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The war in Ukraine is set to become one of the starkest dividing lines in the GOP presidential primary.

Republicans who are largely united on a host of other issues — crime, immigration, the economy and the battle against “wokeness” — have deep tensions over a conflict that has now raged for more than 15 months and consumed many billions of dollars in U.S. aid.

Former President Trump is the front-line contender most skeptical about continuing the vigorous support for Ukraine at its current pitch. 

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) is not far behind — though he has displayed some shaky footing on the topic.

Striking a much sharper contrast, former United Nations ambassador Nikki Haley insists it is vital for the U.S. that Ukraine should prevail. Former Vice President Mike Pence, who is expected to enter the race in the coming weeks, basically shares that view.

The division sets up a fascinating clash as the candidates seek to appeal to a Republican electorate that is itself disunited.

The traditional GOP position that the U.S. needs to assert itself overseas for its own protection still has many adherents. But lots of voters have grown skeptical of foreign entanglements in the roughly two decades since the U.S. launched its invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan.

Voter concerns over government spending — and the sense that taxpayer dollars would be better spent at home — also feed into the debate.

The U.S. has provided almost $40 billion in military aid to Ukraine since the Russian invasion in February 2022. It has given tens of billions more in financial and humanitarian assistance.

During his CNN town hall event earlier this month, Trump was asked by moderator Kaitlan Collins whether he wanted Ukraine to win the war. 

“I don’t think in terms of winning and losing. I think in terms of getting it settled so we stop killing all these people,” Trump responded.

Trump also insisted that, were he to be reelected, he would have the war “settled in one day.”

The former president was vague as to how this cessation of hostilities might be accomplished. But in a March radio interview with Sean Hannity, Trump appeared to envision a deal where Russian would take over some amount of Ukrainian territory.

“I could’ve made a deal to take over something. There are certain areas that are Russian-speaking areas, frankly,” he told Hannity.

Haley espouses a far different view.

“The issue with Russia and Ukraine is so much bigger than Ukraine,” she said at a recent campaign event in Ankeny, Iowa. “It’s not a fight for Ukraine. It’s a fight for freedom. And it’s one that we have to win.”

While Haley made clear she did not support putting U.S. troops on the ground, she underlined what she sees as the high stakes in the conflict.

“A win for Russia is a win for China,” she contended.

DeSantis, who launched his campaign last Wednesday, plainly is closer to Trump’s view.

But the situation in his case is muddled; he was widely perceived to have erred in March, when he described the war as a mere “territorial dispute” in which no U.S. “vital national interests” were at stake.

Amid a backlash, DeSantis complained that his earlier statement had been “mischaracterized.” That comment came in an interview with Piers Morgan during which DeSantis also tagged Putin as a “war criminal” who had to be “held accountable.”

Electorally, it’s not obvious which is the winning position in the Republican primary.

GOP voters are markedly more skeptical of aid to Ukraine than Democrats. 

In an Economist/YouGov poll last week, 47 percent of Democrats wanted the U.S. to increase its military aid to Ukraine, whereas only 25 percent of Republicans agreed. Thirty-nine percent of Republicans wanted to decrease aid, in contrast to only 14 percent of Democrats.

Still, the Economist poll also included an option to maintain aid at its current levels — a position supported by 22 percent of Republicans and 25 percent of Democrats.

One key question is whether the erosion of GOP voters’ support for Ukraine picks up pace.

A Pew Research Center poll in January found 40 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents believed the U.S. was providing “too much” support for Ukraine. Ten months previously, shortly after the Russia invasion, only 9 percent held that view.

Fred Fleitz, who was chief of staff of the National Security Council during the Trump presidency, told this column that, while the American people were sympathetic to Ukraine’s plight, “Ukraine is not a strategic U.S. interest, and therefore America’s support to Ukraine has to be limited and can’t be open-ended.” 

Fleitz, who is now the vice chair for national security at the America First Policy Institute, added: “We have to make some difficult decisions and find a way to do the right thing for our country first. … My immediate concern is that we are not getting to a solution. We are supporting what will become a long-term war of attrition that is going to end badly for the Ukrainians.”

But Kurt Volker, who was the U.S. special representative for Ukraine negotiations from 2017-19, took a very different view.

He contended that “traditional foreign policy, national-security Republicans” such as Haley, Pence and Capitol Hill leaders including Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), held the correct view both substantively and politically.

“Trump will perhaps describe them as chumps who just want the U.S. to do everything,” Volker said. “But the reality is that most Republicans want to see a strong United States, want to see us have good relationships with our allies and want us to be shaping, as [Condoleezza Rice] used to say, ‘a stronger and safer world.’” Business groups endorse debt limit deal as McCarthy scrambles for votes  Companies and individuals without AI expertise will be left behind: tech CEO

Any political calculations are further jumbled because no one knows where the war — or American public opinion about it — will stand early next year, when the first GOP primary voters cast their ballots.

But Ukraine is one topic where those voters will at least have a clear choice before them.

The Memo is a reported column by Niall Stanage.

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Ocean Warming Rate Quadruples Over Four Decades, Accelerating Climate Change

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Ocean Warming Rate Quadruples Over Four Decades, Accelerating Climate Change

The pace of ocean warming has intensified significantly over the past four decades, with recent data highlighting a quadrupling of heat absorption rates. This shift points to an acceleration in climate change, as oceans act as the planet’s primary heat sink. Researchers warn that if fossil fuel dependency continues, warming is expected to increase at an even faster rate in the coming decades. The implications of this trend extend beyond rising sea levels, influencing extreme weather patterns and global food security.

Research Highlights Escalating Ocean Temperatures

According to a study published in Environmental Research Letters, ocean surface temperatures have been rising at an increasing rate. The research reveals that while the rate of warming stood at 0.06 degrees Celsius per decade in the 1980s, it has now escalated to 0.27 degrees Celsius per decade. Projections indicate that a similar acceleration will occur in the next 20 years, with the situation worsening if emissions remain unchecked.

Climate Change Driving Earth’s Energy Imbalance

Findings suggest that Earth’s energy imbalance—where the planet absorbs more energy than it emits—has doubled in the past two decades. Greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide and methane are trapping heat in the atmosphere, leading to warming oceans. Study lead author Christopher Merchant, Professor of Ocean and Earth Observation at the University of Reading, told Live Science that this trend suggests climate change is advancing at a faster pace than previously anticipated.

Impacts on Weather, Sea Levels, and Food Security

Rising ocean temperatures contribute to sea level rise, extreme weather, and agricultural disruptions. The reduction in cloud cover, alongside declining ice and snow levels, is increasing heat absorption. Researchers caution that without substantial reductions in fossil fuel use, the planet will experience even more severe climate consequences.

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Tesla Roadster Mistakenly Classified as Near-Earth Asteroid

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Tesla Roadster Mistakenly Classified as Near-Earth Asteroid

A near-Earth object recently classified as an asteroid has been identified as Elon Musk’s Tesla Roadster, which was launched into space in 2018 aboard a SpaceX Falcon Heavy rocket. The object was mistakenly listed as a new near-Earth asteroid by the International Astronomical Union’s Minor Planet Center (MPC) on January 2, before the classification was withdrawn within hours. The error, made by an amateur astronomer in Turkey using publicly available data, underscores growing concerns over the tracking of space debris and its impact on astronomical observations.

Identification Error and Retraction

According to astronomy.com, the object was initially recorded in the MPC’s database under the designation 2018 CN41. The classification was based on historical tracking data, but after a review, the discovery was rescinded just 17 hours later. The astronomer who reported the object recognised the mistake upon further analysis.

The Tesla Roadster was launched on February 6, 2018, as a test payload for SpaceX’s Falcon Heavy’s maiden flight. Positioned in the driver’s seat was a mannequin named “Starman,” dressed in a prototype spacesuit. The car was intended to enter a stable orbit around Mars but instead settled into a heliocentric orbit, periodically passing near Earth and Mars.

Implications for Space Tracking

Jonathan McDowell, an astronomer at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, told astronomy.com that the misidentification of human-made objects as natural space bodies is becoming more frequent. He warned that such mistakes could lead to significant financial losses, stating that the worst-case scenario was that a billion dollars were spent launching a space probe to study an asteroid, only to realise it’s not an asteroid when you get there.

Over the years, multiple spacecraft and discarded rocket boosters have been temporarily classified as asteroids. Among them are the European Space Agency’s Rosetta spacecraft, NASA’s Lucy probe, and the European-Japanese BepiColombo mission. With the increasing number of space missions, experts anticipate that misidentifications will become more common.

Lack of Regulations on Deep Space Debris

As per reports, space agencies and private companies are required to track satellites and debris in Earth’s orbit. However, no regulatory framework mandates tracking objects that have moved beyond Earth’s gravity, such as the Tesla Roadster. In a 2024 statement, the American Astronomical Society called for transparency in tracking space objects to minimise interference with scientific observations and prevent potential collisions. With space exploration accelerating, concerns over orbital debris and misidentified objects continue to grow, reinforcing the need for stricter monitoring and classification systems.g

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Up to 14 members of US figure skating community including ex-world champions and 12-year-old girl – what we know about passengers

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Up to 14 members of US figure skating community including ex-world champions and 12-year-old girl - what we know about passengers

Dozens of people have died after an American Airlines passenger plane was in a mid-air crash with a military helicopter in Washington DC.

Sixty-four people were on the plane and there were three US soldiers in the helicopter.

Forty bodies have been recovered from the wreckage. No survivors are expected to be found.

Washington DC plane crash latest: Follow live updates

The crash, which happened as the jet sought to land at Ronald Reagan National Airport, is the worst civil aviation disaster in the US since 2001.

Here’s what we know about the passengers so far.

Washington plane crash map
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The collision happened over the Potomac River and close to Ronald Reagan Airport

Pilots and a professor

The family of one of the American Airlines pilots killed in the crash has named him as Jonathan Campos.

His first officer, Samuel Lilley, was confirmed dead by his father Tim, who said he was due to get married this autumn.

“It is so devastating to lose someone who is loved so much,” he wrote on social media.

Johnatan Campos. Pic: Sonia Carrasquillo
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Jonathan Campos. Pic: Sonia Carrasquillo

Jonathan Campo
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Pic via NBC News

Samuel Lilley. Pic: Facebook/Tim Lilley
Image:
Samuel Lilley. Pic: Facebook/Tim Lilley

The parents of passenger Kiah Duggins also confirmed she was on board.

They said: “We are coming to terms with the grief associated with the loss of our beautiful and accomplished first-born. Please respect our family’s privacy at this time.”

Howard University, where Ms Duggins worked as a law professor, also asked for privacy and respect “during this difficult time”.

Kiah Duggins. Pic: Dr and Mrs Duggins via NBC News
Image:
Kiah Duggins. Pic: Dr and Mrs Duggins via NBC News

Raza Hussain told NBC News his wife Azra was also among those killed – and she was texting him just 20 minutes before she was due to land.

Azra Hussain. Pic: Raza family
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Azra Hussain. Pic: Raza family

He said she told him “we’re landing in 20 minutes” and that he “had dinner waiting at home” before the collision.

The 26-year-old worked as a consultant in Washington DC and was married to her college sweetheart.

Paying tribute to her, he said: “My wife was such a giver. She made me feel so loved.”

Liz Keys was confirmed as another of the crash victims by her partner David Seidman, who she met at law school.

Liz Keys. Pic: family handout
Image:
Liz Keys. Pic: family handout

She worked as an attorney and was part of a sailing team in her spare time. The day of her crash is reported to have been her birthday.

Pergentino Malabed Jr was a police officer from the Phillippines who was in the US on work duties when he was killed in the crash.

Pergentino Malabed. Pic: Facebook/PNPTI Cordillera Administrative Region Training Center
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Pergentino Malabed. Pic: Facebook/PNPTI Cordillera Administrative Region Training Center

The Philippine National Police said in a statement: “His untimely passing is a profound loss to the PNP, where he served with honour, integrity, and dedication throughout his career.”

Helicopter pilot and flight attendants

Helicopter pilot Andrew Eaves was confirmed dead by his wife Carrie on social media.

She said Mr Eaves was “one of the pilots in the Blackhawk”, asking people to share their pictures of him in his memory. Mississippi Governor Tate Reeves also confirmed he was killed in the crash.

Andrew Eaves. Pic: Carrie Eaves/Facebook
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Andrew Eaves. Pic: Carrie Eaves/Facebook

Ian Epstein, 53, and Danasia Brown, 34, were two of the flight attendants on board the American Airlines flight, according to their families.

A statement from the Epstein family said Mr Epstein “loved being a flight attendant because he truly enjoyed travelling and meeting new people”, adding that “his true love was his family”.

Ian Epstein. Pic: Debi Epstein/Facebook
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Ian Epstein. Pic: Debi Epstein/Facebook

Ms Brown’s older brother Dajour set up a crowdfunding page to help support her husband and two children, aged four and 13.

“Anything donated will go towards her kids and husband that’s left behind,” he wrote.

Danasia Brown. Pic: Dajour Brown/Go Fund Me
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Danasia Brown. Pic: Dajour Brown/Go Fund Me

Up to 14 members of US figure skating community

Several figure skating organisations have said that athletes were on the American Airlines jet.

One of those was 12-year-old Olivia Ter, who was described as “beloved” and an “exceptional youth figure skater”.

The Parks Department in Prince George’s County, Maryland, confirmed Olivia’s death on Thursday night.

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It said she was one of four elite skaters from the region attending a development camp in Wichita, Kansas.

“The impact of Olivia’s life will continue to resonate in our youth sports community, and she will be sorely missed,” a department director, Bill Tyler, said.

“We extend our deepest condolences to the Ter family, friends, teammates, and all those affected by this devastating loss.”

Meanwhile, The Skating Club of Boston also named members of its community who were on the American Airlines jet in a statement posted on Instagram.

They include athlete Jinna Han and her mother Jin Han, athlete Spencer Lane and his mother Christine Lane, and coaches Vadim Naumov and Yevgenia Shishkova, a married couple who won the world championships in pairs figure skating in 1994.

Reports of the couple being on board the jet were confirmed by the Kremlin.

This recent handout photograph provided by The Skating Club of Boston shows club skater Spencer Lane, who died in an airplane collision with a helicopter on Jan. 29, 2025 in Washington. (The Skating Club of Boston photograph via AP)
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Spencer Lane. Pic: The Skating Club of Boston via AP

Pic: Christine Lane/Instagram
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Pic: Christine Lane/Instagram

As many as 14 American members of the community are feared dead, said Doug Zeghibe, Skating Club of Boston’s chief executive.

“To the best of our knowledge, 14 skaters returning home from the national development camp at Wichita, Kansas, put on by US figure skating, were lost in the plane crash at Washington DC,” he said.

“Of those 14 skaters, six were from the Skating Club of Boston. Two coaches and two teenage athletes, and two of the athletes’ mums.

“It’s a major loss for our skating community.”

This recent handout photograph provided by The Skating Club of Boston shows club skater Jinna Han, who died in an airplane collision with a helicopter on Jan. 29, 2025 in Washington. (The Skating Club of Boston via AP)
Image:
Jinna Han. Pic: The Skating Club of Boston via AP

FILE PHOTO: Russia's Vadim Naumov lifts up his partner Evgenia Shishkova during the free skating to win the pairs event of the NHK Trophy figure skating grand prix in Nagoya, central Japan December 9, 1995.  REUTERS/Kimimasa Mayama/File Photo
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Naumov and Shishkova. File pic: Kimimasa Mayama/Reuters

US Figure Skating confirmed several members were on the American Airlines flight.

“We are devastated by this unspeakable tragedy and hold the victims’ families closely in our hearts,” it said in a statement.

“We will continue to monitor the situation and will release more information as it becomes available.”

A man who said his daughter’s best friend and her mother were on the jet when it crashed told Sky News they had been at an “athletic trip” in Kansas.

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‘My daughter’s friend was on this flight’

Russian world champions

According to US media, Shishkova, 52, and Naumov, 55, had lived in America since at least 1998, where they trained young ice skaters.

Skating coaches Vadim Naumov, left, and Evgenia Shishkova. Pic: The Skating Club of Boston via AP
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Skating coaches Vadim Naumov, left, and Evgenia Shishkova. Pic: The Skating Club of Boston via AP

Their son, Maxim, 23, who had been competing in the US figure skating championships in Wichita, was also feared to be on the plane. But his friend and fellow skater Anton Spiridonov has reportedly said he left four days ago.

The couple were reported to have been returning from the competition and travelling with a group of young skaters.

Inna Volyanskaya, a former skater who competed for the Soviet Union, was also reported to have been on board, Russian state media said. She was a coach at the Washington figure skating club, according to its website.

Mandatory Credit: Photo by Colorsport/Shutterstock 

(3098203a).EVEGENIA SHISHKOVA & VADIM NAUMOV - RUSSIA WORLD CHAMPIONSHIPS BIRMINGHAM NEC 9/3/95 Great Britain Birmingham.Sport
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File Pic: Colorsport/Shutterstock


“We regret and offer condolences to the families and friends who lost those of our fellow citizens who died in this plane crash,” Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said.

Skaters confirm safety

US-Russian figure skater Spiridonov has confirmed he was not on the plane, despite reports suggesting he was.

Russian media had named him among the casualties, he said in an Instagram post.

“I was NOT on this flight, thank you for everyone’s concern for my safety,” the Winter World University Games silver medallist wrote.

“My heart goes out to all the families affected by this tragedy.”

Anton Spiridonov, who has spoken out to say he wasn't on the plane, with Lorraine McNamara in 2023. Pic: Tomohiro Ohsumi/AP
Image:
Anton Spiridonov, who has confirmed he was not on the plane, with fellow skater Lorraine McNamara in 2023. Pic: Tomohiro Ohsumi/AP


Cristian McKnight-Ide, a professional skater, said in a Facebook post: “Thank you for those who have reached out regarding the flight from Wichita that crashed. Scarlet and I are home safe since early this afternoon.

“We are all praying for the safety of our fellow skaters that were on that flight.”

Anne Goldberg-Baldwin, also a skater, said she was “safe” as she asked her followers to pray for her loved ones in a story on Instagram.

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