Sir Keir Starmer says he has a “renewed spring” in his step after Labour’s victories in Tamworth and Mid Bedfordshire – but warns there is still “a mountain to climb” if his party is to take power at the next general election.
Labour overturned two huge Conservative majorities in last night’s by-elections, dealing a double blow to Rishi Sunak in results viewed as significant markers ahead of a national poll next year.
But speaking to Sky News’ political editor Beth Rigby, the Labour leader said he “accepted victories like this humbly”, and there was still work to do to earn the “trust and confidence” of voters across the country.
“I know how big a task it is to get the Labour Party from where we landed in the last general election to a Labour majority at the next election,” said Sir Keir.
“That is a mountain to climb. We are climbing that mountain, we can see the summit with these victories. But we have still got to get there.
“So what [these wins] give me is a renewed spring in my step to take the team up a level again and show that we can now win anywhere and that former Tory voters are now voting Labour.”
He also played down comparisons to Tony Blair – the last Labour prime minister who secured three election wins – but said he hoped to “follow in the footsteps of a leader of our party who took us from opposition to power, and that’s where these results are so important as a step along their journey”.
The two contests were triggered by the high-profile departures of the areas’ previous MPs.
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Former cabinet minister Nadine Dorries’s long drawn-out resignation in Mid Bedfordshire came in anger at being denied a peerage in Boris Johnson’s resignation honours list.
And in Tamworth, Chris Pincher resigned after being found to have drunkenly groped two men at London’s exclusive Carlton Club last year – an incident which helped trigger Mr Johnson’s exit from No 10 because of his handling of the situation.
This was despite the Conservatives having held the rural seat since 1931, and winning with a 24,664 majority in 2019.
In Tamworth, the party was defending a 19,600 majority, but a 23.9 percentage point swing to Labour saw that eradicatedas Sarah Edwards defeated Tory Andrew Cooper by a majority of 1,316.
The historic result was the second-highest-ever by-election swing to Labour.
After romping to electoral success in traditional Labour-held seats in the 2019 general election, Boris Johnson continually said he knew people had lent their votes to him and the Tories needed to repay their trust.
Sir Keir Starmer is now making a very similar point.
Speaking in Mid Bedfordshire, the Labour leader put great emphasis on the need to “take this incredible victory humbly”.
And in his interview with Beth Rigby, he also repeatedly refused to get too excited, adopting a deliberately measured tone.
One of the party’s mantras right now is ‘don’t get complacent’ – and this is fully on show today.
All that said, off camera and behind closed doors there is a surging sense of confidence in Labour that was on display in the bars and receptions of their recent conference in Liverpool.
The irony of Mid Bedfordshire is that you wouldn’t bet against the Tories re-taking it come the general election.
That’s because part of the reason Labour took the seat is the vicious three-way fight with the Lib Dems and Tories that’s taken place here in recent weeks.
There will be a higher turnout come a national vote, with potentially more Tory voters turning up at polling stations and the attention of the Lib Dems likely to be elsewhere.
But it’s important to note that Labour doesn’t necessarily need to take places like Mid Bedfordshire to win the next general election.
And what this stunning victory will do in the weeks and months ahead is add to the broader sense that Sir Keir really is on the path to Downing Street, even if the Labour leader won’t say that himself.
The Tories have sought to portray the by-elections as mid-term blips, exacerbated by the difficulties surrounding the previous MPs.
The party’s chairman, Greg Hands, also claimed to Sky News that “the big problem” was Conservative voters “staying at home”, rather than switching allegiances.
“I [campaigned] more than 10 times in Mid Bedfordshire, five times in Tamworth, [and] I didn’t have a single person come to the doorstep saying that the solution to their problems was Keir Starmer and the Labour Party,” he said.
“We need to make sure, think about and reflect on particularly the large number of Conservative voters who stayed at home. We need to think about how to energise them.
“They realise this is a by-election which would not be determining who is the government. Rishi Sunak will carry on being prime minister.
“Things could be very different at a general election going forward. Governments traditionally don’t do well at by-elections and nor are by-elections necessarily a good prediction of how a future general election will pan out.”
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Greg Hands says the results were ‘disappointing’ for the Conservatives
But Sir Keir said the excuse “doesn’t really hold water”, telling Beth Rigby: “Tory voters did turn out and some of them turned out to vote Labour. That is the real significance of these victories.”
Elections expert Professor Sir John Curtice said the two results were “extremely bad news” for the Conservatives and suggested Mr Sunak was on course for general election defeat.
“This isn’t destiny, but it is a pointer and it is a pointer that, unless the Conservatives can fairly dramatically and fairly radically turn things around, then they are in truth staring defeat in the face in 12 months’ time.”
He warned the Tories risked seeing votes drift to Labour on the left and Reform UK on the right.
Labour’s Tamworth victor Ms Edwards used her victory speech to call on Mr Sunak to “do the decent thing and call a general election”, while in Mid Bedfordshire Mr Strathern said his win showed “nowhere is off limits for this Labour Party”.
While Tamworth was seen as a two-horse race between Labour and the Tories, the Liberal Democrats were also seen as being in the running for Mid Bedfordshire – prompting concerns that the governing party might squeak through on a massively reduced majority because of a split in the anti-Conservative vote.
Despite coming third in a seat they had hoped to win, the party was positive about the result, saying they doubled their vote share and if that was mirrored in a general election, it would mean winning “dozens of seats off the Conservatives”.
Image: The two newest Labour MPs – Sarah Edwards and Alistair Strathern
Deputy party leader Daisy Cooper told Sky News: “Clearly we were very disappointed not to win either of the by-elections… [but] we managed to win over thousands and thousands of supporters, votes from people who were former, lifelong Conservative voters.
“We feel as though we have been instrumental in helping to defeat the Conservatives in [Mid Bedfordshire]. And we hope very much to be instrumental in defeating the Conservatives at the next general election.”
Mr Sunak was out of the country as the by-election results came in, spending the night in Saudi Arabia on a tour of the Middle East in the aftermath of the Hamas attacks on Israel.
Met Police Commissioner Sir Mark Rowley has said his officers should not be “policing toxic culture wars debates” as he responded to his force’s arrest of Father Ted writer Graham Linehan over anti-trans posts.
The UK’s top police officer said his officers are in an “impossible position”, adding that he has offered to provide suggestions to the Home Office about clarifying the law and policy.
“Greater clarity and common sense would enable us to limit the resources we dedicate to tackling online statements to those cases creating real threats in the real world,” he said.
Mr Rowley added that the Metropolitan police will be more selective about what social media posts it should investigate in future.
“We will be putting in place a more stringent triaging process to make sure only the most serious cases are taken forward in future – where there is a clear risk of harm or disorder.”
Image: Sir Mark Rowley (left) has waded into the controversy surrounding online posts by Graham Linehan (right). File pic: PA
It comes hours after health secretary Wes Streeting told Sky News the government needs to look at whether police are “getting the balance right”.
The health secretary told Sky News Breakfast with Wilfred Frost that he can’t comment on the specifics of the case, as operational police decisions are “rightly independent of politicians”.
However, Mr Streeting said more generally that the government would rather see “police on the streets rather than policing tweets”.
The cabinet member added: “It’s the easiest thing in the world for people to criticise the police, but they are enforcing laws that parliament has passed and asked them to enforce.
“So if we haven’t got the balance right, as Parliament over successive governments, that is something that we need to look at because the Home Secretary is very clear about what her priorities are”.
He said that those priorities are neighbourhood policing and keeping borders safe.
Writing on Substack, Lineham said that after flying into the UK from Arizona, he was detained by five armed officers at Heathrow Airport and put in a cell before being questioned over posts published on X in April.
He added that officials became concerned for his health after taking his blood pressure, and he was taken to hospital.
The arrest has drawn criticism from opposition politicians.
Shadow justice secretary Robert Jenrick said the incident was “ridiculous and a complete waste of police time”.
Reform UK leader Nigel Farage said he would raise the case when he gives evidence to the House Judiciary Committee in Washington on free speech in the UK during a hearing on Wednesday, The Sun reported.
Image: Nigel Farage will raise the case in Washington. Pic: PA
Harry Potter author JK Rowling, who has regularly shared her views on women’s rights in relation to transgender rights on social media, also waded into the row, posting on X: “What the f*** has the UK become? This is totalitarianism. Utterly deplorable.”
Sir Keir Starmer’s official spokesman said it was an operational matter for the police when asked about the arrest yesterday.
He added: “The prime minister and the home secretary have been clear about where their priorities for crime and policing are, and that’s tackling anti-social behaviour, shoplifting, street crime, as well as reducing serious violent crimes like knife crime and violence against women”.
Asked whether the government agreed with the Harry Potter author’s claim that the UK was now a “totalitarian” state, the spokesman said: “No.”
A Met Police spokeswoman confirmed an arrest was made at Heathrow Airport on Monday, but did not identify Linehan.
In a statement, the force said: “On Monday, 1 September at 1pm officers arrested a man at Heathrow Airport after he arrived on an inbound American Airlines flight.
“The man in his 50s was arrested on suspicion of inciting violence. This is in relation to posts on X.
“After being taken to police custody, officers became concerned for his health and he was taken to hospital. His condition is neither life-threatening nor life-changing.
“He has now been bailed pending further investigation.”
Angela Rayner has admitted she did not pay the right amount of stamp duty on the purchase of her second home and has referred herself to the independent adviser on ministerial standards.
Speaking to Sky News’ political editor Beth Rigby on the Electoral Dysfunction podcast, the deputy prime minister became tearful as she claimed she received incorrect tax advice and spoke to her family about “packing it all in”.
Ms Rayner, who is also the housing secretary, has been under scrutiny after a report in The Daily Telegraph claimed she avoided £40,000 in stamp duty on a flat in Hove by removing her name from the deeds of another property in Greater Manchester.
In a lengthy statement released today, she said it was a “complex living arrangement” as her first home was sold to a trust following her divorce to provide stability for her teenage son, who has lifelong disabilities and is the sole beneficiary of the trust.
She said initial legal advice was that the standard rate of stamp duty applied but following media reports she sought expert counsel who said more tax is due.
She added that these matters were confidential but she applied to a court yesterday to get this lifted in the interests of public transparency.
In a subsequent interview with Beth Rigby, a visibly upset Ms Rayner said: “I’ve been in shock, really, because I thought I’d done everything properly, and I relied on the advice that I received and I’m devastated because I’ve always upheld the rules and always have felt proud to do that.
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“That it is devastating for me and the fact that the reason why those confidential clauses were in place was to protect my son, who, through no fault of his own, he’s vulnerable, he’s got this life changing, lifelong conditions and I don’t want him or anything to do with his day-to-day life, to be subjected to that level of scrutiny.”
Asked if she thought about quitting rather than disclose the details about her son, the cabinet minister added: “I spoke to my family about it. I spoke to my ex-husband, who has been an incredibly supportive person because he knows that all I’ve done is try and support my family and help them.”
PM backs Rayner
The statement dropped shortly before the first PMQs following the summer recess. Tory leader Kemi Badenoch said Sir Keir Starmer should fire his deputy.
“If he had backbone, he would sack her,” she said.
However Sir Keir defended Ms Rayner, saying he is “very proud to sit alongside” her.
“She has explained her personal circumstances in detail. She’s gone over and above in setting out the details, including yesterday afternoon asking a court to lift a confidentiality order in relation to her own son.”
He added: “I am very proud to sit alongside a deputy prime minister who is building 1.5m homes, who is bringing the biggest upgrade to workers rights in a generation, and has come from a working class background to become deputy prime minister of this country.”