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Hadrian Automation CEO Chris Power

Hadrian Automation

When President Joe Biden announced an executive order last month limiting U.S. investment in critical technologies in China, the venture capital community hardly blinked.

That’s because many U.S. startup investors have already retreated from China, after years of political mudslinging between the world’s two largest economies led to increased sanctions and trade restrictions.

But with the door to the Chinese tech market closing, VCs are seeing new opportunities on their home turf. The U.S. government is actively promoting investments in semiconductors and broader industrial development, and investors are finding a widening talent pool invigorated to take on tough challenges in light of world events, with an explicit focus on protecting U.S. values.

“VCs are saying, ‘Where’s the most stable places to invest? And quite frankly, where’s the talent?'” said Gilman Louie, co-founder of venture firm Alsop-Louie Partners. He’s also CEO of America’s Frontier Fund, which says in its mission statement that it’s “committed to reinvigorating our nation’s innovation and manufacturing prowess in critical frontier technology sectors.”

“In uncertain times, when there’s unpredictability and global stress, whether you’re a U.S. investor or a foreign investor, you want to come to America to invest,” Louie said.

Once seen as a vast market of opportunity for U.S. tech companies and investors, China is now filled with more risk than reward and is increasingly viewed as a rival in developing key technologies, including advanced artificial intelligence and quantum computing, that will drive global markets in the decades to come.

Last year, the U.S. announced export controls aimed at limiting Beijing’s ability to produce advanced military systems, and more recently the Biden administration restricted the ability for U.S. investors to back critical tech in China.

Meanwhile, lawmakers passed the CHIPS and Science Act, which promised to pump tens of billions of dollars into semiconductor manufacturing in the U.S. The goal is to reduce international dependence on chips that are key to development of electronics, cars and medical equipment and are becoming more important to national security with the rapid evolution of AI.

Lindsay Gorman, senior fellow for emerging technologies at the German Marshall Fund’s Alliance for Securing Democracy, said she’s seen a “new crop of venture capitalists” in the last few years that prioritize U.S. tech competition with China and U.S. national security.

“Ten, 15 years ago, these geopolitical lines were not part of the equation,” Gorman said.

Louie added that he doesn’t “know of a single major fund out there that isn’t thinking about disruptive tech investing in the U.S., investing in defense tech, investing in microelectronics and AI in the next generation and next iteration.”

In Torrance, California, just south of Los Angeles, Hadrian Automation is building efficient factories to help space and defense companies get parts faster and cheaper. CEO Chris Power, who started the company in 2020, said he’s seeing increased interest from large growth funds that have typically invested in software.

“Everyone’s kind of standing up their own practices to support the market,” Power said. Hadrian’s early backers include Lux Capital and Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund, which have longer histories of investing in manufacturing and deep science.

Palmer Luckey, Founder @ Oculus VR Andutil Industries, during day two of Collision 2019 at Enercare Center in Toronto, Canada.

Stephen McCarthy | Sportsfile | Getty Images

VC funding in aerospace and defense tech has shot up in recent years, according to data compiled by PitchBook for CNBC. In 2019, 69 companies in the sector raised a total of $1.7 billion in value. In 2021, that jumped to 119 deals worth $6.4 billion. Last year, which was the worst for tech stocks since 2008, saw a slight slippage in the space to $5.6 billion, though the number of deals was the same as 2022, according to PitchBook.

The poster child for U.S.-focused defense tech is Anduril Industries, co-founded in 2017 by Oculus Rift designer Palmer Luckey. The company, which ranked seventh on the latest CNBC Disruptor 50 List and has been valued at $8.4 billion by private investors, develops autonomous technology for national security and warfare.

On Thursday, Anduril announced the acquisition of Blue Force Technologies, which develops autonomous aircraft for defense and commercial customers.

While Anduril started with a focus on military contracts, other startups have navigated their way there.

Not just about patriotism

Saildrone, which makes unmanned ships, was originally focused on monitoring environmental data for fisheries and agencies like the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

It later became clear to CEO Richard Jenkins that the company needed to expand its aperture to bring in more revenue, since the government wasn’t spending enough on science to make the business work. Bilal Zuberi, a partner at early investor Lux, asked the company if it would consider selling its products to the Navy or Coast Guard.

Zuberi said Jenkins came to him with a key concern. He was unsure how his team would react if the environmental company they joined began selling to the defense sector. Zuberi talked about how he sees the opportunity differently. Saildrone’s technology can help prevent greater human casualty by, for example, learning of certain precise moves by the Chinese government in advance so the U.S. could send a warning signal and avoid a greater conflict.

Jenkins decided to make the pitch to his team. He told staffers he had a “pretty firm line on not weaponizing the platforms,” and keeping the focus on data collection tools. He also said the company wasn’t forgoing its climate work.

Saildrone didn’t lose any employees as a result of the shift.

Saildrone autonomous boats rove the seas, collecting data about weather, ships, fish and more.

“There was a perception that the technology industry doesn’t understand the importance of national security and what it takes to protect our democracy,” Zuberi said. “And then the military doesn’t care about the technology that we’re developing. I think that perception has somewhat been shattered.”

Zuberi said that for industry leaders it doesn’t have to be about patriotism. They can just look at the untapped potential in defense tech.

“It’s not like the last five years, suddenly investors woke up more patriotic than they used to be,” Zuberi said. “I think they just realized that there’s a big business opportunity here that they want to access.”

‘To work in defense was certainly taboo’

Paul Kwan, managing director of venture firm General Catalyst, had a similar observation.

“What’s changed around tech the last few years is people want to work on stuff that makes a difference and has a bigger impact on the world,” said Kwan, who has written about the firm’s “renewed” focus on “modern defense and intelligence.”

While tech workers at companies including Google and Salesforce have made headlines in the past for protesting their employers’ defense contracts, the topic is more nuanced now in the startup world.

“As a technologist, to work in defense was certainly taboo,” said Kyle Harrison, general partner of Contrary Capital. “I think the conversation has been more open. I think there’s still people that feel very strongly about it, for and against. But it used to be nobody really talked about it, where now people are acknowledging that it’s really difficult to protect a lot of the values that you think are important if your defense apparatus is from the ’80s.”

Part of the movement is driven by an awareness of the Russian war in Ukraine, several VCs said, which has highlighted the role defense can play in protecting values of democracy.

US President Joe Biden arrives to speak on rebuilding US manufacturing through the CHIPS and Science Act at the groundbreaking of the new Intel semiconductor manufacturing facility near New Albany, Ohio, on September 9, 2022.

Saul Loeb | AFP | Getty Images

“You have an aggressor nation, taking land and causing death and destruction to civilians,” said Raj Shah, managing partner of Shield Capital, adding that tech workers “want to do something to help and they want to have meaning in their lives. And photo-sharing apps are only so important.”

As Lux co-founder Josh Wolfe said, “Do you want to build software that has people clicking on ads, or do you want to do things that have a lasting impact on the safety and security of the American people and helping to reduce human suffering around the world?”

It’s not just shifting sentiment within the tech community. There’s also a growing openness from the U.S. defense community to procuring technology from newer players.

“The government’s becoming a better customer,” said Shah, who previously served as managing partner of the Defense Department’s Defense Innovation Unit, which seeks to accelerate the use of emerging technologies. “It actually makes business sense to solve important security problems.”

Power, CEO of Hadrian, said the narrative of “Silicon Valley hates the government and the government hates Silicon Valley” is gone, even though he says “I don’t think it was ever true.”

“People are viewing selling software to the government as a real market opportunity versus something that may or may not happen or would take them 10 years,” Power said.

One area where the shift in mindset has become abundantly clear in the past year or two, Power said, is in recruiting. In the past, some potential prospects expressed little interest in manufacturing, but now Power said he finds many more people who are compelled to solve these problems.

Wolfe said that trend permeates throughout his portfolio.

“Money follows talent,” Wolfe said. “And talent is going into hard tech.”

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Google to test using AI to determine users’ ages

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Google to test using AI to determine users’ ages

Google chief executive Sundar Pichai speaks during the tech titan’s annual I/O developers conference on May 14, 2024, in Mountain View, California. 

Glenn Chapman | Afp | Getty Images

Google will start using artificial intelligence to determine whether users are age appropriate for its products, the company said Wednesday.

Google announced the new technique for determining users’ ages as part of a blog focused on “New digital protections for kids, teens and parents.” The automation will be used across Google products, including YouTube, a spokesperson confirmed. Google has billions of users across its properties and users designated as under the age of 18 have restrictions to some Google services.

“This year we’ll begin testing a machine learning-based age estimation model in the U.S.,” wrote Jenn Fitzpatrick, SVP of Google’s “Core” Technology team, in the blog post. The Core unit is responsible for building the technical foundation behind the company’s flagship products and for protecting users’ online safety. 

“This model helps us estimate whether a user is over or under 18 so that we can apply protections to help provide more age-appropriate experiences,” Fitzpatrick wrote.

The latest AI move also comes as lawmakers pressure online platforms to create more provisions around child safety. The company said it will bring its AI-based age estimations to more countries over time. Meta rolled out similar features that uses AI to determine that someone may be lying about their age in September.

Google, and others within the tech industry, have been ramping their reliance on AI for various tasks and products. Using AI for age-related content represents the latest AI front for Google.

The new initiative by Google’s “Core” team comes despite the company reorganization that unit last year, laying off hundreds of employees and moving some roles to India and Mexico, CNBC reported at the time. 

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AppLovin soars almost 30% on earnings, guidance beat

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AppLovin soars almost 30% on earnings, guidance beat

Adam Foroughi, CEO of AppLovin.

CNBC

AppLovin shares soared almost 30% in extended trading on Wednesday after the company reported earnings and revenue that sailed past analysts’ estimates and issued better-than-expected guidance.

Here’s how the company performed compared with analysts’ expectations, according to LSEG:

  • Earnings per share: $1.73 vs. $1.24 expected
  • Revenue: $1.37 billion vs. $1.26 billion expected

Net income in the quarter more than tripled to $599.2 million, or $1.73 per share, from $172.3 million, or 51 cents per share, a year earlier, the company said in a statement.

Revenue jumped 43% from $953.3 million a year earlier.

AppLovin was the best-performing U.S. tech stock last year, soaring more than 700%, driven by the company’s artificial intelligence-powered advertising system. In 2023, AppLovin released the updated 2.0 version of its ad search engine called AXON, which helps put more targeted ads on the gaming apps the company owns and is also used by studios that license the technology.

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AppLovin’s business has been split between advertising and apps, which is primarily made up of game studios that the company has acquired over the years. With the historic growth in its advertising unit, the apps business has become much less important, and now the company says it is selling it off.

“Today we’re announcing we’ve signed an exclusive term sheet to sell all of our apps business,” CEO Adam Foroughi said on the earnings call.

Later in the call, the company said it has signed a term sheet for the sale for a “total estimated consideration” of $900 million. That includes $500 million in cash, “with the remainder representing a minority equity stake in the combined private company.”

Advertising revenue climbed 73% in the quarter to almost $1 billion. The ad business was previously categorized as Software Platform. The company said it made the change because advertising accounts for “substantially all of the revenue in this segment.”

AppLovin said it expects first-quarter revenue of between $1.36 billion and 1.39 billion, exceeding the $1.32 billion average analyst estimate, according to LSEG. More than $1 billion of that will come from its advertising segment, as the company said it is “still in the early stages” of bolstering its AI models.

“The roadmap ahead is filled with opportunities for iteration,” the company said in its shareholder letter. “As we execute, we believe we can continue to drive value creation for our shareholders.”

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Cisco pops on increased full-year revenue forecast

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Cisco pops on increased full-year revenue forecast

Cisco CEO Chuck Robbins speaking on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” outside the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on Jan. 22, 2025.

Gerry Miller | CNBC

Cisco shares climbed about 6% in extended trading on Wednesday after the networking hardware maker reported fiscal second-quarter results and guidance that topped Wall Street’s expectations.

Here’s how the company did against LSEG consensus:

  • Earnings per share: 94 cents adjusted vs. 91 cents expected
  • Revenue: $13.99 billion vs. $13.87 billion expected

Revenue increased 9% in the quarter, which ended on Jan. 25, from $12.79 billion a year earlier, according to a statement. The growth follows four quarters of revenue declines. The company said it had orders for artificial intelligence infrastructure that exceeded $350 million in the quarter.

Cisco now sees adjusted earnings of $3.68 to $3.74 for the 2025 fiscal year, with $56 billion to $56.5 billion in revenue. Analysts polled by LSEG had been looking for $3.66 in adjusted earnings per share and $55.99 billion in revenue. In November, the forecast was $3.60 to $3.66 in earnings per share and $55.3 billion to $56.3 billion in revenue.

Net income in the latest period slid almost 8% to $2.43 billion, or 61 cents per share, from $2.63 billion, or 65 cents per share, a year ago.

Revenue from the networking division totaled $6.85 billion, down 3% but more than the $6.67 billion consensus among analysts surveyed by StreetAccount.

The security unit contributed $2.11 billion. That is a 117% increase from a year earlier, thanks to the addition of Splunk. Analysts expected $2.01 billion, according to StreetAccount.

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Splunk, which Cisco bought in March 2024 for $27 billion, was accretive to adjusted earnings per share sooner than planned, Scott Herren, Cisco’s finance chief, was quoted as saying in the statement. Cisco’s total revenue would have been down 1% year over year if not for Splunk’s contribution, according to the statement.

Many technology companies have been trying to predict the effects from President Donald Trump’s newly established Department of Government Efficiency. But three-quarters of Cisco’s U.S. federal business comes from the Defense Department, while most of the headcount cutting thus far has occurred in other agencies, Cisco CEO Chuck Robbins said on a conference call with analysts.

“Everything seems to be progressing as we expected,” he said.

Customers do not appear to be pulling up orders before tariffs go into effect, Herren said on the conference call.

As of Thursday’s close, Cisco shares were up 5% so far in 2025, while the S&P 500 index had gained about 3%.

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