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Even dollar stores are getting slammed by the retail theft crisis.

Dollar Generals shares tanked Thursday after the discounter provided a bleak outlook for the rest of the year because of rising thefts and weak consumer demand at its 19,000 stores nationwide.

The Tennessee-based company warned Wall Street that profits may plunge by as much as 34% compared to its previous forecast for an 8% decline to flat growth as cut its full-year profit and sales targets for the second time this year.

“Our revised guide is really a function of the slower transactions that we’re seeing, and higher expected shrink,” Dollar General CFO Kelly Dilts said on a call with analysts after the company reported quarterly earnings that fell short of Wall Street estimates.

The reference to “shrink” — an industry term for stolen or damaged goods — follows a troubling trend cited by other major retailers who have blamed the scourge of organized retail theft for impacting their bottom line.

Target has said it expects to lose $500 million because of theft at its stores.

Dollar Tree said in May that it would need to raise prices in some regions because of persistent shoplifting.

Dollar General’s gross profit as a percentage of net sales fell 126 basis points in the quarter as retail shrink worsened. It flagged $100 million in additional shrink headwinds since its last earnings call in June.

CEO Jeff Owen did not elaborate on the extent of the theft, instead pointing to still-stubborn inflation for shoppers feeling “financially constrained.

Dollar Generals core customers are feeling the acute pressure of the cost-of-living-crisis, echoed Neil Saunders, retail analyst and managing director at GlobalData, in a report Thursday. 

Dollar General lowered its same store sales guidance to a decline of about 1% and 1% increase compared to its previous forecast of a 1% to 2% increase.

The companys comparable sales dropped by 1% in the second quarter ended Aug. 4 and the company expects a pileup of inventory to be a drag on its earnings for the rest of the year as it slashes prices on items that havent been selling.

The quarter “marks the fourth consecutive guide down for Dollar General, which admittedly creates further uncertainty if we are hitting the bottom yet,” said Raymond James analyst Bobby Griffin.

The stock nosedived down more than 12% Thursday to close at $138.59.

It has tracked a nearly three-and-a-half-year low, slumping as much as 18.2% to hit $128.96 — making it one of the worst performers on the S&P 500 index this year.

As inflation continued to batter shoppers this year, more customers flocked to Dollar General and its rival Dollar Tree among other big discounters.

But food and other essential items are less profitable for those stores as profit margins on food are anemic.

While we are not satisfied with our overall financial results, we made significant progress in the second quarter improving execution in our supply chain and our stores, as well as reducing our inventory growth rate and further strengthening our price position, Owen said in a statement. 

With Post wires

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Crypto platform Bitpanda expands services in UK with FCA approval

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Crypto platform Bitpanda expands services in UK with FCA approval

Bitpanda’s crypto offering in the United Kingdom won’t differ from that in the European Union, deputy CEO Lukas Enzersdorfer-Konrad said.

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Environment

CNBC Daily Open: Tesla wobbles as BYD gets ahead in self-driving and Elon Musk is everywhere

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CNBC Daily Open: Tesla wobbles as BYD gets ahead in self-driving and Elon Musk is everywhere

Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk and U.S. President Donald Trump appear during an executive order signing in the Oval Office at the White House on Feb. 11, 2025 in Washington, DC.

Andrew Harnik | Getty Images News | Getty Images

Elon Musk is the world’s richest person, and the leader of Tesla, SpaceX, X, the Boring Company, xAI, Neuralink, the U.S. Department of Government Efficiency as well as a recent group of investors bidding to buy OpenAI.

From a business point of view, Musk’s accomplishments are undeniable. The companies he heads are not only market leaders, but often trailblazers in their field — consider how Tesla kickstarted the electric-vehicle industry or how SpaceX successfully commercialized space flight.

Paradoxically, achieving success too broadly can have negative effects. Investors seem to be growing worried that Musk, for all his business acumen, is getting distracted. Tesla shares have fallen for the past five trading days, plunging over 6% on Tuesday as Chinese rival BYD appears to be eclipsing the company on AI-enabled autonomous driving.

If hands-free driving becomes a reality atTesla, that could free up Musk to have his fingers in other pies without dragging down the company’s shares.

What you need to know today

BYD threatens Tesla
Tesla shares fell 6.3% Tuesday after Chinese EV maker BYD said it will integrate DeepSeek into its autonomous driving technology and offer it in nearly all its vehicles. There are also concerns over Musk’s distractions, such as his bid for Open AI and his role at the “Department of Government Efficiency” in the White House. Tesla’s stock price has fallen over 16% in the past five trading days.

Tentative U.S. markets
U.S. markets were mixed Tuesday as investors digested U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments in the Senate that the central bank doesn’t need to “be in a hurry” to adjust its policy stance. The S&P 500 was mostly flat, the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.28% and the Nasdaq Composite retreated 0.36%. Asia-Pacific stocks traded higher Wednesday. The Hang Seng Index rose around 1.9% as Hong Kong-listed shares of Alibaba popped 7.15% on reports it is partnering Apple to roll out iPhone AI features in China.

Baidu to release next-generation AI model
Chinese tech giant Baidu plans to release its next-generation AI model in the latter half of the year, according to a source familiar with the matter. Named Ernie 5.0, the model is set to have “big enhancements in multimodal capabilities,” the source said. Multimodal AI models can work across media formats. Baidu’s release comes amid AI advancements in China, such as the cost-effective DeepSeek released in January.

Super Micro Computer reassures investors
Super Micro Computer CEO Charles Liang said on Tuesday he is “confident” that the company will file its delayed annual report by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s Feb. 25 deadline. The company also said it expects to hit $40 billion in revenue in fiscal 2026, higher than the $30 billion expected by analysts polled by LSEG. Shares of the company jumped as much as 8.4% in extended trading.

CATL files for listing in Hong Kong
China’s Contemporary Amperex Technology, also known as CATL, has filed for listing on Hong Kong’s stock exchange. The initial public offering is expected to raise at least $5 billion, Reuters reported, which would make it the city’s largest IPO in five years. The company supplies batteries to automakers like Tesla. In January, the U.S. Department of Defense included CATL and Tencent on its list of “Chinese Military Companies.”

[PRO] How to play the CPI
The U.S. consumer price index report will be released Wednesday and comes at a time when inflation concerns have resurged because of tariffs and higher-than-expected wage growth in January. JPMorgan traders laid out how the S&P 500 could react based on the CPI reading. The scenarios range from a 1.75% increase to a 2% fall, including an asset class that could “react violently.”

And finally…

The dock at the Port of Sikka in Jamnagar, Gujarat, India, on Saturday, July 31, 2021.

Dhiraj Singh | Bloomberg | Getty Images

India’s oil minister says ‘we play by the rules,’ as markets weigh U.S. energy sanctions

India will “play by the rules” and not “go around” international sanctions regarding oil markets, the country’s Minister of Petroleum and Natural Gas Hardeep Singh Puri told CNBC on Tuesday at the sidelines of the India Energy Week conference. India’s refiners have been snapping up discounted Russian oil since Western and G7 energy sanctions barred many consumers from Moscow’s supplies. New Delhi has repeatedly defended its purchases as a matter of national interest.

Puri also signaled that the government of Trump’s predecessor, President Joe Biden, had endorsed India’s bolstered intake of Russian oil. “I’ve had a chat with the Americans, the previous administration. They said, please buy as much as you like. Just make sure that you buy it within the price cap. And that’s what we did,” Puri said.

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Technology

SoftBank posts surprise loss of $2.4 billion in third quarter as Vision Fund investments go into red

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SoftBank posts surprise loss of .4 billion in third quarter as Vision Fund investments go into red

The logo of SoftBank is displayed at a company shop in Tokyo, Japan January 28, 2025. 

Issei Kato | Reuters

SoftBank Group posted a surprise quarterly loss Wednesday as investments under its Vision Funds fell into red. The Japanese company’s revenue also missed analysts’ estimates.

Here are Softbank’s results compared with LSEG SmartEstimate, which is weighted toward forecasts from analysts who have been more consistently accurate:

  • Revenue: 1.83 trillion yen vs. 1.84 trillion yen
  • Net loss of 369.17 billion yen ($2.4 billion) vs. a profit of 298.53 billion yen

The company’s Vision Fund investments clocked a loss of 352.75 billion yen for the quarter ended Dec. 31. They had posted a gain for the preceding two quarters.

The broader Vision Fund segment — which factors in administrative costs, fluctuations in currency, among other things — reported a loss of 309.93 billion yen during the quarter.

SoftBank reported a 2.1% quarter-on-quarter drop in its Vision Fund 1 public portfolio companies, primarily due to a decline in the share price of e-commerce company Coupang, while the value of its investments in private companies dropped 3.3%. Overall, the fair value of SoftBank’s Vision Fund 1 portfolio companies declined by 2.8% from the previous quarter-end.

Vision Fund 2 fair value fell by 3.7% from the prior quarter-end. Decreases in the share prices of public companies such as EV-maker Ola Electric Mobility and warehouse automation firm AutoStore outweighed a jump in the stock of food delivery firm Swiggy following its November 2024 listing.

Faber Report: Softbank set to invest $40B in OpenAI at $260B pre-money valuation, sources say

In recent years, SoftBank has made a number of high-value investments in companies that have struggled or marked down their valuations. 

It is now repositioning itself to take advantage of the artificial intelligence boom, where players such as Nvidia have benefited from meteoric demand for chips and data center GPUs.

SoftBank is close to finalizing a $40 billion primary investment in OpenAI at a $260 billion pre-money valuation, sources recently told CNBC’s David Faber.

The new funding would see SoftBank surpass Microsoft as the artificial intelligence startup’s top backer, with OpenAI last valued at $157 billion by private investors in October.

SoftBank has already committed to spending $3 billion per year on OpenAI’s tech. The two companies also have announced a new joint venture called “SB OpenAI Japan,” which will market OpenAI’s enterprise tech exclusively to major companies in Japan.

SoftBank reported its quarterly earnings after trading closed at the Tokyo stock exchange. It’s shares gained 45% last year.

— CNBC’s Hayden Field contributed to this report.

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