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Lawmakers are looking ahead to the 2024 election as a pivotal opportunity to shape the future of the Supreme Court because of the possibility that conservative Justices Clarence Thomas, 75, and Samuel Alito, 73, could retire.  

Democrats are worried that if Biden loses and the GOP wins the Senate majority, it could allow a GOP president to replace both men with younger conservatives who could rule far into the future.  

“It’s critical. President Biden, who I feel confident will be reelected, needs to be able to put more judges on the bench, federal judges, including Supreme Court. It is absolutely critical that the Senate remain in Democratic hands,” said Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.), who will retire at the end of next year.   

Stabenow warned that if Republicans flip the White House and Senate and replace Thomas and Alito with younger conservatives, “it would be devastating for anyone who cares about privacy and their own personal freedom,” alluding to last year’s 6-3 Supreme Court opinion that overturned the constitutional right to an abortion and raised questions about other rights protected by the 14th Amendment.   

Republicans also see high stakes in next year’s elections because of the court.  

“Probably the next president will have a chance to appoint another member of the court,” said Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.), a member of the Senate Judiciary Committee. “I expect that you’d see, over the course between now and the end of the next [presidential] term, probably another retirement or two.”  

Hawley said replacing older conservatives such as Thomas and Alito with younger ones could create an “enduring majority,” but he cautioned that it’s tough to predict how a justice’s opinions might evolve over years on the Supreme Court.   

“Republicans have had the majority of Supreme Court appointments for decades now and have not succeeded in getting a stable conservative majority on that court until very recently,” he said. “Does the next election matter for the court? I think it really does. I don’t know how much of a [conservative] majority it is. I don’t know how stable it is.”  

Republican appointees now hold a 6-3 majority on the Supreme Court, with Chief Justice John Roberts, 68, emerging as the most likely swing vote since the retirement of Justice Anthony Kennedy in 2018.  

Among the Democratic appointees, Obama-nominated Justice Sonia Sotomayor, 69, is the oldest. Justice Elena Kagan, another Obama appointee, is 63 and Ketanji Brown Jackson, whom President Biden put on the court, is 52.   

The remaining three justices, Neil Gorsuch, 55, Brett Kavanaugh, 58, and Amy Coney Barrett, 51, were appointed by former President Trump.

The Supreme Court’s importance to the balance of political power in the United States was underscored once again Tuesday, when a 6-3 majority ruled to reject a legal theory that would have given state legislatures nearly unlimited power to set rules for federal elections, without judicial restraint.  

It was another decision that showed justices don’t always march in line with the party of the president who appointed them. Roberts wrote the majority opinion, which was joined by the court’s three liberals as well as Coney Barrett and Kavanaugh. Thomas, Alito and Gorsuch dissented.   

The conservative majority now on the court is likely to be there for some time, regardless of what happens with Alito and Thomas.  

An analysis of the court’s projected composition by academics at three prestigious schools suggested the next time the majority of justices will be appointed by a Democrat is likely to be around 2065.   

It found that the Democrats’ failure to confirm Obama-nominee Merrick Garland in 2016, combined with the death in 2016 of liberal Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, who was quickly replaced by Trump, “reduced its likely control of the court by about 19 years out of the next 100 and increased the number of years until the party takes control again by 36 years.”  

The study caught the attention of judicial reform advocates on both sides of the ideological spectrum who say it further highlights the stakes of next year’s presidential and Senate races.  

“I do think that the 2024 election is important. I do think Alito and Thomas will be getting up there in age, and there’s quite a real possibility that replacements for them could be in order in the next four-year presidential window,” said Brian Fallon, co-founder and executive director of Demand Justice, which seeks to restore “ideological balance and legitimacy” to the courts.  

Fallon noted that prominent Republicans dropped hints about wanting to see Thomas retire while Trump was president.  

“It’s hugely important to win the upcoming election, and I think the court will be more salient of an issue than ever,” he said. “It’s important to win the next election because if there is going be an opportunity to replace a Thomas or Alito, you don’t want to miss it by not winning a Senate race here or there and preventing us from filling a seat. But we shouldn’t delude ourselves into thinking that the court’s balance is going to be shifted anytime soon just by winning a few elections.”  

Carrie Campbell Severino, the president of JCN, a conservative advocacy group that favors “the Founders’ vision of a nation of limited government” observed that “if the next president has the opportunity to appoint a Supreme Court justice, that person could easily serve another 30 years.”  

She also questioned whether a conservate majority on the Supreme Court will really last as long as some studies have predicted. “It strikes me as pretty optimistic,” she said.  

Senate Democrats have an uphill battle to keep their majority after the 2024 election; they have to defend three highly vulnerable seats in Ohio, Montana and West Virginia, while Republicans don’t have any seats in real danger of flipping.   

Democrats also have to worry about the future of independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema’s (Ariz.) seat, which now counts in the Democrats’ column for the purpose of determining the majority. She hasn’t said whether she will run for reelection.   

The battle for the White House also is seen as a jump ball.    Watch live: Blinken discusses Biden administration foreign policy at Council on Foreign Relations Economic optimism best since early 2022, Gallup finds

A Morning Consult poll published Tuesday showed Trump leading Biden in a hypothetical matchup for the first time, 44 percent to 41 percent.  

The same poll showed Trump trouncing his nearest Republican rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, 57 percent to 19 percent, among 3,650 potential Republican primary voters nationwide.  

A Morning Consult poll in April showed Biden leading Trump by 1 percentage point. 

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Sports

Elliott dominates The Clash, takes checkered flag

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Elliott dominates The Clash, takes checkered flag

WINSTON-SALEM, N.C. — NASCAR returned to its roots with a fight-free preseason exhibition at Bowman Gray Stadium and a popular victory with Chase Elliott winning The Clash on Sunday night.

Elliott won his heat Saturday night to start from the pole and essentially dominate on the quarter-mile track where NASCAR’s Cup Series last raced in 1971.

NASCAR’s reigning most popular driver won The Clash for the first time in his career and joined his father, Bill, as winners of the unofficial season-opener. Bill Elliott won The Clash in 1987 and then parlayed that victory into a win in the Daytona 500 one week later.

Chase Elliott gets his chance to repeat his father’s dominance when NASCAR’s season officially opens Feb. 16 at Daytona International Speedway.

“Excited to get to Daytona. It’s a great way to start the season,” Elliott said. “I know it’s not a points race, but it is nice to win, for sure. Just really proud of our team for just continuing to keep our heads down and push forward, for sure.”

The Clash is a non-points event that was held at Daytona International Speedway from 1979 to 2021 as the warm-up act to the Daytona 500. NASCAR stepped outside the box in 2022 and moved it across the country to Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, which was transformed into a temporary short track for three seasons.

NASCAR this year moved it to Bowman Gray in a throwback to grassroots racing. The Cup Series ran at Bowman Gray from 1958 to 1971 and the stadium is now used for weekly local racing and is the football field for Winston-Salem State University.

The track is notorious for flared tempers and fighting, but made it through two days of NASCAR racing without a single brawl.

“This environment is special. This is a place that has had deep history in NASCAR,” Elliott said. “I think they deserve this event, truthfully. I hope we didn’t disappoint. It was fun for me, at least. We’ll hopefully come back here one day.”

Elliott led 172 of the 200 laps in his Chevrolet from Hendrick Motorsports to win the event in front of an adoring sold-out crowd of 17,000 fans. Most spectators were on their feet every time Elliott picked off a lapped car while battling door-to-door with Denny Hamlin and then holding off Ryan Blaney at the end,

“Thanks everybody for coming out,” Elliott told the crowd. “Y’all made for a really cool environment for us. We don’t race in stadiums like this, so this is just really cool and appreciate you making the moment special for me and my team. I hope it was a good show for you.

“Had a tough race. Ryan kept me honest there at the end,” he continued. “Denny was really good at the second half of that break. I just felt like he was kind of riding, and I was afraid to lose control of the race and not be able to get it back. Fortunately it worked out. Great way to start the season.”

Kyle Larson and Josh Berry raced their way into The Clash earlier Sunday night by going 1-2 in the crash-filled last chance qualifying, and Blaney earned a spot based on points scored last season to complete the 23-driver field.

This year’s race marked the Cup Series’ first race at the “Mecca of Madhouse” but didn’t produce the off-track temper tantrums the Bowman Gray regulars are used to watching during weekly grassroots racing.

But the event was still special.

Richard Childress hails from just 15 minutes away and as a youngster the Hall of Fame team owner sold peanuts in the grandstands. He was in the stands Sunday night watching and before the race began, he stopped by the Fox Sports booth to deliver peanuts and popcorn to the broadcast crew.

“As a kid we jumped the fence and come in and sell peanuts and popcorn, then I’d hang out with all the race drivers, and we had a heck of a time,” Childress said. “I said ‘Man, as much fun as they are having, I’ve got to be a race driver.’ We’d come over here for a fight and a race would break out.”

Blaney finished second in a Ford for Team Penske and was followed by Hamlin in a Toyota for Joe Gibbs Racing.

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The million-dollar mistake: Bad advice can destroy your UAE crypto company

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The million-dollar mistake: Bad advice can destroy your UAE crypto company

Bad advice from unqualified consultants can lead to costly regulatory mistakes.

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UK

Boy, 15, dies after being stabbed at a school in Sheffield

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Boy, 15, dies after being stabbed at a school in Sheffield

A 15-year-old boy has died after being stabbed at a school in Sheffield.

Police were called to All Saints Catholic High School on Granville Road at 12.17pm on Monday after reports of a stabbing.

South Yorkshire Police said the boy “suffered serious injuries and despite the best efforts of the ambulance service, he sadly died a short time later”. The victim’s family has been informed.

A 15-year-old boy has been detained on suspicion of murder and remains in custody.

The scene outside All Saints Catholic High School
Image:
The scene outside All Saints Catholic High School

Speaking outside the force’s headquarters, Assistant Chief Constable Lindsey Butterfield said: “It is with great sadness that I share with you today, a teenager has died following the stabbing at a Sheffield school earlier today.

“Our thoughts are with the family of the boy, his friends and the whole school community.”

ACC Butterfield said the force’s officers are “working at pace to build a full picture of how this tragedy has unfolded”.

“We know that what has happened will cause significant distress and concern,” she said.

“I would like to reassure you that our officers will remain on scene and in the local area to offer reassurance to parents, staff and local residents as our investigation continues.”

The scene outside All Saints Catholic High School.
Image:
Emergency services at the site of the attack

The scene outside All Saints Catholic High School.

‘Second school lockdown in a week’

It is the second time All Saints Catholic High School has gone into lockdown in a week, the PA news agency reported.

Headteacher Sean Pender sent a message to parents on 29 January, saying: “The reason for the lockdown was due to threatening behaviour between a small number of students where threats were made of physical violence.”

A 2023 Ofsted report rated the school, which had 1,398 pupils at the time, as “good”.

Inspectors found that most pupils behaved well and “a strong ethos of warmth and respect pervades this school”.

‘Avoid speculation’ – police

Meanwhile, ACC Butterfield warned the public to avoid sharing distressing content related to the stabbing on social media.

She said: “We urge you to be mindful that there are loved ones at the centre of this, and they are grieving the profound loss of a teenage boy in the most devastating of circumstances.

“We would therefore ask you to avoid speculation and the sharing of online content, which could be distressing to them and detrimental to our investigation.

“We urge anyone with any information that they believe can assist us to get in touch.”

The location of All Saints Catholic High School in Sheffield
Image:
The location of All Saints Catholic High School in Sheffield

Granville Road was closed from the tram stop to Fitzwalter Road, and police asked the public to avoid the area while emergency services carried out their work.

Education secretary Bridget Phillipson said she was “devastated” to hear about the stabbing.

“My heart goes out to his family, friends and the entire school community at this distressing time,” she said.

“We are in contact with the school and council to offer support. Investigations are now under way.”

‘Serious questions need answering’

Sheffield Heeley MP Louise Haigh has said “serious questions will have to be answered” after the “horrific news” of the fatal stabbing.

“A criminal investigation will now obviously take place, but serious questions will have to be answered about how this could have happened and I will be working with the school, the police and the council to make sure they are.”

South Yorkshire’s mayor, Oliver Coppard, said: “This morning a teenage boy went to school like thousands of others across South Yorkshire but won’t come home; a young man who was a member of our community, with his whole life ahead of him.

“The vast majority of our young people don’t carry knives, but one incidence of knife crime is one too many, because when we do see knife crime happen all too often the consequences are utterly devastating, as they have been today.”

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