A rare summit between reclusive North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and Russia’s Vladimir Putin underlines a growing pariah alliance that could impact global security.
Moscow, locked in a bloody war of attrition with Ukraine and squeezed by an unprecedented array of Western sanctions, is desperate to secure large quantities of munitions, including artillery shells and bullets, to fire at Ukrainian lines.
Such an arsenal of weaponry is one of the few things Pyongyang can provide.
In return, the isolated state, also heavily sanctioned and intent on developing ever-more technologically advanced missiles, will be seeking promises of support to feed its suffering population, boost its economy and assist its arms programmes.
That Kim has decided to venture out of North Korea by train to meet Putin in eastern Russia indicates that long-running, secretive talks between the two sides are set to produce a new deal of mutual convenience.
The UK, the United States and other Western allies will be watching closely.
Image: The 75th anniversary of North Korea’s army was marked in February
Putin has limited options
Washington has warned of further sanctions if North Korea does agree to send more arms to Russia for the war in Ukraine.
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Pyongyang has already provided certain munitions, but this leader-level meeting signals a much more ambitious offering is on the table.
Moscow knows too well that it needs more weapons to sustain the current level of combat in Ukraine, which has seen millions of artillery shells fired since February 2022.
Russian industry has already ramped up its domestic capacity to produce ammunition, but the level falls far short of what the armed forces require.
Image: North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and Russia’s Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu during a visit in July
Russia’s ability to turn to the international market for weapons has been severely curtailed by Western sanctions, meaning Putin has limited options.
Close ally Iran has already stepped up to provide large quantities of bullets and a range of artillery shells, as well as drones.
However, efforts to secure weapons from Russia’s most powerful friend, China, have yet to deliver any meaningful results amid warnings from the West over military cooperation.
It makes this warming of ties with North Korea all the more troubling from a Western perspective because of the large amounts of North Korean munitions potentially on offer.
Pyongyang, already a pariah state, has little to lose and a lot to gain by offering increased support to Moscow.
The threat of even more Western sanctions will be of little deterrence if it is able to guarantee sanctions-busting assistance from Russia.
United in notoriety, North Korea is one of only a handful of countries that supported Russia’s 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
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The North’s one-man ruler has terrorised South Korea and the wider region with ever more menacing missile tests and rhetoric.
The 1950 to 1953 Korean War ended in a ceasefire but remains a frozen conflict, with North and South Korea still bristling with weapons and soldiers.
United Nations sanctions, aimed at curbing North Korean weapons programmes, have cut the country off from most of the rest of the world.
Rather than back down, the North Korean leader has continued to focus his limited resources on developing and test-firing missiles at the expense of his long-suffering people.
The COVID pandemic further reinforced their isolation and desperation.
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Kim Jong Un shows off weapons to Shoigu
Today, the country urgently needs food supplies and income – two things Russia could provide in return for munitions.
Kim will also be looking for Russian technological support in advancing his military lethality, including a nuclear weapons programme and spy satellites.
Only last week, it was revealed that Pyongyang has launched its first operational “tactical nuclear attack submarine” and assigned it to the fleet that patrols the waters between the Korean peninsula and Japan.
State media reported Kim saying that Submarine No. 841 – named Hero Kim Kun Ok after a North Korean historical figure – will be one of the main “underwater offensive means of the naval force” of North Korea.
A senior official in former president Joe Biden’s administration has told Sky News that he has no doubt that Israel has committed war crimes in Gaza.
Speaking to the Trump 100 podcast, Matthew Miller, who, as a state department spokesman, was the voice and face of the US government’s foreign policy under Mr Biden, revealed disagreements, tensions and challenges within the former administration.
In the wide-ranging conversation, he said:
• It was “without a doubt true that Israel has committed war crimes”; • That Israeli soldiers were not being “held accountable”; • That there were “disagreements all along the way” about how to handle policy; • And that he “would have wanted to have a better candidate” than Mr Biden for the 2024 election.
Mr Miller served as the state department spokesman from 2023 until the end of Mr Biden’s presidential term. From the podium, his job was to explain and defend foreign policy decisions – from Ukraine to Gaza.
“Look, one of the things about being a spokesperson is you’re not a spokesperson for yourself. You are a spokesperson for the president, the administration, and you espouse the positions of the administration. And when you’re not in the administration, you can just give your own opinions.”
Now out of office, he offered a candid reflection of a hugely challenging period in foreign policy and US politics.
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1:37
Miller: Israel ‘committed war crimes’
Gaza disagreements
Asked about Gaza, he revealed there were “small and big” disagreements within the Biden administration over the US-Israeli relationship.
“There were disagreements all along the way about how to handle policy. Some of those were big disagreements, some of those were little disagreements,” he said.
Pushed on rumours that then-secretary of state Antony Blinken had frustrations with Mr Biden over both Gaza and Ukraine policy, Mr Miller hinted at the tensions.
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“I’ll probably wait and let the secretary speak for himself… but I will say, speaking generally, look, it is true about every senior official in government that they don’t win every policy fight that they enter into. And what you do is you make your best case to the president.
“The administration did debate, at times, whether and when to cut off weapons to Israel. You saw us in the spring of 2024 stop the shipment of 2,000-pound bombs to Israel because we did not believe they would use those in a way that was appropriate in Gaza.”
Through the spring and summer of 2024, the Biden administration was caught between its bedrock policy of the unconditional defence of its ally Israel and the reality of what that ally was doing in Gaza, with American weapons.
Mr Mill said: “There were debates about whether to suspend other arms deliveries, and you saw at times us hold back certain arms while we negotiated the use of those arms…
“But we found ourselves in this really tough position, especially in that time period when it really came to a head… We were at a place where – I’m thinking of the way I can appropriately say this – the decisions and the thinking of Hamas leadership were not always secret to the United States and to our partners.”
Image: Matthew Miller during a news briefing at the state department in 2023. Pic: AP
He continued: “And it was clear to us in that period that there was a time when our public discussion of withholding weapons from Israel, as well as the protests on college campuses in the United States, and the movement of some European countries to recognise the state of Palestine – appropriate discussions, appropriate decisions – protests are appropriate – but all of those things together were leading the leadership of Hamas to conclude that they didn’t need to agree to a ceasefire, they just needed to hold out for a little bit longer, and they could get what they always wanted.”
“Now, the thing that I look back on, that I will always ask questions of myself about, and I think this is true for others in government, is in that intervening period between the end of May and the middle of January [2025], when thousands of Palestinians were killed, innocent civilians who didn’t want this war, had nothing to do with it, was there more that we could, could have done to pressure the Israeli government to agree to that ceasefire? I think at times there probably was,” Mr Miller said.
Asked for his view on the accusation of genocide in Gaza, he said: “I don’t think it’s a genocide, but I think it is without a doubt true that Israel has committed war crimes.”
Challenged on why he didn’t make these points while in government, he said: “When you’re at the podium, you’re not expressing your personal opinion. You’re expressing the conclusions of the United States government. The United States government had not concluded that they committed war crimes, still have not concluded [that].”
Image: Anthony Blinken, left, with then US President Joe Biden. Pic: AP
He went on to offer a qualification to his accusation.
“There are two ways to think about the commission of war crimes,” he said.
“One is if the state has pursued a policy of deliberately committing war crimes or is acting recklessly in a way that aids and abets war crimes. Is the state committing war crimes?
“That, I think, is an open question. I think what is almost certainly not an open question is that there have been individual incidents that have been war crimes where Israeli soldiers, members of the Israeli military, have committed war crimes.”
The Israeli government continues to strongly deny all claims that it has committed war crimes in Gaza.
On Joe Biden’s election hopes
Mr Miller also offered a candid reflection on the suitability of Mr Biden as a candidate in the 2024 US election. While Mr Biden initially ran to extend his stay in the White House, he stepped aside, with Kamala Harris taking his place as the Democratic candidate.
“Had I not been inside the government, had I been outside the government acting kind of in a political role, of course, I would have wanted to have a better candidate,” he said.
“It’s that collective action problem where no one wants to be the first to speak out and stand up alone. You stand up by yourself and get your head chopped off, stand up together, you can take action.
“But there was never really a consensus position in the party, and there was no one that was willing to stand up and rally the party to say this isn’t going to work.
“I don’t think there is anyone on the White House staff, including the most senior White House staffers, who could have gone to Joe Biden in the spring of 2023 or at any time after that and told him: ‘Mr President, you are not able to do the duties of this job. And you will not win re-election.’ He would have rejected that outright.”
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Biden’s presidency in 60 seconds
The Trump presidency
On the Donald Trump presidency so far, he offered a nuanced view.
He described Mr Trump’s Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff as “an extremely capable individual” but expressed his worry that he was being manipulated by Russian President Vladimir Putin.
“I know the people in the Biden administration who worked with him during the first negotiations for Gaza ceasefire thought that he was capable.
“I think at times he doesn’t know what he doesn’t know. And you see that especially in the negotiations to end the war in Ukraine, where you see him go into a meeting with Vladimir Putin and come out spouting Russian propaganda… I think he would benefit from a little diplomatic savvy and some experienced diplomats around him.”
Image: Trump’s Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff, left, with Vladimir Putin. Pic: Sputnik/AP
He continued: “But I do think it’s extremely important that when people sit down with an envoy of the United States they know that that envoy speaks for the President of the United States and it is very clear that Witkoff has that and that’s an extremely valuable asset to bring to the table.”
On the months and years ahead under Mr Trump, Mr Miller said: “The thing that worries me most is that Donald Trump may squander the position that the United States has built around the world over successive administrations of both parties over a course of decades.
“I don’t think most Americans understand the benefits that they get to their daily lives by the United States being the indispensable nation in the world.
“The open question is: will the damage that he’s doing be recoverable or not?”
Mount Etna in Sicily has erupted, sending a huge plume of ash into the sky.
Social media footage showed tourists running down the slopes as the highest active volcano in Europe erupted.
Italy‘s National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology said it expected the erupting ash cloud to disperse in a west-southwest direction.
Image: Pic: Reuters
The monitoring institute said the “amplitude values of volcanic tremors are currently high” and were “showing a tendency to increase”.
Image: Pic: Reuters
It added the eruptive activity has “continued with strombolian explosions of increasing intensity that, at the moment, are to be considered to be very intense and almost continuous”.
“In the last few hours there’s been reports of [a] little thin ash in Piano Vetore,” the institute said.
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The Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre Toulouse has issued a “code red” aviation warning, advising planes that a significant volume of ash in the atmosphere is likely.
Image: Pic: Reuters
Mount Etna is one of the world’s most active volcanoes. It was added to the list of UNESCO World Heritage Sites in 2013.
Ukraine’s drone attack on Russia’s long-range bombers was unprecedented, not that you’d know it from reading the Russian papers. Nor from watching the news bulletins here.
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Two Russian bridges collapse, killing seven people
Meanwhile, the flagship talk show on state TV here on Monday morning didn’t even mention the attack. Instead, there was just a breathless build-up to the latest round of peace talks in Istanbul.
The lack of visual coverage of the drone attack is partly because of the sensitivities around publishing images of Russian military infrastructure.
But I think it’s also because the Kremlin wants to play down the assault, which was a hugely embarrassing breach of Russia’sdefences.
So where the attack is mentioned in the papers, it’s done in a way to reinforce Moscow’s narrative – that Ukraineis the aggressor out to derail the peace process.
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Ukraine targets Russian military aircraft
The Izvestia newspaper, for example, describes it as a terrorist attack, and says it “calls into question Kyiv’s readiness for de-escalation”.
There’s no reference to the scale of the damage, and there’s certainly no sense of alarm.
It’s a similar vibe on the streets of Moscow, where we meet Irina. She believes the reports of the attack are “exaggerated”.
“These planes are very old and hardly anyone needs them,” she says.
Image: Irina believes the reports of Ukraine’s drone attack are ‘exaggerated’
Another passer-by, called Vladimir, says he trusts his namesake Mr Putin to respond when the time is right.
“This must be done systematically, confidently, and without any kind of nervous breakdowns, or any shows of soul,” he says.
Image: Vladimir says he trusts the Russian president to respond in the right way
There is plenty of soul on show on social media, though, where Russia’s influential military bloggers are calling for a rapid retaliation.
One popular channel, called Dva Mayora or “Two Majors”, even said it was “a reason to launch nuclear strikes on Ukraine”.
Others are directing their anger at Russia’s military command, accusing the leadership of complacency for storing the planes out in the open.
Image: A map showing the location of the Russian airbases targeted in drone strikes by Ukraine
It all served to overshadow the latest round of peace talks in Istanbul, where the only concrete outcome was another prisoner exchange and the return of 6,000 dead soldiers from each side.
And if anything, the outlook for peace now is even more bleak than it was before the talks began. That’s because Russia has now presented its blueprint for a settlement, and it seemingly offers no sign of compromise at all.
According to Russian media reports, the document is a list of Moscow’s maximalist demands, including neutrality for Ukraine, limits to its army, surrender of territory and the lifting of sanctions. Only then, Russia says, would it agree to end the war.
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The Kremlin itself still hasn’t commented on the drone attack – a silence that speaks volumes. Can you imagine Downing Street doing the same if something similar happened in the UK?
There will undoubtedly be repercussions at some point, both externally and internally. So, despite the talk being of peace at the talks in Turkey, the mood is still very much one of war.