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Developers in the world of artificial intelligence can’t get enough of Nvidia’s processors. Demand is so strong that the company said late Wednesday that revenue in the current quarter will jump 170% to roughly $16 billion.

Nvidia shares rose more than 2% on Thursday before slumping towards the end of the day to finish flat and miss a record close, while the broader market had a rough day.

There’s a flipside to the story. AMD, Nvidia’s main rival in the market for graphics processing units (GPUs), is falling further behind, while chip giant Intel continues to miss out on the hottest trend in technology.

Shares of AMD and Intel fell 7% and 4%, respectively, following Nvidia’s fiscal second-quarter earnings announcement.

Nvidia’s blowout report and comments from executives suggesting that demand will remain high through next year is giving investors a reason to ask if the company has any serious competition when it comes to making the kind of GPUs needed to build and run large AI models.

Nvidia’s success also signals a shift in the market for data center chips. The most important — and generally most expensive — part of a data center buildout is no longer tied to central processors, or CPUs, made by Intel or AMD. Rather, it’s the AI-accelerating GPUs that big cloud companies are buying.

AlphabetAmazonMeta and Microsoft are snapping up Nvidia’s next-generation processors, which are so profitable that the company’s adjusted gross margin increased 25.3 percentage points to 71.2% in the period.

“NVDA Data Center revenues are now expected to be more than double INTC+AMD Data Center revenues combined, underscoring the growing importance of accelerators for today’s Data Center customers,” Deutsche Bank analyst Ross Seymore wrote in a note on Thursday.

Nvidia is now expected to post $12 billion in data center sales in the current quarter, according to FactSet data. Intel’s data center group is expected to post $4 billion in revenue, while analysts project AMD’s division will generate sales of $1.64 billion.

AMD and Intel are trying to stay relevant in the AI market, but it’s a struggle.

Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger said on the chipmaker’s earnings call in July that the company still sees “persistent weakness” in all segments of its business through year-end and that cloud companies were focusing more on securing graphics processors for AI instead of Intel’s central processors. Intel’s next high-end data center GPU, called Falcon Shores, is expected to be released in 2025. Its 2023 chip was cancelled.

AMD said on Thursday it acquired a French AI software firm called Mipsology. The company is also working on its own software suite for AI developers called ROCm to compete with Nvidia’s CUDA offering.

Like Intel, AMD faces a timing challenge. Earlier this year, it announced a new flagship AI chip, the MI300. But it’s currently only being shipped in small quantities, a process called “sampling.” The chip will hit the market next year.

“There is no meaningful competition for Nvidia’s high-performance GPUs until AMD starts shipping its new AI accelerators in high volumes in early 2024,” said Raj Joshi, senior vice president at Moody’s Investors Services, in an email.

The window is closing. While AMD and Intel are developing AI technology, they may find that all their big prospective customers have filled up on Nvidia chips before they can start shipping in large quantities.

“AI spending will be a material driver for several companies in our coverage,” Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore wrote in a report. Moore cited AMD, Marvel and Intel as “having strong AI prospects.”

“But for those companies,” he wrote, “AI strength is going be offset by a crowding out of the budget.”

WATCH: Dethroning Nvidia?

Dethroning Nvidia? Competition in the hardware and software space

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S&P 500 win streak, Berkshire’s leadership changes, Netflix’s regulatory path and more in Morning Squawk

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S&P 500 win streak, Berkshire's leadership changes, Netflix's regulatory path and more in Morning Squawk

A Wall Street sign is viewed in front of the New York Stock Exchange.

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This is CNBC’s Morning Squawk newsletter. Subscribe here to receive future editions in your inbox.

Here are five key things investors need to know to start the trading day:

1. Secret Santa

The three major indexes are coming off back-to-back winning weeks, with the S&P 500 on Friday rising closer to records it set earlier this year. Stocks’ advances came as investors geared up for the last Federal Reserve policy meeting of the year, which is set to kick off tomorrow.

Here’s what to know:

  • The delayed release of September’s personal consumption expenditures price index showed core PCE — a key inflation measure — was lighter than economists anticipated on a 12-month basis.
  • The report gave stocks a boost on Friday, as traders bet the data would encourage Fed officials to cut interest rates this week.
  • The Fed is set to announce its decision on Wednesday. Traders are pricing in about a 90% likelihood that the central bank cuts interest rates again, according to CME’s FedWatch tool.
  • Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Sunday that he expects the U.S. economy to finish the year with 3% real GDP growth, even after the hit from the federal government shutdown.
  • Following its four-day win streak last week, the S&P 500 is now roughly 0.7% away from its intraday record and about a quarter-percent off its closing high.
  • Follow live markets updates here.

2. Changing of the guard

Todd Combs, portfolio manager at Berkshire Hathaway Inc., waits for the start of the “Berkshire Hathaway Invest In Yourself 5K” race presented by Brooks Sports, a Berkshire Hathaway Inc. company, on the sidelines of the Berkshire Hathaway shareholders meeting in Omaha, Nebraska, U.S., on Sunday, May 4, 2014.

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Berkshire Hathaway announced this morning that Todd Combs, investment officer and Geico CEO, will leave the conglomerate to join JPMorgan Chase as head of its new Security and Resiliency Initiative.

Berkshire CEO Warren Buffett, who will step down as CEO at the end of the year, said in a press release that Combs “made many great hires” for Geico and “broadened its horizons.”

Nancy Pierce, operations chief at Geico, will replace Combs as the business’ CEO. Berkshire also announced that its CFO Marc Hamburg will retire in June 2027 and be replaced by Charles Chang, current CFO of Berkshire Hathaway Energy.

3. L.A. confidential

Dado Ruvic | Reuters

Both Wall Street and Hollywood were left reeling after the announcement of the NetflixWarner Bros. deal on Friday. Now, the question is if the agreement can get over regulatory hurdles.

President Donald Trump’s administration views the deal with “heavy skepticism,” a senior administration official told CNBC’s Eamon Javers on Friday. Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., has already asked for an antitrust review, calling the deal an “anti-monopoly nightmare.”

Believing it has a better chance of securing regulatory approval, Paramount Skydance is weighing whether to bring a bid straight to WBD shareholders in a last-ditch effort to beat Netflix, sources told CNBC’s Alex Sherman. Meanwhile, movie theater operators are wondering whether they can survive if the Netflix deal makes the world’s largest streaming service the owner of a major film studio.

4. Google’s answer

Silas Stein | Picture Alliance | Getty Images

After losing its search antitrust case last year, Alphabet on Friday got more details about the consequences it will face.

U.S. District Judge Amit Mehta said Google can’t enter into an agreement like it has with Apple, which it pays for search browser usage, unless the deal has termination date of a year or less. Mehta also listed requirements for the makeup of a committee that will decide who Google has to share its data with.

But as CNBC’s Jennifer Elias notes, these weren’t the most drastic punishments on the table. Mehta in September ruled against harsher penalties proposed by the Department of Justice, which could have included the forced sale of Google’s Chrome browser.

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5. Unfading endurance

How often should jeans really be washed?

Catherine Mcqueen | Moment | Getty Images

The global denim market is now a more than $100 billion industry, driven by major retailers such as Levi Strauss and American Eagle. But as CNBC’s Gabrielle Fonrouge reports, its origins are far more humble.

Blue jeans were born out of a woman’s frustration with the frequent rips in her gold miner husband’s denim pants. Her tailor’s solution — adding copper rivets to the garment’s key points of strain — signified the birth of what we know today as the blue jean. In the approximately century and a half since, the pant has become a staple of American fashion that transcends income class and trend cycles.

The Daily Dividend

Here’s what we’re keeping an eye on this week:

CNBC Pro subscribers can see a calendar and rundown for the week here.

CNBC’s Sean Conlon, Ryan Ermey, Alex Sherman, Lillian Rizzo, Dan Mangan, Sarah Whitten, John Melloy, Jennifer Elias and Gabrielle Fonrouge contributed to this report. Josephine Rozzelle edited this edition.

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Confluent stock soars 29% as IBM announces $11 billion acquisition deal

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Confluent stock soars 29% as IBM announces  billion acquisition deal

IBM CEO Arvind Krishna speaks at the SXSW conference in Austin, Texas, on March 11, 2025.

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IBM announced Monday that it is acquiring data streaming platform Confluent in a deal worth $11 billion.

Shares of Confluent soared 29%. IBM stock climbed about 1%.

IBM will pay $31 per share in cash for all of the issued and outstanding common shares of Confluent, according to a release. The transaction is expected to close by the middle of 2026. Shares of Confluent closed at $23.14 on Friday.

Tune in at 10:10 a.m. ET as IBM CEO Arvind Krishna joins CNBC TV to discuss the deal. Watch in real time on CNBC+ or the CNBC Pro stream.

“With the acquisition of Confluent, IBM will provide the smart data platform for enterprise IT, purpose-built for AI,” IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said in a release.

IBM said the deal will bolster its artificial intelligence offerings as it expects global data growth to more than double by 2028.

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Wedbush called it a “strong move” from IBM that adds more data processing capabilities to its hybrid cloud ecosystem and is a natural fit to help eliminate data silos for powering AI.

“We loudly applaud this deal as Arvind takes IBM further into the AI Revolution with more acquisitions likely ahead,” the analysts said in a note.

Wedbush maintained its overweight rating on IBM and $325 price target. IBM closed at $307.94 on Friday.

The addition of Confluent fits with IBM’s deal last year to land cloud software maker HashiCorp for $6.4 billion and the 2023 move to acquire Apptio in a deal worth $4.6 billion. Both of those acquisitions were all-cash deals.

Confluent has more than 6,500 clients across major industries and works with Anthropic, Amazon‘s AWS, Google Cloud Platform, Microsoft, Snowflake and others.

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BlackRock bets on ‘pick and shovel’ trade, singling out clear winners in AI spending spree

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BlackRock bets on ‘pick and shovel’ trade, singling out clear winners in AI spending spree

Ben Powell, chief strategist for Middle East and Asia Pacific at BlackRock Investment Institute, during a Bloomberg Television interview at the Abu Dhabi Finance Week (ADFW) conference in Abu Dhabi, AD, United Arab Emirates, on Monday, Dec. 9, 2024.

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The wave of capital pouring into artificial intelligence infrastructure is far from peaking, said Ben Powell, chief investment strategist for APAC at BlackRock, arguing the sector’s “picks and shovels” suppliers — from chipmakers to energy producers and copper-wire manufacturers — remain the clearest winners as hyperscalers race to outspend one another.

The surge in AI-related capital expenditure shows no sign of slowing as tech giants push aggressively to secure an edge in what they see as a winner-takes-all contest, Powell told CNBC Monday on the sidelines of the Abu Dhabi Finance Week.

“The capex deluge continues. The money is very, very clear,” he said, adding that BlackRock is focused on what he called a “traditional picks and shovels capex super boom, which still feels like it’s got more to go.”

AI infrastructure has been one of the biggest drivers of global investment this year, fueling a broader market rally, even as some investors question how long the boom can last.

Nvidia, whose GPU chips are the backbone of the AI revolution, became the first company to briefly surpass $5 trillion in market capitalization amid a dizzying AI-fueled market rally that sparked talk of an AI bubble.

Microsoft and OpenAI also reached a restructuring deal in October to support the ChatGPT developer’s fundraising efforts. OpenAI has reportedly been preparing for an initial public offering that could value the company at $1 trillion, according to Reuters.

The build-out has set off long-term procurement efforts across the tech sector, from chip supply agreements to power commitments. Grid operators from the U.S. to the Middle East are racing to meet soaring electricity demand from new data centers. Companies, including Amazon and Meta, have budgeted tens of billions of dollars annually for AI-related investments.

S&P Global estimates data-center power demand could nearly double by 2030, mostly driven by hyperscale, enterprise and leased facilities, along with crypto-mining sites.

‘Dipping toes into credit market’

Powell also noted that leading tech firms have only begun to tap capital markets to fund the next phase of AI expansion, suggesting additional capital is on the way.

“The big companies have only just started dipping their toes into the credit markets… feels like there’s a lot more they can do there,” he said.

The “hyperscalers” are behaving as if coming second would effectively leave them out of the market, Powell said. That mindset, he added, has pushed firms to accelerate spending even at the risk of overshooting.

Much of that capital, Powell noted, is likely to flow to the companies powering the AI build-out rather than model developers, reinforcing a growing view among global investors that the most durable gains from the AI boom may lie in the hardware, energy and infrastructure ecosystems behind the technology.

“If we’re the recipients of that cash flow, I guess that’s a pretty good place to be, whether you’re making chips, whether you’re making energy all the way down to the copper wiring,” Powell noted, expecting “positive surprises driving those stocks in the year ahead.”

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