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Higher oil prices can sometimes become a 'self-fulfilling prophecy,' says Indian minister

India isn’t overly dependent on anyone for oil — not even Russia, India’s Minister of Petroleum and Natural Gas told CNBC, adding that his country has diversified its sources.

“India doesn’t get over dependent on anyone,” Hardeep Singh Puri told CNBC’s Tanvir Gill when asked if his country was too dependent on the Kremlin.

Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February last year, India’s refiners have been snapping up discounted Russian oil. Moscow has since leapfrogged to become India’s leading source of crude oil, accounting for about 40% of India’s crude imports.

Sometimes high oil prices can become a self fulfilling prophecy in terms of resulting in meeting of immediate and short term needs.

Hardeep Singh Puri

India’s Minister of Petroleum and Natural Gas

India is the world’s third largest energy importer, and purchases more than 80% of its crude oil from international markets.

Asked if India was getting a $15 or $30 discount per barrel on Russian crude, Puri said: “Yes, there have been discounts. But there have been discounts coming from all over.”

“If there’s a 30% discount, the Russians are putting a ribbon around it and sending it to us free. That’s what it means,” Puri said.

India has also been buying more from countries in the Middle East, such as Iraq, he added.

“We’re diversified. We used to buy from 27 sources — today we are buying from 39 sources,” he said, naming suppliers from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Kuwait amongst them.

According to data from S&P Global in July, India’s crude oil sources come largely from Middle East and Russia.

There is enough oil available in the world. What you should be really worrying about is whether the consumer will have the resources or the money to pay for it.

Oil prices have risen 12% off their lows in June to hover at around $79 levels per barrel currently.

Global benchmark Brent traded 0.35% higher at $83.65 a barrel Friday, while the U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures climbed 0.38% to $79.35 per barrel.

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Brent vs. West Texas Intermediate futures

“Sometimes high oil prices can become a self fulfilling prophecy in terms of resulting in meeting of immediate and short term needs,” Puri said, elaborating that in world roiled by economic pressures, stimulus packages drive up inflation.

That said, there is also sufficient oil supply in the world, the Indian oil minister said.

“There is enough oil available in the world. What you should be really worrying about is whether the consumer will have the resources or the money to pay for it,” Puri noted, highlighting that’s the “real problem” that many countries face.

In an August report, the International Energy Agency forecast global oil demand will hit record-highs.

“World oil demand is scaling record highs, boosted by strong summer air travel, increased oil use in power generation and surging Chinese petrochemical activity,” the agency said.

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Trump heads to the Middle East with oil, trade and nuclear ambitions on the table

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Trump heads to the Middle East with oil, trade and nuclear ambitions on the table

US President Donald Trump (R) and Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman al-Saud take part in a bilateral meeting at a hotel in Riyadh on May 20, 2017.

Mandel Ngan | AFP | Getty Images

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — U.S. President Donald Trump will touch down in the Persian Gulf region – or as he may soon be calling it, the Arabian Gulf – on May 13, for an official trip with stops in Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. 

The stakes are high, as the visits take place amid turbulent geopolitical tensions. On the agenda will be Israel-Gaza war ceasefire talks, oil, trade, investment deals, and the potential for new policy developments in the areas of advanced semiconductor exports and nuclear programs.

“We expect to see a lot of announcements. And I think in a broad spectrum of areas as well,” Monica Malik, chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, told CNBC’s Dan Murphy on Friday. She noted the potential removal of Trump’s 10% tariffs on aluminum and steel, which would be a positive for the Gulf states as some of them export those metals to the U.S., though they make up only a small percentage of the countries’ GDPs. 

Trump has long enjoyed a warm relationship with Gulf Arab states, in particular the UAE and Saudi Arabia, where his children have several business ventures and planned real estate projects. Those relationships could strengthen the countries’ hands when it comes to negotiating new trade deals – while also raising concerns among critics over potential conflicts of interest, accusations the Trump family rejects. 

Trump's Gulf visit a 'win-win' proposition: Branch

During the president’s initial term in office, his first overseas trip was to Saudi Arabia – a country now hosting the negotiations that Trump hopes will end the Russia-Ukraine war, making the kingdom ever more important to Washington. Qatar, meanwhile, has played a central role in negotiations between Israel and Hamas over ceasefires and hostage releases.  

Wall Street and AI in the Gulf

The presidential visit is drawing several Wall Street and Silicon Valley titans to the Saudi kingdom. A Saudi-U.S. investment forum announced just this week and set to take place on May 13 in Riyadh will feature guests including BlackRock CEO Larry Fink, Palantir CEO Alex Karp, and CEOs of major firms like Citigroup, IBM, Qualcomm, Alphabet, and Franklin Templeton, among others. White House AI and crypto czar David Sacks will also be in attendance. 

“We also expect to see a lot of investment deals being announced,” Malik said. “And both ways, we’ve already seen the UAE announce a number of investments in the U.S. in areas such as AI, energy, aluminum, but we also think that there will be opportunities for U.S. companies to increase investment.”

Both Saudi Arabia and the UAE have invested heavily in AI infrastructure with the goal of becoming global hubs for the technology. Therefore, likely top of mind for those leaders is the future of U.S. semiconductor exports, the most advanced of which they so far have not gained access to due to national security concerns. But that may soon be changing.

e& Group CEO: U.S. partnerships are set to continue

The Trump administration on Wednesday announced its plan to rescind a Biden era “AI diffusion rule,” which imposed strict export controls on advanced AI chips, even to U.S.-friendly nations. The rule will be replaced with “a much simpler rule that unleashes American innovation and ensures American AI dominance,” a U.S. Commerce Department spokesperson said Wednesday, though the details of the new rule have not yet been shared. 

The UAE’s state AI firm G42 has made efforts to align with U.S. regulations, including divesting from Chinese companies and partnering with Microsoft, which last year invested $1.5 billion in G42.

Nuclear ambitions

Trump teases 'very big announcement' ahead of Gulf trip

U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright, during a visit to the kingdom in April, said that Saudi Arabia and the U.S. were on a “pathway” to a civil nuclear agreement – but that any further announcements would come from Trump himself. 

Israel-Gaza negotiations 

Another major topic will be the future of Gaza. Trump has vowed to bring about an end to the war, while also controversially suggesting that the U.S. could take control of the war-ravaged Strip which he described as “important real estate,” comments that drew strong rebukes from Arab leaders. 

The U.S. has continued to push for ceasefire deals, most recently floating a 21-day cessation of hostilities and release of some hostages, while Israel this week approved expanding fighting and territorial control in Gaza. 

“We have yet to hear a comprehensive plan from the Arab world,” Greg Branch, founder of UAE-based Branch Global Capital Advisors, told CNBC on Friday while discussing Trump’s upcoming visit. 

“If we’re going to see a response that’s going to be Arab-led, it’s probably now or never,” Branch said. “I think that will be handled very delicately behind the scenes … probably more of a long-term geopolitical risk than any immediate macro risk.”

Oil and financing

Chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank talks rate cut outlook, oil price impact

In that vein, financing will be an important agenda item for the kingdom during Trump’s visit, according to ADCB’s Malik. 

Saudi Arabia in November pledged to invest $600 billion in the U.S. over the course of Trump’s term — but it also has sky-high costs for its own Vision 2030 investment ambitions. Lower global oil prices and big-ticket public spending projects have brought about widening budget deficits for Riyadh.  

“With oil prices where they are, Saudi will look at more financing support from America as well as they look to progress with their investment program,” Malik said. 

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Nissan pulls the plug on its +$1 billion EV battery plant as the alarm bells go off

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Nissan pulls the plug on its + billion EV battery plant as the alarm bells go off

As it scrambles to turn things around, Nissan is scrapping plans to build a new LFP battery plant in Japan. The facility was expected to be key to reducing EV battery costs to keep up with leaders like BYD.

Nissan abandons plans for new EV battery plant in Japan

Nissan is scrambling to turn the company around. The Japanese automaker announced on Friday that it will “abandon plans to build a new plant” in Japan that was scheduled to produce lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries.

The decision comes as Nissan is “considering all options to restore its performance.” Nissan said it will continue working on a strategy for EV batteries “aligned with market needs” as part of its turnaround efforts.

Nissan just received approval to build the new EV battery plant in Japan from the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry (METI) in September.

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The batteries were set to be installed in Nissan’s mini vehicles starting in 2028, part of an investment of over $1 billion (153.3 billion yen).

Nissan was scheduled to receive up to 55.7 billion yen ($384 million) in government support to help build a domestic supply chain.

Nissan-EV-battery-plant
2025 Nissan Ariya Platinum+ e-4ORCE (Source: Nissan)

Like other Japanese automakers, Nissan is facing weaker sales in key markets like China and North America. The company expects to post a net loss as high as 750 billion yen ($5.2 billion) for the fiscal year ending March 2025.

The new LFP plant was expected to help Nissan cut EV battery costs by 20% to 30%, with up to 5 GWh annual production capacity.

Nissan-new-LEAF-EV
Nissan’s new LEAF EV (Source: Nissan)

Later this year, Nissan will launch the next-gen LEAF in the US and Canada. After unveiling the updated EV in March, Nissan claimed the new LEAF will have “significant range improvements.”

Nissan-new-LEAF-EV
Nissan’s upcoming lineup for the US, including the new LEAF EV and “Adventure Focused” SUV (Source: Nissan)

Nissan dropped the iconic hatch design for a more crossover-like profile. It will also come with a native NACS port to access Tesla Superchargers.

Although official specs and pricing will be revealed closer to launch, Nissan’s vehicle programs chief, Francois Bailly, told TopGear.com the new LEAF is expected to have 373 miles (600 km) driving range (WLTP)

Electrek’s Take

Although Nissan cited “market needs” and is looking to cut costs as part of its turnaround plans, abandoning the LFP battery plant will likely only set it back further in the long run.

BYD and other leading EV brands are quickly gaining market share in key regions like Southeast Asia, Central, and South America, as well as parts of Europe, where Japanese automakers like Nissan and Toyota generate a good portion of sales.

Now, BYD is taking aim at Japan. The Chinese automaker plans to launch its first mini EV, or kei car, next year, which is expected to be “a huge threat” to Japanese automakers.

Nissan’s decision comes a day after Toyota’s President, Koji Sato, said the company is “reviewing” plans to sell 1.5 million EVs by 2026.

Source: Nikkei, Nissan

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Tesla’s NACS connector will be used by Mazda’s EVs in Japan

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Tesla's NACS connector will be used by Mazda's EVs in Japan

Mazda has announced that it will use the North American Charging Standard (NACS), also known as Tesla’s charge connector, on its upcoming electric vehicles in Japan.

The Japanese automaker had already announced that it would adopt NACS for its electric vehicles in North America, like all other automakers in North America, after Ford got the ball rolling.

But this new announcement is about Mazda bringing the NACS connector to Japan.

Mazda wrote in a press release today:

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Mazda Motor Corporation (Mazda) today announced an agreement was reached with Tesla, Inc. (Tesla) to adopt the North American Charging Standard (NACS) for charging ports on the company’s battery electric vehicles (BEV) launched in Japan from 2027 onward.

This is will give Mazda EV owners in Japan access to Tesla’s Supercharger network.

The automaker says that NACS will be standard on its electric vehicles in Japan, and that to access non-NACS chargers, owners will need adapters:

Mazda BEVs will be compatible with other charging standards besides NACS with the use of adapters.

Mazda is actually not the first automaker to bring the NACS, which now might need a name change, to Japan.

Last year, Sony Honda Mobility’s AFEELA EV brand also announced plans to deploy its EVs in Japan with the NACS connector as standard.

Electrek’s Take

It makes sense. Japan doesn’t have a standard connector, and like in North America, Tesla has used its own connector in the market. CHAdeMO had its moment as a connector in Japan, and a few other markets, but it is getting phased out.

It would make sense for the entire Japanese market to adopt NACS.

Considering AFEELA is just getting started, I didn’t think it would create a snowball effect, but Mazda might now get the ball rolling.

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