A long-awaited rally in crude oil prices has helped the Club’s three oil-and-gas companies become some of our top-performing stocks over the past month. And with new signs the commodity could continue to rally this year, we’re sitting tight on our energy holdings. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, and West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. oil standard, have both climbed by more than 10% since late June. Brent was up roughly 1% Thursday, at nearly $80 a barrel. WTI was trading up 0.72%, at more than $83 a barrel. Energy stocks linked to crude — including Club names Halliburton (HAL), Coterra Energy (CTRA) and Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) — have risen on oil’s fortunes. Shares of Halliburton have climbed roughly 18%, while Coterra and Pioneer have advanced about 12% and 10%, respectively, since crude’s most-recent bottom in late June. Troubled pharmaceutical firm Bausch Health (BHC) has been the top-performing Club stock during that same stretch, advancing nearly 28%. “This was a move that many have expected to occur all year,” TD Cowen energy analyst Jason Gabelman said of crude’s recent rise. “A lot of investors, I think, have been … somewhat disappointed on oil being rangebound for the past few months in the low-to-mid $70s,” Gabelman told CNBC. Among the biggest drivers of the momentum has been signs that previously pledged production cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia are finally taking hold, analysts widely said, helping address concerns investors had about excessive supply in the market. Russian production, in particular, has exceeded expectations throughout the year. But last week, nationwide crude shipments in Russia stood at 2.73 million barrels a day, down 1.48 million barrels per day from their late-April peak, according to data compiled by Bloomberg . Economic data also suggests oil demand is proving more resilient than investors initially expected, said Truist’s Neal Dingmann. “Not to say we’re certainly out of the woods on inflation or a recession,” Dingmann told CNBC, “but the picture is much better for some type of growth, even very minimal.” Mizuho analyst Nitin Kumar – who covers Coterra and Pioneer and has a buy rating on both stocks – said he believes the setup for crude prices remains solid throughout the second half of 2023. While the potential for a demand-destroying recession remains a big wildcard, Kumar said there’s a lot to be encouraged by on the supply side. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its oil-producing allies, collectively known as OPEC+, has shown discipline on production and been willing to take action designed to shore up prices , Kumar said, even if the market has, at times, shrugged off such decisions . Saudi Arabia is the de-facto head of the OPEC cartel and Russia is the group’s largest partner producer. Saudi Arabia, Russia and the U.S. are the world’s three-largest oil producers. U.S. producers also have shown restraint, Kumar told CNBC, with domestic crude production hovering around 12.3 million barrels per day all year . Moreover, a year-over-year drop in U.S. rig counts points to “a bit of a decline in oil production” down the road, Kumar said. As of July 21, the number of active U.S. oil rigs stood at 530, according to Baker Hughes, down 11.5% from the same period in 2022. Taken together, Kumar said, “globally, except for a recession, you should be in an undersupplied scenario for the second half.” Others on Wall Street, including analysts at Goldman Sachs , also expect demand to outpace supply in the third and fourth quarters, supporting higher prices. In theory, when commodity prices are higher, our energy holdings can generate more free cash flow. And that money can be used to pay dividends and repurchase stock, a key reason we’re invested in the sector. That dynamic was on display last week, when Halliburton – our largest oil-and-gas holding, carrying a 2.1% weighting in the portfolio, as of Wednesday – reported better-than-expected free cash flow in the second quarter. While we locked in a small profit on Halliburton in mid-July , the company’s execution in the second quarter certainly pleased us. As an oilfield-services firm, Halliburton is a play on drilling activity. Pioneer and Coterra are set to report their second-quarter results on Aug. 1 and Aug. 7, respectively. On metrics such as revenue, earnings and cash flow, exploration-and-production (E & P) companies face difficult year-over-year comparisons. For most of the second quarter in 2022, crude prices were north of $100 per barrel amid shocks from geopolitical risks like Russia’s invasion of Ukraine — and subsequent Western sanctions on Russia oil sales — in February of that year. Against this backdrop, energy investors will be closely watching how companies’ well productivity stacks up versus last year, according to Truist’s Dingmann, who maintains hold ratings on Pioneer and Coterra. Management commentary on service-cost inflation is another area of focus, Dingmann said. If those costs continue to moderate, E & P firms should eventually see relief on their capital expenditures, assuming production plans are held constant. The Club’s take Our investment thesis in Pioneer has been rooted in its low production costs and high-quality acreage in the Permian Basin in western Texas and southeastern New Mexico. For Coterra, we continue to like its mix of oil-and-natural gas revenues — split roughly 50-50. Coterra’s exposure to natural gas bodes well long term, despite prices being down sharply from their 2022 peaks, because the U.S. is adding export capacity for liquified natural gas. Coterra is well-positioned to benefit as additional LNG facilities come online in 2024 and beyond . The bottom line is the oil rally may just be getting started — and, if that’s the case, our stocks linked to the commodity could see additional gains ahead. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long CTRA, HAL and PXD. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
Oil rig and pump of H&P Rig 488 in Stanton, Texas, on June 8, 2023.
Suzanne Cordeiro | AFP | Getty Images
A long-awaited rally in crude oil prices has helped the Club’s three oil-and-gas companies become some of our top-performing stocks over the past month. And with new signs the commodity could continue to rally this year, we’re sitting tight on our energy holdings.
Tesla’s earnings report dropped today, and news isn’t great. But instead of recognizing his failures that have led to Tesla’s downturn, CEO Elon Musk lashed out with conspiracy theories while also hypocritically failing to acknowledge that his company was only profitable this quarter due to regulatory credits.
The numbers are in on Tesla’s dismal quarter, with sales, profits and margins tanking significantly for the company despite a rising global EV market.
You’d expect a drop in car sales to be top of mind for a car company, but instead of talking about this, CEO Elon Musk opened the call by talking about his ineffective advisory role to a former reality TV host.
Musk is heading up the self-styled “Department of Government Efficiency,” an advisory group that is focused on reducing redundancy in government. The office is not an actual government department and has a redundant mission to the Government Accountability Office, which is an actual government department focused on reducing government waste.
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Musk originally claimed that the department would be able to save $2 trillion for the US government, which is actually impossible because federal discretionary spending is $1.7 trillion, which is a (gets out abacus) smaller number than $2 trillion.
He has, of course, failed at this task that anyone with any level of competence would have known was impossible before setting it out for themselves, and now projects that the department will save $150 billion next year, less than a tenth of his original estimate. But even that projection is likely an overstatement, given that most of the supposed savings that DOGE has found are not actual savings at all.
On top of this, the US government’s deficit has grown to the second-highest level on record – with the first happening in 2020, the last time Mr. Trump squatted in the White House. Which means the government isn’t saving money, it is in fact borrowing and spending more of it than ever before.
So, Musk’s tenure in the advisory board has been an unmitigated failure by any realistic account.
But if you listened to Tesla’s call, you wouldn’t have known this, as Musk was quite boastful of his efforts – starting a Tesla conference call with an irrelevant rant about his fake government department, instead of with Tesla business.
He claimed that he has made “a lot of progress in addressing waste and fraud” and that the job is “mostly done,” which is not correct by his own metrics. Musk stated that his purpose is “trying to bring in the insane deficit that is leading our country, the United States, to destruction,” and as we covered above, that deficit has only increased.
But he also went on to spew some rather insane conspiracy theories about the reasons behind his company’s recent failures, all of which of course put the blame on someone else, rather than himself. The buck stops anywhere but here, I guess.
His primary assertion was that the “blowback from the time I’ve been spending in government” (which, again, is an advisory role, not an actual government position) has come mainly from protesters that were “receiving fraudulent money” and are now angry that the government money spigot has been turned off.
Which, of course, he’s provided no evidence for… and he’s provided no evidence for it because it’s false.
Besides, that’s not how protests work. But incorrect claims that protests do work that way are often used by opponents of free speech, with the motivation of putting a chilling effect public participation. Fitting behavior for an enemy of the First Amendment like Elon Musk.
Meanwhile, this assertion also comes from a person who tried and failed to bribe voters to win an election. Perhaps his admiration of Tesla protesters is aspirational – he wishes his ideas were good enough to inspire that sort of grassroots political effort that money, demonstrably, cannot buy.
But this hypocrisy extends beyond Musk’s hatred of free expression, and strikes at the heart of the business he is the titular leader of, Tesla, the organization that has made him into the richest man in the world. Because not only is it not true that Tesla protests are driven by his ineffective government actions (they are, in fact, driven by him doing Nazistuffallthetime), it’s also objectively true that Musk’s companies are a large recipient of government money.
And that’s particularly relevant today, to the very earnings call where Musk made his ridiculous assertion, because in Q1 2025, Tesla only turned a profit due to government credits. Without them, it would have lost money.
Tesla only profitable in Q1 due to regulatory credits
Per today’s earnings report, Tesla earned $595 million in regulatory credits in Q1. But its total net income for the quarter was $409 million.
This means that without those regulatory credits, Tesla would have posted a -$189 million loss in Q1. It was saved not just by credit sales, but credit sales which increased year over year – in the year-ago quarter, Tesla made $442 million in regulatory credits, despite having higher sales in Q1 2024 than in Q1 2025. So not only were credits higher, but credits per vehicle were higher.
This is a common feature of Tesla earnings, and we even said in our earnings preview that we expected it. While Tesla had a bad quarter, nobody expected it to become actually unprofitable, because there was always the possibility of increasing regulatory credit sales to eke out a profitable quarter.
And this has been the case many times in Tesla’s past, as well. In earlier times, Tesla’s first few profitable quarters were decried by the company’s opponents as an accounting trick, suggesting that regulatory credit sales weren’t “real” profits, and that the cars should have to stand on their own.
This is a silly thing to say – businesses do business in the environment that exists, and every business has an incentive structure that includes subsidies and externalities. If we were to selectively write off certain profits for certain businesses, we could make a tortured case that any business isn’t profitable.
Plus, these opponents didn’t extend the same treatment to the oil industry, which is subsidized to the tune of $760 billion per year in the US alone in unpriced externalities, yet that is somehow never mentioned during their earnings calls.
But, setting aside the debate over whether credits are valid profits (they are), for years now we’ve been well beyond Tesla’s reliance on credits. The company has produced significant profits, regardless of credit sales, for some time now.
At least, until today. That’s no longer true – Tesla did rely on credits to become profitable in Q1. And Musk starting the call with a ridiculous rant about government handouts not only shows his hypocrisy and projection on this matter, but his detachment from reality itself. He is, truly, too stuck in the impenetrable echo chamber of his self-congratulating twitter feed to realize what an embarrassment he’s being in public – to the point of inventing shadow enemies to explain the very real, very simple explanation that people aren’t buying his company’s cars because he sucks so much.
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No matter how badly a fleet wants to electrify their operations and take advantage of reduced fuel costs and TCO, the fact remains that there are substantial up-front obstacles to commercial EV adoption … or are there? We’ve got fleet financing expert Guy O’Brien here to help walk us through it on today’s fiscally responsible episode of Quick Charge!
This conversation was motivated by the recent uncertainty surrounding EVs and EV infrastructure at the Federal level, and how that turmoil is leading some to believe they should wait to electrify. The truth? There’s never been a better time to make the switch!
New episodes of Quick Charge are recorded, usually, Monday through Thursday (and sometimes Sunday). We’ll be posting bonus audio content from time to time as well, so be sure to follow and subscribe so you don’t miss a minute of Electrek’s high-voltage daily news.
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Vermont’s EV adoption has surged by an impressive 41% over the past year, with nearly 18,000 EVs now registered statewide.
According to data from Drive Electric Vermont and the Vermont Agency of Natural Resources, 17,939 EVs were registered as of January 2025, increasing by 5,185 vehicles. Notably, over 12% of all new cars registered last year in Vermont had a plug. Additionally, used EVs are gaining popularity, accounting for about 15% of new EV registrations.
To put it in perspective, Vermont took six years to register its first 5,000 EVs – and the last 5,000 were added in just the previous year.
Rapid growth, expanding infrastructure
In just two years, Vermont has doubled its fleet of EVs, underscoring residents’ enthusiasm for electric driving. To support this surge, the state now boasts 459 public EV chargers, including 92 DC fast chargers.
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The EV mix in Vermont is leaning increasingly toward BEVs, which represent 60% of the state’s EV fleet. The remaining 40% consists of PHEVs, offering flexible fuel options for drivers.
Top EV models in Vermont
Vermont’s favorite EVs in late 2024 included the Hyundai Ioniq 5, Nissan Ariya, Toyota RAV4 Prime PHEV, Tesla Model Y, and the Ford F-150 Lightning. These vehicles have appealed to Vermont drivers looking for reliability, performance, and practical features that work well in Vermont’s climate.
Leading the US in reducing emissions
This strong adoption of EVs earned Vermont the top ranking from the Natural Resources Defense Council for reducing greenhouse gas emissions in transportation in 2023. “It’s only getting easier for Vermonters to drive electric,” noted Michele Boomhower, Vermont’s Department of Transportation director. She emphasized the growing variety of EV models, including electric trucks and SUVs with essential features like all-wheel drive, crucial for Vermont’s climate and terrain.
Local dealerships boost EV accessibility
Nucar Automall, an auto dealer in St. Albans, is a great example of local support driving this trend. With help from Efficiency Vermont’s EV dealer incentives – receiving $25,000 through the EV Readiness Incentive program – it recently installed 15 EV chargers for new buyers and existing drivers to use.
“Having these chargers on the lot makes it easier for customers to see just how simple charging an EV can be,” said Ryan Ortiz, general manager at Nucar Automall. Ortiz also pointed out the growing affordability of EVs, thanks to more models becoming available and an increase in pre-owned EVs coming off leases.
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