Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) is an oil stock worth owning on its own merits. But a fresh report that Exxon Mobil (XOM) could acquire the Club holding would likely unlock even more value. Exxon has held “informal” talks about buying Pioneer, The Wall Street Journal reported Friday, citing people familiar with the matter. Any potential deal would not transpire until later this year or in 2024, the Journal reported. Exxon — which generated $62 billion in free cash flow in 2022 and ended the year with nearly $30 billion in cash — has held acquisition discussions with at least one other oil-and-gas firm, according to the Journal. Pioneer shares jumped more than 6% Monday, to around $221 each — making it by far the best-performing energy stock in the S & P 500 . Shares of Exxon fell by by 0.25%, to just under $115 apiece. Pioneer and Exxon did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request for comment Monday. Exxon’s reported interest in Pioneer is hardly a surprise because the Texas shale driller is a “marquee” independent exploration-and-production company in the lower 48 states, Stifel analyst Derrick Whitfield told the CNBC Monday. If Exxon wants to meaningfully bolster its rig count in the Permian Basin, it’s “going to need quality depth of inventory,” which Pioneer has, Whitfield said. The analyst, who has a buy rating and $286 per share price target on PXD, said the likelihood of a Pioneer-Exxon deal comes down to how much Exxon is willing to pay. “I think management would want to … improve performance of their asset base and arguably have a higher stock price before coming to the table with Exxon Mobil,” Whitfield said. “That’s not to say if Exxon Mobil offered a 25% premium, it wouldn’t be done. Personally, that was the number I had pegged in my mind. If you saw a 25% premium, I think that would bring them to the table because, let’s be realistic, every independent wants to be acquired by Exxon Mobil.” The Club believes it may take a bit more for Pioneer to seriously consider selling. A 25% premium from where Pioneer closed Thursday, at roughly $208 per share, would value shares at around $260 each. However, Jim Cramer said Monday he thinks Pioneer CEO Scott Sheffield — an industry veteran in his second stint leading the company — would hesitate to sell at a per-share price below $285. That’s Pioneer stock’s all-time closing high, reached in June 2022. “I am not saying he wouldn’t sell. I am saying that he’s not going to sell below where this stock was, given the fact oil could be going back to $90 [a barrel], given the fact that he’s got the best Permian assets,” he added. West Texas Intermediate crude — the U.S. oil benchmark — was trading down more than 1% Monday afternoon, at $79.70 a barrel. We were content with our Pioneer investment prior to Exxon’s reported interest in the company, adding to our PXD stake twice last month at lower levels than Monday’s market price. Our most recent purchase of 25 shares on March 20 came at roughly $185 each. Pioneer’s attractiveness stems in large part from its quality acreage and low oil price breakevens, at roughly $39 per barrel. That enables the firm to generate hefty amounts of free cash flow and return most of it to shareholders through stock buybacks and quarterly dividends. Knowing that Exxon is reportedly on the prowl for an acquisition, investors may look at Pioneer and other Permian operators even more favorably. Stifel’s Whitfield believes the Journal story could put a near-term floor underneath Pioneer’s stock price — a view we share. At the very least, Pioneer’s shareholders may be more likely to remain invested in the company, Whitfield said. And that’s certainly our intention at this time. “What I suspect is it’s going to further firm the shareholder base because you now have an article that directly links Exxon Mobil to Pioneer, and the way it was set up, there is clearly an interest there,” Whitfield said. “I think if you’ve seen Pioneer at [a] much higher share price in the past, that gives you that much more conviction to hold onto it now.” (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long PXD. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
Permian Basin rigs in 2020, when U.S. crude oil production dropped by 3 million a day as Wall Street pressure forced cuts.
Paul Ratje | Afp | Getty Images
Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) is an oil stock worth owning on its own merits. But a fresh report that Exxon Mobil (XOM) could acquire the Club holding would likely unlock even more value.
Adding a rooftop solar array to your home or business can be exciting and expensive. As such, it might be tempting to cut corners to keep costs down — but some upgrades are simply much cheaper to do while your solar system is being installed than they are to add later, and we’ve got some prime examples right here.
Just like it’s often cheaper for your mechanic to handle small add-on jobs while the bumper is already off and the engine is already exposed, there are a handful of home energy upgrades that are far easier and less expensive to take while your solar system is being installed that they would be later, if only because that work often means reopening permits, calling electricians back out, or even removing and reinstalling panels — all of which adds labor hours that can get really expensive really fast fast.
To help you navigate which jobs may be worth doing now, here’s a list of common upgrades home solar customers commonly regret skipping:
1. Smart panel upgrade
Smart panel; via Schneider Electric.
My solar panels work fine … but now I can’t add an EV, heat pump, or backup battery without redoing everything.
PEOPLE WHO SKIP THIS STEP
Even if your home solar setup is working perfectly, skipping a panel or service upgrade can create headaches down the road for homeowners looking to electrify everything, eventually. Upgrading from a 100A service to 200A, installing a smart panel (like those available from Leviton, Schneider, or SPAN), and adding load-shedding capabilities for future electrification projects makes a ton of sense while your electricians are already there.
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Plus, making these changes often requires shutting down the solar array, reopening permits, and calling in the electricians again once the system is live — disruptive and expensive costs that are much easier to handle during the initial installation.
2. Battery-ready electrical (without a battery)
Powerwall home battery; via Tesla.
I didn’t think I’d need a battery … until we started getting more outages, our utility started TOU rates, and an EV showed up in my garage.
PEOPLE WHO SKIP THIS STEP
Even if you’re not installing a battery now, homeowners who skip the steps needed to make their homes “battery-ready” often regret not pre-installing a transfer switch, leaving space for battery breakers, or choosing a battery-compatible inverter. Once the system is live, adding these features usually means fresh permits, scheduling another building inspection, and paying for duplicate electrician labor — all before you even purchase a battery.
I have solar now and my energy bill is lower … but I still don’t know where most of my electricity is being used.
PEOPLE WHO SKIP THIS STEP
Even after they start to see savings from their home solar setup, many homeowners struggle with knowing exactly how their electricity is being used, and a smart, home energy monitor can help clear things up.
While some of these systems are easier to install than others (see the Sense Home Energy Monitor video, above), adding home- or circuit-level energy monitoring during the initial solar install can be less expensive than adding them on later, for the same reasons given for skipped steps 1 and 2: avoiding the duplicate labor costs that you’ll have to pay to get the job done later, without adding any value to the end result that you’ll end up living with.
4. Roof repairs and solar prep
Image by Civic Works.
My roof was fine … until we added the solar panels.
Simple upgrades like putting fresh underlayment below the array area, improving flashing, or beefing up the structure beneath the planned panel layout can prevent costly headaches later, as removing and reinstalling panels a few years down the line is one of the priciest “oops” moments in residential solar.
Original content by Electrek; featured image by QMerit.
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Your personalized solar quotes are easy to compare online and you’ll get access to unbiased Energy Advisors to help you every step of the way. Get started here.
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BYD is gearing up to reveal a new pickup truck that will sit under the Shark as a lower-priced alternative. A new design patent offers a closer look.
Is BYD launching a new, lower-priced EV pickup?
China isn’t really known for its pickup trucks, but that is changing. Several automakers, including BYD and Geely’s Radar Auto, are making a name for themselves in overseas markets with new battery electric (BEV) and plug-in hybrid (PHEV) pickup trucks.
BYD launched its first pickup, the Shark 6, in Mexico this May. It’s now sold in Brazil, Australia, New Zealand, the Philippines, Panama, Peru, and a few other countries, competing with the Toyota Hilux and Ford Ranger.
The Shark is a plug-in hybrid (PHEV) pickup that’s built on BYD’s DMO (Dual Mode Off-Road) platform. It uses a 29.58 kWh battery, dual electric motors, and a 1.5L turbocharged engine that packs about 430 hp (321 kW) and 650 Nm of torque.
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BYD’s pickup offers an electric range of up to 62 mi (100 km). Combined, the Shark can drive around 522 mi (840 km).
Now, it looks like China’s EV giant is already preparing a second pickup. New design patents filed with the European Union Intellectual Property Office (EUIPO) reveal what appears to be a smaller pickup than the Shark.
Although BYD didn’t reveal prices or specs, a few design clues suggest this will be a lower-priced, compact pickup, compared to the mid-size Shark 6.
A “baby shark,” if you will. The new pickup was spotted in China earlier this month, covered in camouflage. Despite the disguise, it appeared a bit more compact than the Shark, with a smaller bed.
The new patent designs reveal it will have a unibody design, typical of smaller crossovers, suggesting it will sit below the Shark in the lineup. According to CarNewsChina, BYD’s new pickup will be the entry-level model for its Shark family.
BYD has yet to say if it will be fully electric or a plug-in, but local sources have reported that it will use the same DMO platform as the Shark 6. It could also be underpinned by BYD’s lower-cost DM-i or DM-p hybrid powertrain setups.
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An engineering student managed to reverse-engineer Tesla’s Robotaxi app and collect data that shows the autonomous but supervised ride-hailing system in Austin consists of no more than a few vehicles (~5) operating at the same time.
In our report, ‘Tesla Robotaxi launch is a dangerous game of smoke and mirrors‘, from earlier this year, we reported that we expected Tesla to rush a “Robotaxi” service in Austin to give Elon Musk a win after years of missed deadlines and promises regarding autonomous driving.
Competitors, such as Waymo, are rapidly expanding their own robotaxi networks, making it harder for Tesla to maintain the impression Musk crafted that it is the leader in autonomous driving.
We suspected that the Robotaxi program in Austin, located in Texas, a state with some of the most lax regulations regarding autonomous driving, would be more about optics than the actual launch of Tesla’s long-promised autonomous ride-hailing service.
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The service “launched” as a pilot in June, Tesla claims to launched the Robotazi app “for all” in September, CEO Elon Musk claimed to have since “doubled the size of the fleet” in November, and Tesla expanded the service area several times:
The CEO also said that Tesla would remove the safety drivers inside the vehicles in Austin by the end of the year.
If you are only following Tesla’s official channels, you would think that everything is going as planned: Tesla launched Robotaxi as a pilot with safety drivers in June, opened the service to “all” in September, and doubled the fleet in November. Now, Tesla accumulated enough safety data to remove the safety drivers and rapidly expand.
However, the reality is that Tesla is barely operating its Robotaxi in Austin.
This morning, Electrek spoke with Ethan McKanna, a 19-year-old engineering student at Texas A&M, who reverse-engineered Tesla’s Robotaxi app to track the availability of the network.
McKanna’s tracker has found 32 different Tesla Model Ys used in the Robotaxi network in Austin. It’s far from 500, but it is in line with the previous claim of “doubling” the fleet.
But what the tracker exposes is that while Tesla is “adding” vehicles to the Robotaxi fleet, it doesn’t mean that they are all or even the majority of them are in operation most of the time.
In fact, McKanna’s data points to Tesla using fewer than 10 Robotaxis at the same time, and that’s if they are using any at all:
This is speculative on my part, but it’s my best guess based on the little data we have and can collect. One person I talked to who scoped out the depot and recorded videos told me he believes there are 1-5 out at a time. The highly sporadic wait time shifts and my experience of consistently getting the same vehicle multiple times when I use the service in the data all corroborate that.
For example, over the last week, McKanna’s tracker showed that Tesla’s Robotaxi service in Austin was unavailable about 60% of the time:
The young engineer explained how he obtained this data:
I reverse-engineered the robotaxi app and found the APIs to be able to fetch prebook eta estimates from Tesla. I have a server where every 5 minutes I ping Tesla at ~10 points in both service areas, pull the wait time, and store it. If a wait time is offered, I count it as available, if “high service demand” or any other type of error is shown, it is marked as unavailable.
Anyone using Tesla’s Robotaxi app in Austin would often get a notification that the service is unavailable due to “high service demand”, but this is not precisely the case.
McKanna’s tracker can ping 11 different locations within the service area in Austin, and as the chart above shows, it is often shown to be unavailable everywhere, even within the official working hours.
Here are the current wait times at the time of publishing this article (~1 PM Austint time):
This suggests that either no vehicles are in operation or only a handful are concentrated in a specific area of the service map, and they are all pre-booked in advance, which is unlikely considering ride-hailing services are about quickly matching demand with supply.
Rather than being a “high service demand” situation, it is more about being a low or no supply situation.
Electrek’s Take
Based on Tesla’s official channels and paid influencers/investors, the Robotaxi service appears on the surface to be progressing as planned:
Tesla launched as a pilot in June with a handful of cars available to a handful of influencers/investors
Tesla expands the fleet and service area in August
Tesla opens the Robotaxi app “to all” in September
Tesla doubles the fleet in November
Now, Tesla is about to remove the safety monitors and expand rapidly
The reality is that while Tesla is doing the “easy things” for optics, such as adding more vehicles to the fleet and expanding the service area, the actual service barely exists.
What is the point of having a fleet of 30 vehicles if you are only operating 3-6 at a time?
What is the point of “opening the service to all” if you are only able to offer a few rides per hour?
What is the point of removing the safety monitor if you already have a crash rate higher than human drivers, with the safety monitor presumably preventing further crashes?
The point is optics. Elon Musk is trying to maintain the illusion that Tesla is leading in autonomy and giving himself a win on some predictions after a full decade of missed deadlines.
The concerning part is that it poses a safety risk to all road users.
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