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An update on the future of Wilko, the collapsed discount and variety retailer, is expected imminently from its administrators PwC.

The former family-owned company went into administration two weeks ago – making it the third biggest casualty in the retail sector during recent years after Sir Philip Green’s Arcadia empire and the department store chain Debenhams.

Sky News revealed a week ago that PwC had given prospective buyers until last Wednesday to submit initial offers for some or all of the business.

It is now working through those offers.

Wilko’s 12,500 employees were given some cause for optimism when, on Friday afternoon, the GMB union said that, after meeting with administrators, there were “genuine grounds for hope”.

The union’s national secretary, Andy Prendergast, said there had been “expressions of interest from organisations who are considering taking over at least some parts of the business.”

Among those who have been linked with a potential acquisition of former Wilko assets are its chief rivals, including the FTSE-100-listed B&M; Poundland, which is owned by Warsaw-listed Pepco Group; and The Range and Home Bargains, both of which are privately owned.

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What happened to Wilko?

Sky News has also revealed that, prior to its collapse, Wilko also held talks with the private equity firms Gordon Brothers, which owns Laura Ashley; OpCapita, whose assets include the Football Pools and Alteri, which owns Bensons for Beds.

They may also be interested in parts of the business.

Yet it is far from clear whether any buyer would want the entire Wilko business which, at the time of its collapse, operated some 400 stores.

Wilko had, prior to its demise, been seeking rent cuts at a number of its stores – a significant number of which were not trading profitably.

Industry speculation is that, at best, buyers will be found for between 200-300 outlets.

Wilco store in Wood Green shopping city
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The Wilko store at Wood Green Shopping City, north London

Reports at the weekend suggested that would-be buyers have submitted offers for between 40-50 stores but that one potential buyer has offered to retain as many as 300 outlets.

That means some redundancies are inevitable.

There is, though, some residual value in some of the sites. The data analytics and consultancy group Global Data has reported that the UK discount and variety retail sector is set to grow by 5% per year during the next five years to more than £57bn in total.

Therefore, even though the market is intensely competitive, it will be worth competitors acquiring some Wilko sites.

That was certainly the case when, in 2008, Woolworths collapsed. Nearly a quarter of the old household favourite’s 800 or so former stores were acquired by the very names now being linked with acquisitions of some or all of Wilko – Poundland and B&M – although, two years after the failure of Woolies, some 300 stores had yet to be bought and remained unused.

Poundland acquired 57 former Woolworths stores, 47 were bought by the 99p Stores chain (which was bought by Poundland in September 2015), B&M picked up 43 while Poundstretcher acquired 22.

General view Woolworths store at 42-46 Abington Street, Northampton. Northamptonshire. NN1 2AZ
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Woolworths collapsed in 2008

As with Woolies, some former Wilko stores may also end up in time being acquired by supermarkets. Iceland was the biggest single buyer of former Woolworths stores, picking up 59 of them, while other sites vacated by Woolworths were acquired by Tesco, Sainsbury’s and Waitrose.

Buyers, though, will be discriminating in the former Wilko outlets that they take on.

Clive Black, retail analyst at investment bank Shore Capital and widely regarded as one of the industry’s best sector-watchers, told clients last week: “One significant factor contributing to Wilko’s collapse is the location of its stores, primarily situated in high streets and shopping centres. These areas have experienced a notable decrease in footfall, reportedly around 30% lower, compared with levels before the pandemic.”

Mr Black said that made a bid for the entire Wilko estate unfeasible.

He added: “It might be more plausible for B&M to concentrate on acquiring stores located in out-of-town retail parks. These locations tend to be less affected by the structural decline in foot traffic seen in town centres and secondary malls.”

It also seems possible that the Wilko brand itself will attract interest. The trade publication Marketing Week last week highlighted evidence from YouGov’s BrandIndex platform which suggests that, even after going in to administration, Wilko’s overall ‘brand health’ – a measure of how it is perceived by consumers – is stronger than the retail sector as a whole and significantly ahead of Home Bargains, B&M and Poundland.

Marketing Week reported: “In the past year, Wilko has also consistently outperformed these rival retailers on both quality and value perceptions…Wilko is perceived as being much better quality than B&M, Home Bargains and Poundland.”

That means the brand may live on. The Sun reported at the weekend that one of the potential bidders speaking with PwC has expressed an interest in retaining the Wilko name. It is likely that this would be for the purposes of retaining an online presence. Brands such as Topshop – previously owned by Arcadia – and Debenhams both live on as online-only brands.

But Wilko may yet retain a physical presence, too. A template here could be Paperchase, whose brand name and intellectual property was acquired in January after it collapsed into administration by Tesco.

So there are plenty of possibilities for some of Wilko’s assets – which is why speculation has begun to circulate that it may not until some time next week before PwC can provide an update.

What is certain, though, is that Wilko will not continue in the form in which it did prior to its collapse.

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Carlyle joins list of possible Thames Water rescue backers

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Carlyle joins list of possible Thames Water rescue backers

Carlyle, the American investment giant, has become the latest global fund to weigh an investment in Thames Water as the stricken utility races to avoid being nationalised.

Sky News has learnt that Carlyle, which has roughly $435bn in assets under management, is at the very preliminary stages of assessing whether an investment in Thames Water Utilities Limited (TWUL) would be viable.

Britain’s biggest water and wastewater company, which has about 16 million customers, is edging towards the brink of collapse after warning in recent days that its financial liquidity is set to expire months earlier than previously anticipated.

It has also seen its credit rating downgraded further into junk territory by two leading rating agencies.

Carlyle is one of a long list of prospective investors approached by Rothschild, the investment bank advising Thames Water’s board, as the utility scrambles to raise more than £3bn in the coming months.

This weekend, people close to the process confirmed that Carlyle had been approached but said it was “too early” to judge whether the firm might participate in a rescue deal through one or more of its funds.

Among the others sounded out by Rothschild are Brookfield, the Canadian investment giant, and Global Infrastructure Partners, which is now owned by BlackRock.

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Many investors and industry analysts believe, however, that the Rothschild-led process is destined to fail given the massive financial restructuring which faces Thames Water.

The company has about £16bn in debt, with approximately £10bn of that accounted for by a group of 90 funds which have appointed Jefferies and Akin Gump to represent them.

That syndicate is now preparing its own rescue plan in the coming weeks, which is likely to include an enormous debt-for-equity swap that would wipe out the existing shareholders.

Thames Water’s future remains so shrouded in uncertainty because the industry watchdog, Ofwat, has rejected the company’s initial spending plans for the next five-year regulatory period.

The company is now engaged in discussions with Ofwat ahead of its final determination in December.

A bridging loan of about £1bn is being contemplated by some of Thames Water’s creditors, but some stakeholders remain sceptical that any new financing will be forthcoming without greater regulatory certainty.

“Until the lenders know what they are bridging to, the concern deepens that they risk throwing good money after bad,” said one fund.

TWUL’s board is said to have met in the last 48 hours to discuss the implications of its latest rating downgrades and impending liquidity shortfall.

One creditor said that Ofwat was expected to appoint an independent monitor next week to scrutinise the company’s progress against its turnaround plan.

Ofwat, which signalled in August that it would make such an appointment, declined to comment.

If new investment into Thames Water is not forthcoming before it runs out of cash, the government will have little choice but to sanction the temporary nationalisation of the company.

This would be done through a Special Administration Regime (SAR), a procedure tested only once before when Bulb Energy collapsed in 2021.

As part of its contingency planning for implementing a far-reaching restructuring, Thames Water has booked court dates in November to progress a rescue deal.

A source close to the company said that Thames Water “continues to look at all options for extending its liquidity and raising new equity”.

“Reserving court dates is sensible forward planning and a part of keeping all options open.”

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Former Missguided owner Alteri in talks to buy Kurt Geiger

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Former Missguided owner Alteri in talks to buy Kurt Geiger

A former owner of Missguided, the youth fashion brand, is in talks to buy Kurt Geiger, the upmarket shoe and accessories retailer.

Sky News has learnt that Alteri Investors, which was backed by the global private equity giant Apollo Management when it launched a decade ago, is among a number of parties in discussions about a takeover of the 61-year-old footwear brand.

City sources said this weekend that the talks were at an early stage and were not being held on an exclusive basis.

Several other parties are also considering bids for Kurt Geiger, which has been owned by Cinven, the private equity firm, since 2015.

The brand’s celebrity customers reportedly include Kylie Jenner, Jennifer Lopez and Paris Hilton.

Last October, Sky News revealed that Cinven had appointed Bank of America to oversee an auction of the retailer.

At the time, banking sources said they expected the company to fetch a price in the region of £400m.

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It was unclear what valuation a deal under discussion with Alteri would command.

Luxury goods groups and other buyout firms are understood to have been examining offers for Kurt Geiger in recent months.

Kurt Geiger, which was founded in 1963, is run by Neil Clifford, its long-serving chief executive.

Previously backed by Sycamore Partners, another private equity group, the brand is targeting significant expansion in the US through a chain of standalone stores.

To mark its 60th anniversary last year, Mr Clifford announced plans to establish a design academy for young people to embark on careers in the fashion industry.

Mr Clifford has run the business for the last two decades.

Last year, it announced a £150m debt deal to fund its international expansion and refinance existing borrowings.

In the UK, Kurt Geiger’s shoes have been sold at department stores including Harrods and Selfridges for years.

Alteri has owned a number of retailers in Europe since it was established, and is the current owner of the Bensons for Beds chain.

It specialises in distressed or turnaround situations, and has been linked with chains including BHS, the now-defunct department store group, and Poundworld, the discounter.

Kurt Geiger recently published results showing a 10% rise in sales in the year to the end of January.

Earnings of £40.4m on revenue of £360m put the business back in line with its pre-Covid performance, Mr Clifford said last month.

Alteri and Cinven both declined to comment this weekend.

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Southern Water considering shipping supplies from Norway to UK due to drought fears

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Southern Water considering shipping supplies from Norway to UK due to drought fears

One of the UK’s largest water companies is considering shipping supplies from Norway to the UK.

Southern Water said the idea was a “last-resort contingency measure” in case of extreme droughts in the early 2030s.

Up to 45 million litres could be brought to the UK per day under the proposals.

The Financial Times, which first reported the potential move, said the water, from melting glaciers by fjords in the Scandinavian country, would be transported by tankers.

It comes as fears grow over the future of water services in the UK following droughts in the summer of 2022 when some areas of the country came close to running out of supplies.

The Financial Times said Southern Water was in “early-stage” talks with Extreme Drought Resilience Service, a private UK company that supplies water by sea tanker.

The firm would pay for the measure out of customers’ bills, according to the report.

Southern Water, which covers Hampshire, Kent, East and West Sussex, and the Isle of Wight, currently gets its supplies from groundwater and rare chalk streams.

However, the Environment Agency (EA) has urged the firm to reduce its reliance on such sources amid concerns over the environmental impact and fears they could make the risk of droughts worse.

‘Costly and carbon-intensive’

Water firms have come under growing criticism in recent years over sewage spills and rising bills, with households facing an average increase of 21% over the next five years.

Companies have also been urged to improve their infrastructure to help supplies. Currently around a fifth of water running through pipes is lost to leaks, according to regulator Ofwat.

And a report by the EA earlier this year found that Southern Water, along with Anglian Water, Thames Water and Yorkshire Water, was responsible for more than 90% of serious pollution incidents.

Following criticism over sewage discharges, Southern Water’s chief executive Lawrence Gosden blamed “too much rain” in 2023 for the problem during an interview with ITV News.

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The company said it was facing a shortfall of 166 million litres per day in Hampshire alone during future droughts.

But the firm said it was already undertaking other measures to address the problem, including by building the UK’s first new reservoir in more than three decades in Havant Thicket.

However, Greenpeace UK’s chief scientist Dr Doug Parr criticised the Norway proposal and said the firm should focus more on addressing issues domestically.

“Tankering in huge quantities of water from Norway will inevitably be a costly and carbon-intensive alternative to that of doing a better job with the water resources that are available in a rainy country like the UK,” he said.

He added: “Despite the obvious failings of planning, water companies need to start thinking of potable fresh water as a precious and finite resource, and plan to start treating it as such.”

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From 2022: How can we protect ourselves from water crisis?

Tim McMahon, Southern Water’s managing director for water, said: “We put less water into supply now than we did 30 years ago and measures like reducing leakage have enabled us to keep pace so far with population growth and climate change.

“As we work to take less water from our chalk streams and build new reservoirs like Havant Thicket in Hampshire, we need a range of options to help protect the environment while this infrastructure comes online.”

Mr McMahon added: “Importing water would be a last resort contingency measure that would only be used for a short period in the event of an extreme drought emergency in the early 2030s – something considerably worse than the drought of 1976.

“We’re committed to continuing to work with our regulators on developing the right solutions to meet the challenge of water scarcity, while protecting the environment.”

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