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Visa V has been in consolidation for two years, since trading at an all-time high of $252.67 on July 27, 2021.This was warranted considering that V was trading 37x earnings, significantly higher than its typical range of 25x 30x earnings. Now that the fundamentals have caught up to its stock price, V may be poised for a breakout. *NTM Price to Earnings Ratio: 26.67x *10-Year Mean: 27.79x *NTM Free Cash Flow Yield: 3.80% *10-Year Mean: 3.87 %

Today, investors are forecasted to receive ~4% more in earnings per share and a free cash flow yield that is in-line with its 10-year average. Considering its fundamentals, V appears to be fairly valued and has attractive growth potential going forward.

Before analyzing Vs valuation further, lets have a look at why V is a high-quality business. Balance Sheet Cash & Short-Term Investments: $16.59B Long-Term Debt: $20.60B

V has a strong balance sheet, evident from its AA- S&P Credit Rating.Return On Capital 2017: 21.6% 2018: 24.6% 2019: 27.5% 2020: 21.4% 2021: 24.3% 2022: 30.8% LTM: 32.1% Return On Equity 2017: 20.4% 2018: 30.9% 2019: 35.2% 2020: 30.7% 2021: 33.4% 2022: 40.9% LTM: 42.4%

Vs return metrics are stellar, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business.Revenues 2015: $15.91B 2016: $17.66B 2017: $18.35B 2018: $20.60B 2019: $22.97B 2020: $21.84B 2021: $24.10B 2022: $29.31B CAGR: 9.12% Free Cash Flow 2015: $6.17B 2016: $5.05B 2017: $8.61B 2018: $12.22B 2019: $12.02B 2020: $9.70B 2021: $14.52B 2022: $17.87B CAGR: 16.40% Net Income(Earnings) 2015: $6.32B 2016: $5.99B 2017: $6.69B 2018: $10.30B 2019: $12.08B 2020: $10.86B 2021: $12.31B 2022: $14.95B CAGR: 13.08%

Over the past 7 years V has been able to grow its revenues, free cash flow, and net income at appreciable rates.ShareBuybacks 2013 Shares Outstanding: 2.62B LTM Shares Outstanding: 2.11B

By decreasing the number of its shares by about 20% in the last 10 years, V managed to boost its earnings per share by 25% (assuming no growth). This means that each share now represents a larger portion of the company's earnings, resulting in increased profitability for investors.

As you can see, V is a high-quality business with a wide moat.

Now lets shift our focus to its valuation.

Benjamin Graham, widely regarded as the father of value investing, advocated for a principle known as the "2G" rule. According to Graham, investors should not pay more than twice the growth rate (2G) of a business.

For instance, if a company is projected to achieve a 10% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) in earnings over the next five years, a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20x might be considered reasonable. However, if the expected earnings growth rate is 5% compounded annually over the same period, a P/E ratio of 20x would be considered unreasonable, as the investor would be paying four times the growth rate.

With a multiple of 26.67x, V would need to achieve approximately a 13.34% CAGR in earnings over the next five years to justify its current valuation. Interestingly, this growth target is slightly below the forward estimates, suggesting that V has the potential to meet or slightly surpass the markets expectations.

V is scheduled to announce its quarterly results after the market closeon July 25, 2023. The anticipation of an earnings beat or a positive earnings report has the potential to serve as a fundamental catalyst, that could propel V's shares to reach new all-time highs.

*The valuation data utilized in this article is subject to potential changes and may not reflect current market conditions or future developments beyond the time of submission for publication.

Disclosure: I am long V. Babylon Capital, its representatives, and client(s) have positions in the securities discussed in this article. The information contained in this article is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice to meet the specific needs of any individual or situation. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Information contained in this article has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed as to completeness or accuracy.

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Business

Billions for ‘unproven’ carbon capture technology will have ‘very significant’ impact on energy bills, MPs warn

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Billions for 'unproven' carbon capture technology will have 'very significant' impact on energy bills, MPs warn

The government is spending £22bn on “unproven” technologies which will have a “very significant effect” on energy bills, according to an influential committee of MPs.

There has been no assessment of whether the programme to capture and store carbon from the atmosphere is affordable for billpayers, said a report from the Public Accounts Committee (PAC) of MPs.

The financial impact on households of funding the project has not been examined by government at all, the PAC said.

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Even if the state’s investment pays off, the technology is successful and makes money, there is no way for profits to be shared to bring down bills, it added.

Private sector investors, however, would recoup investment, according to committee chair Sir Geoffrey Clifton-Brown.

“All early progress will be underwritten by taxpayers, who currently do not stand to benefit if these projects are successful,” he said. “Any private sector funding for such a project would expect to see significant returns when it becomes a success.”

That’s despite the vast majority (two-thirds) of the £21.7bn investment coming from levies on consumers “who are already facing some of the highest energy bills in the world”, it said.

But there is no evidence to say the programme will be successful despite the government “gambling” its legally mandated net zero targets on the tech, committee chair Sir Geoffrey added.

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PM to invest £22bn in carbon capture

There are no examples of carbon capture, usage and storage (CCUS) operating at scale in the UK, according to the PAC report.

As part of its work, the PAC heard the technology may not capture as much carbon as expected.

International examples show the government’s expectations for its performance are “far from guaranteed”, it heard as part of its inquiry.

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A threat to net zero

This lack of proof of the technology working is a threat to the UK reaching its net zero 2050 emissions targets.

Last year the government downgraded the amount of carbon it expects to store each year as the goals were seen as “no longer achievable”, but no new targets have been announced, creating a shortfall in the path to net zero.

It is now “unclear” how the government will reach its goal, the PAC report said.

“Our committee was left unconvinced that CCUS is the silver bullet government is apparently betting on”, Sir Geoffrey said.

The £22bn investment was due to be made over 25 years and into five CCUS projects.

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World

Two dead after plane crashes into vehicles on busy road in Sao Paulo

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Two dead after plane crashes into vehicles on busy road in Sao Paulo

Two people have died after a plane crashed into vehicles on a busy road in the Brazilian city of Sao Paulo.

A fire department spokesperson confirmed the deaths to local media.

The plane crashed on Marques de Sao Vicente Avenue in Barra Funda at around 7.20am local time.

Images and video footage showing a bus on fire in the aftermath.

Two people – a motorcyclist and a woman who was on the bus – were injured after they were struck by debris from the explosion, CNN Brasil reported.

The aircraft – a small twin-engine King Air – had left Campo de Marte Airport, the Brazilian television news channel reported. The control tower lost contact with the plane minutes later.

The cause of the crash is being investigated.

This breaking news story is being updated and more details will be published shortly.

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Politics

Kentucky joins growing list of US states to introduce Bitcoin reserve bill

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Kentucky joins growing list of US states to introduce Bitcoin reserve bill

Kentucky’s bill is a “massive vote of confidence in Bitcoin” that brings the US closer to a federal Bitcoin reserve.

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