close video What to expect from the Federal Reserve’s rate hike decision Wednesday
Financial expert Elizabeth Evans gives an economic outlook and discusses futures market pricing before the Federal Reserve’s expected rate hike Wednesday on ‘Making Money with Charles Payne.’
The Federal Reserve is on track to raise interest rates for the 10th straight time Wednesday, but the end may finally be in sight for the fastest tightening campaign since the 1980s.
The U.S. central bank is widely expected to lift the federal funds rate by a quarter-percentage point at the conclusion of its two-day meeting then hint at a long-awaited pause in rate hikes.
The move would set the federal funds rate between 5% to 5.25%, further restricting economic activity as the borrowing costs for homes, cars and other items march higher. It would mark the highest rate since 2007.
FUND MANAGERS WORRY SYSTEMIC CREDIT CRUNCH COULD CRASH US MARKETS
Policymakers projected a peak rate of 5.1% during their March meeting.
But Wall Street is even more focused on Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET for additional clues about what comes next in the Fed's inflation fight. Powell may signal that rate hikes could soon stop, but many economists anticipate he will try to a strike a more ambiguous tone that neither rules out nor sets up another increase down the road.
"While the committee and Powell in his post statement press conference will eschew any idea that a pause is a foregone conclusion, the language put forward in both the statement and the presser will likely set the stage for a one-month period where the hawks and doves will duke it out over the June policy decision," said Joe Brusuelas, RSM chief economist. "We believe that a rate hike at the June meeting remains a distinct possibility."
JAMIE DIMON WARNS BANKING CRISIS HAS RAISED ODDS OF RECESSION
Jerome Powell, chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, speaks during a news conference following a Federal Open Market Committee meeting in Washington, D.C., March 22, 2023. (Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)
The meeting comes in the shadow of continued volatility within the financial sector, after the third implosion of a U.S. bank on Monday. First Republic, a San Francisco-based bank that catered to the wealthy, was seized by federal regulators and sold to JPMorgan Chase Monday.
Despite concerns that the banking turmoil could severely tighten credit for U.S. households and small businesses, the Fed is expected to forge ahead with its inflation fight Wednesday.
During a credit crunch, banks significantly raise their lending standards, making it difficult to get a loan. Borrowers may have to agree to more stringent terms like high interest rates as banks try to reduce the financial risk on their end. Fewer loans, in turn, lead to less big-ticket spending by consumers and businesses.
Pedestrians near the U.S. Treasury building in Washington, D.C., Dec. 30, 2022. (Ting Shen/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)
While that could help the Fed in its fight to tamp down stubbornly high inflation, it also raises the risk of a recession this year.
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"The major question for the Fed isn’t whether it should pause its tightening cycle but whether it will," said Gregory Daco, EY chief economist. "And legacy may be the defining factor. Fed Chair Powell and most policymakers do not want their legacy to be a failure to bring inflation down to the 2% target."
Inflation showed welcome signs of cooling in March, according to Labor Department data released last month. But core prices pointed to strong underlying price pressures that are still bubbling beneath the surface. The consumer price index remains about three times higher than the pre-pandemic average, underscoring the persistent financial burden high prices have placed on millions of U.S. households.
Dodgers outlast Phillies, take commanding 2-0 NLDS lead
After breezing past the Cincinnati Reds in the wild-card round, the defending champion Los Angeles Dodgers have kept up the momentum against the Phillies, and with Monday’s Game 2 victory in Philadelphia, they now have a 2-0 NLDS advantage.
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3:58
US government shuts down
Experts have told Sky News that the drama unfolding in Washington is undermining trust in the dollar – and pushing investors to alternatives.
Bitwise senior associate Max Shannon said stubbornly high inflation, which erodes spending power, is another factor.
Some countries are also increasing their monetary supply – watering down the value of cash in circulation – with government borrowing on the rise.
That’s led to what’s known as a “debasement trade”, where investors pile their cash into so-called “hard” assets like Bitcoin and gold instead.
Bitcoin has a fixed supply, meaning no more than 21 million will ever exist. Almost 95% of them are already in circulation, with a small number of coins entering the market every day.
Enthusiasts argue this creates a form of scarcity that pushes prices up, as demand for BTC is considerably higher than supply.
Image: Bitcoin’s doubled in value over the past year. Pic: CoinMarketCap
The latest figures from the Financial Conduct Authority suggest about seven million people in the UK have invested in cryptocurrencies. A single coin can be broken up into 100 million pieces, meaning many have a tiny chunk of Bitcoin in their portfolios.
But much of the current enthusiasm for Bitcoin isn’t coming from everyday investors – instead, it’s institutions leading the charge.
Deep-pocketed companies and individuals are buying into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on Wall Street that track Bitcoin’s value – allowing them to gain indirect exposure to BTC’s price rises without owning it directly. A staggering $3.5bn (£2.6bn) flowed into these products last week.
Samson Mow is the chief executive of JAN3, a company that promotes Bitcoin adoption. He played a role in El Salvador becoming the first country in the world to adopt this cryptocurrency as legal tender.
While that experiment didn’t achieve widespread success, the Central American nation continues to invest in BTC – with estimated profits of more than £350m as a result.
When asked why Bitcoin has hit all-time highs, Mow told Sky News: “Bitcoin has been a ball pushed underwater for months – this move up was inevitable. Raw demand has simply caught up with the incredibly limited supply.”
He pointed to how 6.7% of Bitcoin’s supply is now tied up in ETFs – with Strategy, a company that has the goal of accruing as much BTC as possible, owning a further 3%. This means there’s less to go around overall, in what Mow describes as “the beginning of a massive supply shock”.
Image: Samson Mow is a vocal Bitcoin supporter. Pic: Reuters
The entrepreneur believes a single Bitcoin will one day be worth $500,000 (£371,000), meaning the cryptocurrency’s total market capitalisation would surge to $10trn (£7.4trn). That’s more than double what Nvidia’s currently worth as the world’s most valuable company, and would make BTC the second-largest asset after gold.
Mow shrugged off any suggestion Bitcoin’s dramatic price rises aren’t sustainable – and insists the only thing that’s “definitely not sustainable” is BTC’s value remaining as low as it is.
“There are only 21 million BTC. Most corporations, billionaires, and even millionaires still have no exposure to Bitcoin. Nation-states have yet to seriously begin accumulation too, but many that we’re engaged with are very interested and are looking to move quickly,” he said.
Of course, not everyone shares his enthusiasm. Critics argue Bitcoin lacks intrinsic value, with some claiming it’s “worse than a Ponzi scheme”.
David Gerard, a journalist who’s deeply sceptical of the crypto industry, told Sky News that Bitcoin suffers from thin trading volumes – resulting in “unfeasibly volatile prices” and an “easily manipulated market”.
“Bitcoin trading is overwhelmingly in unregulated offshore exchanges, so Bitcoin is not a well-functioning market in the sense of, say, stocks,” he said. “If investors treat Bitcoin as a well-regulated market, they will get burned. ETFs are regulated instruments, the way Bitcoin’s price is set is not.”
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2:13
The £5bn Bitcoin battle
Gerard has railed against BTC for years, and wrote a book condemning the sector in July 2017. But in the eight years since it was published, Bitcoin’s price has risen by more than 5,200%. Has this changed his views?
“Everything that’s structurally wrong with Bitcoin is still wrong with Bitcoin,” he said. “Anyone who sees the big number and thinks ‘time to get in’ is the sucker the big boys are making their money from.
“You can definitely make money in Bitcoin! But statistically, you’re much more likely to be the sucker.”
Some banks, including Morgan Stanley, now encourage their clients to allocate 2% to 4% of their portfolios into crypto – but doing so when prices are so high is risky.
While it’s possible Bitcoin could keep on rising, this is an asset also known for punishing pullbacks that have seen investors, including people right here in the UK, lose a lot of money.
This tends to happen every four years. BTC surged to a record price of $20,000 in December 2017, but plunged by more than 80% a year later – falling below $4,000.
Another all-time high of $69,000 then followed in November 2021 – but 12 months on, a spectacular crash dragged it back down to $17,000, a 75% drop.
Four years on in October 2025, here we are again: BTC has never been higher. History doesn’t always repeat itself – but if past performance is a guide, 2026 could prove challenging.
For the first time in history, renewable energy has produced more of the world’s electricity than coal, according to a new analysis of global energy trends.
In the first half of 2025, solar and wind energy outstripped growth in global electricity demand and led to a small but significant reduction in the use of fossil fuels compared to the year before, clean energy analysts Ember said.
The finding coincides with the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasting a doubling of global clean energy capacity by 2030.
“We are seeing the first signs of a crucial turning point,” said Ember’s electricity analyst, Malgorzata Wiatros-Motyka.
Deployment of renewable generation, particularly in developing economies, has outpaced new fossil fuel power in recent years.
Image: Little Cheyne Court Wind Farm on the Romney Marsh in Kent. File pic: PA
Image: Maintenance work on a solar farm in eastern China. File pic: FeatureChina/AP
‘The beginning of a shift’
But many experts warned the increase would not be enough to meet rising global demand for electricity, let alone start to reduce emissions and therefore combat global warming.
Ms Watros-Motyka said: “Solar and wind are now growing fast enough to not only meet the world’s growing appetite for electricity – this marks the beginning of a shift where clean power is keeping pace with demand growth.”
The IEA analysis of renewable energy trends predicts global renewable generation will increase by 4,600 gigawatts by 2030 – a growth equivalent, it says, to the current total power generation of China, the EU, and Japan combined.
IEA executive director Fatih Birol said solar photovoltaic, or solar PV (the technology that converts sunlight into electricity using solar panels made up of photovoltaic cells), “is on course to account for some 80% of the increase in the world’s renewable capacity over the next five years”.
“In addition to growth in established markets, solar is set to surge in economies such as Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and several Southeast Asian countries,” he added.
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2:32
Mad science or radical idea to slow climate change?
The trend is not even, however.
Ember’s analysis found renewable generation outstripped coal in both China and India in the first half of 2025, but in the US and Europe, the reverse was true.
Rocketing electricity demand in the US, driven in large part by electricity for AI and datacentres, saw more reliance on coal and gas generation, despite an increase in renewable electricity capacity.
In the EU, lower output from wind farms and hydroelectric plants led to a higher reliance on fossil fuels.
The reports highlight the challenges of switching economies from fossil fuel-powered electricity grids to those dominated by renewables.
They also don’t rule out future shifts in fossil fuel emissions if demand accelerates or supply chains for renewables are constrained in some countries.
The growth of offshore wind for example, is now forecast to slow due to policy changes in places like the US and materials costs in Europe, according to the IEA.
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6:17
Tories vow to scrap climate law
However, the growth in green power also reflects potential opportunities missed by countries like the US, and right-wing politicians in Europe, who reject renewable electricity on ideological or cost grounds.
In nearly all markets, the agency concludes, solar panels are the cheapest and easiest-to-install form of generation.
His administration has committed to increasing US oil and gas exports and abandoning support for renewable energy.
According to a separate analysis by Ember, the US sold around $80bn (£59bn) in oil and gas in July, while China exported $120bn (£89bn)-worth of green technology in the same month.