In an indistinct office park in the suburban outskirts of Boston, a ten-year-old startup is trying to reinvent a process at the core of the $1.6 trillion steel industry to reduce carbon emissions and fight climate change.
It’s the first time the IFC has ever invested in a pre-revenue startup, which speaks to the value the World Bank sees in helping low-income nations make steel without carbon emissions, IFC Director William Sonneborn told CNBC.
“I am just here in Africa,” Sonneborn said in a video call from Senegal at the end of May. “There are hundreds of millions of people that don’t have a house. At some point, they’re going to need steel. And so the incremental steel production of the world is not going to be in the U.S. — the technology may have been invented at MIT, but the incremental steel production is not going to be in the U.S.”
The majority of crude steel, 59%, was manufactured in developing countries in 2021, according to the IFC. Boston Metal’s process will be particularly attractive in developing nations that also have access to clean electricity, such as Chile, Ethiopia, Malawi, Uruguay, and Zambia, the IFC says.
CNBC visited Boston Metal’s headquarters in Woburn, Mass., at the end of May to learn more about the startup that’s raised hundreds of millions of dollars from investors like ArcelorMittal (the second-largest steel producer in the world), Microsoft‘s Climate Fund, and Bill Gates’ Breakthrough Energy Ventures in addition to the World Bank.
The Boston Metal offices in Woburn, Mass.
Cat Clifford, CNBC
How Boston Metal is cleaning up the historically dirty backbone of infrastructure
The conventional steel-making process puts iron ore or iron oxide in a coal-powered blast furnace, which generates significant carbon dioxide emissions. In a conventional steel mill, two tons of carbon dioxide are generated for every ton of steel that is made, explained Boston Metal executive Adam Rauwerdink during a tour of the lab.
Instead, Boston Metal uses an electro-chemical process called molten oxide electrolysis.
A diagram of the process Boston Metal is using to make green steel.
Graphic courtesy Boston Metal
The technique passes electricity through iron oxide mixed with a slew of other oxides, which are chemical compounds that contain at least one oxygen atom. If the electricity that goes into the process is clean, then the steel that comes out the other side of the electrolysis cell is clean, too.
The process resembles a battery, with a positively charged anode and negatively charged cathode directing the flow of electricity through the process.
For Boston Metal’s electrolysis to work, it has to convert the alternating current from the grid to direct current.
This is where the electricity is converted from AC to DC in the Boston Metal location. (A portion of the photo has been altered to protect the intellectual property of Boston Metal.)
Cat Clifford, CNBC
The anode in Boston Metal’s process was a key development from MIT. It’s primarily made of chrome and iron with some other small quantities of other materials mixed in, and does not get consumed or corroded during the electrolysis process.
“What’s special about it is it can survive at high temperature — 1,600 Celsius, 3,000 Fahrenheit. And as you’re doing electrolysis, you’re using electrons to split apart iron and oxygen. So that anode is getting hit by oxygen all day long at super high temperature, and it has to survive in that environment,” explained Rauwerdink during a tour of the lab. “There’s very few elements that will do that. That alloy is one that will.”
The byproduct of the process is oxygen.
The Boston Metal electrolysis process releases oxygen as a byproduct. On the screen circled, oxygen bubbles can be seen being released. (The text on the white board has been blurred out to protect the intellectual property of Boston Metal.)
Cat Clifford, CNBC
While Boston Metal is still iterating on the commercial-scale technology, the science behind the process is assured.
“It’s no longer a binary thing that you will fail or you will succeed,” Boston Metal CEO Tadeu Carneiro told CNBC in Woburn. “It’s a question of how long will be the life of the anode? Is it going to last three years or two years? That’s where we are now, we are finalizing all the parameters in order to build the biggest, the largest industrial cell. So that’s where we are.”
The steel industry is watching.
“The first thing I did when I joined the company was to visit my friends, all the CEOs of the different steelmaking companies, especially in Asia, to present them the idea. That’s six years ago,” Carniero said. “It’s funny, for most of them, it seemed to be too early. Now, they are all desperate — because they have to find a solution. And they don’t have a solution.”
Other benefits of the process
Boston Metal’s process can use low-grade iron ore, which is one of the reasons that the IFC invested in the company.
Boston Metal can make steel with low grade iron ore, such as this Australian ore from mining company BHP, which is one of the start-up’s investors.
Cat Clifford, CNBC
“There are many emerging markets that have lots of iron ore, it’s just low quality and so therefore they can’t have steel production with blast furnace technology. They can use the Boston Metal technology,” Sonneborn told CNBC.
That means that these developing markets can make their own steel, creating self-sufficiency for these countries’ economies, Sonneborn said.
Also, the electrolysis cells can get bigger to a certain point, but after that the company will have to place many cells next to each other to make green steel.
This is a mid-size electrolysis device, between the lab scale bench and the full-scale cell. This can run for weeks at a time and gathers performance data for the anode. (The text on the white board has been covered to protect the intellectual property of Boston Metal.)
Cat Clifford, CNBC
“If you go to a full-scale plant using this technology, you might see a couple hundred electrolysis cells.” Rauwerdink told CNBC.
That cell modularity is attractive to the World Bank.
“The modular technology of Boston Metal allows a small country like Burkina Faso to build their own steel plant, to have their own steel production — as opposed to importing it from India and paying hard currency outside of the country when it could actually do it internally,” Sonneborn told CNBC.
Here, one full-scale anode is running the electrolysis process at Boston Metal’s Woburn location.
Cat Clifford, CNBC
Another, faster path to revenue
Boston Metal is in the midst of raising what it hopes will be a $300 million funding raise. So far, it has closed half of that round and has “much of the remainder spoken for,” Rauwerdink told CNBC.
The main goal of Boston Metal is green steel, but the company will also use its core electrolysis technology to produce tin, niobium, and tantalum metals from what is otherwise considered waste from the mining process. About one third of the $300 million will go towards getting this program commercialized in its Brazil subsidiary, and the largest device the company has built so far will be used there.
Reporter Cat Clifford stands next to Boston Metal’s multi-anode electrolyzer cell. (A portion of the device has been covered to protect the intellectual property of Boston Metal.)
Cat Clifford, CNBC
Niobium is primarily used in making steel, tin us used both as a metal and in electronics, and tantalum is used, among other purposes, in the electronics industry for capacitors and other components.
“It’s easier, that’s why we can deploy earlier,” Carneiro told CNBC in Woburn. “The characteristics of the anodes are different.”
The metal-generation business in Brazil will be the first to generate revenue for the company.
The other two thirds of the $300 million raise will go towards finalizing the development of the steel making process and its components. Boston Metal plans to be at commercial scale for making green steel in 2026.
When Boston Metal is ready to commercialize its green steel operation, these kinds of cells will run for years at a time. Boston Metal will make money both by licensing the technology and by making and selling the anodes needed for the green steel process.
Boston Metal hopes to start licensing the technology in 2026, Carniero told CNBC.
IFC wants Boston Metal to be successful so that it can help developing nations build their own steel manufacturing, but also so it can generate returns for other projects. IFC does not pay out dividends from its investments to investors — all gains go right back into the coffer.
“When we exit, all of those gains are going to go back to solving gender inequality in India or South Asia or climate challenges in different aspects. So every profit that we make, again doesn’t get distributed as a dividend to our shareholders, it gets reinvested back into our development goals,” Sonneborn told CNBC.
Global tech stocks rallied Thursday as investors piled back into AI-related names, buoyed by Nvidia earnings.
Nvidia topped forecasts for revenue, which jumped 62% to $57.01 billion year-on-year, and issued stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter sales guidance, giving investors the confidence they were looking for to continue placing bets on the AI industry. Shares were 5% higher in premarket trade.
In Europe, Dutch semiconductor firms BESI and ASMI moved up over 3% and 2% in the first hours of trading, respectively. ASML, which makes critical equipment for semiconductors, gained 2.1%.
Stateside, investors flocked to tech stocks in premarket trade: AMD rose 5%, Arm gained almost 4%, Micron Technology advanced 2.7%, Marvell Technology added 3.3%, Broadcom was last seen 3.1% up and Intel moved 2% higher.
‘Phenomenal growth’
Dan Hanbury, global equity portfolio manager at Ninety One, which holds Nvidia as its second-largest holding in its global strategic equity fund, cautiously welcomed Nvidia’s share price jump in Thursday’s premarket trade.
“As a holder, it’s great to see an early positive reaction but of course as we know those reactions can reverse further into the day,” Hanbury told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe.”
“Our reading of the numbers is they are very strong. Clearly, we can get caught up in the quarterly noise of a company like this but if we just put those [numbers] in context … only three years ago they were delivering $15 billion of data center revenue, we’re now looking at consensus forecasts into next year of $280 billion,” Hanbury said. “That is phenomenal growth that these guys are delivering.”
Karen McCormick, chief investment officer at London-based venture capital company Beringea, spoke with CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” about some of the recent moves to bulk-up on AI and scale, particularly following Nvidia and Microsoft‘s recent push to invest up to $15 billion in OpenAI rival Anthropic.
“It’s always a little bit intimidating to contradict Jensen Huang right after he has made phenomenal earnings results but in terms of the almost incestuousness of the valley and the AI companies, it is more than we have seen in the past,” McCormick said.
“I mean, if you think about traditionally, we might have called something like this vendor financing, where your vendor is helping to support the business,” McCormick said. “In this case we are just doing it with hundreds of billions of dollars and the ecosystem itself is now so intertwined that it’s almost a little bit nerve-wracking because if we are in a bubble and if any of that bubble bursts, what is going to happen to all of the related businesses?”
‘Nowhere near as bad as 1999’
The culmination of circular dealmaking, debt issuances and high valuations added pressure to the market ahead of Nvidia’s much-anticipated results, despite other Big Tech firms posting solid quarterly earnings.
“The flip side to that is that each of them has incredibly robust balance sheets and incredibly robust investors, who may not let them fail either way,” McCormick said.
Quilter Cheviot’s global head of technology research and investment strategist Ben Barringer, added that Nvidia’s valuation isn’t “particularly excessive.”
Valuations aren’t that streteched when you look at the core big tech companies, he told CNBC’s “Europe Early Edition” on Thursday.
In terms of debt that’s also at the peripheral, he said. While Meta and Amazon have raised debt, “they’re still net cash positioned,” Barringer added.
“I think it’s more about them managing their treasury position and managing their balance sheet, as it were. Yes, it’s not great that they are doing some of this capex from debt, but it’s nowhere near as bad as 1999 where these were very heavily levered telecom companies doing a lot of this capex.”
However, Gil Luria, head of technology research at D.A. Davidson, told CNBC on Thursday that Nvidia is not a bubble barometer. “The concern is about companies raising a lot of debt to build data centers,” he said.
“Any concerns about Nvidia were certainly laid to rest [with Nvidia’s earnings], but that doesn’t mean that we don’t need to keep an eye on companies lending or borrowing to build data centers,” Luria added.
Shares in AI darling Nvidia popped in premarket trade after the U.S. firm beat expectations in third-quarter results after the closing bell on Wednesday.
Shares were last trading 5.5% higher at 4:15 a.m. ET.
Nvidia topped forecasts for revenue, which jumped 62% to $57.01 billion year-on-year, and issued stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter sales guidance.
“There’s been a lot of talk about an AI bubble,” Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang told investors on an earnings call, as the firm set out its view of the industry. “From our vantage point, we see something very different.”
Quilter Cheviot’s Ben Barringer, who is the global head of technology research and investment strategist, told CNBC’s “Europe Early Edition” that Nvidia brought relief in two-parts: it beat gross margins, which is important for semiconductor stocks, but the firm also addressed market concerns head-on in its earnings call.
“They really went through and sort of tried to disprove pretty much all of the bear cases out there. They talked about scaling laws, they talked about all the different elements of demand, not just hyperscaler capex, but the model demand that they’re seeing from companies like OpenAI and Anthropic, software demand, enterprise demand, sovereign AI,” Barringer said.
Nvidia also addressed supply constraints, vendor financing, partnerships and China. “So they really did a stand up job of calling out every elephant in the room, every every possible bear case, and going through and giving their perspective on it,” Barringer added.
Nvidia’s upbeat guidance helped lift investor sentiment around the AI trade, which has weakened in recent sessions amid fears about elevated valuations, debt financing and potential chip depreciation. The results boosted a slew of stocks across the AI ecosystem in the after-hours session, including chipmakers Advanced Micro Devices and Broadcom and power infrastructure companies such as Eaton.
Chinese tech company Baidu announced Monday it can sell some robotaxi rides without any human staff in the vehicles.
Baidu
BEIJING — Chinese robotaxi companies are expanding abroad at a faster clip than U.S. rivals Waymo and Tesla — at a time when industry leaders say autonomous driving is finally near an inflection point.
“I think robotaxi has reached a tipping point, both here in China and in the U.S.,” Baidu CEO Robin Li said Tuesday on an earnings call, according to a FactSet transcript.
“There are enough people who have [had the] chance to experience driverless rides, and the word of mouth has created positive social media feedback,” he said, noting that the wider public exposure could speed up regulatory approval.
It’s a global market with significant growth potential, likely worth more than $25 billion by 2030, according to Goldman Sachs’ estimates in May.
To seize that opportunity, Chinese companies are aggressively expanding overseas and claim they are close to making robotaxis a viable business, rather than simply burning cash to grab market share.
Such tie-ups “will be critical to success” as they enable robotaxi companies to operate more efficiently and reach profitability more quickly, said Counterpoint Senior Analyst Murtuza Ali.
Once we can generate profit for every single car in a second-tier city [like Wuhan] in mainland China, we can generate profits in lots of cities across the world.
Halton Niu
General manager for Apollo Go’s overseas business
Expanding on experience at home
Baidu says that since late last year, its Apollo Go robotaxi unit has reached per-vehicle profitability in Wuhan, where the company has operated over 1,000 vehicles in its largest deployment in China.
That means ridership is enough to offset a Wuhan taxi fare that’s 30% cheaper than in Beijing or Shanghai, and far below prices in the U.S. or Europe. Besides developing autonomous driving systems, Baidu has also produced electrically-powered robotaxi vehicles — without relying on a third-party manufacturer — that are 50% cheaper.
“Once we can generate profit for every single car in a second-tier city [like Wuhan] in mainland China, we can generate profits in lots of cities across the world,” Halton Niu, general manager for Apollo Go’s overseas business, told CNBC.
“Scale matters,” he said. “If you only deploy, for example, 100 to 200 cars in a single city, if you only cover a small area of the city, you can never become profitable.”
The three companies have not disclosed plans to break even on their robotaxis.
Baidu Apollo Go’s Niu did not rule out an expansion into the U.S. But for now, the robotaxi operator plans to enter Europe with trials in parts of Switzerland next month, following their expansion in the Middle East this year.
Abu Dhabi last week gave Apollo Go a permit to charge fares to the public for fully driverless robotaxi rides, which are operated locally under the AutoGo brand, eight months after local trials began in parts of the city.
But Chinese startup WeRide said it received a similar permit on Oct. 31 to charge fares for its fully driverless robotaxi rides in Abu Dhabi, and claimed that removing human staff from the cars would allow it to make a profit on each vehicle.
That puts Pony.ai furthest from profitability among the three major Chinese robotaxi operators. Its CFO Leo Haojun Wang told The Wall Street Journal in mid-September that the company aimed to make a profit on each car by the end of this year or early next year.
Pony.ai and WeRide are set to release quarterly earnings early next week.
“Currently, companies like Waymo, Baidu, WeRide and Pony.ai are leading in terms of fleet size, which positions them advantageously in the race for profitability,” said Yuqian Ding, head of China Autos Research at HSBC.
Scale and safety
Fleet size is becoming a competitive marker. Pony.ai reportedly said it plans to release 1,000 robotaxis in the Middle East by 2028, while WeRide aims to operate a fleet of 1,000 robotaxis in the region by the end of next year.
Niu said Apollo Go operates around 100 robotaxis in Abu Dhabi and Dubai, and plans to double its vehicle fleet in the next few months.
“Apollo Go has had a head start with significantly more test rides than the other two,” Kai Wang, Asia equity market strategist at Morningstar, said in an email. “The more testing and data you can collect from trips taken, the more likely the AI sensors are able to recognize the objects on the road, which means better safety as well.”
He cautioned that despite some initial progress, the robotaxi race remains uncertain as “no one has truly had mass adoption for their vehicles.”
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Coverage remains limited. Even in China, robotaxis are only allowed to operate in selected zones, though Pony.ai recently became the first to win regulatory approval to operate its robotaxis across all of Shenzhen, dubbed China’s Silicon Valley. In Beijing, self-driving taxis are mostly limited to a suburb called Yizhuang.
Anecdotally, CNBC tests have found Pony.ai offered a smoother ride than Apollo Go, which was prone to hard braking.
As for safety — which is critical for regulatory approval — none of the six operators has reported fatalities or major injuries caused by the robotaxis so far. But Apollo Go and Waymo have begun advertising low airbag deployment rates.
Even if that’s not enough to convince regulators worldwide, Beijing is expected to ramp up support at home.
HSBC’s Ding predicts the number of robotaxis on China’s roads could multiply from a few thousand to tens of thousands between the end of this year and 2026, a shift that would give operators more proof that their model works.