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China’s astounding solar manufacturing expansion is going to dominate the global solar supply chain – and widen the technology and cost gap.

China invested over $130 billion into the solar industry in 2023. As a result, it will hold more than 80% of the world’s polysilicon, wafer, cell, and module manufacturing capacity from 2023 to 2026, according to Wood Mackenzie‘s recent report, “How will China’s expansion affect global solar module supply chains?”

China is projected to bring more than 1 terawatt (TW) of wafer, cell, and module capacity online by 2024. That means the country’s capacity is sufficient to meet annual global demand through 2032, based on Wood Mackenzie’s forecasts of annual demand growth. 

Huaiyan Sun, senior consultant at Wood Mackenzie and author of the report, said:

China’s solar manufacturing expansion has been driven by high margins for polysilicon, technology upgrades, and policy support.

And despite strong government initiatives for developing local manufacturing in overseas markets, China will still dominate the global solar supply chain and continue to widen the technology and cost gap with competitors.

China is the world’s solar powerhouse…

The US, Europe, and other markets have launched unprecedented solar manufacturing pushes. The US and India combined have announced more than 200 gigawatts (GW) of planned module capacity since 2022. The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) drove the surge in the US, and the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) increased solar module capacity in India.

But Wood Mackenzie says they’re still not cost-competitive compared to China’s supply. According to the report, a module made in China is 50% cheaper than one produced in Europe and 65% cheaper than the US.

Sun adds, “Despite considerable module expansion plans, overseas markets still cannot eliminate their dependence on China for wafers and cells in the next three years.”

When it comes to tech innovation, China will continue to lead. It’s announced it will build more than 1,000 GW of N-type cell capacity, the next-gen technology after P-type. (N-type cells have longer carrier life and higher efficiency.) That’s 17 times more N-type cell capacity than the rest of the world.

… But not everything is coming up roses

There’s intense competition and oversupply in the Chinese market, and that’s not expected to change anytime soon. As a result, some expansion plans are being canceled.

Old production lines that manufacture lower-efficiency products, such as the P-type and M6 cells, are where the oversupply problem is occurring. Demand for P-type cells began to decline this year, and Wood Mackenzie analysts expect it to be only 17% of supply by 2026. 

Sun said that “more than 70 GW of capacity in China has been terminated or suspended in the past three months.” As a result, China’s solar manufacturing industry is going to have a rough time. Module manufacturers will be forced to take orders at a loss, reduce capacity, or even shut down entirely.

Read more: Solar panel exports are breaking records – now let’s install them

Photo: China News Service


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OpenAI spearheads one of Europe’s biggest data centers with 100,000 Nvidia chips

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OpenAI spearheads one of Europe’s biggest data centers with 100,000 Nvidia chips

Jaque Silva| Nurphoto | Getty Images

OpenAI on Thursday said it is launching a Stargate-branded AI data center in Norway, marking its first foray into Europe with such a project.

British firm Nscale will design and build the site as part of a 50-50 joint venture with Norwegian energy infrastructure firm Aker.

OpenAI will be a so-called “off-taker” in the project, meaning it will effectively buy capacity from the data center.

“Part of the purpose of this project is to partner with OpenAI and leverage European sovereign compute to release additional services and features to the European continent,” Josh Payne, CEO of Nscale, told CNBC in an interview on Thursday.

The site aims to deliver 100,000 NVIDIA graphics processing units (GPU) by the end of 2026, “with the intention to expand significantly in the years ahead,” OpenAI said in a press release. The companies said the data center will run entirely on renewable power and have 230 megawatts of capacity, making it one of the biggest in Europe.

Nvidia’s GPUs have become the de facto choice of chips for data centers because of their ability to handle large AI workloads.

For the Norway project, Nscale and Aker have each committed around $1 billion to the initial 20MW phase of the project. The site will be located in Kvandal, just outside Narvik in northern Norway. The companies said the region is characterized by “abundant hydropower, low local electricity demand, and limited transmission capacity.”

Payne declined to comment on how Nscale would fund this project or the financial benefits of the project to the company. The CEO said there were no plans for additional Stargate data centers but that Nscale has its own “robust European expansion plan.”

Stargate was initially launched this year in the U.S. as an infrastructure project between OpenAI, Oracle, Japan’s SoftBank, and the UAE’s MGX. The project aims to invest $500 billion over the next four years, building out AI infrastructure.

OpenAI has looked to take this initiative globally. In June, the company and its partners announced plans to build a Stargate campus in the UAE.

Europe has meanwhile been pushing the concept of “sovereign AI,” requiring data centers and AI workloads to be located and processed on European soil.

Payne said Europe has two “problems” — the first is that it does not have enough computing capacity, and the second it is “very fragmented.”

“What the continent needs is large AI infrastructure projects deploying compute [power]. The ecosystem can consume from the project to build AI products, to generate productivity growth and economic benefit,” Payne said.

Companies like Nvidia and OpenAI have also been touting their ability to deliver sovereign AI as they look to expand their businesses.

In a trip to Europe this year, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang urged the continent to build more AI infrastructure. French AI company Mistral announced plans to use Nvidia’s GPUs in a new data center planned for France.

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Oil giant Shell posts profit beat, keeps share buyback pace steady at $3.5 billion

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Oil giant Shell posts profit beat, keeps share buyback pace steady at .5 billion

The brand logo of the mineral oil and natural gas company Shell plc can be seen at a filling station of the company in Nuremberg (Bavaria) on July 25, 2025.

Picture Alliance | Picture Alliance | Getty Images

Britain’s Shell on Thursday reported better-than-expected second-quarter profit and maintained the pace of its shareholder returns, despite the impact of lower global oil and gas prices.

The energy giant posted adjusted earnings of $4.26 billion for the three months through June, beating analyst expectations of $3.87 billion, according to an LSEG-compiled consensus.

A separate, company-provided analyst forecast had expected Shell’s second-quarter profit to come in at $3.74 billion.

Shell reported adjusted earnings of $6.29 billion over the same period last year and $5.58 billion in the first three months of 2025.

The results come shortly after the London-listed firm flagged weaker trading results at its integrated gas division and losses at its chemicals and products arm.

Shell also announced another $3.5 billion in share buybacks over the next three months, keeping the pace of its shareholder returns. It marks the 15th consecutive quarter of at least $3 billion in buybacks.

“The backdrop of the macro has been challenging, and what I would say is we continue on the momentum that we have in transforming Shell,” CEO Wael Sawan told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Thursday.

“On all measures, [I’m] pleased with that performance. And on the trading side, indeed, despite difficult macro, pleased with how the team has performed,” Sawan said.

Shares of Shell were up 2.5% at around 9 a.m. London time (4 a.m. ET).

Value creation

In March, Shell announced plans to prioritize shareholder returns, ramp up the cost of savings and double down on its liquified natural gas (LNG) push. The strategic update was designed to bolster its commitment to value creation, while maintaining focus on “performance, discipline and simplification.”

The plan appears to have been well received by investors. Shell’s share price has outperformed many of its European and U.S. rivals so far this year, notching gains of 8%. By comparison, Britain’s BP is up 3%, France’s TotalEnergies is down 2% and Exxon Mobil is up 4% over the same period.

Notably, Shell recently dismissed speculation about a possible takeover bid for BP, saying in late June that it had “no intention” of making an offer for its struggling domestic rival.

Shell is focused on "10% growth per share over the next 5 years", says CEO

Asked about the prospect of acquisitions and whether the current state of play means bigger is better for oil companies, Sawan replied: “I don’t buy bigger is better. I think you have to drive it from a value perspective.”

Shell’s CEO said scale is not of concern for the world’s largest trader of liquified natural gas (LNG).

“It is how do we leverage that scale by focusing on the areas where we have competitive strengths and the areas where can create value,” he addd.

‘You can be sure of Shell’

Customers pump gas into their vehicles at a Shell station on April 10, 2025 in Miami, Florida.

Joe Raedle | Getty Images

“Part of the reason is actually we have been outperforming. We have been able to just stick to our own story, just deliver on what we say we’re going to do. At Capital Markets Day we used the old tag line: ‘You can be sure of Shell,'” Sawan said.

“On the back of that, we feel more and more confident that our message is getting through to those pools of capital that want to invest in this differentiated investment thesis that we have,” he added.

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Windrose lines up $60M electric semi truck order PLUS South American expansion

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Windrose lines up M electric semi truck order PLUS South American expansion

It’s a big day for upstart electric semi truck manufacturer Windrose. The company has lined up what could be a landmark, $60 million deal and announced plans to being shipping its innovative HDEV trucks to South America.

ChinaTrucks is reporting that Windrose has lined up a deal to supply several hundred of its long-range, battery-powered heavy-duty trucks to US-based, zero emissions logistics company Nevoya that, once finalized, will represent the startup’s largest North American order to date. The agreement, which is reportedly valued at more than 430 million yuan (approximately $60 million, as I type this), has initial deliveries of the Windrose R700 BEV semi planned by the end of 2025, with full deployment expected by the end of 2026.

To meet those ambitious delivery dates, Windrose has shipped its first batch of “knock-down kits” to the US, where the distinctive sleeper cabs will be joined to Windrose’s electric chassis.

The company used its own electric trucks to complete the logistics process between warehouses and ports in both Shanghai and Los Angeles, achieving what it’s calling a fully zero-emission transport loop. Windrose CEO Wen Han posted the knock-down kits arriving at the Port of Long Beach a few days ago, and it appears that these could be the first of hundreds of electric semi trucks destined for deployment at Nevoya.

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Expansion plans


Windrose R700 electric semi truck; via Windrose.

At the same time, Windrose announced expansion into its 5th continent, thanks to a partnership with Chilean logistics firm Trailerlogistics Sudamerica.

Chile has a goal of reaching 100% zero-emission sales of freight transport and intercity buses by 2045. This aligns with its broader National Electromobility Strategy, which targets carbon neutrality by 2050. Chile is ranked as the 5th largest economy in Latin America by nominal GDP and 46th in the world (just above Finland and Portugal). Further, Chile has the highest per-capita GDP in Latin America. In 2024, there were 14,267 trucks sold in Chile, according to National Automotive Association of Chile.

WINDROSE TECHNOLOGY

For their part, Trailerlogistics Sudamerica seems excited by the prospect of electrifying their fleet with Windrose. “I am completely convinced Chile is the perfect market to start with Windrose in South America,” says Hernan Searle Ferrari, the company’s founder and CEO. “Apart from having totally open trade agreements with all international markets, Chile boast world-class highways and a unique geography; from the desert in the north, all the way south down to Antarctica, covering a total of 4000km. This will allow us to continue developing the dominance of our long-haul EV technology in all terrains.”

The first Windrose trucks will arrive in Chile to begin route testing with Trailerlogistics later this year, with a stated goal of deploying up to 100 trucks by the end of 2026.

SOURCES | IMAGES: China Trucks; Windrose, via LinkedIn.


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