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House prices fell by 5.3% in the year to August – a bigger-than-expected drop, according to Nationwide.

This means the typical home is now worth £14,600 less than 12 months ago – with an average property price of £259,153.

Nationwide’s chief economist, Robert Gardner, says the softening is “not surprising” – with interest rate hikes by the Bank of England sending mortgage payments higher.

Activity in the housing market is currently running well below pre-pandemic levels – with mortgage approvals about 20% below the 2019 average in recent months.

But Mr Gardner struck an upbeat note after Nationwide’s latest House Price Index was released – and said “a relatively soft landing is still achievable.”

He added: “In particular, unemployment is expected to remain low (below 5%) and the vast majority of existing borrowers should be able to weather the impact of higher borrowing costs, given the high proportion on fixed rates, and where affordability testing should ensure that those needing to refinance can afford the higher payments.”

And while activity may remain subdued in the near term, Mr Gardner believes a mix of income growth and lower house prices could improve affordability if mortgage rates cool.

Tesco cuts prices – and it’s good news for parents | Cost of living latest

Andrew Wishart, senior property economist at Capital Economics, believes this “marks the start of a significant further drop in house prices”.

He believes that, by mid-2024, house prices will be 10.5% below their August 2022 peak – with mortgage rates set to remain between 5.5% and 6% for the next 12 months.

Analysis: For many, house prices can’t fall far enough


Paul Kelso - Health correspondent

Paul Kelso

Business correspondent

@pkelso

The UK housing market has long lost touch with reality – but the recent modest fall in prices, confirmed by the Nationwide house price index figures for August, does follow the logic of economic trends.

After 14 consecutive Bank of England increases pushed the base rate to 5.25% and many mortgages beyond 6%, it would have been a surprise had the housing market not been affected.

While prices have been falling the volume of completions has stalled too, reflecting perhaps that many potential movers are waiting to see where rates will peak before they take the plunge.

For those looking to sell or buy from an existing home the impact will be largely theoretical, with the cost of remortgaging and the swingeing impact of stamp duty far more consequential in decision making.

A drop of more than 5% will be most welcome to first-time buyers, but the benefit will likely be wiped out by the increased cost of the mortgage required to get on the ladder in the first place.

For millions, prices cannot fall far enough to make that first step realistic, the hike in borrowing costs compounding an affordability crisis that has seen the average house price balloon to eight times the average wage in two decades.

According to Nationwide, there was a 25% drop in first-time buyers in the first half of 2023 when compared with 2019.

“A first-time buyer earning the average wage and buying a typical first-time buyer property with a 20% deposit would now see their monthly mortgage payment absorb over 40% of their take-home pay (with a mortgage rate of 6%) – well above the long run average of 29%,” Mr Gardner added.

There has also been a shift in the types of properties being purchased – with a big decline in demand for detached houses as buyers look for smaller, less expensive places.

Additional housing bills are piling more misery on families at a time when the main measure of inflation is easing back from the highs of last winter, when unprecedented energy costs hit Western economies.

The evolving cost of living crisis has squeezed affordability and demand at estate agents – and the Bank wants a wider economic slowdown to help cool the pace of price rises.

Data released by the Bank earlier this week showed that mortgage approvals had dropped by almost 10% last month.

Separate figures from property website Zoopla suggested that the UK was on track for about one million house and flat sales by the end of this year – the lowest level since 2012.

Average rates for two and five-year fixed residential mortgages remain above 6%.

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Renters now in the majority in UK

Higher funding costs for lenders are down to expectations the Bank of England still has some way to go in its battle against inflation.

Financial markets currently expect the Bank’s rate to peak just shy of 6% early next year – from its current level of 5.25%.

Nationwide, like other mortgage lenders in the shifting rate environment, revealed on Thursday that it was reducing some fixed and tracker products by up to 0.15 percentage points from today.

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River Island owners draw up rescue plan for high street chain

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River Island owners draw up rescue plan for high street chain

The family behind River Island, the high street fashion retailer, is drawing up a radical rescue plan which could put significant numbers of stores and jobs at risk.

Sky News has learnt that the chain’s owners have drafted in advisers from PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) to devise a formal restructuring plan.

The proposals, which are expected to be finalised within weeks, are subject to sign-off, with sources insisting this weekend that any firm decisions about the future of the business have yet to be taken.

River Island is one of Britain’s best-known clothing chains, operating roughly 230 stores across the country, and employing approximately 5,500 people.

Previously named Lewis and Chelsea Girl, the business was founded in 1948 by Bernard Lewis, finally adopting its current brand four decades later.

Accounts for River Island Clothing Co for the 52 weeks ending 30 December, 2023 show the company made a £33.2m pre-tax loss.

Turnover during the year fell by more than 19% to £578.1m.

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A restructuring plan is a court-supervised process which enables companies facing financial difficulties to compromise creditors such as landlords in order to avoid insolvency proceedings.

In recent years, it has been used by companies including the casual dining chain Prezzo and, more recently, Hobbycraft, the retailer now owned by Modella Capital.

One source said that if it proceeded a restructuring plan at River Island could emerge within weeks.

This weekend, it was unclear how many stores and jobs might be under threat from a formal rescue deal.

In its latest accounts at Companies House, River Island Holdings Limited warned of a multitude of financial and operational risks to its business.

“The market for retailing of fashion clothing is fast changing with customer preferences for more diverse, convenient and speedier shopping journeys and with increasing competition especially in the digital space,” it said.

“The key business risks for the group are the pressures of a highly competitive and changing retail environment combined with increased economic uncertainty.

“A number of geopolitical events have resulted in continuing supply chain disruption as well as energy, labour and food price increases, driving inflation and interest rates higher and resulting in weaker disposable income and lower consumer confidence.”

In January, Sky News reported that River Island had hired AlixPartners, the consulting firm, to undertake work on cost reductions and profit improvement.

AlixPartners’ role is now understood to have been superseded by that of PwC.

Retailers have complained bitterly about the impact of tax changes announced by Rachel Reeves, the chancellor, in last autumn’s Budget.

Since then, a cluster of well-known chains, including Lakeland and The Original Factory Shop, have been forced to seek new owners.

Poundland, the discount retail giant, is in the latter stages of an auction process, with Hilco Capital and Gordon Brothers remaining interested in acquiring it.

A spokesperson for River Island declined to comment.

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Trade war: US hiring slows but employment resilient

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Trade war: US hiring slows but employment resilient

The US economy saw a slowdown in hiring but no leap in unemployment last month as the impact of Donald Trump’s trade war continues to play out.

Official data, which strips out the effects of seasonal workers, showed 139,000 net new jobs were created during May.

Market analysts and economists had expected a figure of 130,000 – down on the 147,000 for April.

The unemployment rate remained at 4.2% and hourly pay rates rose.

Money latest: House price dip expected to be temporary

The figures were released as the health of the US economy continues to attract close scrutiny amid ongoing fears of a recession risk in the world’s largest economy due to the effects of the US president’s trade war.

Unlike most developed economies, such a downturn is not determined by two consecutive quarters of negative growth, but by a committee of respected economists.

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It’s known as the Business Cycle Dating Committee.

It uses employment data, as well as official growth figures, to rule on the status of the economy.

The threat of tariffs, and early salvoes of, the Trump administration’s protectionist agenda were blamed for a sharp slowdown in growth over the first three months of the year.

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Economists have found it hard to predict official data due to the on-off, and often chaotic, nature of tariff implementation.

As such, all official figures are keenly awaited for news of the trade war’s impact on the domestic economy.

Other data this week showed a record 20% plunge in US imports during April.

Next week sees the release of inflation figures – the best measure of whether import duty price increases are working their way through the supply chain and harming the spending power of businesses and consumers.

It’s a key piece of information for the US central bank.

It has paused interest rate cuts, to the fury of the president, over trade war uncertainty.

Read more:
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A forecast by the Paris-based OECD this week highlighted the chance of consumer price inflation rising above 4% later in the year.

It currently stands at an annual rate of 2.3%.

Fears of a US recession and trade war uncertainty have combined most recently with increasing market concerns about the sustainability of US debt, given Mr Trump’s tax cut and spending plans.

US stock markets are largely flat on the year while the dollar index, which measures the greenback against six other major currencies, is down 9% this year and on course for its worst annual performance since 2017.

European stocks entered positive territory in a small nod to the employment data, while US futures showed a similar trend.

The dollar rose slightly.

The reaction was likely muted because the data was well within expectations and seen as positive.

Commenting on the figures Nicholas Hyett, investment manager at Wealth Club, said: “The US labour market has shrugged off the tariff uncertainty that rocked global stock and bond markets in April and May.

“While the Federal government has continued to shed a small number of jobs, the wider economy has more than made up the difference, with the US adding slightly more jobs than expected in May. Wage growth also came in higher than expected – suggesting the economy is in rude health.

“That will be taken as vindication by the Trump administration – which has been clear that the tariffs are aimed squarely at supporting Main Street rather than pleasing Wall Street.

“Less positive from the White House’s point of view is that a strong economy and rising wages gives the Federal Reserve less reason to cut interest rates – pushing yields a touch higher and making the fiscal splurge built into Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” that bit more expensive.

“With rate cuts looking less likely, Fed Chair Jay Powell can expect to remain firmly in the president’s firing line once the spat with Musk is over.”

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Musk says Trump appears in Epstein files and $150bn wiped off Tesla’s value as row between them explodes

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Musk says Trump appears in Epstein files and 0bn wiped off Tesla's value as row between them explodes

Elon Musk says Donald Trump appears in files relating to the disgraced paedophile financier Jeffrey Epstein.

It’s the latest in a string of barbs between the men as they appear to have dramatically fallen out in a public spat.

In a post on X, the tech billionaire said: “@realDonaldTrump is in the Epstein files. That is the real reason they have not been made public.

“Mark this post for the future. The truth will come out.”

Donald Trump at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida with Jeffrey Epstein in 1997. Pic: Getty Images
Image:
Donald Trump at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida with Jeffrey Epstein in 1997. Pic: Getty Images

He gave no evidence for the claim. Meanwhile, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt dismissed the comment.

In a statement, she said: “This is an unfortunate episode from Elon, who is unhappy with the One Big Beautiful Bill [a Republican tax and spending bill] because it does not include the policies he wanted.

“The president is focused on passing this historic piece of legislation and making our country great again.”

Epstein killed himself in his jail cell in August 2019 while awaiting trial on charges of sex trafficking minors.

Jeffrey Epstein. File pic: New York State Sex Offender Registry via AP
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Jeffrey Epstein. File pic: New York State Sex Offender Registry via AP

Read more:
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Trump in previously released Epstein documents

Donald Trump has been named in previously released documents relating to Jeffrey Epstein.

One Epstein accuser in 2016 said she spent several hours with the disgraced financier at a Trump casino but she did not say if she met Mr Trump and did not accuse him of any wrongdoing.

Mr Trump once said he believed Epstein was a “terrific guy” but that they later fell out.

The latest claims by Musk about the Epstein files tap into conspiracy theories that sensitive files the government possesses have not yet been released.

In another post on Thursday, Musk, the owner of social media platform X, attacked Mr Trump’s tariffs, saying they “will cause a recession in the second half of this year.”

The Tesla boss shared a post calling for Mr Trump’s impeachment and asked whether it was “time to create a new political party in America that actually represents the 80% in the middle”.

Musk also said his company SpaceX will begin decommissioning its Dragon spacecraft “immediately” following Mr Trump’s threats to cancel government contracts with Musk’s businesses.

Dragon is the only US spacecraft available to deliver crew to and from the International Space Station.

The spat has already hit Tesla shares, which lost about $150bn (£111bn) in value, closing down 14.3% for the day.

President Donald Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk talk with to reporters near Tesla vehicles on the South Lawn of the White House Tuesday, March 11, 2025, in Washington. (Pool via AP)
Image:
President Trump has responded to Musk’s criticisms about his signature tax bill. Pic: AP.

It comes after the president said he was “disappointed” with Musk after the entrepreneur publicly criticised Mr Trump‘s signature tax bill.

The president suggested his former backer and adviser missed being in government and has “Trump derangement syndrome”.

He added: “I’m very disappointed in Elon. I’ve helped Elon a lot.”

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Footage shows Trump and Epstein in 1992

In a Truth Social post, the US president said: “Elon was ‘wearing thin,’ I asked him to leave, I took away his EV mandate that forced everyone to buy electric cars that nobody else wanted (that he knew for months I was going to do!), and he just went crazy!”.

On Tuesday, the world’s richest man called the president’s tax and spending bill “outrageous” and a “disgusting abomination” – days after abruptly leaving his position spearheading the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).

The bill, which includes multi-trillion-dollar tax breaks, was passed by the House Republicans in May and has been described by the president as a “big, beautiful bill”. By contrast, Musk has called it the “big, ugly bill”.

FILE PHOTO: Elon Musk listens to U.S. President Donald Trump speak in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., February 11, 2025. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque/File Photo
Image:
Musk claimed responsibility for Mr Trump’s election success. Pic: Reuters.

Shortly after the president expressed his disappointment in Musk on Thursday, the SpaceX boss responded.

“False”, he wrote on his X platform.

“This bill was never shown to me even once and was passed in the dead of night so fast that almost no one in Congress could even read it!”

In another scathing post on X, Musk claimed responsibility for Donald Trump’s re-election success.

He wrote: “Without me, Trump would have lost the election, Dems would control the House and the Republicans would be 51-49 in the Senate.”

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Why doesn’t Musk like Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful Bill’?

It came after Mr Trump told reporters the Tesla chief executive was unimpressed electric vehicle incentives were being debated in the Senate and could face being cut.

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Last Thursday, Musk revealed on X that his scheduled time as a “special government employee” was coming to an end.

Before the news broke, Musk’s father told Sky News his son was “not a very good politician”.

But speaking to Gillian Joseph on The World, Errol Musk insisted there was “no rift between Elon and Donald Trump”.

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