Sequoia Capital and Andreessen Horowitz, two of Silicon Valley’s most high-profile venture firms, are poised to take a massive hit on their last investment in grocery delivery company Instacart, a deal that closed in 2021 as tech stocks were soaring.
In its latest IPO prospectus update, filed on Friday, Instacart said it plans to sell shares at $28 to $30 a piece, valuing the company at around $10 billion at the top of the range.
That’s more than 75% below where Sequoia and Andreessen invested in early 2021. At that time, Instacart sold shares at $125 a piece for a $39 billion valuation. The delivery economy was booming because of Covid shutdowns, and Instacart’s services were seeing record demand.
“This past year ushered in a new normal, changing the way people shop for groceries and goods,” Instacart finance chief Nick Giovanni said in a press release at the time.
In the more than two years since then, Instacart and its investors have learned that growth during that period was anything but normal. Instacart was closing out a quarter in which revenue surged 200%. In the quarter before, sales jumped almost sevenfold. Instacart said it was preparing to increase headcount by 50% and bolster investment in advertising.
Sequoia’s Mike Moritz, who led his firm’s investment and recently announced his departure after 38 years, said in the same press release that Instacart was “fulfilling its role as a vital service for consumers, a reliable partner for retailers and an effective platform for advertisers.” Fidelity, T. Rowe Price and D1 Capital Partners also participated in that financing round.
Then the economy reopened, inflation spiked and the Federal Reserved started boosting interest rates, which hovered near zero throughout Covid. Consumers started shopping again in person on tightened budgets, and with capital costs jumping, investors began demanding that cash-burning companies find a path to profitability. Last year, the Nasdaq suffered its steepest drop since the 2008 financial crisis.
It’s also true that venture firms haven’t seen any real returns from IPOs since before the 2022 market collapse. The dearth of exits is particularly stark because VCs invested records amounts of capital in 2020 and 2021, including deals at high valuations in areas like crypto and fintech.
Even with the changing market conditions, Instacart has continued to grow but at a dramatically slower pace. Revenue increased 15% in the latest quarter from the year prior, and operating expenses have come down over that time, allowing the company to turn profitable.
From a valuation perspective, the bigger issue is that Instacart raised the $39 billion round during a record stretch of tech IPOs, and just a couple of months after fellow sharing-economy companies Airbnb and DoorDash had blockbuster offerings.
There hasn’t been a notable venture-backed tech IPO in the U.S. since late 2021, and Instacart and Klaviyo are the only two that have publicly filed recently. Car-sharing service Turo is also on file, but its initial prospectus came out in early 2022.
Fortunately for Sequoia and Andreessen, they began investing in Instacart when the company was in its early days and the stock price was much lower than it is today. Assuming the stock price holds up, there’s still considerable money to be made for limited partners. Because of the lock-up period, the firms can’t begin selling shares until 180 days after the offering.
Sequoia is the largest investor in Instacart, with a 15% stake on a fully diluted basis. The 400,000 shares it purchased in 2021 are a small sliver of the 51.2 million shares it owns. In total, the firm has invested about $300 million for a stake that would be worth over $1.5 billion at the top of the range.
Sequoia led Instacart’s $8.5 million Series A round in 2013, when the price was just 24 cents a share, according to the prospectus. Andreessen led the next round at $2.98, and Sequoia participated. Both firms were in the Series C at $13.31 a share and the Series D at $18.52.
Because Andreessen’s total ownership is below 5%, its full stake isn’t disclosed in the prospectus.
Representatives from Sequoia and Andreessen declined to comment.
Not until 2020 did Instacart’s share price climb to around where it is today, in a $200 million round led by Valiant Peregrine Fund and D1. Neither Sequoia nor Andreessen participated in that round.
Even if Instacart’s IPO can’t lift its valuation anywhere near its Covid-era peak, it’s likely that Sequoia, Andreessen and other venture firms are hoping it helps lift public investor enthusiasm for new tech stocks. Arm, which was taken private by SoftBank in 2016, reentered the public market on Thursday and jumped 25% in its debut.
Okta on Tuesday topped Wall Street’s third-quarter estimates and issued an upbeat outlook, but shares fell as the company did not provide guidance for fiscal 2027.
Shares of the identity management provider fell more than 3% in after-hours trading on Tuesday.
Here’s how the company did versus LSEG estimates:
Earnings per share: 82 cents adjusted vs. 76 cents expected
Revenue: $742 million vs. $730 million expected
Compared to previous third-quarter reports, Okta refrained from offering preliminary guidance for the upcoming fiscal year. Finance chief Brett Tighe cited seasonality in the fourth quarter, and said providing guidance would require “some conservatism.”
Okta released a capability that allows businesses to build AI agents and automate tasks during the third quarter.
CEO Todd McKinnon told CNBC that upside from AI agents haven’t been fully baked into results and could exceed Okta’s core total addressable market over the next five years.
“It’s not in the results yet, but we’re investing, and we’re capitalizing on the opportunity like it will be a big part of the future,” he said in a Tuesday interview.
Revenues increased almost 12% from $665 million in the year-ago period. Net income increased 169% to $43 million, or 24 cents per share, from $16 million, or breakeven, a year ago. Subscription revenues grew 11% to $724 million, ahead of a $715 million estimate.
For the current quarter, the cybersecurity company expects revenues between $748 million and $750 million and adjusted earnings of 84 cents to 85 cents per share. Analysts forecast $738 million in revenues and EPS of 84 cents for the fourth quarter.
Returning performance obligations, or the company’s subscription backlog, rose 17% from a year ago to $4.29 billion and surpassed a $4.17 billion estimate from StreetAccount.
This year has been a blockbuster period for cybersecurity companies, with major acquisition deals from the likes of Palo Alto Networks and Google and a raft of new initial public offerings from the sector.
Marvell Technology Group Ltd. headquarters in Santa Clara, California, on Sept. 6, 2024.
David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Semiconductor company Marvell on Tuesday announced that it will acquire Celestial AI for at least $3.25 billion in cash and stock.
The purchase price could increase to $5.5 billion if Celestial hits revenue milestones, Marvell said.
Marvell shares rose 13% in extended trading Tuesday as the company reported third-quarter earnings that beat expectations and said on the earnings call that it expected data center revenue to rise 25% next year.
The deal is an aggressive move for Marvell to acquire complimentary technology to its semiconductor networking business. The addition of Celestial could enable Marvell to sell more chips and parts to companies that are currently committing to spend hundreds of billions of dollars on infrastructure for AI.
Marvell stock is down 18% so far in 2025 even as semiconductor rivals like Broadcom have seen big valuation increases driven by excitement around artificial intelligence.
Celestial is a startup focused on developing optical interconnect hardware, which it calls a “photonic fabric,” to connect high-performance computers. Celestial was reportedly valued at $2.5 billion in March in a funding round, and Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan joined the startup’s board in January.
Optical connections are becoming increasingly important because the most advanced AI systems need those parts tie together dozens or hundreds of chips so they can work as one to train and run the biggest large-language models.
Currently, many AI chip connections are done using copper wires, but newer systems are increasingly using optical connections because they can transfer more data faster and enable physically longer cables. Optical connections also cost more.
“This builds on our technology leadership, broadens our addressable market in scale-up connectivity, and accelerates our roadmap to deliver the industry’s most complete connectivity platform for AI and cloud customers,” Marvell CEO Matt Murphy said in a statement.
Marvell said that the first application of Celestial technology would be to connect a system based on “large XPUs,” which are custom AI chips usually made by the companies investing billions in AI infrastructure.
On Tuesday, the company said that it could even integrate Celestial’s optical technology into custom chips, and based on customer traction, the startup’s technology would soon be integrated into custom AI chips and related parts called switches.
Amazon Web Services Vice President Dave Brown said in a statement that Marvell’s acquisition of Celestial will “help further accelerate optical scale-up innovation for next-generation AI deployments.”
The maximum payout for the deal will be triggered if Celestial can record $2 billion in cumulative revenue by the end of fiscal 2029. The deal is expected to close early next year.
In its third-quarter earnings on Tuesday, Marvell earnings of 76 cents per share on $2.08 billion in sales, versus LSEG expectations of 73 cents on $2.07 billion in sales. Marvell said that it expects fourth-quarter revenue to be $2.2 billion, slightly higher than LSEG’s forecast of $2.18 billion.
Amazon Web Services’ two-track approach to artificial intelligence came into better focus Tuesday as the world’s biggest cloud pushed forward with its own custom chips and got closer to Nvidia . During Amazon ‘s annual AWS Re:Invent 2025 conference in Las Vegas, Amazon Web Services CEO Matt Garman unveiled Trainium3 — the latest version of the company’s in-house custom chip. It has four times more compute performance, energy efficiency, and memory bandwidth than previous generations. AWS said that early results of customers testing Trainium3 are reducing AI training and inference costs by up to 50%. Custom chips, like Trainium, are becoming more and more popular for the big tech companies that can afford to make them. And, their use cases are broadening. For example, Google’s tensor processing units (TPUs), co-designed by Broadcom , have also been getting a lot of attention since last month’s launch of the well-received Gemini 3 artificial intelligence model. It is powered by TPUs. There was even a report that Meta Platforms was considering TPUs in addition to Nvidia ‘s graphics processing units (GPUs), which are the gold standard for all-purpose AI workloads. At the same time, Amazon also announced that it’s deepening its work with Nvidia. In Tuesday’s keynote, Garman introduced AWS Factories, which provides on-premise AI infrastructure for customers to use in their own data centers. The service combines Trainium accelerators and Nvidia graphics processing units, which allows customers to access Nvidia’s accelerated computing platform, full-stack AI software, and GPU-accelerated applications. By offering both options, Amazon aims to keep accelerating AWS cloud capacity and, in turn, revenue growth to stay on top during a time of intense competition from Microsoft ‘s Azure and Alphabet ‘s Google Cloud, the second and third place horses in the AI race, by revenue. Earlier this year, investors were concerned when second-quarter AWS revenue growth did not live up to its closest competitors. In late October’s release of Q3 results, Amazon went a long way to putting those worries to rest. Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said at the time , “AWS is growing at a pace we haven’t seen since 2022, re-accelerating to 20.2% YoY.” He added, “We’ve been focused on accelerating capacity — adding more than 3.8 gigawatts (GW) in the past 12 months.” Tuesday’s announcements come at a pivotal time for AWS as it tries to rapidly expand its computing capacity after a year of supply constraints that put a lid on cloud growth. As great as more efficient chips are, they don’t make up for the capacity demand that the company is facing as AI adoption ramps up, which is why adding more gigawatts of capacity is what Wall Street is laser-focused on. Fortunately, Wall Street argues that the capacity headwind should flip to a tailwind. Wells Fargo said Trainium3 is “critical to supplementing Nvidia GPUs and CPUs in this capacity build” to close the gap with rivals. In a note to investors on Monday, the analysts estimate Amazon will add more than 12 gigawatts of compute by year-end 2027, boosting total AWS capacity to support as much as $150 billion in incremental annual AWS revenue if demand remains strong. In a separate note, Oppenheimer said Monday that AWS has already proven its ability to improve capacity, which has already doubled since 2022. Amazon plans to double it again by 2027. The analysts said that such an expansion could translate to 14% upside to 2026 AWS revenue and 22% upside in 2027. Analysts said each incremental gigawatt of compute added in recent quarters translated to roughly $3 billion of annual cloud revenue. Bottom line While new chips are welcome news that helps AWS step deeper into the AI chip race, Amazon’s investment in capacity and when that capacity will be unlocked is what investors are more locked in on because that’s how it will fulfill demand. The issue is not a demand issue; it’s a supply issue. We are confident in AWS’ ability to add the capacity. In fact, there’s no one company in the world that could deal with this kind of logistics problem, at this scale, better than Amazon. Amazon shares surged nearly 14% to $254 each in the two sessions following the cloud and e-commerce giant’s late Oct. 30 earnings print. The stock has since given back those gains and then some. As of Tuesday’s close, shares were up 6.5% year to date, a laggard among its “Magnificent Seven” peers, and underperforming the S & P 500 ‘s roughly 16% advance in 2025. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long AMZN, NVDA. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.