OPEC+ prepares for weekend meeting after Saudi warns speculators to ‘watch out’

Published

2 years ago

June 2, 2023

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Led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, OPEC+ agreed in early October to reduce production by 2 million barrels per day from November.

Vladimir Simicek | Afp | Getty Images

The OPEC+ alliance of oil producers will decide further production policy steps over the weekend, as crude prices reflect an ongoing struggle between supply-demand fundamentals and broader macro-economic concerns.

After convening remotely throughout the Covid-19 pandemic, OPEC+ has returned to in-person meetings and will gather in Vienna on June 4. The OPEC ministers gather for a separate meeting unlikely to address output on June 3.

Ministers face an oil market rattled by supply volatility, demand uncertainty, and a prospective recession, which could throttle transport fuel consumption. Since October, OPEC+ — a 23-member alliance including heavyweights Russia and Saudi Arabia — has lowered output by 2 million barrels per day in an effort to combat lower demand. Some members have also announced additional voluntary cuts totaling 1.6 million barrels per day in April.

Group members are expected to coagulate their individual positions and proposals in the 24-48 hours before the meeting, some OPEC+ delegates told CNBC, speaking on condition of anonymity — while public comments so far have been conflicting.

On May 23, Saudi energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman warned oil market speculators they could face further pain ahead, in comments some have read as hinting further supply cuts could be in the cards.

“I keep advising [speculators] that they will be ouching. They did ouch in April. I don’t have to show my cards, I’m not [a] poker player … but I would just tell them, watch out,” he said at the time.

Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak later indicated that he expected no further steps from the OPEC+ meeting, but then said his comments were misinterpreted as downplaying an output cut, according to Russian state news agency Tass.

Russia and Saudi Arabia have been united in their public OPEC+ stance since a March 2020 dispute that led to the one-month dissolution of their oil partnership and an ensuing price war.

Moscow and Riyadh later mended ties through a new OPEC+ agreement to respond to a demand plunge driven by the Covid-19 pandemic — and have remained like-minded on OPEC+ matters since. Voiding the perception of a public rift, Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan al-Saud and his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov on Thursday met on the sidelines of a BRICS summit in Cape Town.

The two reviewed the cooperation between their countries and “ways to strengthen & develop them in all fields, in addition to discussing the consolidation of bilateral & multilateral action,” according to the Saudi foreign ministry.

Two OPEC+ delegates, who did not want to be named due to the market sensitivity of the meeting, told CNBC that further output cuts were unlikely this weekend. One noted that this will remain the case unless demand stays low in China — where recovery has fallen short of expectations, in the wake of shedding strict Covid-19 restrictions.

A third source said that OPEC+, which prioritizes the state of global inventories over outright prices, would be comfortable with futures above $75 per barrel, while a fourth estimated near $70-80 per barrel.

Brent futures with August expiry were trading at $75.70 per barrel at 10:24 a.m. in London, up $1.42 per barrel from the Thursday settlement.

The OPEC+ group isn’t “after spikes” and seeks a “balanced market,” the fourth delegate told CNBC, stressing that the alliance must continue to strike a “precautionary” production strategy. Deep cuts also risk re-attracting U.S. ire, as Washington has historically criticized supply reductions that pile strain on consuming households.

‘Wait and see’?

Goldman Sachs’ analysts expect OPEC+ to keep production unchanged this weekend. However, they said in a note Wednesday that they see a “sizeable 35% subjective probability” of further OPEC cuts, as oil prices are “clearly below our $80-85/bbl estimate of the OPEC put. Very low positioning, the Saudi determination not to give speculators free rein, and the decision to meet in person also suggest that deeper cuts will likely be discussed.”

OPEC+ has waded stormy waters for the better part of the year. Oil markets have historically been steered by physical supply and demand fundamentals — which have been increasingly overshadowed by broader macro-economic concerns over the fuel consumption impact of high inflation, bolstering interest rates and the spring collapse of several U.S. and European banks.

OPEC+ delegates also said the group had been following U.S. debt ceiling negotiations, as the proposal of President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy transited several debate and vote stages in a bid for the world’s largest economy to avoid defaulting on its bills.

“The impact of higher oil prices on the global economy will weigh heavily on the ministers’ minds,” Jorge Leon, senior vice president of oil market research at Rystad Energy, said in a Thursday note, adding that OPEC+ could maintain production as a precaution. “The ministers might therefore take a ‘wait and see’ approach and hold off taking any action. Demand forecasts remain lukewarm at best, so maintaining current output could be the most prudent course. “

Supply is also under question, given involuntary declines.

Roughly 450,000 barrels per day of northern Iraqi exports were frozen by a legal dispute between Baghdad, Ankara, and the Kurdistan Regional Government. Nigeria, typically West Africa’s largest oil producer, self-reported its April crude production at just 999,000 barrels per day following disruptions, according to OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report for May.

Meanwhile, the true extent of Russian output losses remains unclear, as vessels carrying Moscow’s crude turn off their satellite tracking and Russia looks to further shift its clientele east.

Environment

The Genesis GV60 MIV is one hardcore EV that climbs mountains [Video]

Published

2 hours ago

January 24, 2025

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The Genesis GV60 MIV is one hardcore EV that climbs mountains [Video]

The luxury carmaker channeled its inner superhero with this one. Genesis unveiled the new GV60 Mountain Intervention Vehicle (MIV) this week in Switzerland, an off-road EV that can climb mountains. The concept is designed for extreme rescue missions. Check it out below.

Meet the Genesis GV60 MIV rescue EV concept

Genesis showed off the new GV60 MIV this week at the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland. Crowds lined up to see it at the AMERON Davos Swiss Mountain Resort, not far from the WEF venue.

Based on its first dedicated EV, the GV60, the concept is designed to tackle extreme terrain and weather on rescue missions.

The purpose-built vehicle gains off-road elements like snow tracks and medical and emergency communication systems for rescue missions on mountains or other extreme terrain. Other upgrades include a custom heavy-duty roof rack and rear hatch rack.

Genesis added large carbon fender flares to warn those nearby and protect the vehicle from damage in extreme weather.

With a fully electric powertrain, the Genesis GV60 MIV has no tailpipe emissions, protecting the environment. It’s also nearly silent, with minimal noise pollution.

Inside, the off-road electric SUV includes custom sports seats, adding to the GV60’s already impressive interior design.

The concept follows the upgraded GV60, revealed earlier this month. Genesis updated it with redesigned front and rear bumpers, more tech, and added luxury.

[embedded content]

Genesis GV60 MIV concept (Source: Genesis)

Like the new 2025 Hyundai IONIQ 5, based on the same E-GMP platform, the upgraded GV60 is expected to feature a bigger battery providing more range. Powered by an 84 kWh battery, the 2025MY now has up to 318 miles range, up from 303 miles in the outgoing model (77.4 kWh battery).

The 2025 Genesis GV60 starts at $52,350 in the US and has a range of up to 294 miles. Once the upgraded model arrives in 2026, the electric SUV could have a range of up to 300 miles.

2025 Genesis GV60 trim	Range (EPA-est)	Starting Price*
Standard RWD	294 miles	$52,350
Standard AWD	264 miles	$55,850
Advanced AWD	248 miles	$60,900
Performance AWD	235 miles	$69,900

2025 Genesis GV60 prices and range by trim (*excluding $1,350 destination fee)

What do you think of the GV60 MIV? Should Genesis get these onto the mountains? Or should it stick to on-road luxury cars? Let us know in the comments.

Ready to try out the electric luxury SUV for yourself? With the 2025 models arriving, Genesis is offering generous discounts on the 2024 lineup while they are still in stock. You can use our link to find offers on 2024 and 2025 Genesis GV60 models at a dealer near you today.

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Environment

LNG pure-play Venture Global’s IPO tests appetite for energy stocks under Trump administration

Published

3 hours ago

January 24, 2025

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A ship carrying liquefied natural gas (LNG) is towed out of the Port of Rotterdam on January 13, 2025 in Rotterdam, Netherlands.

Pierre Crom | Getty Images

Natural gas exporter Venture Global will begin trading Friday in the first major initial public offering under the Trump administration, testing investor appetite for energy stocks as the White House looks to implement a sweeping agenda aimed at boosting oil and gas production.

“The Trump administration has made very clear they support growing LNG exports,” Venture CEO Mike Sabel told CNBC in an interview Friday.

Venture Global is currently the second-largest LNG exporter in the U.S. behind Cheniere. Venture priced its initial public offering of 70 million shares at $25 to raise $1.75 billion for a total valuation of $60.5 billion.

This is far below the company’s original target. Venture had originally planned to offer 50 million shares in a range of $40 to $46, which would have raised about $2.2 billion at the midpoint for a total valuation of $110 billion.

Still, Venture’s IPO is the largest by an oil and gas company in a decade and the fourth-largest since 2000. At a valuation of around $60 billion, it would be the tenth-largest publicly traded energy company.

Venture is locked in arbitration with customers, including majors such as Shell, over contracted deliveries from its Calcasieu Pass plant in Louisiana.

President Donald Trump on Monday declared a national energy emergency and issued an executive order overturning the Biden administration’s pause on new LNG export projects, removing a potential obstacle to Venture’s growth.

Trump’s policies, combined with cold winter weather and expected robust demand from artificial intelligence, is helping to drive both natural gas prices and related stocks higher. Cheniere shares, for example, have climbed more than 20% since Trump was elected. Natural gas prices rose 44% over that same time.

This is a breaking news story. Please check back for updates.

Don’t miss these energy insights from CNBC PRO:

Correction: Venture Global’s CEO is Mike Sabel. An earlier version of this story misspelled his name.

Environment

Rivian (RIVN) has several automakers ‘knocking on our door’ for EV tech

Published

4 hours ago

January 24, 2025

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Rivian (RIVN) has several automakers 'knocking on our door' for EV tech

Rivian (RIVN) already has several automakers reaching out about potential supply deals for software and other EV tech. According to Rivian’s Chief Software Officer, Wassym Bensaid, its new partnership with Volkswagen has other OEMs “knocking on our door.”

Will Rivian and VW supply EV tech to other automakers?

After launching “Rivian and VW Group Technology, LLC,” their new software and EV joint venture in November, the collaboration is already showing potential.

Bensaid, who co-leads the new joint venture with VW’s Casten Helbing, said in an interview on Thursday (via Reuters) that the collaboration is in talks with at least a few other automakers over potential supply deals for software and EV architecture.

“I’d say that many other OEMs are knocking on our door,” he said. Although no names or other details were revealed, Bensaid added that “there is demand.”

The software leader explained that Rivian is prioritizing its smaller, more affordable R2 until 2027 while integrating the new tech into upcoming VW, Audi, Porsche, and Scout brand EVs.

Bensaid added that the new JV “today becomes one of the key partners” for other automakers who want to “make a leap from a technological standpoint.”

Last week, German news outlet Spiegel reported that VW could expand the partnership with Rivian. Volkswagen CEO Oliver Blume said, “We are thinking about sharing modules and bundling purchasing volumes.”

VW is already planning to invest $5.8 billion, which, according to Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe, is a “meaningful financial opportunity.”

Rivian is already using the platform and software stack on its Gen 2 R1S electric SUV and R1T pickup, a drastic upgrade from the previous version. The architecture uses seven electronic control units (ECUs), down from 17 in the Gen 1 models.

The new models also include Rivian’s new in-house autonomy system, the Rivian Autonomy Platform, which consists of 11 cameras, five radars, and other features for added driver assist (ADAS) features.

At the opening of the new Rivian Space in San Francisco on Thursday, Scaringe said the company plans to roll out hands-free driving this year. It’s expected to be similar to Tesla’s Full-Self Driving (FSD). In 2026, Rivian will launch an “eyes-free” system as it advances new tech and software.

Electrek’s Take

The JV with Volkswagen could be significant for Rivian as it looks to accelerate growth in 2025. After shutting down its Normal, IL manufacturing plant last April for upgrades, Scaringe said the company is already seeing “a meaningful reduction” in material costs.

Rivian’s R2, starting at around $45,000, is expected to open an entire new market. Analysts expect the VW partnership to provide enough funding for the R2 to enter production, which is expected in the first half of 2026.

Last week, Rivian closed its loan agreement with the US Department of Energy (DOE) for up to $6.6 billion in financing for its new manufacturing plant in Georgia. The EV maker has already started hiring construction and management workers, with recruitment “expected to ramp quickly.”

Will Rivian’s EV architecture and software “become the platform of choice in the Western world” aside from Tesla? That’s what Canaccord Genuity analysts said in a note to investors.

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