Rishi Sunak has denied his party is preparing for election defeat and insists his team is “fired up” about winning a full term.
Asked what his message would be to Tory MPs despondent about the party’s lag in the polls, Mr Sunak said he was “entirely confident we can win the next election”.
“I am working to get a first full term. I will show the British people what I am capable of in the time I have now before the election,” he said.
Some Tories fear that Mr Sunak’s five priorities – including halving inflation, cutting debt, and stopping small boats – are out of reach and uninspiring for voters.
But Mr Sunak told reporters on the plane to the G20 in Delhi: “I think we have achieved a lot over the last eight months, and you can start to see the fruit of that work.
“You saw over the summer inflation is coming down, that’s the best thing we can do to help people with the cost of living, energy bills are coming down considerably from where they peaked, that’s going to help people; the number of small boat crossings, of course higher than any of us would like… but for the first time ever they are down on the year before… the plan is working.”
Sky’s poll tracker shows Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour Party with an average lead of 18 points in the polls, with three by-elections looming next month, two of them in safe Conservative seats.
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Image: Rishi Sunak and his wife Akshata Murty meet schoolchildren in New Delhi ahead of the G20 summit
The prime minister says his party’s narrow victory in the Uxbridge by-election earlier this year, despite losing two other seats on the same night, made him “entirely confident of victory”.
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“That’s what a general election looks like, it’s an actual choice between two alternatives on a set of issues of substance. That’s why I feel confident, as we won in Uxbridge we will be able to make great progress,” he said.
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G20: ‘Progress on trade deal’ – PM
Pollster and former Conservative adviser Luke Tryl said in response: “There’s no doubt the Tories outperformed expectations in Uxbridge and you can see why the PM would want to highlight that bright spot after a difficult few months.
“The problem is the factors that helped the Tories hang on in Uxbridge are almost totally unique.
“The harsh electoral reality for the Tories is the other by-election held on the same day where the Tories saw a 24-point swing against them is a far better reflection of where the public mood is today.”
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Last week, reports surfaced that the prime minister’s chief of staff Liam Booth-Smith had told political advisers they should quit their jobs if they didn’t believe the Conservatives could win.
A shake-up of Downing Street staff has been taking place, with the departure of Mr Sunak’s head of communications, and a new strategy director brought in.
The prime minister said: “As you can see we’ve brought some new people in, very high-quality people that are joining the team because they believe that we will win – they are hungry to win, I am hungry to win, and we are fired up to deliver it.”
Mr Sunak refused to commit to offering tax cuts before the next election, saying the “best tax cut I can deliver for the British people is to reduce inflation”.
The Conservatives have had a difficult summer, with their plans to send asylum seekers to live on a floating barge scuppered by the discovery of legionella and crumbling concrete closing schools.
Mr Sunak conceded the timing of the RAAC concrete crisis had been “frustrating” but said ministers were right to act as quickly when it came to light.
Emmanuel Macron has said the UK and France have a “shared responsibility” to tackle the “burden” of illegal migration, as he urged co-operation between London and Paris ahead of a crunch summit later this week.
Addressing parliament in the Palace of Westminster on Tuesday, the French president said the UK-France summit would bring “cooperation and tangible results” regarding the small boats crisis in the Channel.
Image: King Charles III at the State Banquet for President of France Emmanuel Macron. Pic: PA
Mr Macron – who is the first European leader to make a state visit to the UK since Brexit – told the audience that while migrants’ “hope for a better life elsewhere is legitimate”, “we cannot allow our countries’ rules for taking in people to be flouted and criminal networks to cynically exploit the hopes of so many individuals with so little respect for human life”.
“France and the UK have a shared responsibility to address irregular migration with humanity, solidarity and fairness,” he added.
Looking ahead to the UK-France summit on Thursday, he promised the “best ever cooperation” between France and the UK “to fix today what is a burden for our two countries”.
Sir Keir Starmer will hope to reach a deal with his French counterpart on a “one in, one out” migrant returns deal at the key summit on Thursday.
King Charles also addressed the delegations at a state banquet in Windsor Castle on Tuesday evening, saying the summit would “deepen our alliance and broaden our partnerships still further”.
Image: King Charles speaking at state banquet welcoming Macron.
Sitting next to President Macron, the monarch said: “Our armed forces will cooperate even more closely across the world, including to support Ukraine as we join together in leading a coalition of the willing in defence of liberty and freedom from oppression. In other words, in defence of our shared values.”
In April, British officials confirmed a pilot scheme was being considered to deport migrants who cross the English Channel in exchange for the UK accepting asylum seekers in France with legitimate claims.
The two countries have engaged in talks about a one-for-one swap, enabling undocumented asylum seekers who have reached the UK by small boat to be returned to France.
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Britain would then receive migrants from France who would have a right to be in the UK, like those who already have family settled here.
The small boats crisis is a pressing issue for the prime minister, given that more than 20,000 migrants crossed the English Channel to the UK in the first six months of this year – a rise of almost 50% on the number crossing in 2024.
Image: President Macron greets Commons Speaker Sir Lindsay Hoyle at his address to parliament in Westminster.
Elsewhere in his speech, the French president addressed Brexit, and said the UK could not “stay on the sidelines” despite its departure from the European Union.
He said European countries had to break away from economic dependence on the US and China.
“Our two countries are among the oldest sovereign nations in Europe, and sovereignty means a lot to both of us, and everything I referred to was about sovereignty, deciding for ourselves, choosing our technologies, our economy, deciding our diplomacy, and deciding the content we want to share and the ideas we want to share, and the controversies we want to share.
“Even though it is not part of the European Union, the United Kingdom cannot stay on the sidelines because defence and security, competitiveness, democracy – the very core of our identity – are connected across Europe as a continent.”
Emmanuel Macron addressing parliament in the Palace of Westminster’s Royal Gallery was a highly anticipated moment in the long history of our two nations.
That story – the conflict and a historic Anglo-French agreement that ended centuries of feuding, the Entente Cordiale – adorn the walls of this great hall.
Looming over the hundreds of MPs and peers who had gathered in the heat to hear the French president speak, hang two monumental paintings depicting British victories in the Napoleonic wars, while the glass stand in the room commemorates the 408 Lords who lost their lives fighting for Europe in two world wars.
The French president came to parliament as the first European leader to be honoured with a state visit since Brexit.
It was the first address of a French president to parliament since 2008, and Mr Macron used it to mark what he called a new era in Anglo-Franco relations.
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Sky News’ political correspondent Tamara Cohen was watching Emmanuel Macron’s speech. She highlights the president saying he wants to see tangible results on migration.
Peers and MPs cheered with delight when he confirmed France would loan the Bayeux Tapestry to the UK in the run-up to the anniversary of William the Conqueror’s birthday.
“I have to say, it took properly more years to deliver that project than all the Brexit texts,” he joked as former prime minister Theresa May watched on from the front row
From Brexit to migration, European security, to a two-state solution and the recognition of Palestine, Mr Macron did not shy away from thorny issues, as he turned the page on Brexit tensions woven through Anglo-French relations in recent years, in what one peer described to me as a “very political speech rather than just the usual warm words”.
Image: Emmanuel Macron addresses parliament
He also used this address to praise Sir Keir Starmer, sitting in the audience, for his leadership on security and Ukraine, and his commitment to the international order and alliances forged from the ashes of the Second World War. For that, he received a loud ovation from the gathered parliamentarians.
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Macron’s first-ever state visit: personal or political?
The test now for Sir Keir is whether he can turn his deft diplomatic work in recent months with Mr Macron into concrete action to give him a much-needed win on the domestic front, particularly after his torrid week on welfare.
The government hopes that France’s aim for “cooperation and tangible results” at the upcoming political summit as part of this state visit, will give Starmer a much-needed boost.
Under this plan, those crossing the Channel illegally will be sent back to France in exchange for Britain taking in an asylum seeker with a family connection in the UK.
But as I understand it, the deal is still in the balance, with some EU countries unhappy about France and the UK agreeing on a bilateral deal.