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The pace of grocery price inflation has eased to its lowest level in more than a year, according to closely watched industry data.

Kantar Worldpanel said costs for customers at the tills were 12.2% higher than a year ago over the four weeks to 3 September.

That was down from the 12.7% recorded in the previous month and represented the sixth consecutive decline since the 17.5% peak witnessed in March.

Even at the lower level, it remains well above pay awards – maintaining the squeeze on household budgets amid the evolving cost of living crisis.

Earlier on Tuesday, the Office for National Statistics revealed that basic wage growth was running at 7.8% in July.

That fact was reflected in wider research by Kantar that showed continued deep concern among shoppers about the prices they were being asked to pay at the checkout.

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‘Moderation’ of food inflation ahead

Fraser McKevitt, its head of retail and consumer insight, said: “Grocery price inflation is down for the sixth month in a row, but 12.2% won’t be a number to celebrate for many households.

“Our data shows that 95% of consumers are still worried about the impact of rising grocery prices, matched only by their concern about energy bills.

“After a full year of double-digit grocery inflation, it’s no surprise that just under a quarter of the population consider themselves to be struggling financially – although this is a very slight drop compared to May.”

The report showed that supermarket own-label sales grew by 9.9% over the month, with the products now making up 51% of all grocery sales.

Discounters Aldi and Lidl continued to benefit from the shift, Kantar said, with almost 18% of the grocery market between them.

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Food prices ‘remain a worry’

Kantar also noted shoppers had been making the most of Wilko’s closing sales, with its share of non-food groceries – such as toiletries and household goods – rising from 1.8% in July to 2.3% in August.

The report said there was no change in the top three products – placing upward pressure on grocery price inflation.

Prices were rising fastest in markets such as eggs, sugar confectionery and frozen potato products.

The next set of official inflation figures, covering August, are due to be released next week.

Economists, and the chancellor, believe there could be a small rise in the consumer price index (CPI) measure from 6.8% due to rising global oil prices.

While that is expected to place additional pressure on the government’s target to halve inflation this year, experts believe a wider easing in the cost of the basket of goods and services used to measure CPI will continue to be reflected in the data in the months ahead.

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British taxpayers’ £10.2bn loss on bailout of RBS

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British taxpayers' £10.2bn loss on bailout of RBS

British taxpayers are set to swallow a loss of just over £10bn on the 2008 rescue of Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) as the government prepares to confirm that it has offloaded its last-remaining shares in the lender as soon as next week.

Sky News can reveal the ultimate cost to the UK of saving RBS – now NatWest Group – from insolvency is expected to come in at about £10.2bn once the proceeds of share sales, dividends and fees associated with the stake are aggregated.

The final bill will draw a line under one of the most notorious bank bailouts ever orchestrated, and comes nearly 17 years after the then chancellor, Lord Darling, conducted what RBS’s boss at the time, Fred Goodwin, labelled “a drive-by shooting”.

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Insiders believe a statement confirming the final shares have been sold could come in the latter part of next week, although there is a chance that timetable could be extended by a number of days.

The chancellor, Rachel Reeves, is likely to make a statement about the milestone, although insiders say the Treasury and the bank are keen to simply mark the occasion by thanking British taxpayers for their protracted support.

A stock exchange filing disclosing that taxpayers’ stake had fallen below 1% was made last week, down from over 80% in the years after the £45.5bn bailout.

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The stake now stands at 0.26%, meaning the final shares could be offloaded as early as the middle of next week, depending upon demand.

Total proceeds from a government trading plan launched in 2021 to drip-feed NatWest stock into the market have so far reached £12.8bn.

Based on the bank’s current share price, the remaining shares should fetch in the region of £400m, taking the figure to £13.2bn.

In addition, institutional share sales and direct buybacks by NatWest of government-held stock have yielded a further £11.5bn.

Dividend payments to the Treasury during its ownership have totalled £4.9bn, while fees and other payments have generated another £5.6bn.

In aggregate, that means total proceeds from NatWest since 2008 are expected to hit £35.3bn.

Under Rick Haythornthwaite and Paul Thwaite, now the bank’s chairman and chief executive respectively, NatWest is now focused on driving growth across its business.

It recently tabled an £11bn bid to buy Santander UK, according to the Financial Times, although no talks are ongoing.

Mr Thwaite replaced Dame Alison Rose, who left amid the crisis sparked by the debanking scandal involving Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader.

Sky News recently revealed that the bank and Mr Farage had reached an undisclosed settlement.

During the first five years of NatWest’s period in majority state ownership, the bank was run by Sir Stephen Hester, now the chairman of easyJet.

Sir Stephen stepped down amid tensions with the then chancellor, George Osborne, about how RBS – as it then was – should be run.

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Lloyds Banking Group was also in partial state ownership for years, although taxpayers reaped a net gain of about £900m from that period.

Other lenders nationalised during the crisis included Bradford & Bingley, the bulk of which was sold to Santander UK, and Northern Rock, part of which was sold to Virgin Money – which in turn has been acquired by Nationwide.

NatWest declined to comment on Friday.

A Treasury spokesperson said: “We now own less than 1% of shares in NatWest which is a significant step towards returning the bank to private ownership and delivering value for money for taxpayers.

“We are on track to exit the shareholding soon, subject to sales achieving value for money and market conditions.”

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Trump threatens EU with 50% tariff – as Apple faces 25% unless iPhones are made in US

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Trump threatens EU with 50% tariff - as Apple faces 25% unless iPhones are made in US

Donald Trump has threatened to impose a 50% tariff on the EU, starting from next month, after saying that trade talks with Brussels were “going nowhere”.

Mr Trump made the comments on his Truth Social platform.

It marks a fresh escalation in his trade row with the European Union, which he has previously accused of being created to rip off the US.

While the US has done deals with the UK and China to reduce their peak exposure to his trade war, the president’s EU threat, which would cover all EU imports to the US, would risk retaliatory measures from Brussels if carried through.

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Mr Trump said of talks between his administration and the EU: “Our discussions with them are going nowhere! “Therefore, I am recommending a straight 50% tariff on the European Union, starting on June 1, 2025. There is no tariff if the product is built or manufactured in the United States.”

The European Commission was yet to respond to the remarks. Officials signalled there would be no comment until after a call between top US-EU trade figures due later on Friday.

Financial markets, however, were quick to take a view. European stock markets were sharply down across the board.

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Explained: The US-UK trade deal

The FTSE 100 in London was more than 1.2% lower shortly after the Truth Social post appeared, while Germany’s DAX and the French CAC 40 were in the red to the tune of more than 2%.

US stock markets fell at the open on Wall Street. The tech-focused Nasdaq was down more than 1%.

The potential for damage to the global economy saw Brent crude oil sink by more than 1% to $63 a barrel.

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‘US is losing’ trade war

The dollar took a hit too, as the news only intensified existing market worries this week about the sustainability of US government debt levels.

The pound was trading at levels last seen in February 2022.

Mr Trump said earlier that Apple will be forced to pay 25% tariffs on its iPhones unless it moves all its manufacturing to the US.

Apple shares dropped more than 2% in premarket trading after the warning, also posted on Truth Social.

“I have long ago informed Tim Cook of Apple that I expect their iPhones that will be sold in the United States of America will be manufactured and built in the United States, not India, or any place else,” wrote the president.

“If that is not the case, a tariff of at least 25% must be paid by Apple to the US.”

Production of Apple’s flagship phone happens primarily in China and India, which has been an issue brought up repeatedly by Mr Trump.

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On Thursday, the Financial Times reported Apple was planning to expand its India supply chain through a key contractor.

Taiwanese company Foxconn is planning to build a new factory in the Indian state of Tamil Nadu, according to the paper, to help supply Apple.

Sky News has contacted Apple for comment.

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Trump’s latest phone negotiation tactic on tariffs likely to heighten EU retaliation threat

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Trump's latest phone negotiation tactic on tariffs likely to heighten EU retaliation threat

President Trump’s Friday flurry of pronouncements marks the return of negotiation by smartphone and may trigger another period of profound uncertainty for international trade and financial markets.

The threat of 50% tariffs against the European Union, issued hours before his trade representative met their European counterparts, is a show of presidential muscle surely designed to strongarm those on the other side of the table.

It is an escalation likely to heighten the threat of retaliation from Europe, and with a few keystrokes ends the brief period of calm that had returned to global trade and markets in recent days.

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A red hat in Washington DC to support President Trump. Pic: AP
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A red hat in Washington DC to support President Trump. Pic: AP

Talks in Switzerland between US and Chinese delegations a fortnight ago took the sting out of Sino-American hostility, negotiating three-figure tariffs that amounted to a mutual trade embargo down to manageable levels.

Financial markets had regained most of the losses sparked on ‘Liberation Day’ in April, when Donald Trump declared total trade war, and there was optimism that for all his bluster, there might be meaningful room for constructive compromise.

The UK even secured a deal of sorts, securing a reduction in auto tariffs in exchange for a reciprocal opening of agricultural markets.

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There will be no such deal for the EU in a hurry. A 50% tariff on all exports to the US is not only higher than the original threatened blanket tariff of 20% and double Mr Trump’s proposed 25% on European cars, it’s higher even than China.

European stocks predictably ended the week in decline, with car manufacturers including BMW, Volkswagen and Stellantis all down.

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12 May: US and China reach agreement on tariffs

It remains to be seen whether this threat will stick.

Read more:
Trump trade argument against UK doesn’t add up
Why Trump blinked in US-China trade war

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Mr Trump has repeatedly blinked first in the trade war he started, backing down on global reciprocal tariffs when bond markets rebelled before caving in Geneva to reach an accommodation with China.

His grievances with Europe appear to have an extra edge however, and the consequences of the uncertainty he’s sparked will be far-reaching.

If this was the only thing he had announced on ‘Liberation Day’ it would still have been huge.

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