The semiconductor shortage that affected everything from cars to games consoles during the height of the Covid-19 pandemic has turned into a chip glut — and some of the world’s biggest chipmakers are taking a hit.
Semiconductors are tiny components that are integral to a slew of products including refrigerators, cars, smartphones and LED bulbs.
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The Covid-19 pandemic caused huge disruption in the supply chains and production of chips, as consumers stuck at home went mad for products like PCs and smartphones.
While the supply and demand dynamics for some chips have since become more balanced, in other areas, the chip shortage has turned into a glut.
Memory chip oversupply
Two types of chips are in oversupply right now: NAND and DRAM memory. These go into devices like laptops and also servers in data centers.
The glut came after companies began to stockpile chips amid the shortage to build up inventories.
But then the economy slowed down.
Demand for products like smartphones and laptops has dropped off in a big way — particularly as many people bought them during the pandemic.
“So, the makers of these end products stopped ordering chips and instead focused on selling through the inventory they already had,” Peter Hanbury, partner in the telecoms, media and technology practice at Bain & Company, told CNBC.
“This led to a strong ‘bullwhip’ effect for the semiconductor markers further back in the supply chain where sky high demand during the chip shortage suddenly dried up as end markets stopped ordering chips and instead focused on selling through the inventory they already had.”
Not all types of semiconductors are in oversupply, however, with demand for chips from the auto sector remaining strong.
Hanbury said that some chips made for specific purposes are not easy to exchange for other semiconductors, and so “their lead times and prices are improving but remain quite high.”
From profit boost to income plunge
The pandemic-induced shortage of semiconductors helped boost chip makers’ profits as prices jumped. This included Samsung, the world’s largest memory chip manufacturer.
This year, however, Samsung and its rivals SK Hynix and Micron, have had a tough time.
Samsung on Thursday said operating profit for the second quarter plunged 95% year-on-year. Meanwhile, SK Hynix swung to a loss in the second quarter versus a profit in the same period last year.
Looking ahead, the PC market appears weak, which is likely to impact Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron.
For TSMC, the global smartphone market — a major revenue driver — is also under pressure.
“The smartphone market is still the biggest part of TSMC’s revenue. That part is still not seeing any meaningful pick up,” Sze Ho Ng, an analyst at China Renaissance Securities, told CNBC via phone.
Samsung said it expects global demand to recover in the second half of the year, and others have echoed a similar sentiment.
TSMC, however, said last week that it expects “continued inventory adjustment” from customers.
“After this year’s correction, I think there will be a second-half growth scenario for TSCM, but how strong that will be will be dependent on the macro environment,” Ng said.
Ultimately, recovery for these firms will depend on whether demand picks up for end products like consumer electronics, but that’s related to a macroeconomic recovery which looks far from certain.
An Amazon worker moves boxes on Amazon Prime Day in the East Village of New York City, July 11, 2023.
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Amazon is extending its Prime Day discount bonanza, announcing that the annual sale will run four days this year.
The 96-hour event will start at 12:01 a.m. PT on July 8, and continue through July 11, Amazon said in a release.
For the first time, the company will roll out themed “deal drops” that change daily and are available “while supplies last.” Amazon has in recent years toyed with adding more limited-run and invite-only deals during Prime Day events to create a feeling of urgency or scarcity.
Amazon launched Prime Day in 2015 as a way to secure new members for its $139-a-year loyalty program, and to promote its own products and services while providing a sales boost in the middle of the year. In 2019, the company made Prime Day a 48-hour event, and it’s since added a second Prime Day-like event in the fall.
Prime Day is also a significant revenue driver for other retailers, which often host competing discount events.
Illustration of the SK Hynix company logo seen displayed on a smartphone screen.
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Shares in South Korea’s SK Hynix extended gains to hit a more than 2-decade high on Tuesday, following reports over the weekend that SK Group plans to build the country’s largest AI data center.
SK Hynix shares, which have surged almost 50% so far this year on the back of an AI boom, were up nearly 3%, following gains on Monday.
The company’s parent, SK Group, plans to build the AI data center in partnership with Amazon Web Services in Ulsan, according to domestic media. SK Telecom and SK Broadband are reportedly leading the initiative, with support from other affiliates, including SK Hynix.
SK Hynix is a leading supplier of dynamic random access memory or DRAM — a type of semiconductor memory found in PCs, workstations and servers that is used to store data and program code.
The company’s DRAM rival, Samsung, was also trading up 4% on Tuesday. However, it’s growth has fallen behind that of SK Hynix.
On Friday, Samsung Electronics’ market cap reportedly slid to a 9-year low of 345.1 trillion won ($252 billion) as the chipmaker struggles to capitalize on AI-led demand.
SK Hynix, on the other hand, has become a leader in high bandwidth memory — a type of DRAM used in artificial intelligence servers — supplying to clients such as AI behemoth Nvidia.
A report from Counterpoint Research in April said that SK Hynix had captured 70% of the HBM market by revenue share in the first quarter.
This HBM strength helped it overtake Samsung in the overall DRAM market for the first time ever, with a 36% global market share as compared to Samsung’s 34%.
OpenAI has been awarded a $200 million contract to provide the U.S. Defense Department with artificial intelligence tools.
The department announced the one-year contract on Monday, months after OpenAI said it would collaborate with defense technology startup Anduril to deploy advanced AI systems for “national security missions.”
“Under this award, the performer will develop prototype frontier AI capabilities to address critical national security challenges in both warfighting and enterprise domains,” the Defense Department said. It’s the first contract with OpenAI listed on the Department of Defense’s website.
Anduril received a $100 million defense contract in December. Weeks earlier, OpenAI rival Anthropic said it would work with Palantir and Amazon to supply its AI models to U.S. defense and intelligence agencies.
Sam Altman, OpenAI’s co-founder and CEO, said in a discussion with OpenAI board member and former National Security Agency leader Paul Nakasone at a Vanderbilt University event in April that “we have to and are proud to and really want to engage in national security areas.”
OpenAI did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
The Defense Department specified that the contract is with OpenAI Public Sector LLC, and that the work will mostly occur in the National Capital Region, which encompasses Washington, D.C., and several nearby counties in Maryland and Virginia.
Meanwhile, OpenAI is working to build additional computing power in the U.S. In January, Altman appeared alongside President Donald Trump at the White House to announce the $500 billion Stargate project to build AI infrastructure in the U.S.
The new contract will represent a small portion of revenue at OpenAI, which is generating over $10 billion in annualized sales. In March, the company announced a $40 billion financing round at a $300 billion valuation.
In April, Microsoft, which supplies cloud infrastructure to OpenAI, said the U.S. Defense Information Systems Agency has authorized the use of the Azure OpenAI service with secret classified information.