We’d consider them now more like the “Overachievers.”
It took just six seasons for the NHL’s latest desert-dwelling expansion team to earn the franchise’s first Stanley Cup championship, through a five-game triumph over the Florida Panthers in June.
The Golden Knights weren’t even Cup Final rookies, either. Vegas advanced to that stage in the organization’s inaugural 2017-18 campaign too (it lost to the Washington Capitals), further proof that while Vegas may have joined the NHL about 100 years into its existence, these Golden Knights wasted no time making their mark.
Despite Vegas’ short history, the club has undergone a number of roster and coaching changes in a short half-decade that culminated in it hoisting Lord Stanley’s chalice. Only six of the Golden Knights’ original “Misfits” — aka the first round of players selected in the 2017 expansion draft — remained when Vegas clinched its victory: Jonathan Marchessault, William Karlsson, Reilly Smith, Brayden McNabb, Shea Theodore and William Carrier. The club hasn’t stopped evolving since its inception.
How did the Golden Knights do it? What had to go wrong before so Vegas could finally get it right? And with one title under its belt, will Vegas go on to repeat with another Cup victory next summer?
We’re looking back at Vegas’ run to this most recent Cup Final (and its eventual victory) to break down why the Golden Knights will — and why they won’t — be able to do it all again in 2023-24.
It’ll be a fascinating journey to watch. One thing’s for sure, though. With Vegas, we know there won’t be a dull moment ahead.
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Vegas hoists the Stanley Cup for the first time
The Vegas Golden Knights celebrate at the Stanley Cup presentation ceremony.
The Golden Knights didn’t wander into last season as obvious Cup contenders.
Vegas missed the playoffs entirely in 2021-22 through repeated, self-inflicted wounds. Their big in-season trade acquisition, Jack Eichel, struggled coming off neck surgery, and by April the tenor of the team was obvious disappointment and frustration over unfulfilled expectations.
That led to then-head coach Peter DeBoer being fired. Bruce Cassidy — just let go by the Boston Bruins — stepped in behind the bench. Then word came out in August that the club’s starting netminder, Robin Lehner, was likely done for the season following hip surgery.
It felt as though Vegas was at a turning point — but in which direction? The Golden Knights didn’t need long to answer.
Vegas opened October 2022 with an 8-2-0 record to cement itself as one of the Western Conference’s top contenders. And the Golden Knights never let up from there. They finished atop the Western standings with 111 points (51-22-9) and walked right into the postseason off a near-perfect 5-0-2 roll through April.
Eichel — fully healthy and back in form — led the Golden Knights with 27 goals and 66 points through 67 regular-season contents. But Vegas did damage by committee: Seven skaters had 15 or more goals, six surpassed the 60-point plateau and the Golden Knights paced the NHL in blocked shots per 60 minute (17.94), illustrating a ready appetite for bodily sacrifice.
Vegas was deservedly confident heading into the playoffs, and it immediately showed the resiliency required of a Cup champion. The Golden Knights lost Game 1 of their first-round playoff series against the Winnipeg Jets by a 5-1 margin, then bounced back with four straight victories to ground the Jets and advance to the second round.
The Edmonton Oilers awaited there, and Vegas split the first two contests. In Game 3, the Golden Knights lost starting goaltender Laurent Brossoit to a playoff-ending groin injury. Vegas turned then to backup Adin Hill, relying on the 27-year-old to backstop the team from there. Hill delivered, and Vegas sent the Oilers packing with a 4-2 series win.
In the Western Conference finals, Vegas faced off against DeBoer and the Dallas Stars. The first two games were overtime wins for the Golden Knights, but the Stars didn’t go quietly, pushing the series to an eventual sixth game that Vegas won 6-0 to reach the Cup Final against Florida.
The Panthers’ path to that point was more fraught than that of the Golden Knights: Florida had played 16 games by then (including nine rounds of overtime) compared to just 12 games (and five overtimes) for Vegas. The Golden Knights took an early 2-0 lead in the series, and while the Panthers responded with a Game 3 win, it was Vegas punching back with consecutive victories to win the Cup on home ice by a 9-3 result.
Vegas’ season came together through a confluence of factors rooted in a hundred decisions made over the previous six seasons. Cassidy proved to be a perfect fit in the Golden Knights’ organization by quickly and effectively establishing an identity for the club. The team as a whole managed to stay relatively healthy in the postseason, and its depth was off the charts (four players hit double-digit goal totals in the postseason; six had 15 or more points).
So what are the chances the Golden Knights can run it back with another title this season? Caesars Sportsbook has given Vegas the second-best odds (behind the Colorado Avalanche) to be the 2023-24 Stanley Cup champion. With the NHL draft and the bulk of free agency behind us, now’s the time to take a snapshot of those repeat title chances.
Point: The Golden Knights’ core remains intact
General manager Kelly McCrimmon and president of hockey operations George McPhee took great pains piecing Vegas together into the team we see now. It’ll look quite similar come fall, with those key players from the regular season and postseason returning to the fold.
Eichel (six goals, 26 points in the playoffs), Mark Stone (11 goals, 24 points), Chandler Stephenson (10 goals, 20 points), Marchessault (13 goals, 25 points) and Karlsson (11 goals, 17 points) remain. So do Theodore, McNabb, Alex Pietrangelo and Alec Martinez on defense. Each has become a cornerstone of Vegas’ success to date. Those players set a tone.
Hill will return too, after his star turn as Vegas’ No. 1 goaltender in the playoffs. He was sensational, posting an 11-4-0 record with a .932 save percentage and 2.17 goals-against average. In the Cup Final itself, Hill was 4-1 with a .923 SV%. Vegas smartly resigned Hill via a two-year, $9.8 million contract in June; he’ll enter the Golden Knights’ training camp on an inside track to be their starter once again.
Vegas’ chemistry was palpable all season long. It was clear how much the Golden Knights enjoyed playing together, and that intangible can’t be underestimated when a grinding 82-game campaign bleeds into an increasingly stressful postseason push. No new friends needed.
Counterpoint: Health could be an issue
Colorado learned the hard way.
After the Avalanche went on their own Cup-winning run in 2021-22, they too hoped to be poised for a repeat. The injury gods had other plans.
In the offseason following the Cup victory, captain Gabriel Landeskog underwent knee surgery and wound up missing the entire 2022-23 season. Cale Makar, Artturi Lehkonen and Nathan MacKinnon — all integral players on that Cup team — were sidelined by various ailments. The Avalanche didn’t have enough depth to keep up — they’d lost Nazem Kadri and Andre Burakovsky, among others, to free agency the previous summer — and Colorado fell short of its consecutive Cup goal.
The Golden Knights will aim to avoid a similar fate. But there’s a red flag or two worth watching out for, particularly with impact skaters who’ve been through the injury roller coaster already.
Stone himself has had two back surgeries in the past nine months. Eichel has never played a full 82-game season in his eight-year career. Goaltender Logan Thompson missed most of the second half of last season with a lower-body problem. And who knows what other procedures or issues players have been dealing with that we don’t know about.
It takes a good deal out of everyone on the path to a Cup victory. How Vegas survives the wear and tear of a long spring — and short summer — will have a direct effect on its prospects this year, too.
Point: Vegas’ ownership and management group want to win — at any cost
Golden Knights owner Bill Foley strives to be a man of his word.
He’s off to a good start.
Foley recounted for reporters last month how, when Karlsson agreed to an eight-year extension with Vegas in June 2019, he expected “three Stanley Cups” during the length of the contract.
“When we were on the ice [after the Cup victory] and getting our pictures taken,” Foley said, “I looked over at [Karlsson] and told him, ‘OK, you got one.'”
Vegas has four years — on Foley’s timeline anyway — to grab two more. And there’s no doubt Foley will give his executives every green light available to try and get there. McPhee and McCrimmon have a history of showing they’ll take advantage of opportunity.
McCrimmon has said repeatedly that while Vegas’ run to the Cup Final in its inaugural season wasn’t a fluke, the organization had to improve season over season to be where it’s at now, positioned as a perennial contender.
To make that a reality, the Golden Knights aren’t afraid to make hard — or unpopular — decisions. Last month Vegas traded Smith, an original Golden Knight, to Pittsburgh to free up enough cap space to sign Ivan Barbashev to a five-year, $25 million extension. Vegas previously acquired Barbashev from St. Louis at the trade deadline, and he was a force in the postseason, putting up seven goals and 18 points (Smith, by comparison, tallied four goals and 14 points).
McCrimmon & Co. don’t get bogged down by emotion. Smith was the first player to whom Stone handed the Cup after his initial captain’s lap, but moving him freed up cap space and got Vegas a third-round draft pick in return.
Counterpoint: Cap space could be an issue
At the moment, Vegas has $1,423,317 in cap space, according to Cap Friendly.
Now, that could change if and when the team shifts players to long-term injured reserve down the road (for example, Lehner spent all of this past year on LTIR with a hip issue, and his $5 million hit might end up there again depending on his current health status).
Like some other teams, the Golden Knights have gotten creative in the recent past in hurdling over any cap-related restraints. If there’s a loophole they can use to sign or keep a player, they will explore it in earnest.
However, the cap is what it is — and it’s increasing by a paltry $1 million this season (to hit $83.5 million). Should the Golden Knights not be able to capitalize on LTIR space like they have in the past, it could tie their hands when it comes to making in-season improvements. Having the team’s core dialed in is the ideal scenario, but as the Avalanche discovered, there must be room to adjust on the fly as well — or else.
Reality: It’s hard — but not impossible — to repeat
Just 16 NHL teams have won consecutive championships. Only Tampa Bay (in 2020 and 2021) and Pittsburgh (2016 and 2017) have managed to do it in the past 25 years.
There’s a long list of reasons for why that feat is so difficult. Fatigue plays a major role for many Cup-winning teams the following season. The league’s other 31 teams have had the chance to improve themselves over the past months and weeks, too. There’s a target on the back of champions. That can creep into any player’s head space and take hold — positively or negatively.
The mere pressure of attempting to repeat can derail that very attempt. It’s a collection of issues every former victor has had to navigate, and the vast majority fall short.
That’s not to say Vegas can’t be the exception. All things being equal, the Golden Knights should have a strong, motivated team going into the season. And Vegas has enjoyed defying the odds, whether in that first-season push to the Cup Final or by their willingness to take risks that ultimately paid off.
What’s the final verdict, then, on Vegas’ potential going 2-for-2? It’s easy to be high on its chances in July. On paper, the Golden Knights are obvious contenders you’d be hard-pressed to bet against.
But as every card player knows too well — tables can go from hot to cold in a blink. The Golden Knights best be well prepared for a fight starting this fall.
Designated hitter George Springer has returned to the Blue Jays lineup as Toronto seeks to clinch the World Series title, while the Los Angeles Dodgers are tinkering with their order as they seek to extend the series to Game 7.
Springer will be the Blue Jays’ leadoff hitter for Friday’s Game 6 after missing the past two games when he strained muscles on his right side while taking a swing in Game 3.
“Once you get confirmation that there’s nothing terribly wrong, it’s kind of ‘What can you tolerate?'” Blue Jays manager John Schneider said. “He’s somehow, at age 36, made significant progress in the last 48 hours.”
Los Angeles, meanwhile, will shift Mookie Betts to cleanup and play Miguel Rojas at second base. The Dodgers are searching for an offensive spark after being held to three runs and 10 hits over two straight losses to the Blue Jays in Los Angeles.
Betts at cleanup is the lowest he has hit in a lineup since September 2017 with the Boston Red Sox.
Typically hitting No. 2 for the Dodgers this season, Betts is 3-for-23 in the World Series, going 0-for-4 with two strikeouts in Game 5 when he hit third for the first time in four years.
Schneider said the Blue Jays don’t believe Springer can aggravate or worsen his pain by playing.
“That’s kind of how we’re approaching it,” Schneider said. “There’s always some risk too. There’s a difference between being injured and hurting. He’s not injured right now. But yeah, there’s always a risk.”
Springer has hit the second-most leadoff homers in major league history with 63, trailing only Hall of Famer Rickey Henderson‘s 81.
He hit a three-run homer in Game 7 of the American League Championship Series against the Seattle Mariners on Oct. 20, playing a major role in sending the Blue Jays to their first World Series title since 1993. That came three days after he was struck on the right kneecap by a 95.6 mph pitch from Seattle’s Bryan Woo during the ALCS, forcing him out of Game 5. Springer returned in Game 6.
With Springer back in the lineup, Bo Bichette will play second base for the third time in the World Series after not playing the position at the major league level before.
The Blue Jays lead the World Series 3-2 and are one win from their first title since 1993. A Dodgers victory would force the first World Series Game 7 since 2019.
Will the Blue Jays finish the deal at Rogers Centre or will the Dodgers find a way to rebound? And who is the World Series MVP through five games?
Our MLB experts break down what Toronto and L.A. must do in the final game(s) of this Fall Classic.
How surprised are you that this series is heading back to Toronto with the Blue Jays up 3-2?
David Schoenfield: Hey, I picked the Blue Jays in seven, and one of the main reasons I went with them has come into play: concern about the Dodgers’ bats. They’re hitting just .201 in the World Series and .236 overall in the postseason (and .214 since the start of the NLDS, while averaging just 3.5 runs per game).
It feels like unless Shohei Ohtani is hitting the ball over the fence, they’re going to have problems scoring runs. Mookie Betts’ struggles are especially problematic: He’s 3-for-23 in the World Series without an extra-base hit or RBI. He has six hard-hit balls (95-plus mph), but only one ball in play at 100 mph, and he’s 1-for-6 in those six plate appearances.
Jorge Castillo: I wouldn’t have been surprised if presented with this scenario before the series started since I picked the Blue Jays to win in seven games. But I thought Toronto was in trouble after not only losing Game 3 in that fashion but losing George Springer to injury. The Blue Jays bouncing back from those two setbacks — beating Shohei Ohtani in Game 4 before Trey Yesavage made more history in Game 5 — was beyond impressive.
Who is the MVP of this series through the first five games?
Jesse Rogers: With all due respect to what young Yesavage did in Game 5, the Blue Jays would have no chance in this series without the contributions of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. He’s been the most constant — as well as dominant — hitter on any team this postseason, this series included. That’s saying something considering some of Ohtani’s heroics, but that’s how good Guerrero has been. He’s hitting .364 with two important home runs in Games 4 and 5. He might be your MVP no matter what happens in Games 6 and 7.
Alden Gonzalez: I agree with Jesse on Vlad. But Addison Barger actually has a higher OPS than Vlad in this series, at 1.147. And Alejandro Kirk is right behind Barger at 1.125. And so, even though it’s obviously not possible, I’d like to give the MVP to this entire Blue Jays offense — for doing what the Milwaukee Brewers couldn’t against a dominant rotation, and for showing the Dodgers what is possible against the high-end pitching teams face this time of year.
The Blue Jays have been without Springer over these last couple of games and are playing a very limited Bo Bichette, and yet they’ve outscored the Dodgers by 11 runs in this series and by a whopping 36 runs in the entire postseason. In all three of their wins, they’ve perfectly followed the blueprint to beat this Dodgers pitching staff — make the starting pitcher work, then tee off on the middle relievers.
What do you expect for Yamamoto vs. Gausman 2.0 in Game 6 after their Game 2 pitching duel?
Bradford Doolittle:Yoshinobu Yamamoto is on a roll. The Dodgers’ offense is very much not. That suggests a low-scoring duel and a game decided by one or two runs. The chances of Yamamoto throwing another nine are slim from a pure probability standpoint, and frankly the Dodgers shouldn’t need him to do it with just two more games to cover and the availability of starters like Ohtani and Blake Snell in the bullpen for an all-hands-on-deck Game 7.
After the 15 whiffs in Game 5, the Dodgers will be antsy for contact and it’ll be telling how aggressive they are against Gausman early on. It’s a tough balance. Kevin Gausman will walk guys, but you can’t be too passive with him because he’ll bury you once he gets the edge in a count. It’ll be a great cat-and-mouse game on both sides.
Castillo: Another duel. Yamamoto has been the best pitcher in this postseason and nothing suggests he’s about to get roughed up. A third straight complete game is asking for a lot, but he should give the Dodgers at least a quality start. On the other side, Gausman has been very good in the playoffs and matched Yamamoto in Game 2 until the seventh inning. The struggling Dodgers offense might not need much to support Yamamoto, but Gausman won’t make it easy.
The Blue Jays will be World Series champions if …
Rogers: They simply keep the pressure on at the plate. Despite some stellar moments on the mound for the Dodgers, Toronto’s pesky lineup has caused just enough havoc to earn a series lead. If they don’t get much off Dodgers starters the next game or perhaps two, their ability to add on late against L.A.’s pen is always a threat. Toronto has proven it has the lengthier and better lineup so far. It’s their key to winning this weekend.
Schoenfield: Vlad Jr. keeps hitting bombs. The Jays can win without him — they won Game 7 of the ALCS even though he went 1-for-4 without a run or RBI — but he is, as Reggie Jackson might say, the straw that stirs the drink.
As alluded to above, even if they lose Game 6, at least knocking out Yamamoto and forcing Dave Roberts to use Roki Sasaki will be another key. It feels like if it goes to a Game 7, Roberts’ circle of trust might be limited to starter Tyler Glasnow, Sasaki, Ohtani and maybe Snell. Glasnow has topped out at six innings in his three playoff starts, so if the Blue Jays can at least force Sasaki into Game 6, maybe that limits Roberts’ relief options in Game 7 — or forces him to use someone else from an unreliable bullpen.
The Dodgers can force a Game 7 (and win it) if …
Doolittle: For me, Game 6 is the Blue Jays’ best chance to close out the series. I just like the Dodgers’ pitching outlook for a Game 7 much more, from the starter to the options in expanded bullpens. They have to get to Gausman early on the scoreboard, ideally by stringing some disciplined at-bats together that revs up his pitch count.
I feel like Yamamoto, complete game or not, will pull his weight. But one or two or more of the Dodgers’ struggling stars have to remind us of why L.A.’s offense was such a beast during the regular season, because you can’t count on the Blue Jays’ offense being completely shut down. They are just too consistent.
Gonzalez: Their offense gets back to manufacturing runs. The Dodgers are slashing just .214/.306/.360 since the wild-card round. In that stretch, they’ve scored three or more runs in just three of their 123 half-innings. Two players in particular need to step up: Mookie Betts, who hits between Ohtani and Freddie Freeman but is just 3-for-23 in the World Series; and Alex Call, who will probably replace the struggling Andy Pages in the No. 9 spot once again and who needs to reach base so that the top of the lineup can see more RBI opportunities.
TORONTO — In Game 6 of the World Series on Friday, two of the foremost practitioners of the pitch that has defined October will duel at Rogers Centre. Los Angeles Dodgers right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto is trying to save his team’s season, and Toronto Blue Jays right-hander Kevin Gausman is trying to win his franchise’s first championship in more than 30 years, and both will rely heavily on the split-fingered fastball, an offering that for almost 20 years teetered on the brink of extinction in Major League Baseball.
The rise of the splitter over the past half a decade — fueled by the emergence of elite pitching from Japan, where the the offering is a standard part of nearly every pitcher’s arsenal, and the softening on its use by MLB teams that at one point had forbid the pitch, fearful that it directly led to elbow injuries — has transformed baseball even more than the cutter and sweeper once did. Because it’s a superior pitch to all of them.
“If you can throw it near the strike zone,” Clayton Kershaw said, “it’s the best pitch in the game.”
In recent years, Kershaw began throwing a split-change, finally finding a comfortable variation of a changeup after spending his 18-year future Hall of Fame career in search of one. He is far from alone. This postseason, 32 pitchers, representing nearly a quarter of playoff hurlers, have thrown splitters. Since the advent of pitch tracking in 2008, the highest percentage of splitters thrown among overall pitches in October was 3.2% last year. Most seasons, it ranged between 0.2% and 2%.
This October, 6.8% of all pitches have been splitters, a staggering number that reflects the game’s wholesale embrace. It’s not just Gausman (who has thrown the pitch 41.4% of the time in the playoffs) and Yamamoto (24.7%). Toronto rookie Trey Yesavage dominated the Dodgers with his splitter in Game 5. Shohei Ohtani, who will pitch in Game 7 if the Dodgers win Friday’s battle of the splits, throws a vicious one. Blue Jays closer Jeff Hoffman could set off a celebration with one. The same goes for Dodgers closer Roki Sasaki, whose splitter dances in all directions with perilously low spin, like a souped-up knuckleball.
“It’s kind of one of the few pitches I thoroughly believe a hitter can know it’s coming and still get out,” Gausman said. “I’ve always felt like the changeup is the best pitch in the game because it looks like a fastball, and anything that looks like a fastball and isn’t is really good. So, I think that’s why you’re seeing a lot more guys do it. I’m happy to see a lot more starters do it because it was always kind of more of a reliever pitch. So, to me, it’s exciting to see guys like Yamamoto throw it a lot.”
The splitter is the evolutionary descendant of the forkball, which dates back to the 1910s. Whereas a forkball was jammed as deep as possible between the index and middle fingers, the splitter offers more leeway for pitchers to find comfort. It is not a discriminating pitch like the changeup, which necessitates pronation — the internal rotation of the forearm that leaves the thumb facing down and the pinky up after release — something with which Kershaw and others struggle. It’s quite simple, actually: put the ball between two fingers, support it with the thumb, throw it with the arm speed of a fastball and let the grip do the work.
Closer Bruce Sutter learned the splitter in 1973 and rode it to the Hall of Fame, inspiring the next generation to throw the pitch that looks like a fastball, only to die as it approaches the plate. Mike Scott won a Cy Young with it. Roger Clemens, Curt Schilling and John Smoltz pitched into their 40s thanks to it. By the time their careers ended in the 2000s, though, the splitter was made into a scapegoat for failing elbow ligaments across the game. Some had the gumption to keep throwing it. Most were discouraged, turning splitter into a four-letter word.
The lack of splitters thrown led to a knowledge gap, Dodgers pitching coach Mark Prior said, “and I don’t think a lot of people knew how to teach it. If you were around a guy who threw it, maybe you can mess with it. If you weren’t, I don’t even remember anybody I was with who threw splits. So, it was something you didn’t even mess around with.”
The arrival of Masahiro Tanaka to the New York Yankees in 2014 ushered in a new generation of the splitter. And technology aided its rebirth. Super-high-speed Edgertronic cameras allowed pitchers to see how a ball left their hands. TrackMan, the radar-based system that measures pitches’ spin and movement, gave immediate feedback and a granular look at a pitch’s effectiveness.
“Five, 10, 15 years ago, a guy would work on a pitch all year then find out,” Blue Jays pitching coach Pete Walker said. “Looking back, that was fruitless. It was not going to happen. So, we wasted a year of someone’s career working on a curveball, working on a slider or working on a split-fingered fastball. I think now it’s just expedited. We can make that decision with more background on it and more validity to it.”
Compound that ability and desire to learn new offerings with the sport-wide understanding that velocity is the greatest predictor of arm injuries, and teams’ stances on splitters softened. Pitchers jumped at the opportunity to try the splitter, and with good reason.
This postseason, batters are hitting .154/.206/.250 against splitters — the lowest numbers in each triple-slash category for any pitch. In the World Series, the Dodgers are 1-for-22 with 14 strikeouts on splitters. Toronto has thrown splitters 13.7% of the time during the playoffs, a number that figures to jump with Gausman on the mound in Game 6.
The splitter has saved careers — “I’d have been done a long time ago without it,” Dodgers reliever Kirby Yates said — and is more frequently making them. Over this winter, it will be the talk of pitching labs around the sport, with hundreds of professional pitchers at all levels seeing if it works. Already, multiple front office officials said, teams are digging into their pitchers’ movement patterns to see if a splitter would complement their current arsenal. And because of what they’ve learned designing other new pitches, they’ll have a decent idea whether it works sooner rather than later.
“It could be one session,” Walker said. “It could be even before the session, to be honest with you.”
The versatility of the splitter only adds to the allure. Pitchers can throw it extremely hard, like Paul Skenes‘ and Jhoan Duran‘s splinker, a splitter-sinker hybrid. They can aim for a forked, low-spin variety like Sasaki’s, a devastating late-breaker like Yamamoto’s or one like Gausman’s that he can command in and out of the strike zone. They can even use it as a show-me off-speed pitch like Kershaw.
Whatever the form, the splitter is here to stay. As it proliferates, perhaps its utility will diminish. Part of its effectiveness, after all, is its relative rarity. For now, though, it’s still a pitch teeming with mystery — there one second, gone the next.
“You can’t hit it,” Kershaw said. “You cannot hit a good split.”