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A historic night saw Labour overturn the biggest-ever Conservative majority in a parliamentary by-election.

The seat of Tamworth became vacant when Chris Pincher resigned after losing his Standards Committee appeal.

Mr Pincher secured a 42.6% majority in 2019. In a catastrophic loss for the Tories, Labour have overturned what was one of the Conservative’s safest seats.

With a 23.9 point swing in Labour’s favour, it knocks Selby and Ainsty into third place and becomes the second biggest Conservative defeat to Labour on swing.

They did it on a turnout figure of 35.9%, the lowest ever turnout for a seat that’s changed hands in a by-election. It really is a record-breaking result on all fronts.

Politics latest: Second by-election defeat on terrible night for Tories

The Tamworth result now means that the three biggest ever overturned Tory majorities at by-elections were in this parliament.

Tamworth gets the top spot, Tiverton and Honiton in 2022 comes second and Shropshire North in 2021 claims the bronze medal.

In a double blow, the Conservatives have also lost Mid Bedfordshire to Labour.

Labour’s Alistair Strathern replaces Nadine Dorries as the MP after her long-awaited resignation. The Conservative vote share collapsed and Labour overturned a 38.1% majority.

This seat is the first recent contest where both Labour and the Liberal Democrats have campaigned as if they could win it. It was expected that this would split the challenger vote enough for the Conservatives to hold on.

In the end, there was a 20.5 point swing from Conservative to Labour, and a 19.6 swing from Conservative to Liberal Democrats – both swings big enough to take the seat.

So while the vote did splinter, Labour persuaded enough of the electorate and came out on top.

It’s also a result that makes the by-election league tables. It’s the sixth biggest swing from the Tories to Labour.

This is the seventh biggest Conservative majority overturned, meaning half of the largest 10 Conservative defeats have been in this parliament. Four of them while Rishi Sunak has been PM.

They’re trying to brush off these colossal losses as mid-term blues, but this is at odds with their “time for change” message.

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Double by-election defeat for Tories

Turnout was 44% in Mid Bedfordshire, making it the third biggest turnout drop where a seat has changed hands.

This could be because a greater number of Conservative voters stayed home, however there’s likely to be other factors at play.

Voters don’t feel the same strength of attachment to political parties as they used to, so they’re more likely to switch who they vote for between elections.

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When thinking about what this might mean for a general election, it’s worth remembering the scale of the victory Labour need to win the next general election.

They need a bigger swing than Tony Blair’s landslide.

They must recover from their biggest defeat in over 80 years to make 124 gains – something they’ve only ever done three times.

However, swings like these allow Sir Keir Starmer to say that’s a feasible goal. Labour need just over half the swing they achieved in Tamworth to win a majority of seats.

Plus, their recent Rutherglen victory allows them to say they can win Scotland.

But these by-elections had outgoing MPs involved in widely known controversies or scandals. Whether Labour can replicate this success in a typical electoral context remains to be seen.

What we do know is that the scale of the Conservative defeat has made the record books.

Dr Hannah Bunting is lecturer in Quantitative British Politics at the University of Exeter and Sky News Elections Analyst

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Lisa Nandy says Sir Keir Starmer ‘very sensible’ to accept football tickets worth thousands

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Lisa Nandy says Sir Keir Starmer 'very sensible' to accept football tickets worth thousands

Lisa Nandy has said Sir Keir Starmer’s decision to accept thousands of pounds worth of football tickets was “very sensible”.

The minister for culture, media and sport also said she had never accepted free clothes from a donor.

Speaking to Sky News at the start of the Labour Party conference today, the MP for Wigan said: “The problem that has arisen since [Sir Keir] became leader of the opposition and then prime minister is that for him to sit in the stands would require a huge security detail, would be disruptive for other people and it would cost the taxpayer a lot of money.

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PM ‘pays for his season ticket’

“So I think he’s taken a very sensible decision that’s not the right and appropriate thing to do, and it’s right to accept that he has to go and sit in a different area.

“But I know that he’d much rather be sitting in the stands cheering people on with the usual crowd that he’s been going to the football with for years.”

Ms Nandy also said while she has not accepted free clothes – joking “I think you can probably see that I choose my own clothes sadly” – she doesn’t “make any judgements about what other members of parliament do”.

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She said: “The only judgement I would make is if they’re breaking the rules, so they’re trying to hide what they’re doing. That’s when problems arise.

“Because the point of being open and transparent is that people can see where the relationships are, and they can then judge for themselves whether there’s been any undue influence.”

She asserted there had not been an undue influence in gifts accepted by senior Labour figures, adding: “We don’t want the news and the commentary to be dominated by conversations about clothes.

“We rightly have a system, I think, where the taxpayer doesn’t fund these things. We don’t claim on expenses for them. And so MPs will always take donations, will always take gifts in kind.

“MPs of all political parties have historically done that and that is the system that we have.”

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She added: “I don’t think there’s any suggestion here that Keir Starmer has broken any rules. I don’t think there’s any suggestion that he’s done anything wrong.

“We expect our politicians to be well turned out, we expect them to be people who go out and represent us at different events and represent the country at different events and are clothed appropriately.

“But the point is that when we accept donations for that or for anything else, that we declare them and we’re open and transparent about them.”

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Sir Keir, Angela Rayner and Rachel Reeves said yesterday they will no longer accept donations in the future to pay for clothes.

The announcement followed criticism of Sir Keir’s gifts from donors, which included clothing worth £16,200 and multiple pairs of glasses worth £2,485, according to the MPs’ register of interests.

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The register shows Ms Rayner has accepted clothing donations to the value of £2,230.

Sky News also revealed the scale of Sir Keir’s donations this week as part of our Westminster Accounts investigation.

Sir Keir was found to have received substantially more gifts and freebies than any other MP – his total in gifts, benefits, and hospitality topped £100,000 since December 2019.

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AI may lead to inflationary pressures: Bank of Canada

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AI may lead to inflationary pressures: Bank of Canada

Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem highlighted the potential risks AI poses to inflation and financial stability in the short term.

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Bank of Canada just says no to retail CBDC in reshuffling of priorities

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Bank of Canada just says no to retail CBDC in reshuffling of priorities

Regulating and speeding up payments without a CBDC are more important to the Canadian central bank.

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