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Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang,speaks at the Supermicro keynote presentation during the Computex conference in Taipei on June 1, 2023.

Walid Berrazeg | Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty Images

Nvidia is set to report fiscal second-quarter earnings on after market close Wednesday. The chipmaker’s stock price has more than tripled this year, sparked by a boom in artificial intelligence applications.

Here’s what analysts are expecting:

  • Earnings: $2.09 per share, according to Refinitiv.
  • Revenue: $11.22 billion, according to Refinitiv.

Here’s what Wall Street is expecting from Nvidia’s top business units:

  • Gaming: $2.38 billion in revenue, according to StreetAccount
  • Datacenter: $8.03 billion in revenue, according to StreetAccount

Driven by insatiable demand for graphics processing units (GPUs), which are at the heart of most generative AI services, Nvidia’s revenue likely increased 67% in the quarter ended July 31, from $6.7 billion a year earlier.

Investors will be particularly focused on Nvidia’s outlook to see if the momentum is poised to continue. Analysts expect third-quarter revenue of $12.61 billion, according to Refinitiv, which would be an increase of over 110% from the prior year.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has positioned his company at the center of the AI wave, and said recently it was seeing “surging demand.” He compared last year’s release of OpenAI’s ChatGPT chatbot to the introduction of the iPhone in 2007. Nvidia is the primary vendor of GPUs needed to train and run AI models like ChatGPT.

The stock has been by far the best performer this year in the S&P 500, which is up about 16% in 2023. Facebook parent Meta is next in line, up 146%.

But Nvidia’s soaring stock price suggests that the company is walking a tightrope. It needs to show incredible growth in both revenue and earnings to justify its $1 trillion-plus valuation and a profit multiple that dwarfs richly valued companies like Tesla and Amazon.

A closer look at estimates shows just how reliant Nvidia has become on AI chips. Gaming, the company’s historically core business, isn’t thriving in nearly the same way.

Nvidia is expected to post $2.38 billion in gaming revenue during the quarter, which would be a 16% increase from a year earlier. But that’s an easy comparison to 2022 numbers, which reflected a deep slump in graphics cards because so many people refreshed their gaming technology during the pandemic. It also includes sales from the chip at the heart of Nintendo’s Switch.

By contrast, Nvidia’s Datacenter group, which houses AI chips, is looking at a 111% increase in revenue to $8.03 billion, according to estimates. Nvidia’s AI chips, including the A100 and H100, have been difficult to purchase in recent months as startups, big companies, governments and cloud providers all place their orders at the same time.

Nvidia faces some challenges that management might address on the call. Supply is an issue, given that Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) manufactures the chips Nvidia designs. Huang had dinner with TSMC chairman Morris Chang during the quarter.

China is another big topic. Last year, the U.S. placed export restrictions on Nvidia, which forced the company to make specialized, slower versions of its AI chips for the Chinese market. Additional export restrictions currently being considered by the Biden administration could further limit the products Nvidia sells to Chinese companies.

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Tesla’s Optimus humanoid robots hit by China’s rare earth restrictions, says Musk

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Tesla's Optimus humanoid robots hit by China's rare earth restrictions, says Musk

An Optimus bot from Tesla on display during the 2024 World AI Conference & High-Level Meeting on Global AI Governance at the Shanghai World Expo Exhibition and Convention Center on July 7, 2024.

Anadolu | Anadolu | Getty Images

Tesla CEO Elon Musk says China’s new trade restrictions on rare earth magnets have affected the production of the company’s Optimus humanoid robots, which rely on the exports. 

Speaking on a Tesla earnings call on Tuesday, Musk said that the company was working through the issue with Beijing and hoped to get approval to access the critical resources.

China, earlier this month, imposed new export controls on seven rare earth elements and magnets used in everything from defense to energy to automotive technologies. The move was in retaliation for U.S. President Donald Trump’s escalating tariffs.

According to Musk, Beijing has asked Tesla to guarantee that the rare earth magnets under expert control will not be used for military purposes.

“China wants some assurances that these aren’t used for military purposes, which obviously they’re not. They’re just going into a humanoid robot,” he said.

The new restrictions, which have raised the risk of global shortages, require exporters of medium and heavy rare earths in question to receive licenses from China’s Ministry of Commerce.

China dominates the market for many of these rare earths, with the U.S. unprepared to fill a potential shortfall, according to the Center for Strategic & International Studies. 

Meanwhile, the Trump administration has into potential new tariffs on all U.S. imports of critical minerals in response to China’s export controls. 

Future growth at risk? 

During the earnings call on Tuesday, Musk emphasized the importance of humanoid robots to the company’s future plans. 

“The future of the company is fundamentally based upon large scale autonomous cars and large scale, large volume and vast numbers of autonomous humanoid robots,” he said. 

Previously, Musk had announced plans for Optimus to produce about 5,000 units this year as the technology grows as part of Tesla’s future business plans. Moreover, he said that Tesla would deploy the robots in its EV factories. 

It’s unclear to what extent export controls might alter these plans. However, Musk reassured investors on Tuesday that the company still plans to produce thousands of robots this year, with thousands also expected to be deployed at Tesla factories.

Assessing Tesla's list of challenges post earnings

The emerging technology could help Tesla drive some investor optimism as its EV business struggles, with its stock down about 37% year-to-date.

Steve Westly, founder and managing partner of The Westly Group and former Tesla Board member, told CNBC’s ‘Closing Bell Overtime‘ on Tuesday that the company needs to find a new growth engine soon. 

The company is expected to face stiff competition from other humanoid robot players in China, such as Unitree Robotics and AgiBot, both of which reportedly plan to enter mass production this year. The export controls could give the Chinese players another advantage over their U.S. competitors, according to some analysts.

While Musk is upbeat about Tesla’s prospects in the space, going so far as to claim that it is ahead of the competition, he is concerned that the leaderboard will be filled with Chinese companies.

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Tesla is ‘carefully’ working on its India entry amid tariff concerns, says CFO

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Tesla is ‘carefully’ working on its India entry amid tariff concerns, says CFO

Elon Musk meets with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi at Blair House in Washington DC, USA on February 13, 2025.

Anadolu | Anadolu | Getty Images

Tesla is cautiously navigating an entry into India, CFO Vaibhav Taneja said on Tuesday in the U.S., as the electric vehicle maker faces falling sales and tariff threats. 

Speaking on an earnings call, Taneja confirmed reports that the company is working on an expansion into India, adding that it would be a great market to enter, thanks to its “big middle class.” 

Nevertheless, India is also “a very hard market,” with EV imports into the country subject to a 70% tariff and about 30% luxury tax, he said, noting that this could make India-sold Tesla’s twice as expensive, he said. 

“That’s why we’ve been very careful trying to figure out when is the right time… these kinds of things create a little bit of tension, which we are trying to work out,” he added. 

India has signaled interest in Tesla setting up a base in the country, though the country’s protectionist policies present some obstacles for the EV maker. 

Taneja’s statements come just days after Tesla CEO Elon Musk spoke with India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi on topics including collaboration on technology and innovation.

Tariffs on batteries out of China can end up being really costly for tariffs, says Fmr. Tesla President

Modi also met with Musk during his visit to Washington, D.C., in February, fueling speculation about Tesla’s plans for India. That same month, sources told CNBC-TV18 that the company was considering importing EVs from its Berlin plant into the country as early as April.

On India’s part, the government has proposed a new policy that could see EV tariffs fall from about 70% to 15% for firms that plan to localize some manufacturing in the country.  

Still, experts have told CNBC that Tesla would face price pressures under the scheme, with the company likely to push for further policy reforms.

However, American President Donald Trump’s new tariffs placed on U.S. trading partners, including India, could cast a cloud over potential negotiations between Tesla and New Delhi. 

Washington has imposed additional tariffs of 10% on India, but these could rise by 26% if a 90-day pause on Trump’s “reciprocal tariffs” ends without a U.S.-India trade deal. 

Vice President JD Vance met with Modi in India on Monday, hailing “significant” progress made in trade talks between the two countries. 

Tesla reported disappointing first-quarter results Tuesday, including a 20% year-over-year drop in automotive revenue and a 71% slump in net income.

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Here’s what Elon Musk said about tariffs and their potential effect on Tesla

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Here's what Elon Musk said about tariffs and their potential effect on Tesla

U.S. President Donald Trump talks to the media, next to Tesla CEO Elon Musk with his son X Æ A-12, at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., March 11, 2025. 

Kevin Lamarque | Reuters

Elon Musk said on Tuesday that he doesn’t like high or unpredictable tariffs, but any decision on what happens with them “is entirely up to the president of the United States.”

Speaking on his company’s first-quarter earnings call, with tariff-related uncertainty swirling across the economy, Musk said Tesla is in a relatively good position, compared to other U.S. automakers, because it has “localized supply chains” in North America, Europe and China.

Musk said Tesla is the “least-affected car company with respect to tariffs at least in most respects.”

Tesla reported troubling quarterly earnings and sales on Tuesday, including a 20% year-over-year drop in automotive revenue and a 71% plunge in net income. The company also said that it wasn’t providing any guidance for 2025 at least until its second-quarter update.

While Musk is one of President Donald Trump’s closest advisers, tariffs are the one issue where he’s partially broken with the administration. He recently called Peter Navarro, Trump’s top trade adviser, a “moron” and “dumber than a sack of bricks.”

On Tuesday’s call, however, Musk said, “If some country is doing something predatory with tariffs,” or “if a government is providing extreme financial support for a particular industry, then you have to do something to counteract that.”

Tesla’s stock price has been hammered since the president floated his plan for widespread tariffs earlier this month, and that was after the shares plunged 36% in the first quarter, their worst performance for any period since 2022.

Because Tesla manufactures cars that it sells in the U.S. domestically, the company isn’t subject to Trump’s 25% tariff on imported cars. But Tesla counts on materials and supplies from China, Mexico, Canada and elsewhere for manufacturing equipment, automotive glass, printed circuit boards, battery cells and other products.

Musk said he offers his advice to the president on tariffs.

“He will listen to my advice. But then it’s up to him, of course, to make his decision,” Musk said. “I’ve been on the record many times saying that I believe lower tariffs are generally a good idea.”

He added that he’s an advocate for “predictable tariff structures,” as well as “free trade and lower tariffs.”

Musk said Tesla’s energy business faces an “outsized” impact from tariffs because it sources lithium iron phosphate battery cells, used in his company’s cars, from China.

“We’re in the process of commissioning equipment for the local manufacturing of LFP battery cells in the U.S.,” he said. But he said the company can “only serve a fraction of our total installed capacity” with its local equipment.

“We’ve also been working on securing additional supply chain from non-china based suppliers, but it will take time,” he said.

Musk called Tesla the most “vertically integrated car company” but said that there are still plenty of parts and materials that come from other countries. Even though it’s built a lithium refinery in Texas, “we’re not growing rubber trees and mining iron yet,” he said.

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