The inside story of Dave Clark’s tumultuous last days at Flexport: Standoffs, politics, and spin
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Dave Clark (L) and Ryan Petersen (R)
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On Sept. 13, Flexport founder Ryan Petersen took the stage at North America’s premier supply chain conference in Phoenix. It was exactly a week after he’d forced out his hand-picked successor as CEO, ex-Amazon executive Dave Clark, so Petersen could once again run the show.
Sitting in the first few rows of attendees was Clark, the man he’d ousted just a year into the job. Petersen was surprised that he showed up, according to people with knowledge of the matter. Days earlier, Petersen had excoriated Clark, alleging he’d secretly expanded the company’s headcount and taken on unnecessary leases without Petersen or the board’s knowledge. On X, formerly known as Twitter, Petersen wrote, “Strategic Plan, Day 1: Make better decisions!”
With Clark sitting a few feet away, Petersen struck a different tone.
“I think we’re going to look back and go, ‘Wow I’d probably do that all over again because of the progress that we’ve made,'” Petersen said, in an interview on stage.
Doing it over again would seem to suggest hiring Clark wasn’t a bad decision. Petersen went even further, personally commending Clark for orchestrating the $1.3 billion purchase of Deliverr from Shopify, picking up supply chain technology for last-mile deliveries. That deal was announced in May.
“I’m very, very lucky because I wouldn’t have had the courage to go and do that acquisition, but I give all the credit in the world to Dave Clark,” Petersen said. “There’s no one probably in the world who would be better at running that last-mile e-com fulfillment network. Personally, I don’t have any experience and I would’ve been pretty intimidated to try and go pull that off.”
The mixed messaging from the 43-year-old Flexport founder underscores the dysfunction surrounding the sudden firing of Clark, who previously spent 23 years at Amazon and built its mammoth logistics network on the way to becoming one of Jeff Bezos‘ top deputies. It’s also indicative of a bigger challenge facing Flexport, whose software is designed to simplify the process of transporting goods. The company was valued at $8 billion by private investors in early 2022, just as the economy was turning and the 10-year tech bull market was coming to an end.
As a high-valued company backed by powerful VCs, Flexport has been trying to simultaneously operate in Silicon Valley startup growth mode while also restraining expenses to reflect the new economic realities and to cope with supply chain bottlenecks.
This account is based on conversations with people close to Clark and Petersen. They requested anonymity to discuss confidential interactions. Their perspectives have been corroborated by internal documents and communications reviewed by CNBC.
Petersen has publicly said Clark overspent, overhired and overpromised, something his allies echoed to CNBC. He burned through cash and kept Petersen in the dark about key financials and an ambitious expansion into providing end-to-end supply chain tools for small and medium-sized businesses. People close to Petersen pointed to a number of previously unreported incidents that eroded his confidence in Clark.
But documents viewed by CNBC and sources close to Clark undermine those claims. They show that Clark, who arrived when the company was struggling to bill customers and track containers, worked closely with the board and Petersen to implement decisions that Flexport now suggests were ill-advised.
Evidence to support Flexport’s claims of financial mismanagement is lacking, raising questions about whether that narrative was put forward to justify Clark’s exit.
A Flexport spokesperson rejected that characterization.
“Ryan Petersen returned as CEO in order to restore Flexport’s culture of customer engagement, and drive the growth and cost discipline required to return the company to profitability,” the spokesperson said in a statement.
Get IPO ready
Clark arrived last year as the perfect hire for a tech startup trying to disrupt the age-old logistics industry. He’d built Amazon’s logistics unit into a juggernaut that rivaled carriers like UPS and FedEx.
Ryan Petersen, chief executive officer of Flexport, participates in a panel discussion during the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., on Wednesday, May 4, 2022.
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Since 2021, Petersen had been seeking a successor for Flexport’s then-operating chief, Sanne Manders, in part to address what several ex-employees described as lingering issues with the company’s troubled billing processes. Fixing that was Clark’s job.
Petersen and Clark worked together as co-CEOs for the first six months. In March, Petersen transitioned to executive chairman.
The co-CEO arrangement would free Petersen up to do what he loved – “getting beers with customers,” in the words of two former Flexport employees. Clark, a self-described “builder at heart,” was at the wheel.
Among Clark’s goals was to help Petersen prepare Flexport for an IPO, something the company had discussed doing within a two- to three-year window, according to a person familiar with the matter and documents viewed by CNBC.
“There’s a perfect complement of skill sets,” Petersen told Forbes in June 2022. “Mine are much more creative, zero-to-one founder time, and Dave is the supreme executor and a legend in the supply chain world.”
Buying Deliverr was meant to be the first step in turning Flexport into a more full-scale logistics service for its customers.
Shopify had acquired Deliverr in May 2022 for $2.1 billion. But the e-commerce software company was getting hammered by Wall Street as its Covid pandemic pop faded. By January 2023, CEO Tobias Lutke knew he needed to get rid of Deliverr. Around that time, Lutke first approached Petersen to float the possibility of a deal, according to a person familiar with the matter.
Petersen told Clark he should engage with Shopify’s team, according to a person with direct knowledge of the negotiations. Initial talks fell apart, but resumed when Flexport executives learned that Shopify was about to execute deep cost cuts and was eager to sell Deliverr.
Clark and Petersen flew to Miami to meet with Shopify’s leadership. As a transaction was nearing, Clark, who had a reputation as a deft negotiator, got Shopify, which was already an investor in Flexport, to sweeten it with $40 million in cash and the framework for a $260 million convertible note that could help Flexport on its path to an IPO, according to an internal document analyzing the deal.
The sale would be announced alongside Shopify’s first-quarter earnings report on May 4.
“We did not change the terms of a deal or rush it just to have it line up with an earnings call,” Shopify said in a statement. With Flexport, “we are tightly mission-aligned to ensure the success of our merchants, which is why we chose to deepen our partnership with them earlier this year.”
The night before the announcement, Petersen appeared at a “Tech Talk” at Flexport’s Bellevue, Washington, office to pitch the “Flexport vision” to hundreds of people. An attendee asked Petersen whether Flexport would ever get into last-mile logistics.
Petersen paused, glanced at his watch, and said to keep an eye on the morning news, according to a Flexport employee who witnessed the exchange and by a person who was told independently.
The comment alarmed Clark and Flexport executives, who were concerned that Petersen had disclosed material nonpublic information about a publicly traded company, according to people familiar with the matter.
Petersen didn’t respond to calls or messages from CNBC, and the company declined to make him available for an interview. A Flexport spokesperson didn’t respond to CNBC’s question about whether Petersen was aware of concerns about his statement at the event.
The ‘whistleblower’
Clark’s first quarterly board meeting as sole CEO was June 1. His second was Aug. 31, days before he was forced out.
The board was made up largely of investors who were betting on the founder. It included Founders Fund’s Trae Stephens, who had helped start defense-tech firm Anduril Industries, and Michael Ronen, who left SoftBank in 2020. Andreessen Horowitz was represented by Bob Swan, an operating partner at the firm and former CEO of Intel.
Bob Swan, then-interim chief executive officer and chief financial officer of Intel Corp., reacts during the inauguration of the company’s research and development facility in Bengaluru, India, on November 15, 2018.
Samyukta Lakshmi | Bloomberg | Getty Images
For much of the summer, Clark had pushed then-CFO Kenny Wagers and his financial planning and analysis team to realign Flexport’s year-end and 18-month forecasts, according to a person close to the situation.
The reasons were obvious. At the beginning of 2022, it cost around $14,500 to move a single container across the Pacific. By late 2022, prices of ocean freight from Asia to the U.S. West Coast were down 90% from a year earlier, due largely to weakening global demand. Because Flexport makes money by charging fees for the transportation of goods, the company’s business was getting hammered.
But Wagers and Stuart Leung, a Flexport finance executive and a close Petersen ally, were reluctant to pare back forecasts, frustrating Clark, who felt those projections were overly optimistic.
Wagers and Leung did not respond to CNBC’s interview requests.
Clark ultimately prevailed, but the revised forecasts distressed Petersen. Clark, Petersen and Wagers met in Texas in mid-August to fine-tune the forecasts.
A source close to Petersen told CNBC that the meeting went poorly for Clark because a so-called whistleblower — identified as a senior finance executive — stepped forward shortly before it began and told Petersen that the numbers being presented were “not real.”
The source referred to the senior finance executive as a whistleblower because of the information he disclosed to Petersen about Clark.
Documents seen by CNBC and conversations with people with direct knowledge of the board meeting make it clear that there were no substantiated whistleblower actions or allegations of financial impropriety.
Flexport’s spokesperson told CNBC in a statement: “There was no whistleblower nor was there any financial misconduct. Any allegations to the contrary are completely false.”
On Sept. 15, shortly after CNBC spoke with the Petersen source, legal counsel for Clark sent a cease-and-desist letter to Flexport. The letter, viewed by CNBC, instructed the company to preserve and retain all communications involving Clark’s departure. The letter disputes the existence of a whistleblower and lists specific allegations as false and defamatory, including Petersen’s claims that Clark was an unfit CEO because he overextended the company’s lease obligations.
Five hours after the letter was sent, the source close to Petersen contacted CNBC and asked to retract their statements and all details related to Clark’s firing or about the so-called whistleblower. CNBC declined to retract his statements.
Petersen has since deleted several of his posts criticizing Clark.
Dave Clark, Amazon’s former senior vice president of worldwide operations.
Lindsey Wasson | Reuters
The letter cited two documents that had been presented to the board. Both were viewed by CNBC. The first was a pre-acquisition financial analysis of the Deliverr deal, and the second was a review of Flexport’s first-quarter numbers. The Deliverr analysis was presented by the co-CEOs to the board for their approval and was shaped by multiple prior board meetings.
Clark’s camp suggested that other factors may have led to the abrupt firing.
For example, politics.
Days after Clark was ousted, Petersen sent him a message — seen by CNBC — blasting one of his key female executives for wasting her days at the company on “far left-wing political activism.” The executive is a registered Republican.
Stephens, the Founders Fund partner, also shared his contempt for that executive weeks before Clark’s departure, a person familiar with the board told CNBC. Stephens did not respond to CNBC’s request for comment.
Petersen is also a venture partner at Founders Fund, the firm started by Peter Thiel, who was a prominent supporter of President Trump’s 2016 campaign and more recently bankrolled Senate candidates in Ohio and Arizona. Many of Thiel’s closest confidantes at Founders Fund and elsewhere in the venture industry are outspoken conservatives.
Petersen’s sole public political contribution in 2023 was to a Democratic political action committee associated with Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia. He doesn’t talk much about politics on social media or in interviews.
Clark has donated to candidates on both sides of the aisle. Upon his departure, The Wall Street Journal reported that he was considering running for governor of Texas, but two people familiar with his thinking say it’s not happening anytime soon.
Flexport told CNBC that an employee’s politics are not relevant in personnel decisions.
“Ryan Petersen does not care at all about anyone’s political or personal affiliations. That is their business,” the spokesperson said. “It is inappropriate for any employee to spend an excessive amount of time during work hours on activities unrelated to their role.”
A person familiar with the female executive said her noncorporate endeavors were largely related to charitable organizations.
Clark has largely remained silent since he was forced to resign on Sept. 5, though in private he’s expressed frustration at how his former team was being treated by Flexport, according to people close to him. Many of his allies at Amazon who joined him at Flexport were summarily fired by Petersen shortly after his departure.
On Sept. 13, Flexport’s chief legal counsel, Chris Ferro, contacted Clark. Ferro told him that his resignation a week prior had not been accepted, according to a person familiar with the conversation.
Instead, Ferro told Clark that Flexport’s board met the day after Clark resigned and voted to fire him for cause, the person familiar said. Ferro said the board minutes didn’t yet reflect why Clark had been fired, the person said.
Ferro allegedly told Clark that Flexport would be willing to give him a block of 2 million shares — worth millions of dollars — if he signed a separation agreement that included nondisclosure and nondisparagement clauses.
Clark declined, the person said. Shortly after Flexport reached out with the offer, Clark took the stage at the same supply chain conference in Phoenix that Petersen spoke at earlier in the day.
He didn’t hold back.
“The only thing I really regret from the past year was I sort of picked the wrong founder,” Clark said. “Basically, it was a place of extending my reputational halo to a group that, in my opinion, didn’t deserve it. Largely, because about half the team was let go last week on Friday, the most brutal nonseverance packages I’ve ever seen in my life. It was about as disrespectful a way as humanly possible.”
Amazon showdown
On top of the public relations fallout from the Clark saga and any legal wrangling that may follow, Flexport faces staffing turnover and a growing threat from Clark’s former employer.
Flexport recently ousted Wagers as CFO and lost its human resources chief. More layoffs are expected soon, sources said, after the company cut 20% of its staff in January.
On Sept. 12, almost a week after Clark was fired, Flexport executives convened in Seattle to launch an end-to-end supply chain service that would allow sellers to move their products from factories to customers’ doorsteps through integrations with major online marketplaces.
The project was spearheaded by Parisa Sadrzadeh, an executive vice president at Flexport who Clark had poached from Amazon’s logistics unit.
Earlier in the day, and just up the street from Flexport’s event, Amazon had unveiled a strikingly similar service in front of approximately 2,200 attendees at its annual Accelerate seller conference. Flexport had planned to have a booth onsite but was told it couldn’t be an exhibitor, which some staffers suspected was due to the competing supply chain products, according to a person familiar with the matter.
Flexport discussed securing exhibit space at Accelerate months earlier but didn’t meet all the requirements to participate, and its launch wasn’t mentioned in those conversations, Amazon said.
Flexport’s event was underwhelming. In a conference room, about 50 people looked on as Sadrzadeh debuted Flexport’s service and then introduced Petersen, who spoke for roughly 20 minutes, according to Burak Yolga, co-founder of a digital freight forwarding company who was in attendance.
“Flexport announced pretty much the same thing that Amazon announced,” Yolga said in an interview. He said he left after about a half-hour.
The company paid rapper Nelly $150,000 to perform at the event. But in the days leading up to the launch, Petersen opted to squash the performance because the optics were bad after his post about rescinding job offers, a person familiar with the matter said. Despite canceling the event, Flexport still paid the artist.

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Technology
Reddit challenges Australia’s under-16 social media ban in High Court filing, says law curbs political speech
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3 hours agoon
December 12, 2025By
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Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty Images
Reddit, the popular community-focused forum, has launched a legal challenge against Australia’s social media ban for teens under 16, arguing that the newly enacted law is ineffective and goes too far by restricting political discussion online.
In its application to Australia’s High Court, the social news and aggregation platform said the law is “invalid on the basis of the implied freedom of political communication”, saying that it burdens political communication.
Canberra’s ban came into effect on Wednesday and targeted 10 major services, including Alphabet‘s YouTube, Meta’s Instagram, ByteDance’s TikTok, Reddit, Snapchat and Elon Musk’s X. All targeted platforms had agreed to comply with the policy to varying degrees.
Australia’s Prime Minister’s office, Attorney-General’s Department and other social media platforms did not immediately reply to requests for comment.
Under the law, the targeted platforms will have to take “reasonable steps” to prevent underage access, using age–verification methods such as inference from online activity, facial estimation via selfies, uploaded IDs, or linked bank details.
Reddit’s application to the courts seeks to either declare the law invalid or exclude the platform from the provisions of the law.
In a statement to CNBC, Reddit said that while it agrees with the importance of protecting persons under 16, the law could isolate teens “from the ability to engage in age-appropriate community experiences (including political discussions).”
It also said in its application that the law “burdens political communication,” saying “the political views of children inform the electoral choices of many current electors, including their parents and their teachers, as well as others interested in the views of those soon to reach the age of maturity.”
The platform also argued that it should not be subject to the law, saying it operates more as a forum for adults facilitating “knowledge sharing” between users than as a traditional social network, saying that it does not import contact lists or address books.
“Reddit is significantly different from other sites that allow for users to become “friends” with one another, or to post photos about themselves, or to organise events,” the platform said in its application.
Reddit further said in its court filing that most content on its platform is accessible without an account, and pointed out a person under the age of 16 “can be more easily protected from online harm if they have an account, being the very thing that is prohibited.”
“That is because the account can be subject to settings that limit their access to particular kinds of content that may be harmful to them,” it adds.
Despite its objections, Reddit said that the challenge was not an attempt to avoid complying with the law, nor was it an effort to retain young users for business reasons.
“There are more targeted, privacy-preserving measures to protect young people online without resorting to blanket bans,” the platform said.
— CNBC’s Dylan Butts contributed to this story.
Technology
Altman and Musk launched OpenAI as a nonprofit 10 years ago. Now they’re rivals in a trillion-dollar market
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4 hours agoon
December 12, 2025By
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Open AI CEO Sam Altman speaks during a talk session with SoftBank Group CEO Masayoshi Son at an event titled “Transforming Business through AI” in Tokyo, Japan, on February 03, 2025.
Tomohiro Ohsumi | Getty Images
On Dec. 11, 2015, OpenAI launched as a nonprofit research lab after Elon Musk and a group of prominent techies, including Peter Thiel and Reid Hoffman, pledged $1 billion to develop artificial intelligence for the benefit of humanity. The idea was for the project to be be free of commercial pressures and the pursuit of money.
A decade later, that founding mission is all but forgotten.
Musk, now the world’s richest person, is long gone, having created rival startup xAI. And he’s been engaged in a heated legal and public relations fight with OpenAI CEO and co-founder Sam Altman.
Far from the nonprofit realm, OpenAI has emerged as one of the fastest-growing commercial entities on the planet, zooming to a $500 billion private market valuation, with almost all of that value accruing since the company’s launch of ChatGPT three years ago. More than 800 million people now use the chatbot every week.
Musk’s xAI, meanwhile, is expected to close a $15 billion round at a $230 billion pre-money valuation this month, sources familiar with the matter told CNBC’s David Faber in late November.
OpenAI and xAI are two of the main companies, along with Google, Anthropic and Meta, pouring money into AI models, as the market rapidly evolves from text-based chatbots to AI-generated videos and more advanced compute-intensive forms of content, as well as into agentic AI, with large enterprises customizing tools to enhance productivity.
For OpenAI, the price tag is almost incomprehensible: $1.4 trillion and growing. That’s primarily for the mammoth data centers and high-powered chips required to meet what the company sees as insatiable demand for its technology. For now, OpenAI is a cash-burning machine going up against tech’s megacaps and their chip suppliers, drawing comparisons to earlier waves of high-growth tech firms that spent heavily for years to challenge behemoth incumbents, but to mixed results.
“OpenAI has a very big role in the in the history of the development of artificial intelligence, and will forever have that role,” said Gil Luria, an equity analyst at D.A. Davidson, in an interview. “Now, will that role be Netscape, or will it be Google? We’ve yet to find out.”
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang speaks at an event ahead of the COMPUTEX forum, in Taipei, Taiwan, June 2, 2024.
Ann Wang | Reuters
It’s a position that would’ve been hard to imagine in 2016, when Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang hauled a black DGX-1 supercomputer up to OpenAI’s offices in San Francisco’s Mission District. The $300,000 machine had cost Nvidia “a few billion dollars” to develop, and there were no other buyers, Huang recalled recently on Joe Rogan’s podcast.
Musk, at OpenAI, was the only one who wanted it.
When Musk told him it was for “a nonprofit company,” Huang said all the blood drained from his face at the thought of parking such a costly box inside an organization that wasn’t meant to make money.
Behind the scenes, though, the nonprofit ideal was already under intense strain, and Musk didn’t like what he saw.
“Guys, I’ve had enough. This is the final straw,” Musk wrote in an email to his co-founders in 2017. He warned that he would “no longer fund OpenAI” if it turned into a tech startup instead of a nonprofit. Altman wrote back the next morning: “i remain enthusiastic about the non-profit structure!”
Altman vs. Musk
In February of the following year, Musk left the OpenAI board, and said at the time the move was to avoid a potential conflict of interest as his car company, Tesla, dove deeper into AI.
The story was more complicated.
Musk sued OpenAI and Altman in early 2024, alleging they abandoned the company’s founding mission to develop AI “for the benefit of humanity broadly,” and he’s regularly criticized OpenAI’s close ties to Microsoft, its principal backer. He also went to court to try and keep OpenAI from converting into a for-profit entity and, earlier this year, went so far as to try and acquire the AI lab for $97.4 billion.
In October, OpenAI announced it had completed a recapitalization, cementing its structure as a nonprofit with a controlling stake in its for-profit business, which is now a public benefit corporation called OpenAI Group PBC.

Musk isn’t the only early OpenAI team member who’s turned into a bitter rival. Siblings Dario and Daniela Amodei left OpenAI in late 2020 to form Anthropic, which said last month that Microsoft and Nvidia would invest in the company. The valuation from the funding round could reach as high as $350 billion.
Anthropic’s Claude family of large language models is one of the biggest competitors to OpenAI’s GPT models.
Altman is wagering that he can win the race by outspending the competition. While his company has sketched out plans for a trillion-dollar-plus AI infrastructure outlay, Anthropic has made roughly $100 billion in recent compute commitments, spaced out at various intervals over the next few years.
It all amounts to a giant bet that demand for AI services will continue apace.
“We’ve got all the various AI vendors making these huge capital investments,” said David Menninger, executive director of software research at ISG. “There’s a question as to how long those capital investments continue and whether or not they all pan out.”
Luria says Anthropic and others are making reasonable commitments based on their current growth trajectory and the funding they’ve already secured. But he said OpenAI’s approach has been based on a “fantastical set of commitments” with a “faint belief that those numbers are even possible.”
‘Pretty extreme’
Altman told CNBC in an interview on Thursday that OpenAI is already seeing enough demand to justify its spending plans, which “makes us confident that we will be able to significantly ramp revenue.”
“It’s obviously unusual to be growing this fast at this kind of scale, but it is what we see in our current data,” Altman said, adding that “the demand in the market is pretty extreme.”
Altman said last month that he expects annualized revenue to hit $20 billion by the end of this year and to reach hundreds of billions by 2030. Its historic pace of growth has been a big boon for major tech companies.
Oracle signed a roughly $500 billion deal to sell infrastructure services to OpenAI over five years. Chipmakers Advanced Micro Devices and Broadcom have woven OpenAI-linked demand into multi-year forecasts.
But Oracle’s shares plunged 11% on Thursday after the software vendor reported weaker-than-expected revenue, a miss that dragged down Nvidia, CoreWeave and other AI-related stocks. Despite a surge in long-term contract commitments from companies like OpenAI, Meta, and Nvidia, investors are growing concerned about Oracle’s debt load that’s fueling its buildout.

Still, venture capitalist Matt Murphy of Menlo Ventures, said that in his 25 years in the venture business, “this is the mother of all waves.”
Murphy, an early investor in Anthropic, said the combination of AI models, custom chips and hyperscale data centers adds up to the potential for trillion-dollar outcomes. That explains the eye-popping level of capital expenditures and the astronomical valuations, he said.
Altman recently declared a “code red” inside his company, and shuffled resources to focus on making ChatGPT faster, more reliable and more personal, while delaying work on ads, health and shopping agents and a personal assistant called Pulse. His declaration came after Google released its Gemini 3 model last month, further accelerating the search giant’s ascent in the market.
On Thursday, OpenAI unveiled ChatGPT-5.2, a faster, more capable reasoning model that the company says is its best system yet for everyday professional use. It also struck a three-year, $1 billion content and equity deal with Disney around the Sora AI video generator.
Altman downplayed the threat from Google, telling CNBC that Gemini had less of an impact on the company’s metrics than OpenAI initially feared.
“I believe that when a competitive threat happens, you want to focus on it, deal with it quickly,” Altman said.
He said he expects the company to exit code red by January.
— CNBC’s Kif Leswing contributed to this report.

Technology
Broadcom stock reverses lower on a misinterpretation of what the CEO said on the earnings call
Published
4 hours agoon
December 12, 2025By
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Broadcom on Thursday evening reported another strong quarter and better-than-expected guidance for the current quarter. Nonetheless, the Club stock gave up its initial pop and traded sharply lower as the Q & A session of the post-earnings conference call kicked off. Investors were apparently not satisfied with CEO Hock Tan’s answer to an important question. Revenue in the fiscal 2025 fourth quarter, which ended Nov. 2, increased 28% year over year to $18.02 billion, ahead of the $17.49 billion consensus forecast, according to the consensus of analyst estimates compiled by LSEG. Adjusted earnings per share increased 37% to $1.95, also outpacing expectations of $1.86, LSEG data showed. Adjusted EBITDA , or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, grew 34% to $12.22 billion in the quarter, beating the FactSet consensus of $11.61 billion. Why we own it Broadcom is a high-quality semiconductor and software company run by the incredible CEO Hock Tan. The company is a big AI beneficiary through its networking and custom chip businesses. Competitors : Marvell Technology, Advanced Micro Devices , and Nvidia Last buy : Nov. 21, 2024 Initiation date : Aug. 24, 2023 Bottom line The reported results were solid as revenue outpaced expectations, thanks to strength in both of Broadcom’s operating segments: Semiconductor Solutions and Infrastructure Software. Profit margin performance was also strong as the company’s overall adjusted operating income margin expanded nearly 350 basis points, or 3.5 percentage points, leading to strong year-over-year earnings growth, beyond what the Street was looking for. Alongside the strong results, revenue and EBITDA margin guidance for the current fiscal 2026 first quarter were both ahead of expectations as well. Before addressing the part of the call that knocked the stock, we want to stress that, overall, Tan’s remarks got us really excited for 2026. For starters, the CEO confirmed the rumors that the fourth customer we heard about last call, which placed a $10 billion order, is indeed Anthropic, and that they’re buying the Ironwood XPUs, the generation seven TPUs on which Google’s Gemini 3 was trained and run. XPU is the term Broadcom uses to describe custom chips, which are also referred to as application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs). Tan also noted that these TPUs are being used by others, including Club name Apple , Cohere, and SSI, adding that the “scale at which we see this happening could be significant.” TPUs, or tensor processing units, are what Google calls the chips that it co-designed with Broadcom. In a “what have you done for me lately” business, Tan also noted that in the reported quarter, privately held Anthropic doubled down, placing an additional $11 billion order for delivery in late 2026. If that’s not enough, Tan said Broadcom secured a $1 billion initial order from a fifth, yet-to-be-named XPU customer, also for delivery in 2026. It was noted on the call, however, that in the back half of fiscal 2026, there could be some margin pressure. CFO Kirsten Spears said, “[In] the second half of the year, when we do start shipping more systems, the situation is straightforward. We’ll be passing through more components that are not ours. … Those costs will be passing through more costs within the rack. And so those gross margins will be lower.” So, that brings us back to the question: Why did a stock, which initially jumped over 3% on the release, proceed to give up the gains and reverse lower by 4.5% in the after-hours session? It’s about concerns regarding the long-term partnership between Broadcom and Google-parent Alphabet , and maybe that back-half margin talk. The Q & A part of the call kicked off with a question about XPU customers possibly looking to bring more development in-house and what that might mean for Broadcom in the coming years. Tan responded by discussing the benefits of custom semiconductors, noting that what can be built into purpose-designed hardware would only be possible to code via software with other solutions. He then went on to opine, saying, “Now, will that mean that over time they all want to go do it themselves? Not necessarily. And in fact, because the technology in silicon keeps updating, keeps evolving. And if you are an LLM [large language model] player, where do you put your resources in order to compete in this space, especially when you have to compete at the end of the day against merchant GPUs, which are not slowing down in the rate of evolution. So, I see this concept of customer tooling as an overblown hypothesis, which frankly, I don’t think will happen.” Customer tooling refers to the idea that companies look to develop their own, in-house designed, custom hardware accelerators for AI training and inference without the help of Broadcom. Tan’s reference to GPUs, or graphics processing units, was meant to highlight the competitive landscape that customer chips face from these gold-standard all-purpose chips, dominated by Club name Nvidia . Sellers of stock may have taken Tan’s remarks to be a bit dismissive and not quite the concrete “it’s not happening” answer they had been hoping for. That said, we appreciate Tan because he provides a no-nonsense view of things, regardless of what he thinks Wall Street wants to hear. At the moment, this hypothesis is indeed nothing more than speculation, and Tan was, in our opinion, clear in his view that he doesn’t see this scenario playing out. In the end, Thursday’s after-hours selloff was more about investor concern with a potential bearish scenario in the future, in which key customers move development in-house, rather than anything clear-cut that would impact Broadcom’s business outlook. It’s an understandable concern, after all, we have seen those with the financial ability to do so, look to move more chip development in-house. However, it is nothing more than speculation at the moment and, in our opinion, not nearly enough to get out of our position, given the clearly strong demand that Broadcom is now seeing and expects to see increase as we work our way through 2026. If the margin commentary was why the stock was down, it’s an opportunity because at the end of the day more business, even at a lower gross margin, means more earnings growth. And that is what we value the stock based on. AVGO YTD mountain Broadcom YTD That said, even just the possibility of hiccups down the road was enough to drive a move lower in the stock when investors are sitting on huge gains, especially in the middle of December, and looking to book profits before year-end. Broadcom shares, as of Thursday’s close, were up 75% year-to-date, and trading right around all-time highs coming into the print. This decline doesn’t strike us as anything more than that. Out of respect for this year’s rally, we’re reiterating our 2 rating hold on Broadcom stock and will look for a better opportunity to upgrade it to our buy-equivalent 1 rating should this selloff persist in the coming sessions. We are, however, raising our price target to $425 per share from $415, as Wednesday’s record-high close of nearly $413 was bumping up on our previous PT. Segment commentary Broadcom’s fiscal fourth-quarter revenue in Semiconductor Solutions, the much larger of the two operating segments, increased 34.5% year over year to $11.07 billion, exceeding expectations of $10.77 billion, according to FactSet. Within that result, AI semiconductor revenue surged 74% year over year to $6.5 billion, ahead of the $6.22 billion the team guided to months ago after its fiscal Q3 release. AI networking was again strong, with Tan noting that customers continue to build out data center infrastructure before they deploy AI accelerators. As a result, the backlog for AI switches now exceeds $10 billion, with the CEO adding that the Tomahawk 6, which he considers unmatched in its capabilities, is seeing bookings come in at record rates. Adding in the other components necessary to build out an AI data center, including XPUs, and Broadcom is looking at an AI-related backlog of more than $73 billion — about $53 billion of which is XPUs. Tan expects the team to convert that into realized revenue over the next 18 months, with $8.2 billion expected to be realized in the current fiscal 2026 first quarter. Regarding the legacy semiconductor sub-unit, fiscal Q4 revenue of $4.6 billion represented a 2% year-over-year increase and 16% sequential increase, “based on favorable wireless seasonality,” Tan said. That seasonality he’s referring to is the launch of the iPhone 17, which has been met with solid demand. Tan added that broadband revenue continues to recover, wireless was flat versus the year-ago period, and enterprise remains under pressure as “spending continued to show limited signs of recovery.” In Broadcom’s other operating segment, Infrastructure Software , revenue grew about 19% year over year to $6.9 billion, ahead of the $6.72 billion consensus estimate, according to FactSet. On the call, Tan said, “Bookings continued to be strong as total contract value booked in Q4 exceeded $10.4 billion, versus $8.2 billion a year ago.” As a result, the software infrastructure backlog ended the quarter at $73 billion, a major increase from the year-ago $49 billion. Guidance For its fiscal 2026 first quarter, which will end on Feb. 1, Broadcom forecasted total revenue to be about $19.1 billion. That target is ahead of the $18.27 billion LSEG consensus. Importantly, AI revenue is expected to keep growing in the coming quarter, with Tan stating in the release, “We see the momentum continuing in Q1 and expect AI semiconductor revenue to double year-over-year to $8.2 billion, driven by custom AI accelerators and Ethernet AI switches.” Add in the legacy semiconductor business forecast of approximately $4.1 billion, and we get a Semiconductor Solutions segment guide of about $12.3 billion, well ahead of the $11.53 billion consensus forecast, according to FactSet. The $6.8 billion Infrastructure Software revenue guide for fiscal Q1, however, came in short of the $7.136 billion estimates from FactSet. The company expects fiscal Q1 adjusted EBITDA to be approximately 67% of projected revenue, or $12.78 billion, ahead of the 66% profit margin and $12.06 billion consensus estimate, according to FactSet. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long AVGO, AAPL, NVDA. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . 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