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Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on July 18, 2023 in New York City.

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This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

What you need to know today

More mixed markets
U.S. stocks
closed Friday mixed. The Nasdaq Composite was the only major index to fall. Asia-Pacific markets traded mixed Monday as well. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index lost 1.4% to start the week, but Japan’s Nikkei 225 gained 1.22% on the back of the country’s seventh straight month of business activity expansion.

Booming U.S. economy?
Morgan Stanley has made a “sizeable upward revision” to its estimates for the U.S. economy. The bank expects GDP to grow 1.9% for the first half of this year, almost four times the original forecast of 0.5%. For the second half, the bank thinks GDP will grow 1.3%, compared with 0.6%. Joe Biden’s Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act is “driving a boom in large-scale infrastructure,” wrote Ellen Zentner, chief U.S. economist for Morgan Stanley.

Demand for oil
Oil prices might spike in the second half of the year as supply fails to keep up with demand, Secretary General of the International Energy Forum Joseph McMonigle told CNBC. “India and China combined will make up 2 million barrels a day of demand pick-up in the second half of this year,” he said. However, McMonigle thinks OPEC+ will respond to a “big supply-imbalance.”

What Foxconn’s failure says
Foxconn’s recent decision to pull out of a joint venture to establish semiconductor manufacturing in India highlights how difficult it is for new players to enter the industry. High barriers to entry like lack of specialized labor, reliance on third-party technology and intellectual property mean TSMC’s 59% market share is likely to remain unchallenged for now.

[PRO] Fully packed week
This week’s packed full of economic data releases and earnings reports, and will see the Federal Reserve meet to decide on the path of U.S. interest rates. CNBC Pro’s Sarah Min breaks down what analysts are expecting and how they are positioning their portfolios to deal with the heavy week.

The bottom line

Let’s talk about the Dow Jones Industrial Average and why it did better than the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite last week.

First, the numbers. The S&P and the Dow were essentially flat, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.22% Friday. (Technically, the Dow squeezed out a 0.01% gain to give it a 10-day winning streak, but that figure’s so negligible I don’t think it’s worth making a big fuss over it.)

On a weekly basis, the S&P advanced 0.79%, the Nasdaq fell 0.57% — but the Dow gained an impressive 2.08%.

A large part of the Dow’s showing was because of how the index is composed and calculated. It includes just 30 stocks, ostensibly chosen to represent the broader U.S. economy. To give an example, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase represent banks; Apple and Microsoft show up for technology; Nike and Procter & Gamble stand in for consumer goods.

The Dow’s other key difference from the S&P and Nasdaq is that it is price-weighted, that is, the more expensive the stock, the bigger its influence on the index. Conversely, the other two major indexes are capitalization-weighted, meaning that the higher the total value of the company’s total shares, the more sway it has in moving the index.

Now, let’s look at Friday’s stock movements.

Nvidia slumped 2.66%. It has a market capitalization of over $1 trillion. Unsurprising, then, that it had the biggest negative impact on both the S&P and Nasdaq. The Dow? The index doesn’t even include Nvidia, so it was spared.

The Dow, on the other hand, benefited from gains in firms like UnitedHealth and Goldman Sachs. Their stock prices are high — around $500 and $350 per share, respectively — but their total market capitalizations are comparatively low. Those gains wouldn’t register much on the S&P and Nasdaq, but boosted the Dow.

What does this all mean? Honestly speaking: Not much. According to CNBC’s calculations, over the past 15 years, the Dow and the S&P have moved in the same direction 94% of the time. So while it’s true the major indexes have diverged as of late — this week aside, the Nasdaq is leading by a 34% increase for the year, the S&P 18% and the Dow a meagre 6% — in the long run, it shouldn’t really matter what index you’re tracking. The lesson here? Don’t take short-term blips as long-term trends.

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Kia plans to build 100,000 EV2 and EV4 models a year, far more than expected

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Kia plans to build 100,000 EV2 and EV4 models a year, far more than expected

Kia is about to go on the offensive. The automaker plans to nearly triple electric vehicle production in Europe within the next two years as it introduces the new EV2 and EV4.

Kia doubles down on EV2 and EV4 production plans

With the EV2 and EV4 joining the lineup, Kia will offer an electric vehicle for nearly everyone. The EV2 is Kia’s smallest, most affordable electric car, set to sit below the EV3.

Despite its compact size, Kia said the EV2 will “redefine urban electric mobility” with a flexible interior, its latest connectivity tech, and more.

According to Kia’s CEO, Ho Sung Song, the company plans to build about 100,000 EV2s at its Zilina plant in Slovakia.

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“The average annual production of the upcoming EV2 is expected to reach around 100,000 units at the Zilina plant in Slovakia in 2027,” Song told Automotive News Europe earlier this month.

Kia is also scaling up output of its first electric hatchback, the EV4. By 2027, Kia plans to build over 80,000 EV4s at the Zilina plant. If you add in the EV4 Fastback or sedan models built in Korea, “the EV4’s combined global production is expected to reach approximately 100,000 units,” Kia’s CEO said.

Kia-EV2-EV4
The Kia Concept EV2 at IAA Mobility 2025 in Munich (Source: Kia)

Song explained that Kia aims to produce 100,000 EV2 and EV4 models globally each year, as this volume will be high enough to make them profitable.

The new production target is considerably higher than what Kia Europe CEO Marc Hedrich told Automotive News Europe in August.

Kia-EV4-first-EV-Europe
Kia starts EV4 hatchback production in Europe, its first EV built in Europe (Source: Kia UK)

Hedrich said that combined EV2 and EV4 production could account for 10% and 20% of the output at the Zilina plant in 2026, adding that a production goal of 20,000 to 30,000 EV4s “would certainly make sense” next year.

Officials from Kia Europe explained that production plans shifted after the EV4 received better-than-expected feedback following its launch in August.

Kia-EV4-first-EV-Europe
Kia starts EV4 hatchback production in Europe, its first EV built in Europe (Source: Kia UK)

Kia began EV4 production on August 20, marking a milestone as its first EV built in Europe. Kia is investing €108 million ($125 million) in the Zilina plant to produce the EV2 and EV4. The EV2 will join in 2026.

The facility has the capacity to build 320,000 vehicles, but Kia said output could be expanded to 350,000 with overtime.

Kia-EV3
Kia EV3 Air in Frost Blue (Source: Kia UK)

Kia has yet to reveal final specs, but given the EV3 is about 4,300 mm (169.3″) in length, the EV2 is expected to be slightly smaller at around 4,000 mm (157″). That’s about the size of Hyundai’s entry-level EV, the Inster, at 3,825 mm (150″) in length.

Like the EV9 and recently launched EV5, Kia’s compact electric car features a more upright, crossover-SUV-like design.

Although Kia’s overall sales are down 3% in Europe through August, EV sales are up 56% to 71,179. The EV3 is driving growth as Kia’s second-best-selling vehicle behind the Sportage and as the seventh best-selling EV in Europe. Through the first eight months of 2025, Kia sold 45,269 EV3s in the region.

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The Honda Prologue scored big in August with incentives of over $12,000

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The Honda Prologue scored big in August with incentives of over ,000

Honda’s electric SUV was the third most popular EV in the US in August, behind the Tesla Model Y and Model 3. Offering over $12,000 in average incentives, the Honda Prologue scored big as buyers rushed to claim the federal EV tax credit.

Honda Prologue registrations surge with huge incentives

As the $7,500 credit expired at the end of September, automakers were offering pretty notable discounts, many in the five digits with combined incentives.

The Honda Prologue has been one of the most discounted EVs over the past few months. Last month, buyers could score up to over $20,000 in combined savings, including a $7,500 credit, $9,500 in financing bonuses, trade-in offers, and 0% interest for six years.

According to the latest registration data from S&P Global Mobility (via Automotive News), the incentives helped propel the Honda Prologue to become the third most popular EV in August.

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A total of 138,457 EVs were registered in the US in August, up 24% from a year ago. Honda Prologue registrations surged 81% to 9,005 vehicles, the data showed.

Honda-Prologue-EV-incentives
2025 Honda Prologue Elite (Source: Honda)

Since some automakers don’t report monthly or US sales numbers, the S&P Global Mobility data offers a snapshot of sales performance.

The Prologue was yet again one of the most discounted models, with incentives of $12,704 in August, according to Motor Intelligence. Last August, Prologue incentives were just $5,813. Honda’s gas-powered CR-V had just $2,016 in incentives in August.

Honda-Prologue-EV-incentives
2025 Honda Prologue (Source: Honda)

Although the $7,500 credit expired on September 30, Honda is still offering generous incentives for Prologue buyers and lessees.

The 2025 Honda Prologue is available with up to $16,550 in lease cash in most states. Alternatively, Honda is offering 0% APR financing for up to 60 months.


2025 Honda Prologue trim
Starting Price* EPA Range
(miles)
EX (FWD) $47,400 308
EX (AWD) $50,400 294
Touring (FWD) $51.700 308
Touring (AWD) $54,700 294
Elite (AWD) $57,900 283
2025 Honda Prologue prices and range by trim (*Does not include $1,450 D&H fee)

Although the Acura ZDX will not return for a 2026 model year, Honda is planning to launch the 2026 Prologue. We have yet to learn prices, but we could see it priced slightly lower due to the loss of the $7,500 EV credit.

Hyundai announced earlier this month it’s reducing 2026 IONIQ 5 prices by up to nearly $10,000 on some trims. The 2026 Hyundai IONIQ 5 now starts at under $35,000. Will Honda match it?

Want to check out the Prologue for yourself? You can use our link to find available Honda Prologue models in your area (trusted affiliate link).

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Oregon launches its first solar + storage DC fast charging station

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Oregon launches its first solar + storage DC fast charging station

XCharge North America (NA) has opened Oregon’s first solar + storage DC fast charging station at Arrowhead Travel Plaza in Pendleton, part of the Wildhorse Resort & Casino complex owned by the Confederated Tribes of the Umatilla Indian Reservation.

NetZero Energy helped bring the project to life, handling system design and project management. The solar canopy provides renewable power to the chargers, while the integrated batteries make the site more resilient and capable of off-grid operation during outages.

The new station integrates four dual-dispenser 215kWh GridLink chargers with 40kW of solar that can output up to 194kW per unit, allowing drivers to charge quickly with CCS1 or NACS plugs while reducing strain on the grid. The site’s location on Interstate 84 is key because Arrowhead serves more than 1.7 million vehicles a year. Many drive the steep, rough weather-prone Cabbage Hill grade, where a full charge is essential for safety.

“We partnered with XCharge NA because they provide a grid-friendly charging solution with battery storage that seamlessly integrates with a custom solar canopy – a perfect fit for our climate,” said Tom Fine, general manager of Arrowhead Travel Plaza.

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Each GridLink charger includes bidirectional capability, meaning it can send power back to the grid or function off-grid in the event of an emergency. It also has a built-in safety system that monitors battery packs with multiple sensors and fire suppression technology.

With this project, XCharge North America now operates in 18 states. Cofounder and president Aatish Patel called Oregon’s first solar-supplemented DC fast-charging site a milestone: “Our Arrowhead Travel Plaza installation goes beyond simply delivering ultra-fast charging – it’s a powerful demonstration of how integrating our GridLink technology with solar power can offset grid demand, enhance a charging site’s resilience and flexibility, and even bolster the region’s energy architecture.”

Read more: XCharge NA is now leasing DC fast chargers to small businesses


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