The Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) delay in deciding whether to approve a spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States is fueling expectations that a final verdict will come in a batch that includes key players on Wall Street, including BlackRock and Fidelity.
“There’s a tremendous amount of pressure on the SEC to approve a number of these ETFs, particularly because the approved Futures backed products are lagging spot performance substantially, harming investors,” markets veteran and co-founder of CoinRoutes Dave Weisberger told Cointelegraph, adding that all pending applications will likely be included in a final decision.
The SEC is analyzing a total of eight applications for a spot Bitcoin ETF, following past delays and denials of the crypto product in recent years. Companies up for a decision are Ark and 21Shares, Bitwise, BlackRock, VanEck, WisdomTree, Invesco and Galaxy Digital, Fidelity, and Valkyrie. Together, the firms manage over $15 trillion in global assets.
On Aug. 11, the U.S. markets regulator opened a 21-day comment period for the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF. As per the filing, the SEC is seeking answers on whether ARK 21Shares’ proposal is designed to prevent fraudulent and manipulative acts and practices, as well as whether the Bitcoin market is susceptible to manipulation.
Furthermore, the regulator raised concerns about Coinbase’s surveillance-sharing agreement, asking commenters to examine whether Coinbase’s participation in the ETFs surveillance would, in fact, help to detect, investigate, and deter fraud and manipulation in Bitcoin’s price.
“The SEC’s main concern about spot crypto ETFs is about the potential market manipulation by a big whale. Theoretically, it can happen if the SEC approves the ETFs of one or two investment funds. But if it decides to register all 8 ETFs, it will sharply mitigate the probability of manipulation, because these firms will be able to trade with each other frequently, taking opposite sides,” explained Ruslan Lienkha, chief of markets at YouHodler.
SEC application timeline for a spot Bitcoin ETF. Source: Bloomberg Intelligence/James Seyffart
The delay had a lower impact on Bitcoin’s price, hovering around the $30,000-mark at the time of writing. According to Mauricio Di Bartolomeo, co-founder of crypto lending platform Ledn, traders and investors are “expecting them [the SEC] to take all the time they could,” with today’s decision having a low impact “in terms of market expectations.”
The SEC still has two deadlines before a final decision is made. The third deadline for ARK 21Shares application is due by January 202. Valkyrie has the latest application in line, with two upcoming deadlines in January and March next year.
The BTC ETF outcome could reshape the crypto investment landscape. According to Lienkha, an approval could potentially bring over $70 billion in liquidity to the Bitcoin market. “The opportunity to invest in Bitcoin through ETFs will give regular investors more confidence, as with professional help, they don’t have to dive into all the technical details and analyze potential risks by themselves,” he noted.
Senate Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott says he’s looking to mark up a crypto market structure bill next month to have it on President Donald Trump’s desk by early next year.
Scott told Fox Business on Tuesday that the committee has been negotiating with Democrats to reach a deal, but accused the party’s senators of stalling.
“Next month, we believe we can mark up in both committees and get this to the floor of the Senate early next year so that President Trump will sign the legislation making America the crypto capital of the world,” Scott said.
Banking Committee Chairman Tim Scott says a vote on the market structure bill could occur in December. Source: YouTube
The House passed the CLARITY Act in July, which outlines the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Securities and Exchange Commission’s power to regulate crypto, and the Senate has been working on its own version of the bill.
Republicans on the Senate Banking Committee released a discussion draft on their section of the bill in July and suggested it would marry up with the CLARITY Act, and the Senate Agriculture Committee released its discussion draft on Nov. 10, which left much of the bill up for change.
The Agriculture Committee has jurisdiction over the CFTC, while the Banking Committee oversees the SEC and is leading parts of the bill relating to securities laws.
Bill will create clear rules and unlock crypto: Armstrong
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said in a video posted to X on Tuesday that he was in Washington, DC, “pushing for market structure legislation,” and noted there had been “a lot of progress.”
“Senate banking is also working nights and weekends to get the next iteration of their text out, so we’ve got a good chance, I think, of a markup for this bill in December, hopefully get it to the president’s desk shortly thereafter,” Armstrong said.
“This would be a big milestone to get crypto unlocked with clear rules in the US, which would benefit all companies,” he added.
Where the bill will go from here
The CLARITY Act was one of three major crypto bills the House passed in July after a 10-hour voting session alongside the GENIUS Act, which aims to regulate stablecoins and the Anti-CBDC Surveillance Act, which outlaws central bank digital currencies.
As the Senate is working on its own version, the CLARITY Act will return to the House for final approval if it’s passed by the Senate. It would then be sent to Trump to be signed into law.
Republicans hold the majority in the Senate with 53 seats, compared to the Democrats’ 47 seats, with legislation effectively requiring 60 votes to pass.
The Republic of the Marshall Islands announced that it would allow citizens to access funds through a government-issued digital asset as part of the nation’s Universal Basic Income (UBI) program.
In a Wednesday announcement shared with Cointelegraph, the government of the island nation said it had launched a digital wallet called Lomalo, which will utilize the US dollar-pegged stablecoin USDM1 to enable citizens to access the UBI program. According to the government, the first disbursement of funds will occur in late November, allowing citizens to access them through their wallet, by physical check, or via direct deposit.
“By introducing a secure digital option alongside our traditional methods, we are strengthening our financial systems and ensuring that no community is left behind,” said David Paul, finance minister for the Marshall Islands.
Neighboring Pacific island nations have rolled out similar programs over the years, including Palau’s stablecoin on the XRP Ledger for government employees, and the central bank of the Solomon Islands’ Bokolo Cash for peer-to-peer transactions and retail payments in the nation’s capital, Honiara.
“Citizens will be able to transfer to other registered Lomalo users,” a spokesperson for the Marshall Islands’ finance minister told Cointelegraph. “Right now, only citizens registered for the UBI can set up a wallet.”
Warnings from the IMF on the Marshall Islands utilizing digital assets
The launch of the digital wallet as part of the islands’ UBI program followed warnings from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). In 2023, the group urged the government of the Marshall Islands to reconsider its central bank digital currency program, then known as SOV.
“Progress on rolling back past digital initiatives is welcome,” said the IMF in a Sept. 10 notice. “Current plans to issue a ‘digital sovereign bond’ carry significant risks relative to perceived returns, which cannot be effectively mitigated given lack of pre-requisite capacity. Thus, in the mission’s view, the authorities should not proceed with the global launch as planned.”
The IMF said that the expansion of Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAOs), which the Marshall Islands began recognizing as legal entities in 2022, and the launch of the UBI program using the “untested” USDM1 could have “adverse macro-fiscal and financial integrity implications.” The fund urged the government to scale back the UBI program to a “more targeted scheme to those who need it the most.”
Kemi Badenoch has said she does not want to scrap the triple lock “now” but said “lets see mess Labour leaves for us”.
The Tory leader told Sky News that the triple lock was a Conservative idea and that it was right to protect people who had contributed to the welfare system.
The triple lock means the state pension must rise by whichever is highest of either average earnings, inflation or 2.5%.
However, she said she would not say she would “never” reform it or explicitly rule it out for the next parliament.
In April, the government stated that 55% of social security expenditure in 2025-26 would be spent on pensioners.
The Office for Budget Responsibility says the triple lock has pushed up the spending on the state pension by £12bn a year, compared to if it had been uprated in line with average earnings.
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The problem with the triple lock, Ms Badenoch suggested, was low growth – with 0.1% in the UK.
She suggested it was also the reason why Argentinian President Javier Milei – whom she has praised as “fantastic” and “fearless” – could block pensioner entitlement rises is because they are growing at 6%.
“If we were growing a 2% to 3%, you wouldn’t have a problem with pensions,” she explained.
“Argentina is growing at 6%. What we’re seeing right now is growth at 0.1%. Growth is flatlining. We need to start with getting growth.”
But asked whether the Tories would “never” look at reforming the policy, she said: “That moment is not now. And I don’t want people to be confused about what our policy is right now. Our policy is to keep the triple lock. Let us focus on welfare, that is the picture of what we mean by right now.”
Asked how long that would be her position for, Ms Badenoch replied: “Well, let’s see what this budget leaves. Let’s see what mess Reeves leaves for us.”
The triple lock is the cause of much debate, given the economic climate, with Reform UK leader Nigel Farage also saying its future depended on the state of the economy.
Asked by political correspondent Tamara Cohen whether a potential Reform government would keep the triple lock, Mr Farage said the matter was one of “open debate” and that keeping the triple lock would depend “on the state of the economy”.
Pressed on when he would make a decision because pensioners were becoming concerned, he said: “Not now. Nearer the election.”
He added: “Right now they’re getting above inflation increases.
“That doesn’t mean they’re wealthy. The real worry for many pensioners will be even with modest pensions, this budget could drag them all into the tax system. That’ll worry them even more.”