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When artificial intelligence begins automating jobs once done by humans, women will have to worry more than men, according to a new study by McKinsey & Co.

The report, which was compiled by the consulting firm’s research arm, McKinsey Global Institute, analyzed US labor-market trends through 2030, and found that women are 1.5 times more likely to need to change jobs in the next seven years.

McKinsey attributed the figure to the high amount of women in industries with lower-wage jobs, which will be most affected by AI technology already present in models that are available for public use like ChatGPT, Google’s Bard AI and DALL-E, which generates images.

“Women are heavily represented in office support and customer service, which could shrink by about 3.7 million and 2.0 million jobs, respectively, by 2030,” the report states.

Blacks and Hispanics will also be adversely affected as these workers are “highly concentrated in some shrinking occupations within customer service, food services and production work.”

In all, at least 12 million workers in US could be displaced by technology and switching jobs come 2030, McKinsey said.

The analysis also showed that among low-wage industries, 1.1 million jobs could be entirely swiped from the workforce.

Workers across these in-jeopardy jobs are up to 14 times more likely to need to change occupations than their higher-paid counterparts employed in the transportation, construction and healthcare industries.

For employees want to find a new job with a better salary, “most will need additional skills to do so successfully,” the report noted.

However, not all white-collar positions will be unscathed by the incoming wave of AI in the workforce.

Lawyers are among the high-paid workers who will see “the biggest impact of generative AI” since models “can search through case law, … freeing lawyers to think through how to apply them in new legal arguments.”

AI-backed tools like the ones developed by Sam Altman’s artificial intelligence company OpenAI will also be able to use the tech to edit documents, the form noted, which is usually what lawyers “spend a great deal of time” doing.

Civil engineers’ jobs may also be on the chopping block, as generative AI will “accelerate the design process, taking all building codes into account for fewer errors and less rework.”

McKinsey notes that a streamlined process in planning, designing and executing infrastructure — tasks civil engineers are trained to do — “is vital at a time when the nation needs to deliver more affordable housing and major infrastructure projects.”

However, “physical work is not going away,” the report added, noting that better-paying jobs could grow immensely, by as much as 3.8 million jobs.

Overall, it “probably wont be that kind of catastrophic thing,” McKinsey Global Institute partner Michael Chui told Bloomberg of the impending wave of AI-powered automation in the workforce.

But, it’s still “going to change almost every job,” he added.

If handled correctly, McKinsey said that the US workforce could see a significant increase in productivity and property.

The study reports that in the best-case scenario, productivity could increase from 1%, where it is now, to up to 4%.

It also attributed the shift to net-zero emissions to a decline in the workforce, as it’s already begun shifting employment away from oil, gas and automotive manufacturing.

Some 3.5 million positions could be wiped out by the transition to greener emissions by 2030.

Those jobs will be replaced by positions in green industries, which will see “a modest gain in employment” to the tune of 700,000 additional jobs, according to the report.

“We also see increased demand for healthcare workers as the population ages, plus gains in transportation services due to e-commerce,” McKinsey said.

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Why US may soon have a real energy emergency

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Why US may soon have a real energy emergency

Donald Trump declared a questionable “national energy emergency” when he entered the White House. Soon, he may have one for real.

The president promised his America would “drill, baby drill” to new levels of prosperity by making the most of its reserves of oil and gas.

Mr Trump has now axed hundreds of billions in tax breaks and grants for low-carbon power and clean energy research and given them instead to fossil fuel investments.

Construction continues on Revolution Wind but the project is not yet connected to the grid. Pic: Reuters
Image:
Construction continues on Revolution Wind but the project is not yet connected to the grid. Pic: Reuters

There’s no better example than Revolution Wind, one of the largest offshore renewable energy projects in America.

Nearly 80% complete, the White House ordered an immediate halt.

When we visited, the massive 200m-wide turbines were going round – a temporary injunction has allowed construction to continue – but they’re not yet connected to the grid.

As long as Mr Trump is in power, it’s not certain they’ll ever be.

More on Climate Change

The future of other major wind and solar developments is also in doubt, as is more than $100bn (£75bn) in clean energy investment.

There’s less doubt about the fossil fuel business however. The industry is getting what it asked for after backing Mr Trump’s re-election.

US energy secretary Chris Wright and many key White House staff and advisers are former fossil fuel industry insiders.

Analysis for Sky News, by Global Witness, reveals that since the Paris Agreement was signed in 2015, US oil and gas production has grown five times faster than the average of the world’s next largest producers.

An increase that really took off during Mr Trump’s first presidency.

The analysis of company data goes on to reveal how US oil and gas production is now forecast to continue growing – by 2035 to double that of its next closest rival, Russia.

“Instead of reducing investment in dirty oil and gas, the principal drivers of climate breakdown, the US has doubled down on fossil fuels, ramping up production,” said Patrick Galey, of Global Witness.

A fact that would probably be music to the president’s ears and to many conservative Americans who voted for him.

US oil and gas production is forecast to grow to double that of Russia's by 2035
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US oil and gas production is forecast to grow to double that of Russia’s by 2035

Mr Trump’s “energy emergency” was perhaps a predictable response to the “climate emergency” invoked by his political rivals.

The only problem is, apart from accelerating global warming, his energy plan is on course to make America worse off.

‘US energy demand to grow 25%’

For the first time in years, US electricity demand has been going up. It is driven in part by a race to build power-hungry data centres – further encouraged by Mr Trump’s aim for American supremacy in AI.

Demand is rising and renewable energy is the quickest, cheapest way to meet it.

Data centres require vast amounts of power. Pic: Reuters
Image:
Data centres require vast amounts of power. Pic: Reuters

President Trump has championed supremacy in AI – backing investments in and clearing red tape for massive energy-hungry data centres.

After declining, then remaining stable for years, US energy demand is now forecast to grow 25% by 2030, according to analysis by ICF International.

But where will all the electricity come from?

We went to Mitsubishi Power, which makes state-of- the-art gas turbines for power stations at its factory outside Savannah, Georgia.

Demand for new turbines has never been greater, according to Bill Newsom, the US CEO. Wait times for new turbines is now double what it was just two years ago.

Mitsubishi makes gas turbines for power stations at its factory outside Savannah, Georgia
Image:
Mitsubishi makes gas turbines for power stations at its factory outside Savannah, Georgia

And while America will need gas to meet rising demand – it’s twice as clean as coal and provides “baseload” power that renewable energy grids can’t yet match – it can’t be built fast enough.

American businesses, including AI, will likely suffer because they can’t get the power they need.

Read more from Sky News:
Trump may have another motive in war on drugs escalation

Trump raises tariffs on Canada in response to Reagan advert

US consumers – who Mr Trump promised lower bills – will end up paying more because he also made renewable energy more expensive.

And that’s to say nothing of the impact on carbon emissions.

The speed of transition being called for to meet the 1.5C Paris target was always going to be very expensive, as countries like the UK are finding out.

But by fighting one “emergency” with another, Mr Trump risks making Americans – and the climate – worse off.

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Science

Dark Matter and Dark Energy Might Not Exist After All, New Study Suggests

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A new theory suggests dark matter and dark energy may not exist. Physicist Rajendra Gupta’s model proposes that the universe’s forces weaken over time, naturally explaining cosmic expansion and galactic motion without unseen matter or energy.

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Politics

MEV bot trial ends in mistrial after jury deadlock on brothers’ verdict

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MEV bot trial ends in mistrial after jury deadlock on brothers’ verdict

A New York jury was unable to reach a verdict in the case of Anton and James Peraire-Bueno, the MIT-educated brothers accused of fraud and money laundering related to a 2023 exploit of the Ethereum blockchain that resulted in the removal of $25 million in digital assets.

In a Friday ruling, US District Judge Jessica Clarke declared a mistrial in the case after jurors failed to agree on whether to convict or acquit the brothers, Inner City Press reported.

The decision came after a three-week trial in Manhattan federal court,  resulting in differing theories from prosecutors and the defense regarding the Peraire-Buenos’ alleged actions involving maximal extractable value (MEV) bots.

A MEV attack occurs when traders or validators exploit transaction ordering on a blockchain for profit. Using automated MEV bots, they front-run or sandwich other trades by paying higher fees for priority.

In the brothers’ case, they allegedly used MEV bots to “trick” users into trades. The exploit, though planned by the two for months, reportedly took just 12 seconds to net the pair $25 million.

In closing arguments to the jury this week, prosecutors argued that the brothers “tricked” and “defrauded” users by engaging in a “bait and switch” scheme, allowing them to extract about $25 million in crypto. They cited evidence suggesting that the two plotted their moves for months and researched potential consequences of their actions. 

“Ladies and gentlemen, bait and switch is not a trading strategy,” said prosecutors on Tuesday, according to Inner City Press. “It is fraud. It is cheating. It is rigging the system. They pretended to be a legitimate MEV-Boost validator.” 

Related: MEV bot exploit heads to US court, testing crypto’s legal gray zones

In contrast, defense lawyers for the Peraire-Buenos pushed back against the US government’s theory of the two pretending to be “honest validators” to extract the funds, though the court ultimately allowed the argument to be presented to the jury.  

“This is like stealing a base in baseball,” said the defense team on Tuesday. “If there’s no fraud, there’s no conspiracy, there’s no money laundering.”