Wages, when the effects of bonuses are stripped out, rose by 6.6% in the three months to February, compared to the same period last year.
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1:01
Why no economic growth is a problem
That was unchanged from the previous three-month period and considerably higher than the slowdown to 6.2% that economists were forecasting.
Total pay was up by 5.9% – rising from 5.7%.
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Wage growth is proving too stubborn for the Bank, which wants to see signs of a slowdown before it cuts interest rates.
This shouldn’t take too long now that unemployment is rising.
Samuel Tombs, an economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said the latest data had “raised the chances of the MPC hiking Bank Rate again next month; a further 25 basis point now looks like a toss-up,” he wrote.
So, households and businesses could be hit with more interest rate rises at a time when society is getting poorer because wages continue to lag inflation.
The headline rate of inflation is currently at 10.4%.
The FTSE 100 has secured a new record closing high after riding out a US trade war-linked slump.
The index of London’s leading shares gained 20 points to hit 8,884, surpassing the 3 March peak of 8,771 and leaving its value more than 8.6% up in the year to date.
It was achieved despite gloomy official figures covering April – when the impact of the US trade war started to be felt, household bills spiked and budget tax and wage rises hit employers for the first time.
The FTSE 100 tumbled early in the spring when Donald Trump‘s protectionist agenda gathered steam through a series of on-off tariffs against global trading partners, later exacerbated by his “liberation day” escalation.
Stock market values were hit worldwide as the consequences for domestic economies – and global activity – were digested amid a slew of output downgrades by respected international bodies such as the International Monetary Fund.
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But the suspension or reductions of many trade tariffs, coupled with select deals to end hostilities with nations such as the UK, has helped values climb back since last month.
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2:42
PM defends UK-US trade deal
A new high for the UK’s top flight shares was almost achieved on Wednesday, as a limited trade truce between the US and China was on the table following talks in London.
But market analysts said on Thursday that the optimism was overtaken by nerves around whether the progress could be maintained and a surge, of up to 4%, in global oil prices due to growing tensions between the US and Iran.
Mr Trump has repeatedly warned the country it is at risk of airstrikes by the US and Israel if it is found not to be complying with its nuclear obligations.
A United Nations report has made such a finding – and some US personnel have been evacuated from the Middle East region as a result.
The spike in oil costs late on Wednesday, which took the Brent crude international benchmark to a two-month high, lifted the values of energy-linked shares including those of BP and Shell early on Thursday.
Precious metal miners were also doing well.
Tesco was among the winners too, gaining almost 2%, thanks to a solid set of first quarter results.
Weaker than expected US inflation figures yesterday, which kept the prospect for a summer interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve intact despite the continuing trade war, also helped prop up sentiment internationally.
The outlook for UK and global stock market values, however, is very uncertain.
FTSE 100 firms make the bulk of their earnings overseas so a deep-seated trade spat between the world’s two largest economies is particularly damaging.
The big risks to listed companies have all been related, in some way, to trade war exposure since the start of the second Trump administration.
Neil Wilson, UK investor strategist at Saxo Markets, said of the record high: “I think we have clearly seen a rotation in global equity markets as investors have for the first time in years questioned the TINATA – there is no alternative to America.
“Investors are looking elsewhere and consistently conversations with clients revolve around geographic diversification and reducing exposure to the US.
“Of course there are alternatives to the UK – we should note that while the FTSE is up over 8% YTD [year to date], the DAX has rallied almost 20%, but clearly the UK has picked more than a few crumbs.
“More than this, it’s got some attraction from a value, income and defensive perspective given the volatility we have seen and changed macro backdrop and assumptions about US exceptionalism.”
As hundreds lie dead following the latest tragedy to beset a Boeing passenger plane, it is too early to determine blame.
Pilot error, engine failure and bird strikes are among the theories all being banded about. Only the recovery of Flight AI171‘s black box flight recorders are likely to provide the concrete answers.
What is inescapable though is that this is an air disaster the plane’s maker, Boeing, could well do without.
It sounds petty, in the midst of such a catastrophe, to be talking about the impact on a company, but this has been a civil aviation giant left deeply scarred, in the public eye, through its attitude to safety in recent years.
While the 787 Dreamliner’s record had been impressive up until today, the same can not be said for the company’s 737 MAX planes.
The entire fleet was grounded globally for almost two years following the demise of Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 outside Addis Ababa in March 2019.
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Image: Women mourn next to the coffins of relatives who died in the Ethiopian Airlines crash in 2019. Pic: Reuters
All 157 people aboard were killed.
Six months earlier, a Lion Air 737 MAX, carrying 189 passengers and crew, crashed in Indonesia.
At fault was flight control software that has since been rectified.
That recent past continues to haunt Boeing.
It took those crashes to uncover a culture of cover-up. It amounted to not only a corporate failure but one of regulation and justice too, according to critics, as relatives were denied their days in court due to plea bargains.
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1:31
What happened to the Air India plane?
Just last month, the US Justice Department and Boeing agreed a non-prosecution agreement over those two fatal crashes in return for $1.1bn in fines and an admission that it obstructed the investigation.
It raises several questions over the US legal system and its ability to police corporate activity and incentivise playing by the rules.
Boeing safety record under scrutiny after first fatal Dreamliner crash
The crash of an Air India plane, carrying 242 people bound for Gatwick Airport from Ahmedabad, is the first fatal incident for Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner.
Experienced pilots who have studied video of the moments before the crash have told Sky News the flaps on the wings appear not to be set in the normal take-off position, however the cause of incident is unknown.
In a statement, Boeing said: “We are in contact with Air India regarding Flight 171 and stand ready to support them.
“Our thoughts are with the passengers, crew, first responders and all affected.”
Multiple concerns about Boeing’s Dreamliners, the most modern passenger aircraft in service, have previously been raised by whistleblowers.
In April 2024, a Boeing quality engineer, Sam Salehpour, told members of a Senate subcommittee that Boeing was taking shortcuts to bolster production levels that could lead to jetliners breaking apart.
The engineer said he studied Boeing’s own data and concluded “that the company is taking manufacturing shortcuts on the 787 programme that could significantly reduce the airplane’s safety and the life cycle”.
“They are putting out defective airplanes,” he said.
Boeing denied Mr Salehpour’s claims about the Dreamliner’s structural integrity.
In the same week, a separate Senate commerce committee heard from members of an expert panel that found serious flaws in Boeing’s safety culture.
One of the panel members, MIT aeronautics lecturer Javier de Luis, said workers feel pressure to push planes through the factory as fast as they can.
When talking to Boeing workers, he said he heard “there was a very real fear of payback and retribution if you held your ground”.
Speaking to a Senate subcommittee in June 2024, Boeing chief executive Dave Calhoun said: “Our culture is far from perfect, but we are taking action and making progress. We understand the gravity.”
“We are taking comprehensive action today to strengthen safety and quality.”
In May 2024, federal investigators opened a fresh investigation into the Boeing 787 Dreamliner – after the firm said several employees had committed “misconduct” by falsely claiming tests had been completed.
The Federal Aviation Authority said Boeing was “reinspecting all 787 airplanes still within the production system and must also create a plan to address the in-service fleet” while the investigation is taking place.
Would a British manufacturer have been offered such a deal by US prosecutors?
As for regulation, we’re told oversight has been stepped up and the number of planes that Boeing makes is still subject to controls in a bid to boost quality.
The company has long denied putting profit before safety, but that is what almost every whistleblower to have come forward to date has alleged.
The production limits were implemented after a mid-air door plug blowout aboard an Alaska Airlines Boeing 737 MAX 9 flight in January last year.
They are hampering Boeing’s efforts to restore profitability.
A 5% fall in its share price at the market open on Wall Street goes to the heart of Boeing’s problem.
That is every time a Boeing plane is involved in an accident or failure, investors’ first instincts are to run for the hills.
Boeing says it is seeking more information on the nature of the Air India crash.
But whether Boeing’s plane is at fault for the loss of Flight 171 or not – and we have seen nothing so far to indicate that was the case – it’s clear the company has a long way to go to restore trust.
In a statement, Boeing president and chief executive Kelly Ortberg, said: “Our deepest condolences go out to the loved ones of the passengers and crew on board Air India Flight 171, as well as everyone affected in Ahmedabad.
“I have spoken with Air India chairman N. Chandrasekaran to offer our full support, and a Boeing team stands ready to support the investigation led by India’s Aircraft Accident Investigation Bureau (AAIB).”
Boeing will defer to India’s AAIB to provide information about Air India Flight 171, in adherence with the United Nations International Civil Aviation Organization protocol, the company added.
The UK economy shrank more than expected in April as the worst of President Trump’s tariffs hit.
The standard measure of economic output (GDP) contracted a sharp 0.3% in April, data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed.
During the month, Mr Trump’s so-called “Liberation Day” applied steep tariffs to countries around the world and sparked a trade war with China, the world’s second-largest economy.
The outcome is worse than expected by economists. A contraction of just 0.1% had been forecast by economists polled by the Reuters news agency.
It’s also bad news for Chancellor Rachel Reeves, who has made the push for economic growth her number one priority. Speaking to Sky News following the news, she described the figures as “disappointing”.
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12:55
Reeves refuses to rule out tax rises
Additional costs on businesses were also levied during the month, as higher minimum wages and employer national insurance contributions took effect, which businesses told the ONS played a part in their performance.
Why?
The biggest part of the economy, the services sector, contracted by 0.4%, and manufacturing dropped 0.9%.
There was the largest ever monthly fall in goods exported to the United States, the ONS said.
Decreases were seen across most types of goods due to tariffs, it added.
Higher stamp duty depressed house buying and meant legal and real estate firms fared badly in the month.
After a strong showing in the first three months, car manufacturing performed poorly.