the same vehicle starts €570 in Germany:

Interestingly, that’s not the case for the Model 3, which starts higher in the UK than in Germany.

Electrek’s Take

The reason for that is unclear to me. I’d love to hear theories in the comment section.

Could it be that Tesla planned to produce too many right-hand-drive vehicles and had to lower prices to ensure that it could deliver them?

It’s unclear, but I think the theory has some traction since I just learned that Tesla is also already discounting the new Model Y in Hong Kong – another right-hand-drive market.

Either way, I think it’s clear at this point that Tesla is having significant brand issues in Europe, in addition to increased competition.

Yes, Model Y had some supply issues due to the design changeover, but Model 3 sales are also down 11% compared to Q1 2024, when Tesla was still ramping up production of the Model 3 design refresh.

Tesla shareholders need to wake up. This is a self-inflicted wound that can be remedied by removing Elon Musk.

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Kia’s first electric sedan is almost here, but plenty more EVs are on the way

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Kia's first electric sedan is almost here, but plenty more EVs are on the way

That Kia EV sedan we’ve been waiting for is almost here. Kia also confirmed it will launch a midsize pickup in North America. Next week, three new Kia vehicles, including the EV4, its first electric sedan, will debut at the New York International Auto Show. Here’s what to expect.

Kia’s first electric sedan will debut at the NY Auto Show

Back in 2023, the EV4 stole the show as a concept during Kia’s first EV Day. Earlier this year, Kia unveiled the production model, debuting as the brand’s first electric sedan and hatchback.

The electric sedan is among the most highly anticipated EV launches of 2025. Kia’s EV4 will arrive this year as part of its low-cost EV lineup, and it could be a true challenger to the Tesla Model 3.

After opening orders in Korea last month, Kia said the EV4 will “set a new standard for electric sedans,” starting at just 41.92 million won, or about $28,000. It has two battery options, 58.3 kWh or 81.4 kWh, providing a range of 237 miles (382 km) and 331 miles (533 km) in Korea.

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With its North American debut now officially set for next week, Kia teased the new EV, claiming it will be one of three new vehicles.

The new vehicles include a sedan, an SUV, and “something in between.” Two will be fully electric, while the other offers a “sporty and versatile approach in the compact car segment.”

Kia's-first-electric-sedan-US
Kia EV4 electric sedan teaser for North America (Source: Kia)

More EVs are on the way, including an electric pickup

During its CEO Investor Day on Wednesday, Kia confirmed plans to launch a new midsize EV pickup for North America. In the long-term, the company aims to eventually sell 90,000 units for about 7% of the market share.

Kia’s electric pickup will be based on a new EV platform built for city and outdoor use. According to Kia, it will offer “best-in-class interior and cargo space, a robust towing system, off-road capabilities, and advanced infotainment and safety features.”

Kia-EV-pickup-US
Kia Tasman pickup truck (Source: Kia)

Following the EV6 and EV9, Kia is expanding its electric car lineup with the new EV3, EV4, and EV5, which will roll out this year. Kia is also launching its first electric van, the PV5, to kick off its new PBV business.

By 2030, the company plans to sell 2.33 million electrified vehicles, accounting for 56% of global sales. This includes 1.26 million EVs and 1.07 million hybrids.

Kia's-first-electric-sedan-US
Kia unveils EV4 sedan and hatchback, PV5 electric van, and EV2 Concept at 2025 Kia EV Day (Source: Kia)

As it expands its lineup, Kia expects electrified models to account for 70% of sales in North America, 85% in Europe, and 73% in Korea by the end of the decade.

Kia boasted that it will “lead the mass adoption of EVs by expanding its EV lineup with the addition of another volume model, the EV2,” which is expected to launch in early 2026.

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U.S. crude oil falls 3%, trades below $58 per barrel as China imposes retaliatory tariffs

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U.S. crude oil falls 3%, trades below  per barrel as China imposes retaliatory tariffs

An oil pumpjack is seen in a field on April 08, 2025 in Nolan, Texas. 

Brandon Bell | Getty Images

U.S. crude oil futures fell about 3% on Wednesday, as China announced retaliatory tariffs on the U.S. after President Donald Trump’s sweeping levies took effect.

The U.S. benchmark dropped $1.83, or 3.07%, to $57.75 per barrel by 9:41 a.m. ET. Global benchmark Brent tumbled $1.93, or 3.07%, to $60.89.

The oil sell-off took a leg lower earlier in the session after Beijing announced tariffs of 84% on U.S. goods in response to Trump’s levies. U.S. crude fell more than 7% to an intraday low of $55.12, while Brent tumbled to $58.40 at its lowest point during the session.

China’s tariffs take effect on April 10.

Traders are worried the world is descending into a full-blown trade war that will trigger a recession, hitting crude oil demand. OPEC+, meanwhile, has agreed to accelerate output in May, which will bring more oil to a market that was already facing a surplus.

The collision of recession fears and growing oil supply is a “toxic cocktail,” Helima Croft, global head of commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, told CNBC on Tuesday.

The U.S. and Iran are scheduled to hold talks in Oman on Saturday to discuss the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program. Successful negotiations could result in more Iranian oil entering the global market.

Catch up on the latest energy news:

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