Clean energy will transform the global energy system by 2030, and solar and EVs are providing “hope for the way forward,” according to the IEA’s new “World Energy Outlook 2023,” released today.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) describes a global energy system in 2030 that includes almost 10 times as many EVs on the road worldwide compared to 2023. In 2020, the authors note, 1 in 25 cars sold was electric – and in 2023, it’s now 1 in 5. So in light of that, it’s not hard to imagine how EV adoption momentum is going to propel forward so dramatically for the rest of the decade.
In 2030, the IEA is now projecting that solar is going to generate more electricity than the entire US power system does currently. It expects renewables’ share of the global electricity mix to reach nearly 50%, up from around 30% today. It sees three times as much investment going into new offshore wind projects than into new coal- and gas-fired power plants. And it expects heat pumps and other electric heating systems to outsell fossil fuel boilers globally.
“The transition to clean energy is happening worldwide and it’s unstoppable. It’s not a question of ‘if,’ it’s just a matter of ‘how soon’ – and the sooner the better for all of us,” said IEA executive director Fatih Birol.
Solar is leading the renewables revolution from the front. Renewables are set to contribute 80% of new power generation capacity to 2030 under current national policies, with solar alone accounting for more than half of this expansion. The world is projected to deploy 500 GW of solar by 2030, but it’s also set to have manufacturing capacity for more than 1,200 GW of solar panels per year. If the world were to reach deployment of 800 GW of new solar capacity by the end of the decade, that would lead to a further 20% reduction in coal-fired power generation in China in 2030 compared with a scenario based on today’s policy settings.
And in a major first in an IEA World Energy Outlook scenario, it’s predicting that the share of fossil fuels – to be clear, that’s natural gas, coal, and oil – in global energy supply, which has been stuck for decades at around 80%, declines to 73% by 2030, with global energy-related CO2 emissions peaking by 2025.
Global energy think tank Ember calculated that the IEA has upgraded the estimated renewables growth in its 2023 report by a mighty 62% from last year’s outlook. “This report signals a major upgrade to the outlook for renewables,” said Ember’s global insights lead, Dave Jones. “It’s been a long time coming, but renewable electricity will soon be built at a scale that can at last halt the rise of fossil fuels, not just within the power sector, but across the entire economy.”
If countries deliver on their current energy policies and climate pledges on time and in full, clean energy progress will move even faster. But stronger measures are still needed to “keep alive the goal of limiting” global warming to 1.5C, asserts the IEA, and it states that to do so is “possible but very difficult.”
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Dominion Energy’s wind turbines located 27 miles off of Virginia Beach in the Atlantic Ocean on July 17, 2023.
Kendall Warner | Virginian Pilot | Getty Images
The Trump administration on Monday halted Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind, the largest project of its kind in the U.S., as well as four other projects off the East Coast in a devastating blow to the wind industry.
Shares of Dominion Energy, the utility developing the project, dropped more than 5% on the news.
The administration also paused leases for Vineyard Wind 1 off Massachusetts, Revolution Wind off Rhode Island, Sunrise Wind off Long Island and New England, and Empire Wind 1 south of Long Island.
Interior Secretary Doug Burgum said the administration paused leases for the projects due to national security concerns identified by the Pentagon.
Shares of Denmark’s Orsted, the developer of the Revolution and Sunrise projects, tumbled 11%. Norway’s Equinor, the developer of Empire Wind 1, was down less than 1%.
Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind is a 176 turbine project project that would provide enough power for more than 600,000 homes, according to Dominion. The project was expected to be complete next year.
Dominion said the massive project is essential for U.S. national security and Virginia’s dramatically growing energy needs. Northern Virginia is the largest hub for data centers in the world. Growing demand from artificial intelligence is contributing to higher electricity prices in the state.
“Stopping CVOW for any length of time will threaten grid reliability for some of the nation’s most important war fighting, AI, and civilian assets,” Dominion said in a statement.
“It will also lead to energy inflation and threaten thousands of jobs,” the utility said.
Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin, a Republican, supports the project. Incoming Gov. Abigail Spanberger, a Democrat, won the gubernatorial election in November on a promise to address rising electricity costs in part by expanding renewable energy.
The Interior Department said in a statement that the pause will give the federal government time to “work with leaseholders and state partners to assess the possibility of mitigating the national security risks posed by these projects.”
Interior said the U.S. government found that turbine blades and “highly reflective towers” create radar interference risk.
“The clutter caused by offshore wind projects obscures legitimate moving targets and generates false targets in the vicinity of the wind projects,” Interior said.
President Donald Trump has targeted the U.S. wind industry since his first day in office. Trump on Jan. 20 ordered a halt to all new leases and permits for onshore and offshore wind pending federal review.
Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., condemned Trump’s campaign against wind projects as “irrational.” The senate minority leader said Interior’s decision would spike energy bills.
“Trump’s obsession with killing offshore wind projects is unhinged, irrational, and unjustified,” Schumer said in a statement Monday. “At a time of soaring energy costs, this latest decision from DOI is a backwards step that will drive energy bills even higher.”
Trump’s campaign against the wind industry has run afoul of the courts. Judge Patti Saris of the U.S. District Court for the District of Massachusetts ruled on Dec. 8 that Trump’s order was “arbitrary and capricious and contrary to law.”
Thanks to a clever, fully electric swing system and “boom up” power assist features, the big PC365-11 hybrid excavator from Komatsu promises better performance and serious fuel savings compared to conventional diesel machines.
Komatsu says its PC365-11 hybrid excavator uses a “boom-up” power assist feature that captures and stores kinetic energy during different operation cycles, then taps into that power to provide an extra energy boost when needed. The result is 15% more productivity and a 20% improvement in fuel efficiency when compared to non-hybrid excavators in ~40 ton class.
“The PC365LC-11 was engineered for excellence in multifunction applications by leveraging its innovative electric powertrain system to boost job site productivity while reducing fuel consumption,” says Matthew Moen, Komatsu’s product manager. “To highlight these performance enhancements, we’re emphasizing the concept of ‘multifunction plus’ as the defining feature of this machine.”
And, thanks to Komatsu’s proprietary software, all of this energy capture and reuse happens automagically during normal work, without the need for external charging. The fuel savings happen because removing the hydraulic load from the ICE engine allows it to run at an ultra-low idle, while the productivity comes from the greater power and overall speed of the electric operations vs. conventional hydraulics.
Electrek’s Take
Komatsu lunar excavator; image by the author.
Trust me when I tell you that Komatsu didn’t wake up one day and decide to build a capacitor-based hybrid crane. One of their customers had the idea and came to them, promising orders. That’s what Komatsu does – from undersea remote control dozers to lunar mining rigs (above), if you bring Komatsu an order, they will absolutely find a way to fill it.
As for PC365-11 hybrid excavator, it’s packed with clever tech, overall – offering significant fuel, emissions, and TCO reductions without dramatically changing the operational logistics of an existing fleet’s operations. That’s all the sales pitch it needs.
If you’re considering going solar, it’s always a good idea to get quotes from a few installers. To make sure you find a trusted, reliable solar installer near you that offers competitive pricing, check out EnergySage, a free service that makes it easy for you to go solar. It has hundreds of pre-vetted solar installers competing for your business, ensuring you get high-quality solutions and save 20-30% compared to going it alone. Plus, it’s free to use, and you won’t get sales calls until you select an installer and share your phone number with them.
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For serious fleet buyers, safety isn’t a “nice-to-have,” it’s an absolute must – and Kia’s new PV5 electric van meets that need with a positively stellar, five-star safety rating on the tough European NCAP safety test.
The new “do-it-all” Kia PV5 showed strong performance across a number of key safety categories, including Occupant Protection, Safety Assist/Crash Avoidance, and Post-Crash Safety. The PV5’s robust suite of standard ADAS technologies that includes AEB, Lane Support System, and Speed Assistance System also helped the new electric work van to deliver top marks in the NCAP’s “real world” test scenarios.
The Euro NCAP tests highlighted the strong performance of a number of the PV5’s ADAS features, specifically calling out the following:
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Demonstrated strong responsiveness in vehicle-to-vehicle scenarios
Provides additional protection for pedestrians behind the vehicle
Avoided collisions in most pedestrian and cyclist test cases
The Kia PV5 slots into familiar territory for US buyers, landing roughly in the same size class as the Ford Transit Connect or Ram ProMaster City, with ~180 cubic feet of interior cargo space available, which is plenty to make it attractive for last-mile delivery and trade work in tight urban markets.
Globally, the PV5 is offered with a number of battery options, including a smaller 43.3 kWh Lithium-Iron-Phosphate (LFP) pack, as well as larger Nickel-Cobalt-Manganese (NCM) packs at 51.5 kWh and 71.2 kWh. The longest-range versions are good for about 250 miles of estimated range – more than enough for Kia to make a case for it as a practical, city-focused alternative to much larger (and pricier) electric vans.
Larger vans, by the way, that may not have that 5 star Euro NCAP rating.
Kia PV5
SOURCE | IMAGES: Kia; photo by Scooter Doll.
If you’re considering going solar, it’s always a good idea to get quotes from a few installers. To make sure you find a trusted, reliable solar installer near you that offers competitive pricing, check out EnergySage, a free service that makes it easy for you to go solar. It has hundreds of pre-vetted solar installers competing for your business, ensuring you get high-quality solutions and save 20-30% compared to going it alone. Plus, it’s free to use, and you won’t get sales calls until you select an installer and share your phone number with them.
Your personalized solar quotes are easy to compare online and you’ll get access to unbiased Energy Advisors to help you every step of the way. Get started here.
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