Southeast Asia’s digital economies are set to reach $218 billion in total value of transactions this year, jumping 11% from a year ago despite global macroeconomic headwinds, a new report by Google, Temasek and Bain & Company revealed.
“Southeast Asia has weathered global macroeconomic headwinds with more resilience, compared to other regions around the world … Consumer confidence is starting to rebound in second half 2023 after falling to lower levels in first half 2023,” said the report titled e-Conomy SEA 2023.
The yearly report analyzed the five main sectors of Southeast Asia’s digital economy – e-commerce, travel, food and transport, online media and digital financial services.
The report also revealed revenue in Southeast Asia’s digital economy is expected to hit $100 billion this year, growing 1.7 times as fast as the region’s total transaction value.
This is because firms are shifting focus from “growth at all costs” to profitability, in a bid to build “healthy” businesses.
“Southeast Asia’s digital economy is really in the midst of an unprecedented pivot towards profitability. There’s now a laser-like focus on high quality revenue and monetization, which, quite frankly, is incredibly healthy,” Fock Wai Hoong, head of Southeast Asia at Temasek, said on CNBC’s “Street Signs Asia” on Wednesday.
The report covered six major economies: Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. It did not address the populations of Brunei, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, East Timor and Papua New Guinea.
“Keeping the focus on the digital participation gap and resolutely removing barriers to enable more Southeast Asians to become active users of digital products and services will help the region unlock further growth in the digital decade,” Sapna Chadha, vice president at Google Southeast Asia, said in the report.
Sectors driving growth
Online businesses are moving from acquiring users at high costs, to deepening engagement with existing customers in a bid to steer focus to profitability, the report noted.
“Companies and entrepreneurs now realize that the best way to grow is not grow at all costs, and stretch this early stage mentality across a scale, but quite frankly, to transition as quickly as possible through early stage, growth stage and towards more financial sustainability,” Fock told CNBC’s JP Ong.
The report noted e-commerce platforms are focusing more on engaging high-value users, growing transaction sizes as well as looking to revenue streams such as advertising and delivery services to drive long-term growth. The sector’s gross transaction value is estimated to hit $186 billion in 2025, up from $139 billion in 2023.
As underbanked consumers and small businesses participate in the digital economy, consumer demand has driven digital lending – which the report said comprised the majority of the $30 billion worth of revenue in digital financial services. Singapore is expected to be the biggest digital lending market in the region through 2030.
Thanks to a post-Covid recovery, online travel and transport sectors are on track to hit pre-pandemic levels by 2024, according to the report. Despite a return to in-person dining and cutting of promotions, food delivery revenue – which falls under the transport sector – hit $800 million in 2023, jumping 60% from a year ago.
Thailand is seeing “significant momentum” where online travel is the main growth driver in 2023, growing 85% year-on-year.
Dry powder still on the rise
Macro headwinds such as inflation and high cost of capital have caused the deployment of private funding to plunge to its lowest level in six years, the report noted.
Despite investors being pickier, “dry powder” increased to $15.7 billion at the end of 2022, up from $12.4 billion in 2021. The report noted the term refers to “the amount of capital that has been committed minus the amount that has been called for investment.”
“This shows that there is fuel available to propel Southeast Asia’s digital economy to the next stage of growth,” the report said.
To attract funding in this current economic climate, digital companies need to show investors that they have clear and viable paths to profitability.
Digital financial services remains the top sector where investors are deploying capital in, due to its high monetization potential.
The report also noted that nascent sectors in the region such as health tech, education tech and automotive are seeing “a growing portion of deal activity,” in a signal that “investors are diversifying portfolios.”
Despite rising competition, Nvidia holds 80% of the fast-growing market for artificial intelligence chips as the tech industry’s graphics processing unit, or GPU, of choice for making and deploying generative AI software.
What investors will want to see when Nvidia reports its third-quarter earnings on Wednesday is whether it can continue to grow at a fierce rate, even as the boom in AI enters its third year.
Nvidia is entering “uncharted territory” as it attempts to continue growing on a $3.5 trillion market cap, wrote HSBC analyst Frank Lee in a report this week.
“We have pondered this amazing growth trajectory and not only do we see no signs of a slowdown, we expect further upside in 2026 data center momentum,” Lee said in his note. He has a buy rating on the stock.
Future growth will have to come from Blackwell, its next-generation chip that has just started shipping to end-users such as Microsoft, Google and OpenAI. More important than Nvidia’s third-quarter results will be what the company says about demand for the Blackwell chip.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will likely update investors about how that is shaping up on Wednesday, and he will potentially address reports that some of the systems based on Blackwell chips are experiencing overheating issues.
In August, Nvidia said it expected about “several billion” in Blackwell sales during the January quarter.
“Our base case is for NVDA to ship ~100K Blackwell GPUs in 4Q, which we believe is near the low-end of investor expectations,” Raymond James analyst Srini Pajjuri wrote in a note last week. He has a strong buy rating on the stock.
Since Nvidia’s last earnings report, the stock is up nearly 19%, capping off a stunning run that has seen the share price rise eightfold since ChatGPT was released in late 2022. Alongside the stock’s rise has been a fierce increase in sales and margin, and its forward price to earnings ratio has expanded to just under 50, according to FactSet.
Growth is slowing, but that is partially because Nvidia’s top line is so much larger than before. Nvidia reported 122% growth in sales in the most-recent quarter. That was lower than the 262% year-over-year growth it reported in the April quarter and the 265% growth in the January quarter.
Analysts polled by LSEG are expecting around $33.12 billion in revenue, which would be nearly 83% growth compared to a year ago. The company is also expected to post 75 cents in earnings per share, according to LSEG consensus estimates.
Nvidia’s data center business accounted for nearly 88% of sales in the most-recent quarter, taking the focus off the company’s legacy computer games business.
The company makes the chip for the Nintendo Switch, for example, which the Japanese video game company says is seeing major sales declines as the game console ages. Nvidia’s gaming business is expected to grow about 6% to $3.03 billion, according to a FactSet estimate. Its automotive business, making chips for electric cars, is still small, even though analysts expect it to grow 38% to about $360 million in sales.
But none of that will matter as long as Nvidia’s data center business continues to grow at a rate that is nearly doubling on an annual basis and Huang signals to investors that the party won’t end.
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella watches from the audience during a press briefing at Microsoft’s campus in Redmond, Washington, on May 20, 2024.
Jason Redmond | Afp | Getty Images
Microsoft is previewing a new PC that’s designed to connect corporate workers to their programs and files in the cloud.
The Windows 365 Cloud Link is available in limited use in the U.S., Canada and a handful of other countries. It will be for sale in a few markets at $349 in April.
After years spent failing to crack the list of top PC manufacturers with its Surface product line, Microsoft is trying something new in an established category of hardware. In the second quarter, Microsoft said its $1.2 billion in devices revenue was down about 11%, while total PC shipments increased about 2%, according to one estimate.
Early testers have used the devices in call centers and for hot-desking, the practice of temporarily placing workers in available work areas rather than having them stick to the same assigned spots, Jalleen Ringer, product leader for Windows cloud endpoints, told CNBC in an interview.
The device is meant to be simple and secure. It runs a stripped-down operating system called Windows CPC, with no local applications or local users, and has a strict application control policy that can’t be disabled. It automatically downloads updates in the background and installs them at night.
Microsoft’s Windows 365 Link supports dual 4K monitors.
Microsoft
An Intel chip runs inside the computer, which comes with 8GB of RAM and 64GB of storage. Weighing less than a pound, the puck-like package can be kept on a desk or even mounted behind a PC monitor.
The release comes three years after Microsoft introduced Windows 365, which gives employees access to their custom virtual desktops on any device. Desktop virtualization, including an earlier Microsoft product called Azure Virtual Desktop, took off after the start of the Covid pandemic in 2020, with workers stuck at home.
In July 2023, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said Azure Virtual Desktop and Windows 365 together generated $1 billion in revenue for the first time in the 2024 fiscal year.
Dell and HP both sell thin client PCs that connect to virtual desktop infrastructure. Organizations can configure them with Windows or proprietary operating systems.
The Windows 365 Cloud Link is a “nice alternative” to thin clients, said Melissa Grant, a senior director of product marketing at Microsoft.
On Monday, British tech lobby group Startup Coalition warned in a blog post that there was a risk Reeves’ tax plans could result in a tech “brain drain.”. (Photo by Oli Scarff/Getty Images)
Oli Scarff | Getty Images
Venture capital investment in European technology startups is projected to decline for a third straight year, according to VC firm Atomico — but there are signs that things are finally stabilizing as valuations improve and interest rates fall.
Europe’s venture-backed startups are expected to secure $45 billion of investment by the end of 2024 — slightly lower than the $47 billion they raised last year, Atomico said Tuesday in its “State of European Tech” report.
Still, Atomico said this shows that European tech funding levels have finally “stabilized” despite worsening global macroeconomic conditions leading to three consecutive years of declines.
The firm stressed that the continent’s tech ecosystem is in a much better place than it was a decade ago, with funding this year still set to eclipse the $43 billion startups raised between 2005 and 2014.
In the period spanning 2015 to 2024, European startups have bagged $426 billion, dwarfing the sum of investment deployed into tech firms the decade prior.
Tom Wehmeier, head of insights at Atomico, told CNBC that Europe still has a few key areas of improvement to address before it can produce companies of similar scale to the largest tech firms in the U.S. and China.
“There’s frustrations about the continued challenges faced when it comes to regulation, bureaucracy, access to capital and this idea of scaling across the fragmented European marketplace,” Wehmeier said in an interview.
For example, pension funds in Europe face barriers to investing in venture capital funds and therefore aren’t gaining much exposure to the continent’s fast-growing startup ecosystem, Wehmeier said.
European pension funds allocate just 0.01% of the $9 trillion worth of assets they manage into venture capital funds based in the continent, according to Atomico’s report.
The 2024 publication marks the 10th anniversary since Atomico began compiling its annual report, which is produced in partnership with data firm Dealroom.
Europe’s first $1 trillion tech firm?
According to Atomico there are signs that the sector is improving. In the U.K., for example, Finance Minister Rachel Reeves last week laid out plans to consolidate 86 separate local government pension pots into eight “megafunds” to boost investment in domestic assets.
British tech advocacy group techUK said the reforms “should address barriers to greater availability of pension fund capital and encourage a vision that sees more investment into UK tech science start-ups and scale-ups.”
Reforms to pension schemes are either underway or being discussed in several other countries across Europe.
“These changes could result in billions more being made available to European scale-ups — and that’s something that could be the difference between the best and brightest companies scaling from here in Europe, versus being forced to relocate,” Wehmeier told CNBC.
Atomico said it’s optimistic about the next decade in European tech. The VC firm, which was established by Skype co-founder Niklas Zennström, is predicting the entire European tech ecosystem combined could be valued at $8 trillion by 2034, up from around $3 trillion currently.
Atomico also predicts that Europe will mint its first-ever trillion-dollar tech company in a decade’s time.
While Europe is home to several so-called “decacorns” valued at $10 billion and above, including Arm, Adyen, Spotify and Revolut, it has so far failed to produce a company valued at $1 trillion.
That’s unlike the United States, where several of the so-called “Magnificent Seven” technology companies are now worth over $1 trillion. They include Google parent company Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook-owner Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla.
“If we can unlock capital at scale, keep the brightest minds in Europe, maintain that focus on solving really hard problems for society and the economy, that’s how we go and unlock the first trillion-dollar company,” Wehmeier said.