Aerial view of oil and gas jack-up rig at the yard for maintenance with many vessels in Singapore. Oil prices saw three consecutive weekly declines last week, marking the longest losing run this year.
Chain45154 | Moment | Getty Images
The ongoing pressure in oil prices neglects an accelerating demand outlook and looming supply tightness, the Paris-based International Energy Agency warned on Tuesday.
Financial turbulence in the banking sector after the spring collapse of several U.S. and European banks steered investors away from historically riskier assets, such as oil. Prices fleetingly gained ground after a number of OPEC+ members announced an additional 1.6 million barrels per day of voluntary cuts at the start of April — only to rapidly surrender these gains, cooling analyst expectations of prices at $100 per barrel.
Ice Brent futures with July expiry were trading at $75.14 per barrel at 12 p.m. London time, down 9 cents per barrel from Monday’s close.
Persisting concerns over “muted industrial activity and higher interest rates … combined have led to recessionary scenarios gaining traction and worries of a downward shift in the oil demand growth,” the IEA said in its latest monthly Oil Market Report. The agency highlighted that the recent price declines reflect a growing rift between investor sentiment and a tightening supply-demand picture.
“The current market pessimism, however, stands in stark contrast to the tighter market balances we anticipate in the second half of the year, when demand is expected to eclipse supply by almost 2 mb/d,” the agency said, revising its global oil demand forecast by 200,000 barrels per day from its previous projection, to reach 102 million barrels per day in 2023.
The IEA expects demand to start exceeding supply as of this quarter, for the first time since early 2022, with this projected deficit set to deepen to nearly 2 million barrels per day by the end of the year.
The world’s largest crude oil importer, China, will account for nearly 60% of global demand growth in 2023, the IEA anticipates, after Bejing’s consumption set its all-time record of 16 million barrels per day in March.
“Record demand in China, India and the Middle East at the start of the year more than offset lacklustre industrial activity and oil use in the OECD,” the IEA said.
Chinese crude oil purchases were curtailed by spartan zero-Covid-19 restrictions that were in place for the majority of last year, with analysts widely expecting Beijing’s economic reopening to kickstart a surge in oil prices.
Vienna in sight
The OPEC+ group has in the past proven wearier to trust a resurgence of Chinese demand, with one delegate, who could only speak under condition of anonymity, previously underlining the pace of Bejing’s rebound has been at times overstated.
In its own Monthly Oil Market Report of May 11, OPEC acknowledges that “looking ahead, oil demand for most products in China has been increasing,” assessing Chinese domestic mobility and air travel have now recovered close to 80% of pre-pandemic levels, with oil demand set to experience 1 million barrels per day of year-on-year growth in the second quarter.
The IEA and White House have criticized the OPEC+ alliance’s early-April voluntary cuts decision, stressing the strain on consumers.
OPEC+ and the Paris-based agency have progressively diverged in their analysis of the global energy picture, from their outlook on oil prices and supply requirements, to their longer-term view on hydrocarbon investment.
The IEA in 2021 warned against brokering new fossil fuel projects thereon, if the world is to achieve its net-zero targets. OPEC+ officials have meanwhile advocated for simultaneous investment in hydrocarbons and renewables, to avoid energy shortages throughout the green transition.
The OPEC group and its non-OPEC partners — critically, including sanctions-struck Russia — will adjourn in Vienna to review their crude oil production policy at the start of next month. OPEC’s second-largest producer, Iraq has so far dismissed the possibility of further reductions.
“At the next meeting, which will be held on the 3rd and 4th (of June), there will be no additional reduction, and as for Iraq, we cannot reduce further,” Iraqi Oil Minister Hayan Abdel-Ghani said last week, in comments reported by Reuters.
The cooling towers of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant in Middletown, Pennsylvania, Oct. 30, 2024.
Danielle DeVries | CNBC
Power companies that are most exposed to the tech sector’s data center boom plunged early Monday, as the debut of China’s DeepSeek open source AI laboratory led investors to question how much energy artificial intelligence applications will actually consume.
Constellation, Vistra and GE Vernova have led the S&P 500 this year as investors speculated that AI data centers will boost demand for enormous amounts of electricity.
But DeepSeek has developed a model that it claims is cheaper and more efficient than U.S competitors, raising doubts about the vast sums of money the tech sector is pouring in to data centers.
The tech companies have anticipated needing so much electricity to supply data centers that they have increasingly looked to nuclear power as a source of reliable, carbon-free energy.
Constellation, for example, has signed a power agreement with Microsoft to restart the Three Mile Island nuclear plant outside Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. Talen is powering an Amazon data center with electricity from the nearby Susquehanna nuclear plant.
Vistra has not inked a data center deal yet, though investors see promise in its nuclear and natural gas assets. GE Vernova has soared this year as the market believes its gas and electric grid businesses will benefit from AI demand.
This is a developing story. Please check back for updates.
Executives from TravelCenters America (TA) and BP were joined by local elected officials at a ribbon cutting for the two companies’ first DC fast charging hub on I-95 in Jacksonville, Florida – the first of several such EV charging stations to come online.
Frequent road-trippers are no doubt familiar with TA’s red, white, and blue logo and probably think of the sites as safe, convenient stops in otherwise unfamiliar surroundings. The company hopes those positive associations will carry over as its customers continue to switch from gas to electric at a record pace in 2025 and beyond.
“Today marks a significant milestone in our journey to bring new forms of energy to our customers as we support their changing mobility needs, while leveraging the best of bp and TA,” explains Debi Boffa, CEO of TravelCenters of America. Boffa, however, was quick to – but TA is quick to point out that TA isn’ no’t leaving its ICE customers behind. “While this is significant, to our loyal customers and guests, rest assured TA will continue to provide the same safe and reliable fueling options it has offered for over 50 years, regardless of the type of fuel.”
The charging hub along the I-95 offers 12 DC fast charging ports offering up to 400kW of power for lickety-quick charging. While they’re at the TA, EV drivers can visit restrooms, shop at TA’s convenience store, or eat at fast food chains like Popeyes and Subway. Other TA centers offer wifi and pet-friendly amenities as well – making them ideal partners for BP as the two companies builds out their charging networks.
“As we expand our EV charging network in the US, I am thrilled to unveil our first of many hubs at TA locations,” offers Sujay Sharma, CEO of BP Pulse Americas. “These sites are strategically located across key highway corridors that provide our customers with en route charging when and where they need it most, while offering convenient amenities, like restaurants and restrooms.”
The new e2500-THL and TS electric Ultra Buggies from Toro offer construction and demo crews a carrying capacity of 2500 lbs. (on the TS model), six-and-a-half foot dump height (on the THL), nearly 13 cubic ft. of capacity, and hours of quiet, fume-free operation.
For their open-mindedness, those crews will be rewarded with machines powered by 7 kWh’s worth of Toro HyperCell lithium-ion battery. That’s good enough for up to eight hours of continuous operation, according to Toro – enough for two typical working shifts.
And, thanks to the Toro Ultra Buggies’ narrow, 31.5″ width, they can easily navigate man doors on inside jobs, as well, making them ideal for indoor demolition and construction jobs. A zero-turn radius and auto-return dump mechanism that ensures the tub automatically returns to the proper resting position make things easy for the operator, too.
Toro says that each of its small (for Toro) e2500 Ultra Buggy units can replace as many as five wheelbarrows on a given job site. Pricing is expected to start at about $32,000.