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To sanitise a quote from fictional government spin doctor Malcolm Tucker, “no one talks about dodgy donors okay? Because it makes everybody look bad.”

The real-life Downing Street operation may be learning a similar lesson to this during their summer campaign to try and create dividing lines with Labour on key election issues.

Put plainly: is it wise to throw the spotlight onto policy areas like housing, migration and health when the Conservative’s own record is patchy at best?

Take the so-called “small boats week”.

The aim was to demonstrate tangible progress and restate Tory commitment to hard-line measures to discourage channel crossings.

In reality, we ended the week with 39 migrants being taken off a barge in Dorset because of a Legionella alert; an uptick in channel crossings and the total number of people recorded making the journey passing the 100,000 mark; and six people losing their lives in the Channel after their boat began to sink off the French coast.

Image:
A rescue operation this weekend after a migrant boat capsized

The Bibby Stockholm affair is arguably the biggest backfire.

More on Bibby Stockholm

It’s important to remember that – despite the endless media attention – the vessel was never much of an answer to the vexed question of what to do with the 50,000 or so asylum seekers housed in hotels.

Even at full capacity, the Bibby would only take 1% of that number.

No, the aim of the barge was for it to be a symbol of the government’s no holds barred approach to irregular migration.

It’s now warped into something quite different.

Tory MPs and voters may be forgiven for wondering what chance there is of hundreds of asylum seekers being permanently settled in Rwanda if the government can’t even keep a few dozen on a barge in Dorset for more than a week.

Or to put it another way, this is about competency.

And that’s what makes it dangerous for Rishi Sunak, because he has staked his premiership on his broader ability to fix problems and get things done.

But that’s not to say there aren’t some questions for Labour as well.

Part of the political strategy behind the Bibby Stockholm was to force Labour to take a position on this divisive election issue.

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Campaigners: ‘More people will die’ in Channel

The party appeared to do that this week with the shadow immigration minister calling the measure a “mess” but also suggesting they would initially keep the barge if in government.

The partial implosion of the policy now shows the potential dangers of this flavour of political triangulation and will likely fuel calls from the left of the party for the leadership to be bolder in speaking out on divisive so-called “wedge” issues.

So what next?

We’re told to expect a focus on the NHS in the coming days with the Health Secretary Steve Barclay provocatively writing to the Labour and SNP-run governments in Wales and Scotland to offer help with waiting lists.

But again, how wise is this given the health service in England starts the week with junior doctors on strike and with NHS leaders warning it may not be possible to meet the prime minister’s promise of cutting waiting lists?

Read More:
Analysis: Fiasco shows how far Sunak has to go
Government defends immigration strategy

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak speaking to the media during his visit to Shell St Fergus Gas Plant in Peterhead, Aberdeenshire, for the announcement of further measures to protect the UK's long-term energy security. Picture date: Monday July 31, 2023.

Of course, the reason these strategies look risky is because of the unstable domestic backdrop the government is presiding over.

The hope in Downing Street is that by the time of the next election, progress on the economy, healthcare and migration will give ministers a firmer footing to launch attacks from.

The calculation for this current campaign may simply be “why not?” – given Labour’s huge poll lead and the fact that public attention is largely elsewhere during the summer break.

Or to put it another way: such is the state of the glass house Rishi Sunak is currently sat in, there’s probably little harm in throwing a few stones.

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EU may consolidate crypto regulations, IMF warns of stablecoin risk: Global Express

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EU may consolidate crypto regulations, IMF warns of stablecoin risk: Global Express

European tech regulators have fined social media platform X 120 million euros ($140 million) for breaking EU rules pertaining to online content.

The fine follows a two-year investigation under the Digital Services Act (DSA), which reportedly found that X was not doing enough to tackle illegal and harmful material.

Regulators also said that the blue check marks on Elon Musk’s platform were deceiving. They did not follow industry decisions and negatively impacted users’ ability to make informed decisions about the authenticity of an account.

The fine is part of a wider crackdown on Big Tech companies, particularly social media. TikTok reported it had avoided a fine by making concessions.

The actions against X are bound to create tension with the US. Vice President JD Vance said that EU regulators shouldn’t be “attacking” American companies.

Source: JD Vance

The DSA will also apply to crypto platforms, DeFi frontends and NFT marketplaces if they grow to a sufficiently large size. It can influence how these platforms handle ads, user-directed content and market financial instruments.

EU banks launch euro-stablecoin firm as EU considers ESMA crypto oversight

A group of 10 European banks, including institutional heavyweights such as BNP Paribas, is planning to launch a stablecoin backed by the euro by the second half of 2026.

BNP Paribas partnered with Danish Danske Bank, the Netherlands’ ING, Austria’s Raiffeisen Bank International and others to create and incorporate the project as Qivalis. The company will be based in Amsterdam.

Qivalis CEO Jan-Oliver Sell said that stablecoins provide both convenience and monetary autonomy “in the digital age.” He said it will give “new opportunities for European companies and consumers to interact with on-chain payments and digital asset markets in their own currency.”

The new project was announced days before the European Commission proposed expanding the powers of the EU’s key financial regulator, the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA).

The proposal, released Thursday, would transfer supervision “over significant market infrastructures such as certain trading venues, Central Counterparties (CCPs), CSDs, and all Crypto-Asset Service Providers (CASPs)” to the ESMA.

The move is part of a broader effort to streamline European market regulation. Three countries — France, Italy and Austria — have requested that the ESMA take over crypto regulations. This followed concerns that there was uneven enforcement of Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) standards across member states.

Related: What is Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA)?

Spot crypto assets to begin trading on futures market, CFTC says

In the United States, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has approved spot cryptocurrency products to trade on futures markets.

Acting Chair Caroline Pham said that the move brings these products onshore to “safe U.S. markets.” She said the approval followed recommendations from the White House’s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets and engagement with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Earlier this year, the SEC and CFTC established the “Crypto Sprint” initiative to share recommendations and consult on best practices.

Source: Acting CFTC Chair Caroline Pham

Pham became acting chair at the beginning of the year. She is expected to step down when the Trump administration’s nominee, Michael Selig, is approved by Congress.

South Africa flags crypto risks; new rules in the works

The South African Reserve Bank, the country’s central bank, issued a warning on Nov. 25 about the perceived risks associated with stablecoins and cryptocurrencies. These include a lack of comprehensive regulations.

The bank was concerned that the global and borderless nature of cryptocurrencies would make them ideal for skirting financial regulations.

South Africa is second on the continent for value received in crypto. Source: Chainalysis

Herco Steyn, the bank’s lead macroprudential specialist, reportedly said the risk stemmed from “the lack of a complementary and full regulatory framework, which is not possible at the moment.”

In 2023, he wrote, “Regulatory influence over stablecoin issuers – whether domiciled domestically or abroad – may result in spillovers from the crypto asset ecosystem to the traditional financial system, particularly if South African regulatory authorities are unable to impose prudential requirements on stablecoin issuers.”

To address this, the reserve bank is reportedly working on new rules with the National Treasury to monitor cross-border crypto transactions and change exchange control laws so they fall under regulatory scrutiny.

IMF warns stablecoins could upend fragile financial systems

On Thursday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) published a report on stablecoins outlining a number of risks, including:

  • Volatility in value and runs

  • Disintermediation of banks

  • Interconnection with the financial system

  • Currency substitution.

It said that the “use of foreign currency-denominated stablecoins, especially in cross-border contexts, could lead to currency substitution and potentially undermine monetary sovereignty, particularly in the presence of unhosted wallets.”

The IMF also noted that many major stablecoin issuers don’t provide or offer any redemption rights for holders. “Uncertainty of treatment in case of insolvency of stablecoin issuer may also accelerate runs,” it said.

Runs would also create first-mover advantages when there is a crisis of confidence, which could result in investors selling their holdings at a significant discount.

The IMF did acknowledge possible benefits of stablecoins, including faster transactions compared to bank transfers, particularly in the context of cross-border transactions and remittances. They can also facilitate digital payment in remote areas and reduce counterparty risk when integrated with smart contracts.

Magazine: Indian investors look beyond Bitcoin, Japan to soften crypto tax: Asia Express