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Senate Republicans say former President Trump’s growing legal problems are unlikely to affect his march to the GOP nomination, though they fear the jury verdict finding him liable for sexual abuse could be a serious obstacle to retaking the White House.

A New York jury’s finding that Trump sexually abused E. Jean Carroll in the mid-1990s is more serious and potentially more damaging to his standing with swing voters than the former president’s legal battle with Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg, they said.  

But even Trump’s most vocal GOP critics predict it won’t injure him seriously with Republican primary voters, who have stood by Trump through many storms of criticism and controversy. 

“I don’t know that it changes his lead in the polls. I think that’s unlikely,” Sen. Mitt Romney (R-Utah) said of last week’s verdict. “I think he’ll continue to lead in the Republican primary polls.  

“I’ve been predicting that he will the nominee for a long time. I continue to predict that,” he added. 

Senate Republican Whip John Thune (S.D.), who has criticized Trump at times, also said the $5 million verdict against the former president for sexual abuse and defamation won’t make much difference to Republican primary voters.  

“I think people’s views of him — particularly among his hardcore supporters — are baked in,” he said. 

But Thune warned that a jury verdict finding Trump liable of sexual abuse could further deteriorate his standing with swing voters.  

“From a short-term perspective, maybe it works for him. But in the end, to win a general election, you got to win the voters in the middle. And I think that kind of rhetoric makes that more challenging,” he said.  

Trump showed no hint of contrition after the jury announced its verdict, instead mocking Carroll at a CNN town hall the next day in New Hampshire.

Asked by CNN’s Kaitlan Collins about voters who think the verdict should disqualify him from serving another term as president, Trump quipped: “Well, there weren’t too many of them because my poll numbers came out. They went up, OK?” 

Trump leads his nearest rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R), by an average of 34 points, according to an analysis of recent national polls by RealClearPolitics.com. 

An I&I/TIPP poll of 469 Republicans and lean-Republicans conducted from May 3-5 found Trump had 55 percent support, while DeSantis had 17 percent support.  

The poll showed Trump stronger than in April, when he had 47 percent support and DeSantis had 23 percent.  

A National Research Inc. survey of 500 likely Republican voters in Iowa, which will host the first contest of the 2024 GOP presidential primary, found Trump beating DeSantis by 18 points — 44 percent to 26 percent — in a hypothetical matchup. The poll was commissioned by the Center for American Greatness. 

DeSantis, who is expected to formally launch his presidential campaign in the next few weeks, traveled to Iowa this past weekend and has aggressively courted support from Republican officials in the state.  

Yet Trump is beating DeSantis even in Florida. Another National Research Inc. poll commissioned by the Center for American Greatness found Trump leading by 8 percentage points, 42 percent to 36 percent, in the Sunshine State  

An Emerson College poll conducted in mid-March found Trump ahead of DeSantis by only 3 percentage points among Florida Republican primary voters.  

Sen. Mike Rounds (R-S.D.), who says he is looking for someone other than Trump to be the party’s standard-bearer in 2024, agrees with Senate GOP colleagues who don’t think Trump being found liable of sexual abuse is going to change the race. 

“A lot of it has been baked in,” he said. 

Rounds said, however, that he viewed the jury verdict as more serious than Bragg’s indictment on Trump for falsifying New York business records, which “the vast majority of us saw as an inappropriate thing with very little substance.”   

“Republicans who may very well disagree with the former president saw the substance of [Bragg’s] prosecution as being inappropriate or untimely,” he said.  

Rounds said the CNN town hall showed “the former president can still command an audience, and at the same time, there are a lot of Republican and probably independents that agree” with Trump on “policy substance.”  

“He spoke very clearly about the problems with inflation and he’s right that under previous administrations, we had a lot better economy going forward with regard to inflation,” he added.
“Title 42 and the issues on the border clearly work in his favor. I thought he was in command of a lot of the stuff there.” 

Rounds voiced the same concerns as his colleagues about Trump’s viability in another general election matchup with Biden. 

“It’s one thing to win the nomination, it’s another thing to win the general election. There are a lot of us that are still interested in nominating someone who can win the general election,” he said. “I think that’s going to happen. I think we’re going to have some people in the party come forward who can win in a general election who can also win the Republican primary.” 

DeSantis tried to take advantage of fears that Trump can’t beat Biden during a weekend trip to Iowa, where he pledged to have a solution to what he called the Republican Party’s losing streak in 2020 and 2022. 

“We must reject the culture of losing that has impacted our party in recent years. The time for excuses is over,” DeSantis said, alluding to Trump’s unceasing complaints about the outcome of the last presidential election.  

“If we get distracted, if we focus the election on the past or on other side issues, then I think the Democrats are going to beat us again,” he said.  The Memo: Nonexistent ‘border surge’ scrambles immigration politics  Five things to know about where debt ceiling talks stand

Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas), who was one of two GOP senators to attend a DeSantis meet-and-greet event in Washington last month, said there’s still enough time for the Florida governor to stage a comeback.  

“I think it’s going to have to be a state-by-state race, and it sounds to me like there’s going to be multiple candidates, including DeSantis,” he said. “I don’t think most people are focused on the presidential race in 2024 yet.” 

Asked about Trump’s dominance in the polls despite his legal problems, Cornyn said: “Maybe it’s because he gets all the free media coverage. It’s hard to compete with that.” 

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Liam Payne’s One Direction bandmates Harry Styles and Louis Tomlinson among mourners as funeral takes place

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Liam Payne's One Direction bandmates Harry Styles and Louis Tomlinson among mourners as funeral takes place

Friends and family of Liam Payne, including his One Direction bandmates, have gathered to say goodbye at his funeral.

Harry Styles, Louis Tomlinson, Niall Horan and Zayn Malik were among the family and friends attending the private ceremony.

Simon Cowell, who put the band together on The X Factor, Payne‘s girlfriend Kate Cassidy, and former partner Cheryl were also there.

The 31-year-old died after he fell from a third-floor balcony at the Casa Sur Hotel in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on 16 October.

Fans from around the world have held their own vigils over the past few weeks, and tributes have been left today in his hometown, Wolverhampton.

Former One Direction band member Louis Tomlinson arrives for the funeral service of One Direction singer Liam Payne at St Mary's Church in Amersham, Buckinghamshire. Picture date: Wednesday November 20, 2024. PA Photo. The singer died after falling from a third-floor balcony of the Casa Sur Hotel in Buenos Aires last month, at the age of 31. See PA story FUNERAL Payne. Photo credit should read: Jonathan Brady/PA Wire
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Louis Tomlinson is also attending the ceremony. Pic: PA

Damian Hurley (right) and Kate Cassidy (centre) arrive for the funeral service of One Direction singer Liam Payne at St Mary's Church in Amersham, Buckinghamshire. Picture date: Wednesday November 20, 2024. PA Photo. The singer died after falling from a third-floor balcony of the Casa Sur Hotel in Buenos Aires last month, at the age of 31. See PA story FUNERAL Payne. Photo credit should read: Andrew Matthews/PA Wire
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Damian Hurley (right) arrived with Payne’s girlfriend, Kate Cassidy (centre). Pic: PA

Payne’s dark blue coffin, topped with white roses, arrived for the service on a horse-drawn carriage, bearing flowers reading “son” and “daddy” – for his son, Bear, with Cheryl.

Her Girls Aloud bandmates Nicola Roberts and Kimberley Walsh were also among those at the service, along with TV and radio presenters including James Corden, Marvin and Rochelle Humes, Scott Mills, and Adrian Chiles, and former professional footballer Robbie Keane.

US influencer Cassidy, who returned home from Argentina two days before his death, arrived with Damian Hurley, son of Elizabeth Hurley.

As Payne’s mother and father, Geoff and Karen, arrived at the church in the Home Counties, standing next to the carriage, silence fell among mourners outside.

A few locals and fans also gathered nearby, but in the main largely stayed away from the private ceremony.

Zayn Malik arrives to attend the funeral of former One Direction singer Liam Payne at St. Mary's Church in Amersham, near London, Britain, November 20, 2024. REUTERS/Toby Melville
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Zayn Malik. Pic: Reuters

Former One Direction band member Niall Horan (centre) arrives for the funeral service of One Direction singer Liam Payne at St Mary's Church in Amersham, Buckinghamshire. Picture date: Wednesday November 20, 2024. PA Photo. The singer died after falling from a third-floor balcony of the Casa Sur Hotel in Buenos Aires last month, at the age of 31. See PA story FUNERAL Payne. Photo credit should read: Jonathan Brady/PA Wire
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Niall Horan. Pic: PA

Payne rose to worldwide fame alongside Styles, Tomlinson, Malik and Horan on The X Factor in 2010, when they were put together to form One Direction. They went on to become one of the most successful UK pop groups of all time.

After the band announced their hiatus, the singer launched his solo career, releasing his debut album LP1 in December 2019.

His solo hits included Strip That Down, Bedroom Floor and For You, a collaboration with singer Rita Ora – who paid tribute to Payne as she hosted the MTV Europe Music Awards in Manchester.

Prosecutors in Argentina have launched an investigation into Payne’s death and announced earlier this month that three people had been charged in connection with the incident.

File photo dated 19/02/14 of (left to right) Zayn Malik, Harry Styles, Liam Payne, Louis Tomlinson and Nial Horan from One Direction with their Awards in the press room at the 2014 Brit Awards at the O2 Arena, London.. Liam Payne has died after falling from the third floor of a hotel in Buenos Aires, according to local officials. He was 31. Issue date: Wednesday October 16, 2024.
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One Direction in 2014: Zayn Malik, Harry Styles, Liam Payne, Louis Tomlinson and Nial Horan. Pic: PA

One Direction tributes

Payne’s One Direction bandmates all publicly paid tribute following his death.

“His greatest joy was making other people happy and it was an honour to be alongside him as he did it,” said Styles in his statement. “Liam lived wide open, with his heart on his sleeve, he had an energy for life that was infectious.

“He was warm, supportive and incredibly loving. The years we spent together will forever remain among the most cherished years of my life. I will miss him always, my lovely friend.”

Tomlinson said he had “lost a brother” and offered to be an uncle to Payne’s son, Bear, if he “ever needs me”.

Read more:
One Direction made dreams a reality – but fame wasn’t easy
He had the X Factor – but less support than artists today

A horse-drawn carriage carrying the coffin of Liam Payne arrives for the funeral service.
Pic: PA
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A horse-drawn carriage carried Payne’s coffin. Pic: PA

Floral tributes to singer Liam Payne at a memorial in West Park in his hometown of Wolverhampton. The funeral of the One Direction star will be held today in the Home Counties. Picture date: Wednesday November 20, 2024. PA Photo. The singer died after falling from a third-floor balcony of the Casa Sur Hotel in Buenos Aires last month, at the age of 31. See PA story FUNERAL Payne. Photo credit should read: Jacob King/PA Wire
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Flowers have also been left in West Park in his hometown of Wolverhampton. Pic: PA

Horan, who had been touring in South America and saw Payne at his show in the weeks before his death, said: “I feel so fortunate that I got to see him recently. I sadly didn’t know that after saying goodbye and hugging him that evening, I would be saying goodbye forever. It’s heartbreaking.”

Malik said Payne had supported him “through some of the most difficult times” of his life, and said he always had a “positive outlook and reassuring smile”.

Cowell also paid tribute, saying he was “devastated” and “heartbroken”.

He continued: “I wanted to let you know what I would always say to the thousands of people who would always ask me. What is Liam like? And I would tell them you were kind, funny, sweet, thoughtful, talented, humble, focused. And how much you loved music. And how much love you genuinely had for the fans.”

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Politics

Inflation hits higher than expected 2.3% in October as energy bills rise

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Inflation hits higher than expected 2.3% in October as energy bills rise

Inflation has risen by more than expected due to an increase in energy bills, according to official figures.

It’s the first rise in the rate of price increases, as measured by the consumer prices index (CPI), for three months.

The figure stood at 2.3% in October, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), above the 2.2% forecast by economists.

This is also a sizeable increase on the 1.7% recorded a month earlier.

Household gas and electricity bills rose last month as the energy price cap brought the cost of a typical annual bill up by an extra £12 a month.

Inflation wasn’t higher because there were falls in live music and theatre ticket prices and continued drops in the cost of raw materials due to cheaper oil.

Money blog: Follow live reaction to inflation news

Latest inflation data will be cause for concern for rate-setters



Gurpreet Narwan

Business and economics correspondent

@gurpreetnarwan

How worried should we be about this inflation news?

These figures are a world away from the double-digit levels of inflation we experienced in 2022, when the index peaked at 11.1%. Inflation has broadly been coming down as the Bank of England has ratcheted up interest rates.

However, Labour’s budget has created inflation jitters. The government is injecting a big fiscal stimulus into the economy in the form of higher government spending.

The rise in employers’ national insurance contributions could also lead to higher prices.

This has raised the inflation forecasts and likely slowed the pace of interest rate cuts.

Read Gurpreet Narwan’s full analysis of the inflation news.

What about interest rates?

Today’s data may affect the likelihood of the Bank of England cutting interest rates next month.

Before the inflation figure was announced, there was a 78.3% chance of no change – and a 21.7% chance that the cost of borrowing would fall by 0.25 percentage points, according to market expectations.

After the announcement that changed to 84% chance of no cut.

Also on the up was another important measure of inflation watched by the Bank – core inflation, which measures price rises but excludes food and energy costs as they’re liable to sharply fall or rise.

Core inflation rose to 3.3%, more than the 3.1% expected by economists polled by Reuters.

Services inflation also came in above forecast and higher than a month ago at 5%.

Political reaction

Darren Jones, the chief secretary to the Treasury, said the government understands people are struggling after the inflation announcement.

He said: “We know that families across Britain are still struggling with the cost of living. That is why the budget last month focused on fixing the foundation of our economy so we can deliver change.

“But we know there is more to do. That is why the government is focused on economic growth and investment so we can make every part of the country better off.”

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But shadow chancellor Mel Stride said: “It’s higher inflation and lower growth under Labour.

“What is worrying about today’s announcement is that inflation is running ahead of expectations and official forecasts state these figures are not expected to improve.

“Labour’s budget will push up inflation and mortgage rates.”

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Politics

Donald Trump plans UK visit

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Donald Trump plans UK visit

👉Listen to Politics At Jack And Sam’s on your podcast app👈

Sky News’ deputy political editor Sam Coates and Politico’s Jack Blanchard share their daily guide to the day ahead in politics in under 20 minutes.

Jack checks in from Washington, which is still buzzing from Trump’s cabinet picks and 2024 ambitions, which could include a Scottish visit next year.

Prime Minister Keir Starmer is now returning from his trip to Brazil but will miss PMQs, leaving Angela Rayner to face the new Conservative frontbench. What do we know about Alex Burghart, who is being put up by the Tories to face her?

Plus, Jack and Sam get into the social media regulation discussion and Elon Musk’s invitation to appear before a select committee.

You can send a WhatsApp to Jack and Sam on 07511 867 633 or email them: jackandsam@sky.uk

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