Photo taken on Aug. 14, 2023 shows iPhones at an Apple store in Hangzhou, East China’s Zhejiang province. On the same day, data released by TechInsights showed that Apple’s iPhone sales in China surpassed the United States for the first time in the second quarter of 2023, becoming the largest single market for iPhone shipments.
Costfoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images
Global smartphone shipments this year are on track to be the worst in a decade, Counterpoint Research said in a report on Thursday, as the market is dragged down by the U.S. and China.
However, Apple could become the biggest player in smartphones this year by shipments, as its high-end iPhone sales remain resilient, the report added.
Measuring expected demand, shipments are not equivalent to sales and represent the number of devices that smartphones vendors send to retailers.
Counterpoint Research said it expects smartphone shipments in 2023 to decline 6% year-on year to 1.15 billion devices.
“Asia is one of the major hurdles to positive growth, as headwinds halt the economic turnaround anticipated for China at the start of the year, and the broader region experiences intensifying declines across emerging markets,” Counterpoint said in its report.
China’s economy this year has sputtered and not lived up to expectations of a rapid recovery, while consumers remain cautious on spending.
Chinese smartphone purchases, which used to average 450 million devices a year at their peak, have shrunk to 270 million per year — contributing as a major cause behind the decline in global smartphone sales, Karn Chauhan, senior analyst at Counterpoint Research told CNBC via email.
North America continues to dampen the global recovery, with a “disappointing” first half of the year setting the region up for double-digit full-year declines, Counterpoint’s report said.
“Despite strength in the jobs market and inflation falling, consumers are hesitant to upgrade their devices, pushing replacement rates for the US and globally to record highs,” the research firm said.
‘Apple in a good spot’
The premium end of the market with higher priced devices has remained quite resilient, despite a fall in overall smartphone shipments.
Apple is gearing up to launch its next flagship smartphone — the iPhone 15 — in September. That could give the company a strong showing going into the end of the year, Counterpoint said.
“But we’re watching Q4 (fourth quarter) with interest because the iPhone 15 launch is a window for carriers to steal high-value customers. And with that big iPhone 12 installed base up for grabs promos are going to be aggressive, leaving Apple in a good spot,” Jeff Fieldhack, research director for North America at Counterpoint Research, said in a press release.
Chauhan said the analyst firm expects Apple shipments to be up “marginally” year-on-year, given demand in markets like China and other Asian countries where there is a “growing premiumization trend” — meaning that people are willing to pay a higher price for phones.
Apple’s iPhone range helps Apple play in the premium segment of the smartphone market.
Counterpoint Research said that the U.S. company could this year take the top spot globally in terms of annual shipments for the first time ever. Samsung was the biggest player by market share in the second quarter of the year.
“It’s the closest Apple’s been to the top spot. We’re talking about a spread that’s literally a few days’ worth of sales,” Fieldhack said. “Assuming Apple doesn’t run into production problems like it did last year, it’s really a toss up at this point.”
Apple has made a push into new markets, with India being a focal point for the company in 2023, as it tries to capitalize on local consumers’ appetite for premium devices. The U.S. company opened its first physical stores in India this year, with CEO Tim Cook visiting the country.
Apple’s ability to grow in the market will also factor into whether it ends up as the number one smartphone maker this year, according to Chauhan.
“The reception of the iPhone 15 and growth in non-core iPhone markets will decide if Apple surpasses Samsung at the full-year level or not,” Chauhan told CNBC.
Michael Intrator, Founder & CEO of CoreWeave, Inc., Nvidia-backed cloud services provider, gestures during the company’s IPO at the Nasdaq Market, in New York City, U.S., March 28, 2025.
Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters
Artificial intelligence cloud provider CoreWeave is set to make its Nasdaq debut on Friday. The company priced shares at $40 in its initial public offering on Thursday, raising $1.5 billion.
As a supplier to OpenAI, CoreWeave is among the beneficiaries of the rise of generative AI software such as the San Francisco AI startup’s ChatGPT assistant, which launched in late 2022.
Microsoft provided cloud services to OpenAI but quickly called in CoreWeave, which rents out access to its hundreds of thousands of Nvidia graphics processing units, to provide additional capacity. In 2024, 62% of CoreWeave’s $1.92 billion in revenue came from Microsoft.
Few technology companies have joined stock exchanges since late 2021, when investors became more cautious about inflation, leading central banks to raise interest rates. That in turn made unprofitable companies less attractive.
There were been just 13 venture-backed technology IPOs in 2022, 2023 and 2024, compared with 77 in 2021, according to data from Jay Ritter, an emeritus professor of finance at the University of Florida.
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CoreWeave reported a $863 million net loss in 2024, but it was in growth mode, with revenue growing 737% year over year. It had raised almost $13 billion in debt as of Dec. 31, with much of that allocated for GPUs that go inside the company’s leased data centers in the U.S. and abroad.
The technology industry can now boast the largest U.S. IPO since automation software maker UiPath‘s $1.57 billion New York Stock Exchange debut in 2021. Still, CoreWeave downsized its offering to 37.5 million shares from 49 million and priced below the initial range of $47 to $55 each.
Since CoreWeave filed its prospectus with the Securities and Exchange Commission on March 3, digital physical therapy company Hinge Health and Swedish online lender Klarna have done the same. Discord, which runs popular chat software, has hired banks for an IPO, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday.
CoreWeave’s arrival on Nasdaq might inspire other AI companies to go public, too. An “AI parade” might be on the way, Mark Klein, CEO of SuRo Capital, which invests in private companies, told CNBC earlier.
Data analytics company Databricks, which partly generates revenue by running AI models on behalf of clients, announced a funding round at a $62 billion valuation in December. OpenAI, for its part, was in talks to raise money at a $340 billion valuation as of January.
CoreWeave was founded in 2017 and is based in Livingston, New Jersey, with 881 employees at the end of 2024. Before CoreWeave’s IPO, Michael Intrator, the company’s co-founder and CEO, controlled 38% of its voting power, while Nvidia held 1%. Other investors include Fidelity and Magnetar.
CoreWeave CEO Mike Intrator said Friday that the company’s IPO pricing, which came in below expectations, has to be placed in the larger context of the macroenvironment.
“There’s a lot of headwinds in the macro,” Intrator said on CNBC’s Squawk Box. “And we definitely had to scale or rightsize the transaction for where the buying interest was.”
The company, which provides access to Nvidia graphics processing units for artificial intelligence training and workloads, priced its IPO at $40 a share, below the initial $47 to $55 per share filing. The stock will begin trading on the Nasdaq under the symbol “CRWV.”
The lower price provided enough of a discount to the replacement value that investors could feel comfortable buying, sources familiar with the offering told CNBC’s Leslie Picker. Replacement value is the value of the company’s assets at the present time.
About 10-15 long-only and strategic investors made up the majority of the backing group, the sources said.
“We believe that as the public markets get to know us, get to know how we execute, get to know how we build our infrastructure, get to know how we build our client relationships and the incredible capacity of our solutions, the company will be very successful,” Intrator said.
Nvidia is anchoring the deal with a $250 million order, CNBC reported Thursday.
CoreWeave raised $1.5 billion at the $40 per share price, giving it a non-diluted valuation of around $19 billion.
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Intrator said the company will use the money to pay down debt and for expansion.
The company held nearly $8 billion in debt at the end of 2024.
CoreWeave was also bolstered by the recent market action triggered by DeepSeek, which pushed the company to “build bigger” and “build faster,” Intrator said.
“One of the things that’s made us incredibly effective is we take a really long-term view of where this space is going,” he said.
“Our customers are telling us, universally, to continue to build – we cannot keep up with the scale.”
Intrator also addressed administrative issues with a loan last year in which the company faced technical defaults.
The company started to use money from the $7.6 billion loan for scaling in Europe, The Financial Times reported.
Intrator said the company self-reported the “misstep” in its S-1 and quickly addressed it with the lenders.
“Those lenders proceeded to go ahead and continue to lend us hundreds of millions of dollars after all of these issues,” he said.
A logo hangs on the building of the Beijing branch of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) on December 4, 2020 in Beijing, China.
Taiwan’s Ministry of Justice Investigation Bureau (MIJB) said in a statement that SMIC had used a Samoa-based entity as cover to set up a subsidiary on the island “under the guise of foreign investment” and has been “actively recruiting” talent from Taiwan.
CNBC was unable to independently verify the claims and SMIC was not immediately available for comment.
The ministry said Taiwan began investigating the issue in December 2024. Eleven Chinese enterprises suspected of paoching talent were investigated, it said, with agents conducting searches at 34 locations and questioning 90 individuals.
SMIC is China’s biggest semiconductor manufacturing firm. It was thrust into the spotlight in 2023 when it was revealed to be the maker of the 7 nanometer chip in Huawei’s smartphone at the time. A few years prior, SMIC was put on a U.S. government export blacklist.
China has been trying to ramp up its chipmaking capabilities via SMIC, but the company remains behind competitors like TSMC in Taiwan. Chip export restrictions imposed by the U.S. also mean SMIC is unable to access the latest chipmaking tools from critical suppliers like ASML that could allow it to catch up.
Taiwan is a hotbed of talent in the semiconductor industry as it is home to TSMC, the world’s biggest and most advanced chipmaker. The U.S. has sought to tap into this talent, and bring more chipmaking capabilities to its shores, by convincing TSMC to build more manufacturing capacity in the country.
Taiwan’s MJIB said it set up a special task force at the end of 2020 to investigate allegations of “illegal poaching” of talent.
“Chinese enterprises often disguise their identities through various means, including setting up operations under the guise of Taiwanese, overseas Chinese, or foreign-invested companies, while in reality being backed by Chinese capital, establishing unauthorized business locations in Taiwan without government approval, and using employment agencies to falsely assign employees to Taiwanese firm,” the ministry said.