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Of all the party conferences, the Liberal Democrat bash always feels like a friendly affair.

From the party logo-encrusted biscuits to the sight of a beaming Sir Ed Davey arriving by bike, this year’s gathering on the Dorset coast seems especially jolly.

That’s not surprising.

Four stunning by-election wins have buoyed the party and they’re now eyeing a string of Tory seats in the Home Counties and South-West.

Success has set tongues wagging with open speculation about what could happen if the party holds the balance of power after the next general election.

“If enough of us get elected it puts us in a position to then go to other parties and say, if you want us to support us in some way or another, this is what we want,” said local Lib Dem council leader and parliamentary candidate Vikki Slade.

The party leadership is staying schtum on the subject.

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But it’s noticeable that while a pact with the Conservatives has been ruled out, the position on Labour is far more vague.

So what are the chances of replicating by-election victories in a national campaign?

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Party sources say their individual successes are down to a fierce ground campaign that has convinced voters early on that the Lib Dems are the only party able to take on the Tories.

A tacit non-aggression pact with Labour in some places has also helped.

All of this is far harder to replicate when you’re fighting for seats across the country.

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The wacky ways the Lib Dems celebrate a win
Can the party keep up momentum?
PM’s popularity at its lowest point ever

Tory peer Lord Hayward knows what the Lib Dems are capable of, after losing to the party in a by-election in Christchurch – just up the coast from Bournemouth – thirty years ago.

“The difficulty in a general election is they have to identify which seats to go for and classically there is a tendency to overestimate… you need a strong campaign manager saying these are the seats we’re going to concentrate on,” said Lord Hayward.

A policy focus on the environment and the NHS suggests the Lib Dems have that focus, with announcements tailored to wavering Tories in predominantly rural areas.

Ed Davey addresses Lib Dem members at conference
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Ed Davey addresses Lib Dem members at conference

Tractor driving and canon blasting

The party will also use this conference to try and boost their own leader’s profile.

From tractor driving to canon blasting, cheesy visual photo calls have become something of a calling card for Sir Ed Davey.

Officials say he’s had to take lessons to train up for a secretive stunt planned for this weekend.

While it’s partly about injecting a feel-good factor into a bleak political landscape, the main aim is to grab the attention of the media and public.

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The party has their eye on Tory seats at the next election

The party may already have the gaze of Labour and the Conservatives though.

It’s probably time we paid attention to the Lib Dems again.

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Cutting cash ISA allowance could backfire – and make mortgages more expensive, MPs warn

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Cutting cash ISA allowance could backfire - and make mortgages more expensive, MPs warn

Cutting the annual allowance for cash ISAs could backfire in multiple ways, an influential group of MPs has warned the government.

For months, speculation has been growing that the chancellor may slash the yearly limit for tax-free savings – potentially from £20,000 to £10,000.

The government is hoping to encourage savers to invest in stocks and shares ISAs instead, which can offer greater long-term returns and improve financial health.

But according to the Treasury Committee, slashing allowances would be unlikely to achieve this – and could lead to higher prices for consumers.

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Chancellor faces tough budget choices

Building societies rely on cash ISA savings to fund mortgage lending – and a drop in deposits might lead to higher interest rates or fewer products on the market.

Committee chairwoman Dame Meg Hillier said “we are a long way” from achieving a culture where substantial numbers of Britons invest in the stock market.

“This is not the right time to cut the cash ISA limit,” she warned. “Instead, the Treasury should focus on ensuring that people are equipped with the necessary information and confidence to make informed investment decisions.

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“Without this, I fear the chancellor’s attempts to transform the UK’s investment culture simply will not deliver the change she seeks, instead hitting savers and borrowers.”

Read more: How to get started with a stocks and shares ISA

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Govt ‘not satisfied’ after inflation sticks at 3.8%

The latest figures suggest two-thirds of contributions to ISAs in the 2023/24 tax year went to cash accounts – bringing total holdings to £360bn.

An estimated 14.4 million consumers solely save in a cash ISA, with the average balance standing at £6,993.

Surveys suggest that, if allowances were cut, consumers may move their cash to alternative savings accounts where they would have to pay tax on interest.

Skipton Group executive Charlotte Harrison previously warned: “Building societies, which funds over a third of all first-time buyer mortgages, rely on retail deposits like cash ISAs to fund their lending.

“If ISA inflows fall, the cost of funding is likely to rise, and that means mortgages could become both more expensive and harder to access.”

She claimed a policy change could end up “penalising savers who want low-risk, flexible options” – adding: “Cash ISAs work. Undermining them doesn’t.”

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Tax hikes possible, Reeves tells Sky News

Chancellor Rachel Reeves said: “At the moment, often returns on savings and returns on pensions are lower than in comparable countries around the world.

“I do want to make sure that when people put something aside for the future, they get good returns on those savings.”

The committee’s warning comes amid speculation over whether Ms Reeves will raise income tax at next month’s budget – breaking a key Labour manifesto pledge.

Newspaper reports have suggested that the basic rate of income tax could be increased for the first time since the 1970s – up 1p to 21%.

This could raise about £8bn and help tackle a black hole in the country’s finances, but risks squeezing consumers further as a cost-of-living crisis continues.

A 1p rise to the higher band of income tax – taking that rate to 41% – is also believed to be under consideration, but this would only boost the nation’s coffers by £2bn.

Ms Reeves has refused to rule out such a move, telling Sky’s deputy political editor Sam Coates that she is looking at both tax rises and spending cuts ahead of her statement to the Commons on 26 November.

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Bank of England probes data-mining lending strategies fueling AI bets

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Bank of England probes data-mining lending strategies fueling AI bets

Bank of England probes data-mining lending strategies fueling AI bets

The Bank of England is worried that a rise in financiers’ lending to data center lending may cause an AI bubble reminiscent of the dot-com crash in the early 2000s.

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Trump to nominate SEC’s ‘pro-crypto’ Michael Selig as CFTC chair: Report

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<div>Trump to nominate SEC's 'pro-crypto' Michael Selig as CFTC chair: Report</div>

<div>Trump to nominate SEC's 'pro-crypto' Michael Selig as CFTC chair: Report</div>

The rumored nomination of Michael Selig follows the CFTC nomination process hitting a snag in September when Brian Quintenz was withdrawn.

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