Investors can breathe a sigh of relief now that September — historically the worst month of the year for stocks — is in the rear-view mirror. This past September certainly lived up to its reputation, with the S & P 500 and the Nadsaq suffering its biggest monthly loss in 2023. However, changing the calendar may not be enough to erase three material hurdles standing in the way of stocks returning to their winning ways. We’re talking about this year’s rise in bond yields, oil prices and the dollar — all at the time same. The 10-year Treasury yield on Monday hit its highest level since October 2007, breaking slightly above 4.7%, in a continuation of its march higher since April. In the third quarter alone, the 10-year yield climbed from roughly 3.8% to Friday’s settle of nearly 4.58%. In the three months that ended Friday, both the U.S. oil benchmark and the international crude standard posted their largest quarterly price increases since the first quarter of 2022, when Russia’s invasion of Ukraine roiled energy markets and sent the commodity soaring. The U.S. dollar index — which measures the greenback against six other currencies including the euro and Japanese yen – is riding an 11-week win streak, en route Monday to fresh highs for the year. To be sure, other factors such as a potential U.S. government shutdown — which has been temporarily avoided — and the multiweek United Auto Workers strike against General Motors (GM), Jeep parent Stellantis (STLA) and Club holding Ford Motor (F) have also injected uncertainty into the marketplace. Nevertheless, bond yields, oil prices and the dollar always have far-reaching implications for the stock market. Here’s a closer look at how they’re currently impacting things. US10Y YTD mountain 10-yield Treasury yield YTD It all starts with the bond market. “The higher yields, that’s what’s been pressuring the equity market,” Wharton School professor Jeremy Siegel said Monday on CNBC. Indeed, U.S. government bond prices sold off in September. The resulting jump in yields — which move inversely to bond prices — accelerated after the Federal Reserve on Sept. 20 indicated interest rates may stay “higher for longer,” as the central bank seeks to bring inflation down further, and the market finally listened. Of course, there are those of us who are worried that the full impact of the 11 rate hikes already made by the Fed since March 2022 has not fully been realized in the economy. Therefore, we think a higher for longer policy may be misguided. In September, the S & P 500 dropped 4.9% while the tech-heavy Nasdaq slumped 5.8%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average proved to be the relative outperformer, falling only 3.5% in the month. Still, the Dow’s decline was its worst monthly decline since February. Bonds impact stocks in multiple ways, including competing over investment dollars. Higher yields on U.S. government notes — which are the closest possible thing to a risk-free investment — can make bonds more attractive to own compared to stocks. That results in fewer incremental dollars going into riskier equities. Essentially, the risk-reward bar for stocks is raised when bonds offer more competitive returns than they did before. This plays out most notably in the Utilities sector , which has by far been the worst-performing sector in the S & P 500 this year, down more than 20%. The group traditionally is slower growing but offers large dividend payments, kind of like bonds. Bonds figure heavily into the way investors think about valuing stocks, especially for growth-oriented companies whose profits are largely expected to be generated years down the road. In a higher yield environment, those projected future earnings are worth less to investors today. This dynamic manifests in investors reconsidering the “multiple” they’re willing to pay for each dollar of earnings — which in turn can lower the price at which they’re willing to buy shares of a given company. Unprofitable companies tend to get hit harder when interest rates rise, which is why when the Fed started hiking last year we made a rule for the Club to only buy stocks of profitable, cash-flow generative companies. In general, companies generating substantial profits are typically less sensitive to the change in yields. @CL.1 @LCO.1 YTD mountain WTI vs. Brent crude YTD In the third quarter, West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. oil standard, rose more than 28% to nearly $91 per barrel. The global benchmark, Brent crude, jumped more than 27% to just over $92 per barrel. Both oil gauges are riding four-month win streaks after WTI traded in just the upper $60s in mid-June and Brent traded in the low $70s around the same time. The increase in oil prices over the summer months into the fall largely reflects a mismatch between demand (as economic data has proven more resilient than expected) and available supply (as major oil exporters Saudi Arabia and Russia took voluntary steps to reduce production). In early September, the two countries announced their supply cuts would extend through year-end, a surprise decision that added upward pressure on oil prices. For oil-and-gas companies, such as Club names Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) and Coterra Energy (CTRA), higher prices are a boon to their financials. It’s no surprise energy was the only positive sector of the 11 in the S & P 500 in September. The picture is less clear-cut when considering the impact higher oil prices can have on consumers and non-energy companies. Consumers needing to pay more at the gas pump, in theory, cuts into the money they have available to spend on discretionary goods — an important dynamic to watch given consumer spending makes up about two-thirds of U.S. economic activity. Discretionary spending is on stuff consumers want, not the staples they have to have to conduct their daily lives. For much of the first part of the year, lower energy prices contributed to the decline in inflation. Now, crude has gone from tailwind to headwind in the battle to bring down inflation. To bond traders who have been driving yields higher, stickier inflation means possibly a heavier-handed Fed — the higher-rates-for-longer scenario. Inflation reduces the attractiveness of owning bonds, motivating investors to sell and in the process pushing up yields. “Don’t forget: Bondholders look at overall inflation. They don’t just look at core inflation,” Siegel said. “Core inflation might be doing good. Overall inflation is going to be affected by those oil prices.” Non-energy companies feel pain from more expensive oil, increasing transportation and freight costs that could cut into profit margins. Of course, firms could mitigate higher fuel costs by raising prices on the finished products — protecting their bottom lines in the near term but adding to the inflationary pressures in the broader economy. Technically, the Fed focuses on core inflation data, which strips out more volatile food and energy prices. However, companies passing through their higher energy costs would eventually make their way into inflation data. To be sure, firms “might struggle to pass on rising input costs this time, in contrast to [2021 and 2022],” JPMorgan global equity strategists wrote in a note to clients Monday. In many cases, crude prices trending higher could be interpreted as a sign of economic health — if there’s a lot of activity out there, that’s going to drive demand for oil, supporting prices. In those situations, equity investors might be more encouraged by the strong economic data and what that means for revenue and profit growth, rather than their concern about the inflationary impacts. It’s a bit more nuanced this time around, with the rise in oil prices primarily tied to a “supply shock, Wharton’s Siegel said, versus a significant increase in demand. @DX.1 YTD mountain U.S. dollar index YTD The U.S. dollar is once again something for stock market investors to worry about — territory it occupied for a good chunk of last year, as it soared to its highest levels in two decades. Higher rates often lead to a stronger dollar. In that way, the Fed’s higher-for-longer approach served not only to pump bond yields but the dollar, too. After a downward trend that began last fall , the U.S. dollar index reached its lowest level of 2023 on July 13, at 99.77 – representing a 12.6% decline from its September 2022 high of 114.11, according to FactSet. However, the U.S. dollar index has returned to rally mode, up about 7% to 106.89 on Monday since its July nadir. “Historically, strengthening [in the dollar] was almost always met with risk-off in equities,” JPMorgan wrote in its Monday to clients. A strengthening U.S. dollar is particularly problematic for U.S.-based companies that generate a significant portion of their sales overseas, such as Club holding Procter & Gamble (PG) and tech stalwarts like Meta Platforms (META) and Apple (AAPL). Converting profits generated overseas in weaker currencies into stronger dollars can weigh on reported revenue sales and bottom-line earnings. At the Club, we tend to look through currency fluctuations and focus more on each company’s underlying fundamentals. Our longer-term focus enables this approach, but we recognize that other, influential traders and investors take a different view, which can impact the overall market. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long META, AAPL, PG, PXD and CTRA. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
People walk along Wall Street outside of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on May 03, 2023.
Spencer Platt | Getty Images
Investors can breathe a sigh of relief now that September — historically the worst month of the year for stocks — is in the rear-view mirror. This past September certainly lived up to its reputation, with the S&P 500 and the Nadsaq suffering its biggest monthly loss in 2023. However, changing the calendar may not be enough to erase three material hurdles standing in the way of stocks returning to their winning ways.
Sustainable construction experts McKinstry have teamed up with leading BESS developers Viridi and the Denver Public Library to deploy a first-of-its-kind solar and battery storage system that sets a new standard for fire safety.
The Denver Public Library sought a battery energy storage system (BESS) that could deliver cost savings without compromising safety for staff, visitors, or the architecturally significant, Michael Graves–designed structure itself. That required a battery backup solution that not only met the city’s fire safety standards, but also addressed public fears about the risk of lithium-ion battery fires.
That unique set of project priorities led the library to Viridi, makers of the RPSLinkEX battery solution that’s equipped with a unique, “passive Fail-Safe thermal management and anti-propagation technology” designed to prevent the sort of thermal runaway that leads to li-ion battery fires.
“Public facilities like the Denver Public Library are at the forefront of demonstrating that energy resilience and safety can go hand in hand,” said Jon M. Williams, CEO at Viridi. “This installation highlights how fail-safe battery storage can empower communities to maximize renewable energy, reduce costs, and maintain reliability – all without compromise.”
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Keeping it safe
Denver Public Library; by Michael Graves.
Viridi doesn’t talk too much about how its passive Fail-Safe thermal management system works, but if you’re picturing heat-dissipating layers, fire-resistant insulation, and strategically-placed phase change materials (or PCMs) limiting the transfer of heat from one cell to another if it begins to overheat, you’ve probably cracked it.
These passive safety features enable safer deployment scenarios in occupied buildings or near critical infrastructure by reducing dependence on active fire suppression systems like sprinklers or fire extinguishers, and convinced the City of Denver to move forward with the project, which is the city’s first-ever solar + battery storage system.
“The entire McKinstry team is very excited about developing and constructing the first Solar + BESS project for the City and County of Denver,” said Jon Ensley, Sr. Construction Project Engineer at McKinstry. “We are appreciative of all our partners and stakeholders who helped to achieve this goal. We value Viridi’s expertise in deploying this technology and the whole team has been great to work with.”
McKinstry says this latest solar project sets, “a new benchmark for how cities can combine renewable energy and battery storage without compromising safety.” And, with solutions like the RPSLinkEX building systems that meet city planners and politicians where they are, instead of trying to educated them about the objective, proven safety of li-ion batteries, Viridi is helping communities adopt cleaner, more resilient clean energy solutions sooner rather than later.
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China’s Dongfang Electric has installed a 26-megawatt offshore wind turbine, snatching the title of world’s most powerful from Siemens Gamesa’s 21.5 turbine in Denmark.
Photo: Dongfang Electric Corporation
The Chinese state-owned manufacturer announced today that it has installed the world’s most powerful wind turbine prototype at a testing and certification base. This turbine, the world’s largest for capacity and size, boasts a blade wheel diameter of more than 310 meters (1,107 feet) and a hub height of 185 meters (607 feet). Dongfang shipped the turbine’s nacelle earlier this month – the world’s heaviest – along with three blades.
This offshore wind turbine is designed for areas with wind speeds of 8 meters per second and above. With average winds of 10 meters per second, just one of these giants can generate 100 GWh of power annually, which is enough to power 55,000 homes. That’s enough to cut standard coal consumption by 30,000 tons and reduce CO2 emissions by 80,000 tons. Dongfang says it’s wind resistant up to 17 (200 km/h) on the extended Beaufort scale.
In May, Dongfang said it had completed static load testing on the turbine’s blades, and the turbine is now undergoing fatigue testing, which could take up to a year before the turbine is fully certified.
The 30% federal solar tax credit is ending this year. If you’ve ever considered going solar, now’s the time to act. To make sure you find a trusted, reliable solar installer near you that offers competitive pricing, check out EnergySage, a free service that makes it easy for you to go solar. It has hundreds of pre-vetted solar installers competing for your business, ensuring you get high-quality solutions and save 20-30% compared to going it alone. Plus, it’s free to use, and you won’t get sales calls until you select an installer and share your phone number with them.
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The autonomous ag equipment experts behind the GUSS robotic sprayers have been developing their AI tech as part of a JV with John Deere for years — and now, that marriage is official. John Deere has acquired 100% of GUSS, and has big plans to pick up that tech and run with it like a … well, you know.
Since then, interest in automated ag equipment has only grown — fueled not just by rising demand for affordable food and produce, but by a national labor shortage made worse by the Trump Administration’s tough anti-immigration policies as well. It’s specifically those challenges around labor availability, input costs, and crop protection that GUSS and John Deere have been spending millions to address.
“Fully integrating GUSS into the John Deere portfolio is a continuation of our dedication to serving high-value crop customers with advanced, scalable technologies to help them do more with less,” explains Julien Le Vely, director, Production Systems, High Value & Small Acre Crops, at John Deere. “GUSS brings a proven solution to a fast-growing segment of agriculture, and its team has a deep understanding of customer needs in orchards and vineyards. We’re excited to have them fully part of the John Deere team.”
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About GUSS
GUSS autonomous farm sprayer; via John Deere.
The GUSS electric sprayer is powered by a Kreisel Battery Pack 63 (KBP63), which has a nominal energy capacity of 63 kWh, enabling the machine to operate for 10-12 continuous hours between overnight (L2) charges.
The GUSS electric sprayers feature the Smart Apply weed detection system that measures chlorophyll in the various plants it encounters, identifying weeds embedded among the crops, and only sprays where weeds are detected. The company claims its weed detecting tech significantly reduces the amount of chemicals being sprayed onto farmers’ crops, resulting in “up to 90% savings” in sprayed material.
John Deere’s deep pockets will support GUSS as it continues to expand its global reach, and help the group to accelerate Smart Apply’s innovation and integration with other John Deere precision agriculture technologies.
“Joining John Deere enables us to tap into their unmatched innovative capabilities in precision agriculture technologies to bring our solutions to more growers around the world,” says Gary Thompson, GUSS’ COO. “Our team is passionate about helping high-value crop growers increase their efficiency and productivity in their operations, and together with John Deere, we will have the ability to have an even greater impact.”
GUSS-brand autonomous sprayers will be sold and serviced exclusivelythrough John Deere dealers, and the GUSS business will retain its name, branding, employees, and independent manufacturing facility in Kingsburg, California.
More than 250 GUSS machines have been deployed globally, having sprayed more than 2.6 million acres over 500,000 autonomous hours of operation.
Electrek’s Take
Population growth, while slowing, is still very much a thing – and fewer and fewer people seem to be willing to do the work of growing the food that more and more people need to eat and live. This autonomous tech multiplies the efforts of the farmers that do show up for work every day, and the fact that it’s more sustainable from both a fuel perspective and a toxic chemical perspective makes GUSS a winner.
If you’re considering going solar, it’s always a good idea to get quotes from a few installers. To make sure you find a trusted, reliable solar installer near you that offers competitive pricing, check out EnergySage, a free service that makes it easy for you to go solar. It has hundreds of pre-vetted solar installers competing for your business, ensuring you get high-quality solutions and save 20-30% compared to going it alone. Plus, it’s free to use, and you won’t get sales calls until you select an installer and share your phone number with them.
Your personalized solar quotes are easy to compare online and you’ll get access to unbiased Energy Advisors to help you every step of the way. Get started here.
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