Investors can breathe a sigh of relief now that September — historically the worst month of the year for stocks — is in the rear-view mirror. This past September certainly lived up to its reputation, with the S & P 500 and the Nadsaq suffering its biggest monthly loss in 2023. However, changing the calendar may not be enough to erase three material hurdles standing in the way of stocks returning to their winning ways. We’re talking about this year’s rise in bond yields, oil prices and the dollar — all at the time same. The 10-year Treasury yield on Monday hit its highest level since October 2007, breaking slightly above 4.7%, in a continuation of its march higher since April. In the third quarter alone, the 10-year yield climbed from roughly 3.8% to Friday’s settle of nearly 4.58%. In the three months that ended Friday, both the U.S. oil benchmark and the international crude standard posted their largest quarterly price increases since the first quarter of 2022, when Russia’s invasion of Ukraine roiled energy markets and sent the commodity soaring. The U.S. dollar index — which measures the greenback against six other currencies including the euro and Japanese yen – is riding an 11-week win streak, en route Monday to fresh highs for the year. To be sure, other factors such as a potential U.S. government shutdown — which has been temporarily avoided — and the multiweek United Auto Workers strike against General Motors (GM), Jeep parent Stellantis (STLA) and Club holding Ford Motor (F) have also injected uncertainty into the marketplace. Nevertheless, bond yields, oil prices and the dollar always have far-reaching implications for the stock market. Here’s a closer look at how they’re currently impacting things. US10Y YTD mountain 10-yield Treasury yield YTD It all starts with the bond market. “The higher yields, that’s what’s been pressuring the equity market,” Wharton School professor Jeremy Siegel said Monday on CNBC. Indeed, U.S. government bond prices sold off in September. The resulting jump in yields — which move inversely to bond prices — accelerated after the Federal Reserve on Sept. 20 indicated interest rates may stay “higher for longer,” as the central bank seeks to bring inflation down further, and the market finally listened. Of course, there are those of us who are worried that the full impact of the 11 rate hikes already made by the Fed since March 2022 has not fully been realized in the economy. Therefore, we think a higher for longer policy may be misguided. In September, the S & P 500 dropped 4.9% while the tech-heavy Nasdaq slumped 5.8%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average proved to be the relative outperformer, falling only 3.5% in the month. Still, the Dow’s decline was its worst monthly decline since February. Bonds impact stocks in multiple ways, including competing over investment dollars. Higher yields on U.S. government notes — which are the closest possible thing to a risk-free investment — can make bonds more attractive to own compared to stocks. That results in fewer incremental dollars going into riskier equities. Essentially, the risk-reward bar for stocks is raised when bonds offer more competitive returns than they did before. This plays out most notably in the Utilities sector , which has by far been the worst-performing sector in the S & P 500 this year, down more than 20%. The group traditionally is slower growing but offers large dividend payments, kind of like bonds. Bonds figure heavily into the way investors think about valuing stocks, especially for growth-oriented companies whose profits are largely expected to be generated years down the road. In a higher yield environment, those projected future earnings are worth less to investors today. This dynamic manifests in investors reconsidering the “multiple” they’re willing to pay for each dollar of earnings — which in turn can lower the price at which they’re willing to buy shares of a given company. Unprofitable companies tend to get hit harder when interest rates rise, which is why when the Fed started hiking last year we made a rule for the Club to only buy stocks of profitable, cash-flow generative companies. In general, companies generating substantial profits are typically less sensitive to the change in yields. @CL.1 @LCO.1 YTD mountain WTI vs. Brent crude YTD In the third quarter, West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. oil standard, rose more than 28% to nearly $91 per barrel. The global benchmark, Brent crude, jumped more than 27% to just over $92 per barrel. Both oil gauges are riding four-month win streaks after WTI traded in just the upper $60s in mid-June and Brent traded in the low $70s around the same time. The increase in oil prices over the summer months into the fall largely reflects a mismatch between demand (as economic data has proven more resilient than expected) and available supply (as major oil exporters Saudi Arabia and Russia took voluntary steps to reduce production). In early September, the two countries announced their supply cuts would extend through year-end, a surprise decision that added upward pressure on oil prices. For oil-and-gas companies, such as Club names Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) and Coterra Energy (CTRA), higher prices are a boon to their financials. It’s no surprise energy was the only positive sector of the 11 in the S & P 500 in September. The picture is less clear-cut when considering the impact higher oil prices can have on consumers and non-energy companies. Consumers needing to pay more at the gas pump, in theory, cuts into the money they have available to spend on discretionary goods — an important dynamic to watch given consumer spending makes up about two-thirds of U.S. economic activity. Discretionary spending is on stuff consumers want, not the staples they have to have to conduct their daily lives. For much of the first part of the year, lower energy prices contributed to the decline in inflation. Now, crude has gone from tailwind to headwind in the battle to bring down inflation. To bond traders who have been driving yields higher, stickier inflation means possibly a heavier-handed Fed — the higher-rates-for-longer scenario. Inflation reduces the attractiveness of owning bonds, motivating investors to sell and in the process pushing up yields. “Don’t forget: Bondholders look at overall inflation. They don’t just look at core inflation,” Siegel said. “Core inflation might be doing good. Overall inflation is going to be affected by those oil prices.” Non-energy companies feel pain from more expensive oil, increasing transportation and freight costs that could cut into profit margins. Of course, firms could mitigate higher fuel costs by raising prices on the finished products — protecting their bottom lines in the near term but adding to the inflationary pressures in the broader economy. Technically, the Fed focuses on core inflation data, which strips out more volatile food and energy prices. However, companies passing through their higher energy costs would eventually make their way into inflation data. To be sure, firms “might struggle to pass on rising input costs this time, in contrast to [2021 and 2022],” JPMorgan global equity strategists wrote in a note to clients Monday. In many cases, crude prices trending higher could be interpreted as a sign of economic health — if there’s a lot of activity out there, that’s going to drive demand for oil, supporting prices. In those situations, equity investors might be more encouraged by the strong economic data and what that means for revenue and profit growth, rather than their concern about the inflationary impacts. It’s a bit more nuanced this time around, with the rise in oil prices primarily tied to a “supply shock, Wharton’s Siegel said, versus a significant increase in demand. @DX.1 YTD mountain U.S. dollar index YTD The U.S. dollar is once again something for stock market investors to worry about — territory it occupied for a good chunk of last year, as it soared to its highest levels in two decades. Higher rates often lead to a stronger dollar. In that way, the Fed’s higher-for-longer approach served not only to pump bond yields but the dollar, too. After a downward trend that began last fall , the U.S. dollar index reached its lowest level of 2023 on July 13, at 99.77 – representing a 12.6% decline from its September 2022 high of 114.11, according to FactSet. However, the U.S. dollar index has returned to rally mode, up about 7% to 106.89 on Monday since its July nadir. “Historically, strengthening [in the dollar] was almost always met with risk-off in equities,” JPMorgan wrote in its Monday to clients. A strengthening U.S. dollar is particularly problematic for U.S.-based companies that generate a significant portion of their sales overseas, such as Club holding Procter & Gamble (PG) and tech stalwarts like Meta Platforms (META) and Apple (AAPL). Converting profits generated overseas in weaker currencies into stronger dollars can weigh on reported revenue sales and bottom-line earnings. At the Club, we tend to look through currency fluctuations and focus more on each company’s underlying fundamentals. Our longer-term focus enables this approach, but we recognize that other, influential traders and investors take a different view, which can impact the overall market. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long META, AAPL, PG, PXD and CTRA. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
People walk along Wall Street outside of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on May 03, 2023.
Spencer Platt | Getty Images
Investors can breathe a sigh of relief now that September — historically the worst month of the year for stocks — is in the rear-view mirror. This past September certainly lived up to its reputation, with the S&P 500 and the Nadsaq suffering its biggest monthly loss in 2023. However, changing the calendar may not be enough to erase three material hurdles standing in the way of stocks returning to their winning ways.
Japanese equipment giant Komatsu has added a not-so-giant electric excavator to its growing lineup of battery-powered construction equipment. The new Komatsu PC20E-6 electric mini excavator promises a full day of work from a single charge.
Komatsu says the design of its latest mini excavator was informed by data sourced from more than 40,000 working days of comparably-sized diesel excavators. The company found that, in 90% of its global customers’ mini excavator deployments, these vehicles are in active use for less than 3.5 hours per day.
“This defined the target for the required, reliable working time with the excavator,” reads the Komatsu web copy. “This result makes it possible for Komatsu to offer an attractively priced machine with a performance that exactly matches the requirements.”
Keeping costs down are relatively conservative specs. Komatsu chose to power the PC20E-6 with a 23.2 kWh battery pack sending electrons to an 11 kW (~15 hp), high-torque electric motors. Not exactly super impressive on paper, but the machine has an operating weight of 2,190 kg and enough juice for up to four (4) hours of continuous operation.
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More than enough, in other words, to have completed 90% of of those 40,000 work days the company analyzed.
Getting it done
PC20E-6 electric mini excavator; via Komatsu.
If, for some reason, that four hours’ runtime isn’t enough, an on-board charging option for 230V and 3kW charging power compatible with various plug adapters is standard, with an external DC quick charger for 400V and 12 kW charging as optional. In either case, it won’t be long before the machine is back at work.
To help the later adopters sleep well about their battery-powered investments, the PC20E-6 ships with Komatsu’s E-Support maintenance program, which includes free scheduled maintenance by a Komatsu-trained technician, a 3 year/2,000 hour warranty on the machine, plus a 5 year/10,000 hour warranty on the electric driveline. The company says the battery should last 10 years.
“The Komatsu E-Support customer program is included free of charge with every market-ready electric mini excavator and offers exclusive machine support,” said Emanuele Viel, Group Manager Utility at Komatsu Europe. “The bottom line is that the risk for the end customer is significantly reduced, especially when it comes to exploring the electrification advances in the industry.”
Komatsu hasn’t released official pricing quite yet, but has revealed that the P20E-6 will begin series production this October.
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Tesla has unexpectedly terminated a contractor’s contract at Gigafactory Texas, resulting in the layoff of 82 workers who were supporting the automaker’s production at the giant factory in Austin.
MPW Industrial Services Inc., an Ohio-based industrial service provider specializing in cleaning and facility management, has issued a new WARN notice, confirming that it will lay off 82 workers in Texas due to Tesla unexpectedly ending its contract with the company.
Here are the details from the WARN notice:
State / agency: Texas Workforce Commission (TWC).
Notice date: August 27, 2025.
Employees affected: 82
Likely effective date: September 1, 2025
Context from the filing/letter: layoffs tied to an unexpected termination of a major customer contract (Tesla—Gigafactory Texas, 1 Tesla Road); positions include 61 technicians, 7 team leads, 7 supervisors, 7 managers; no bumping rights; workers not union-represented.
In April 2024, Tesla initiated waves of layoffs at the plant, resulting in the dismissal of more than 2,000 employees in Austin, Texas.
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Since then, Tesla’s sales have been in a steady decline. While the automaker is expected to have a strong quarter in the US in Q3 due to the end of the tax credit, sales are expected to decline further in Q4 and the first half of 2026.
Many industry watchers have expected Tesla to initiate further layoffs due to the situation.
Electrek’s Take
We may be seeing the beginnings of a new wave of layoffs at Tesla, as the automaker typically starts with contractors.
To be fair, Tesla could also potentially end the contract unexpectedly for other reasons, but the timing does align with the need to cut costs and staff ahead of an inevitable downturn in US EV sales.
I think it’s inevitable that we start seeing some layoffs. I think Tesla will have to slow down production in the US to avoid creating an oversupply, especially in Q4-Q1.
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First, it was e-bikes, offering an efficient, effective, and low-cost way for teens and just about everyone to zip around town, yet drawing the temper of suburban traditionalists. Now golf carts are the new public enemy number one in suburbia, at least if you ask the growing number of online groups where residents complain about these small electric vehicles “clogging” their streets.
But beyond the hand-wringing, golf carts and their more sophisticated cousins known as Neighborhood Electric Vehicles (NEVs) or Low Speed Vehicles (LSVs), are quietly becoming a popular alternative to cars for short trips around US cities and suburbs.
While most people still associate golf carts with retirement communities in Florida or slow rides across 18 holes, street-legal versions have been around for the last few decades.
But these aren’t your grandpa’s bare-bones carts, complete with a golf pencil clip. Many now come with DOT seat belts, lights, turn signals, mirrors, backup cameras, and speed limiters that allow them to operate legally on roads up to 35 mph, as long as they meet all the federal requirements for Low-Speed Vehicles (LSVs).
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That means such vehicles are legally allowed to operate like cars, trucks, bicycles, or motorcycles on the vast majority of residential streets and a surprising portion of urban grids. In other words, for grabbing groceries, school drop-offs, or cruising to a friend’s house, they’re a practical, cheaper, and far greener substitute for firing up a 5,000-pound SUV.
The Club Car Cru adds extra luxury to the concept of an LSV
Golf carts have been slowly taking off for years, but the pandemic accelerated the trend. Sales of golf carts and LSVs spiked as families looked for safe, outdoor transportation and an easy way to get around their neighborhoods. Now, in cities all over the country, the sight of parents driving their kids to school or running errands in a cart is increasingly common. In some towns, petitions have even popped up with hundreds of residents asking for local ordinances to legalize them on more streets, according to the Daily Mail.
Of course, not everyone is thrilled. There’s growing backlash against the increase in golf carts on streets, with many residents calling them a “plague” and complaining that they’re taking up space on the roads, in parking lots, or creating unsafe conditions. While rare, there have been serious accidents too, with a handful of tragic cases highlighting the dangers of mixing small, lightweight carts with full-size vehicles. Critics argue that carts lack the crash protection of cars and don’t always fall under homeowners’ insurance policies if an accident happens.
But for every critic, there’s a supporter pointing out that golf carts take cars off the road, save money on fuel, and are no more dangerous than scooters or e-bikes – modes of transport that already share the streets. And major golf cart makers have been happy to respond to the demand with boosted sales and new models. Companies like E-Z-GO, Club Car, WAEV, Kandi, and others are all rushing new models to the market as more suburban commuters discover that their next electric vehicle might just cost a fraction of what they thought it would – and come with a better breeze, too.
The GEM microcars are classic LSVs that have brought smiles to families’ faces for decades
Electrek’s Take
If I didn’t know any better, I’d say it’s like the Karens are just following me around to poo-poo on any alternative vehicle I happen to drive that week. They’ve hit all my favorites. Pretty soon, they’ll be coming for my electric tractors, too!
But seriously, this feels like déjà vu. The same arguments we’ve heard for years against e-bikes are now being recycled against golf carts: too unsafe, too disruptive, too “different” from the car-centric status quo.
But the reality is, again, quite the same as e-bikes. These are small electric vehicles that make a ton of sense and are totally street legal, at least when they’re built correctly to conform to the proper laws.
They come with a lot of the same benefits, too. They’re cheap to operate, easy to park, perfect for short trips, and they prevent larger cars from needlessly clogging residential streets. Will they ruffle feathers among the kind of folks who have had one too many frisbees land in their yard? Perhaps. But much like e-bikes, their popularity is only going one direction – up.
I leave you with a few images of perhaps my favorite of all, the Kandi Mini. The nay-sayers can pull it from my cold, dead, golf
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