Connect with us

Published

on

Concern is growing about the risk of the Iran-backed militant group Hezbollah in Lebanon declaring all-out war with Israel.

Such a conflict would be of an order of magnitude far greater and deadlier than Israel’s war against Hamas in Gaza given the size and capabilities of the Lebanese force.

A sudden escalation yesterday in strikes by Hezbollah against targets across the border in the north of Israel is an ominous sign.

Follow live: Israel says forces have encircled Gaza City

Shia Islamist militants in Lebanon have been ramping up deadly attacks into northern Israel since war erupted between Israeli forces and Hamas, another Iran-supported militant group, in Gaza after its 7 October attacks.

While alarming, the violence had remained within a certain level of escalation that could be understood by the Israeli side not to signal a precursor to full-scale war.

The sharp rise in hostilities yesterday, including the first use of an explosive suicide drone, could well be changing that calculation, however. The Israeli military responded to the attacks with airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in Lebanon as well as tank and artillery fire.

Hezbollah’s latest activity pushed up tensions on Israel’s northern border to their highest level in the past nearly four-weeks of turmoil – which already marks the gravest crisis between the two sides since the 2006 Lebanon war.

Attention is now focused on a speech later today by Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of Hezbollah – his first public comments since Israel’s war with Hamas began.

Read more:
Could Hezbollah chief Nasrallah declare war on Israel?

A picture of Hassan Nasrallah is carried during a religious procession in Beirut in July
Image:
A picture of Hassan Nasrallah is carried during a religious procession in Beirut in July

Acutely aware of the risks of Hezbollah, supported by Iran, opening a new front against Israel, the United States has been doing everything within its power to deter escalation.

Two heavily armed aircraft carrier strike groups have been moved to the region, with the ability to strike against any perceived threat to US assets or allies.

Significant diplomatic efforts are also under way, with messages being relayed to Tehran and Hezbollah to caution against igniting a regional war.

Iran, which funds, trains and equips Hezbollah, as well as the militant group itself, will doubtless be balancing up the costly consequences of a regional war against the desire to hit Israel as its military is locked in conflict with Sunni Islamist Hamas.

Read more:
What social media videos tell us about number of dead in Gaza
Ordinary life suspended as Israeli military imposes ‘lockdown’ in West Bank

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Hezbollah militants ‘will be crippled’

Israel not taking any chances

The Israel Defence Forces is not taking any chances, ensuring that its troops are mobilised at the border in the north, supported by significant air power, at the same time as fighting Hamas in the south.

Israel has by far the most powerful military force.

However, Hezbollah can draw on some 20,000 full-time fighters, with tens of thousands of reservists as well as a huge arsenal of potent weapons – far more powerful than anything Hamas has.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Israel attacks what it says is Hezbollah military infrastructure in southern Lebanon.

This includes rockets and missiles with a range of up to 430 miles as well as precision-guided missiles – far more accurate and deadly than the rockets launched by Hamas.

In addition, Hezbollah has huge stockpiles of shorter-range munitions as well as armed drones.

It means any war between Israel and Hezbollah would have the potential to be far bloodier and more dangerous than the conflict between Israel and Hamas.

Hoping to deter the aggression, Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, warned last week that Hezbollah would be making the “mistake of its life” if it chose to attack.

“We will strike it with a force it cannot even imagine, and the significance for it and the state of Lebanon will be devastating.”

The escalation by Hezbollah yesterday, however, could indicate that the group is choosing not to listen.

Continue Reading

World

Trump has ‘heated phone call’ with Netanyahu over strike targeting Hamas in Qatar

Published

on

By

Trump has 'heated phone call' with Netanyahu over strike targeting Hamas in Qatar

Donald Trump had a heated phone call with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu after his military targeted Hamas inside Qatar, according to a report.

The American president told Mr Netanyahu on Tuesday that the decision to strike inside the US ally’s territory was not wise, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing senior administration officials.

The Israeli prime minister responded by saying he had a brief window to launch the airstrike and took the opportunity, according to the newspaper.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Anger over Israeli strikes on Qatar

A second call between the two leaders later that day was cordial, with Mr Trump asking Mr Netanyahu if the attack had been successful, the publication added.

Israel attempted to kill the political leaders of the Islamist group Hamas with the attack in the Qatari capital Doha on Tuesday.

Hamas has said its top leaders survived the airstrike, but five members were killed, including the son of its exiled Gaza chief and top negotiator Khalil al Hayya.

The Israeli military operation in Doha has been widely condemned internationally and was particularly sensitive as Qatar has been hosting and mediating in negotiations which are trying to bring about a ceasefire in the war in Gaza.

On Wednesday, Mr Netanyahu warned Qatar to either expel Hamas officials or “bring them to justice. Because if you don’t, we will”.

Qatar has hit back at him, saying his comments about the Gulf nation hosting a Hamas office were “reckless”.

Donald Trump with Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House earlier this year. Pic: Reuters
Image:
Donald Trump with Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House earlier this year. Pic: Reuters

Meanwhile, the Israeli ambassador to the US, Yechiel Leiter, has said that if Israel failed to kill Hamas leaders on Tuesday, it would succeed next time.

“We have put terrorists on notice, wherever they may be… we’re going to pursue them, and we’re going to destroy those who will destroy us,” he said.

The airstrike took place shortly after Hamas claimed responsibility for Monday’s shooting at a bus stop on the outskirts of Jerusalem that killed six people.

Read more:
Analysis: Israel has crossed a huge diplomatic red line

In another development, Sir Keir Starmer has had talks with Israeli President Isaac Herzog in Downing Street, with Mr Herzog saying they argued during a “tough meeting”.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

PM meets Israeli president

PM condemns Israeli action

The prime minister has condemned the Israeli attack in Qatar, and raised the matter with the president, saying it was “completely unacceptable”.

“He said the strikes were a flagrant violation of a key partner’s sovereignty and do nothing to secure the peace we all desperately want to see,” a Downing Street spokesperson said.

Follow the World
Follow the World

Listen to The World with Richard Engel and Yalda Hakim every Wednesday

Tap to follow

Israel has been angered by Britain’s plans to join several other Western countries, including France and Canada, in recognising a Palestinian state later this month – unless Israel meets conditions including a ceasefire in Gaza.

“Things were said that were tough and strong, and clearly we can argue, because when allies meet, they can argue. We are both democracies,” Mr Herzog said at an event at Chatham House.

He also proposed offering a “fact-finding mission” to Israel, “sitting with us and studying the situation in Gaza on the humanitarian level”.

“Because we have full answers, and we are fully transparent,” he said.

Continue Reading

World

Drones and salami: How Putin is testing the West with Poland airspace violation

Published

on

By

Drones and salami: How Putin is testing the West with Poland airspace violation

The unprecedented Russian drone attacks on Poland are both a test and a warning.  How Europe and NATO respond could be crucial to security on this continent.

The Russians are past masters at what’s called “salami slicing”. Tactics that use a series of smaller actions to produce a much bigger outcome that otherwise would have been far more provocative.

The Kremlin is probing the West with gradual but steady escalation. A British Council building and an EU installation are bombed in Kyiv; a senior EU official’s plane’s GPS is jammed.

On their own each provocation produces nothing more than rhetoric from the West – but new lines are crossed and Russia is emboldened.

Ukraine war latest: NATO chief sends message to Putin

Vladimir Putin has a history of testing the West. Pic: Sputnik/Alexei Druzhinin/Kremlin via Reuters
Image:
Vladimir Putin has a history of testing the West. Pic: Sputnik/Alexei Druzhinin/Kremlin via Reuters

Putin is good at this.

He used salami slicing tactics masterfully in 2014 with his “little green men” invasion of Crimea, a range of ambiguous military and diplomatic tactics to take control. The West’s confused delay in responding sealed Crimea’s fate.

He has just taken a larger slice of salami with his drone attacks on Poland.

A drone found in a field in Mniszkow, eastern Poland
Image:
A drone found in a field in Mniszkow, eastern Poland


They are of course a test of NATO’s readiness to deploy its Article 5 obligations. Russia has attacked a member state, allies believe deliberately.

Will NATO trigger the all for one, one for all mechanism in Poland’s defence and attack Russia? Not very likely.

But failing to respond projects weakness. Putin will see the results of his test and plot the next one.

Expect lots of talk of sanctions but remember they failed to avert this invasion and have failed to persuade Russia to reverse it. The only sanctions likely to bite are the ones the US president refuses to approve, on Russia’s oil trade.

Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player

Russia’s Poland incursion represents ‘new chapter’ in Ukraine war, expert says

So how are the drones also a warning? Well, they pose a question.

Vladimir Putin is asking the West if it really wants to become more involved in this conflict with its own forces. Europeans are considering putting boots on the ground inside Ukraine after any potential ceasefire.

If this latest attack is awkward and complicated and hard to respond to now, what happens if Russia uses hybrid tactics then?

Deniable, ambiguous methods that the Russians excel in could make life very difficult for the alliance if it is embroiled in Ukraine.

Think twice before committing your troops there, Russia is warning the West.

Read more:
The pivotal question for NATO
Trump ready to move to second stage of Russia sanctions

Follow The World
Follow The World

Listen to The World with Richard Engel and Yalda Hakim every Wednesday

Tap to follow

There is more Europe could do.

It could stop buying Russian energy, which it is still astonishingly importing – more than 20 billion euros a year at the last count.

It could use its massive economic advantage (20 times that of Russia’s, and that was before the war) to do more to fund Ukraine’s defence.

While it continues to do neither, expect more excruciating slices of the salami to come.

Continue Reading

World

Riot police clash with ‘Block Everything’ protesters in Paris

Published

on

By

Riot police clash with 'Block Everything' protesters in Paris

Riot police have clashed with protesters in Paris after they took to the streets in response to calls to ‘Block Everything’ over discontent with the French government.

Tens of thousands of people have taken to the streets of the French capital and other cities, including Marseille and Montpellier, in response to the online ‘Bloquons Tout’ campaign, which is urging people to strike, block roads, and other public services.

The government has deployed more than 80,000 officers to respond to the unrest, which has seen 200 arrested nationwide so far, according to police, and comes on the same day the new prime minister is being sworn in.

Demonstrators were seen rolling bins into the middle of roads to stop cars, while police rushed to remove the makeshift blockades as quickly as possible.

Tear gas was used by police outside Paris‘s Gare du Nord train station, where around 1,000 gathered, clutching signs declaring Wednesday a public holiday.

Others in the city blocked the entrance to a high school where firefighters were forced to remove burnt objects from a barricade.

Riot police with shields face off with protesters in Paris. Pic: Reuters
Image:
Riot police with shields face off with protesters in Paris. Pic: Reuters

Protesters block the streets in Paris on Wednesday. Pic: AP
Image:
Protesters block the streets in Paris on Wednesday. Pic: AP

"Block Everything" blockade a street in Paris. Pic: Reuters
Image:
“Block Everything” blockade a street in Paris. Pic: Reuters

A protester raises a red flare outside Paris's Gare du Nord train station. Pic: Reuters
Image:
A protester raises a red flare outside Paris’s Gare du Nord train station. Pic: Reuters

Elsewhere in the country, traffic disruptions were reported on major roads in Marseille, Montpellier, Nantes, and Lyon.

Interior Minister Bruno Retailleau told reporters a group of protesters had torched a bus in the Breton city of Rennes.

Read more
France’s economic crisis explained

Protesters fill the streets and block tram lines in Montpellier, southern France. Pic: Reuters
Image:
Protesters fill the streets and block tram lines in Montpellier, southern France. Pic: Reuters

A protester in Montpellier waves a lit flare. Pic: Reuters
Image:
A protester in Montpellier waves a lit flare. Pic: Reuters

Protesters hold a sign that reads: '10 September public holiday!!' in Paris. Pic: Reuters
Image:
Protesters hold a sign that reads: ’10 September public holiday!!’ in Paris. Pic: Reuters

Fourth prime minister in a year

The ‘Block Everything’ rallies come amid spiralling national debt and are similar to the Yellow Vest movement that broke out over tax increases during President Emmanuel Macron’s first term.

‘Bloquons tout’ was first spearheaded online by right-wing groups in May but has since been embraced by the left and far left, experts say.

On Monday, former Prime Minister Francois Bayrou lost a vote of no confidence, and was replaced by Sebastien Lecornu at the Hotel Matignon on Wednesday afternoon, becoming the fourth person in the job in just 12 months.

French outgoing Prime Minister Francois Bayrou (left) with his replacement Sebastien Lecornu at Paris's Hotel Matignon. Pic: Reuters
Image:
French outgoing Prime Minister Francois Bayrou (left) with his replacement Sebastien Lecornu at Paris’s Hotel Matignon. Pic: Reuters

Crowds of protesters outside Gare du Nord in Paris. Pic: Reuters
Image:
Crowds of protesters outside Gare du Nord in Paris. Pic: Reuters

'Block Everything' protesters outside Paris's Gare du Nord on Wednesday. Pic: Reuters
Image:
‘Block Everything’ protesters outside Paris’s Gare du Nord on Wednesday. Pic: Reuters

A teacher, Christophe Lalande, taking part in the Paris protests, told reporters at the scene: “Bayrou was ousted, [now] his policies must be eliminated.”

Elsewhere, union member Amar Lagha said: “This day is a message to all the workers of this country: that there is no resignation, the fight continues, and a message to this government that we won’t back down, and if we have to die, we’ll die standing.”

Continue Reading

Trending