JPMorgan forecasts limited downside for crypto markets: Report
The cryptocurrency market’s recent downtrend appears to be coming to an end, as JPMorgan’s latest research suggests that most long-position liquidations have been completed.
According to a Bloomberg report, analysts for the American bank estimate that the liquidations are “largely behind us.” The prediction is based on the open interest in Bitcoin (BTC) futures contracts on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) indicating that the selling trend might soon decelerate. Open interest, which refers to active futures contracts, serves as an indicator of market sentiment and the strength of price trends.
Bitcoin’s open interest decline is seen as a sign that the current price trend could be weakening, according to analysts. “As a result, we see limited downside for crypto markets over the near term.”
Crypto prices have been on the downtrend in recent weeks due to declining optimism around regulatory developments in the United States, notes the report. On Aug. 26, Bitcoin is trading close to $26,000, down 11.27% over the past 30 days, according to Cointelegraph Markets.
Positive developments in the previous months boosted Bitcoin’s price. Among them were a series of applications for the first U.S. exchange-traded funds (ETFs) linked to Bitcoin’s spot price. The list of players waiting for regulatory approval includes BlackRock, Fidelity, ARK Investments and 21Shares, as well as several other asset managers.
Ripple Labs’ partial victory against the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was another positive development. However, this optimism is gradually fading, notes the analysis, as traders await Bitcoin ETF decisions and the SEC’s appeal against Ripple brings renewed uncertainty.
The scenario contributes to a “new round of legal uncertainty” for crypto markets, making them sensitive to future developments, according to JPMorgan’s team. External market conditions also played a role in the crypto market’s decline, including the rising U.S. real yields, and concerns about China’s economic growth.
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Politics
Rachel Reeves turning around UK’s finances ‘like Steve Jobs did for Apple’, claims minister
Rachel Reeves will turn around the economy the way Steve Jobs turned around Apple, a cabinet minister has suggested ahead of the upcoming spending review.
Science and Technology Secretary Peter Kyle compared the chancellor to the late Apple co-founder when asked on Sky News’ Sunday Morning with Trevor Phillips where the £86bn for his department is coming from.
Politics Live: Winter fuel payment cut to be dealt with ‘in run up to autumn’
Apple Inc. chief executive Steve Jobs, who died in 2011. Pic: Reuters
Chancellor Rachel Reeves
The package, confirmed ahead of the full spending review next week, will see each region in England granted £500m to spend on science projects of their choice, including research into faster drug treatments.
Asked by Trevor Phillips how the government is finding the money, Mr Kyle said: “Rachel raised money in taxes in the autumn, we are now allocating it per department.
“But the key thing is we are going to be investing record amounts of money into the innovations of the future.
“Just bear in mind that how Apple turned itself around when Steve Jobs came back to Apple, they were 90 days from insolvency. That’s the kind of situation that we had when we came into office.
“Steve Jobs turned it around by inventing the iMac, moving to a series of products like the iPod.
“Now we are starting to invest in the vaccine processes of the future, some of the high-tech solutions that are going to be high growth. We’re investing in our space sector… they will create jobs in the future.”
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The spending review is a process used by governments to set departmental budgets for the years ahead.
Asked if it will include more detail on who will receive winter fuel payments, Mr Kyle said that issue will be “dealt with in the run-up to the autumn”.
“This is a spending review that’s going to set the overall spending constraints for government for the next period, the next three years, so you’re sort of talking about two separate issues at the moment,” he said.
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‘So we won’t get an answer on winter fuel this week?
Scrapping universal winter fuel payments was one of the first things Labour did in government – despite it not being in their manifesto – with minsters saying it was necessary because of the financial “blackhole” left behind by the Tories.
But following a long-drawn out backlash, Sir Keir Starmer said last month that the government would extend eligibility, which is now limited to those on pension credit.
Read more: Spending review 2025 look ahead
It is not clear what the new criteria will be, though Ms Reeves has said the changes will come into place before this winter.
Mr Kyle also claimed the spending review will see the government invest “the most we’ve ever spent per pupil in our school system”.
However, he said the chancellor will stick to her self-imposed fiscal rules – which rule out borrowing for day-to-day spending – meaning that while some departments will get extra money, others are likely to face cuts.
Politics
Minister dismisses US misgivings over Chinese ‘super embassy’ in London – as Tories warn of ‘espionage base’
A minister has dismissed reported US misgivings about plans for a Chinese “super embassy” near London’s financial districts.
Peter Kyle told Sky News’ Sunday Morning with Trevor Phillips that security concerns will be “taken care of assiduously in the planning process”.
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There have been protests against the new Chinese embassy. Pic: Reuters
According to The Sunday Times, the White House has warned Downing Street against the proposed massive embassy at Royal Mint Court.
The site is between financial hubs in the City of London and Canary Wharf and close to three data centres, raising concerns about espionage risk.
Asked for the government’s view on the risk, Mr Kyle said: “These issues will be taken care of assiduously in the planning process.
“But just to reassure people, we deal with embassies and these sorts of infrastructure issues all the time.
“We are very experienced and we are very aware of these sorts of issues constantly, not just when new buildings are being done, but all the time.”
He added that America and Britain “share intelligence iteratively” and if they raise security concerns through the planning process “we will have a fulsome response for them”.
However, shadow home secretary Chris Philp said he shared the US’s concerns.
He told Trevor Phillips: “I agree with the United States. We think it is a security risk in the government.
“The Conservatives were very clear. We should not be allowing the Chinese to build the super embassy. It is likely to become a base for their pan-European espionage activities.”
He added that underneath the sites are cables connecting the City of London to Canary Wharf and these could be intercepted.
Sky News has contacted the Chinese embassy for comment.
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China has been attempting to revise plans for the Royal Mint building, opposite the Tower of London, since purchasing it in 2018.
The proposal for the embassy, which would be China’s largest in Europe, was previously rejected by Tower Hamlets council in 2022.
However, Beijing resubmitted it in August after Labour won the election, and the plans were “called in” by Angela Rayner, the deputy prime minister and housing secretary.
It means that an inspector will be appointed to carry out an inquiry into the proposal, but the decision ultimately rests with central government rather than the local authority.
Two large protests were held at the site in February and March, which organisers claimed involved thousands of people.
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