The world’s two largest memory chipmakers signal demand weakness may have bottomed out
A technician holds a semiconductor wafer at a manufacturing plant.
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The recent earnings calls of the world’s two largest memory chipmakers signaled that weak demand may have finally bottomed out.
Samsung’s operating profit in the third quarter jumped 262.6% as compared to the second quarter. This followed a 85.15% drop in first quarter operating profit from the previous quarter and a small 4.68% improvement in second-quarter operating profit from the first quarter.
SK Hynix in its quarterly report said that its dynamic random-access memory business returned to profit in the third quarter, after losses in the first two quarters of this year.
“One of the big drivers of memory price recovering is industry-wide supply reduction and thus falling inventories,” James Lim, senior research analyst at Dalton Investments, told CNBC.
“Inventories at personal computer and mobile customers seem to have come down a lot and very low memory prices tend to induce restocking or having more memory content per device,” said Lim.
The South Korean companies are the world’s two largest makers of DRAM chips, according to data from market research firm TrendForce, with U.S.-based Micron trailing in third place. Such memory chips are found in consumer devices such as laptops and smartphones.
“We received numerous purchase inquiries amid widening awareness of the industry reaching a bottom, following the industry-wide production cuts,” Samsung said in its earnings report last week. Chipmakers have been running down excess inventories by scaling back production.
During the pandemic, companies stockpiled memory chips to meet record electronics demand, but were left with excess inventory when that pressure eased. Inflation has caused consumers to rein in spending and cut back on purchases of consumer devices, driving down demand and prices for memory chips.
Kazunori Ito, director of research at Morningstar, said that “earnings calls confirmed that the memory industry has bottomed out as expected.”
“DRAM average selling prices, or ASPs, rose by midsingle digits for Samsung and 10% for SK Hynix, sequentially, and it was the first time in eight quarters that Samsung experienced a price increase,” Ito said in a Nov. 1 report.
“We have made minor adjustments to our earnings forecasts for South Korean memory suppliers,” Ito said. The financial services firm added that Samsung’s shares are “undervalued” while SK Hynix’s shares “have about 18%-20% upside to our fair value estimate.”
Other chipmakers have also projected strong outlooks.
The world’s largest contract chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company exceeded analysts’ expectations and predicted the worst could soon be over for the chip industry. TSMC makes the most advanced processors for companies like Apple and Nvidia based on Arm‘s architecture.
U.S.-based Qualcomm also gave a strong forecast for the current quarter, pointing to a chip recovery. Qualcomm makes the processors at the heart of most high-end Android devices and many lower-end phones as well.
“Although inventory levels peaked in mid-2023, they are still at the high levels, especially for NAND [flash memory],” Ito of Morningstar said.
NAND is another important memory chip that often works together with DRAM in PCs, servers and smartphones. It stores data but does not require power like DRAM.
“As a result, memory suppliers are expected to continue maintaining lower capacity utilization and to remain cautious about increasing production capacity next year, which should be favorable for memory prices due to limited supply,” Ito said.
TrendForce said it expects memory suppliers to continue “scaling back production of both DRAM and NAND Flash in 2024,” in particular in the “financially struggling NAND Flash sector.” The research firm also projected DRAM and NAND Flash demand to increase by 13% and 16% respectively in 2024.
AI boom to uplift profits
In the third quarter, strong demand for advanced, high-performance chips in generative AI has helped offset a slowdown for chips found in computers and smartphones, SK Hynix said in its earnings report.
“On servers, AI demand has been another strong driver,” said Lim of Dalton Investments.
ChatGPT and other large language models need a lot of advanced memory chips, which enable such generative AI models to remember details from past conversations and user preferences in order to generate humanlike responses.
“DRAM business … is expected to continue to improve along with the generative AI boom. The NAND flash business, which continues to suffer losses, is also showing signs of improvement,” SK Hynix said in a statement.
On the outlook for memory demand, Samsung said it expects fourth-quarter demand to pick up with year-end promotions, new product launches by its major customers as well as strong demand for generative AI.
The Nasdaq MarketSite in New York, June 9, 2023.
Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Silicon Valley executives and financiers publicly opened their wallets in support of President Donald Trump’s 2024 presidential run. The early returns in 2025 aren’t great, to say the least.
Following Trump’s sweeping tariff plan announced Wednesday, the Nasdaq suffered steep consecutive daily drops to finish 10% lower for the week, the index’s worst performance since the beginning of the Covid pandemic in 2020.
The tech industry’s leading CEO’s rushed to contribute to Trump’s inauguration in January and paraded to Washington, D.C., for the event. Since then, it’s been a slog.
The market can always turn around, but economists and investors aren’t optimistic, and concerns are building of a potential recession. The seven most valuable U.S. tech companies lost a combined $1.8 trillion in market cap in two days.
Apple slid 14% for the week, its biggest drop in more than five years. Tesla, led by top Trump adviser Elon Musk, plunged 9.2% and is now down more than 40% for the year. Musk contributed close to $300 million to help propel Trump back to the White House.
Nvidia, Meta and Amazon all suffered double-digit drops for the week. For Amazon, a ninth straight weekly decline marks its longest such losing streak since 2008.
With Wall Street selling out of risky assets on concern that widespread tariff hikes will punish the U.S. and global economy, the fallout has drifted down to the IPO market. Online lender Klarna and ticketing marketplace StubHub delayed their IPOs due to market turbulence, just weeks after filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and fintech company Chime is also reportedly delaying its listing.
CoreWeave, a provider of artificial intelligence infrastructure, last week became the first venture-backed company to raise more than $1 billion in a U.S. IPO since 2021. But the company slashed its offering, and trading has been very volatile in its opening days on the market. The stock plunged 12% on Friday, leaving it 17% above its offer price but below the bottom of its initial range.
“You couldn’t create a worse market and macro environment to go public,” said Phil Haslett, co-founder of EquityZen, a platform for investing in private companies. “Way too much turbulence. All flights are grounded until further notice.”
CoreWeave investor Mark Klein of SuRo Capital previously told CNBC that the company could be the first in an “IPO parade.” Now he’s backtracking.
“It appears that the IPO parade has been temporarily halted,” Klein told CNBC by email on Friday. “The current tariff situation has prompted these companies to pause and assess its impact.”
‘Cave rapidly’
During last year’s presidential campaign, prominent venture capitalists like Marc Andreessen backed Trump, expecting that his administration would usher in a boom and eliminate some of the hurdles to startup growth set up by the Biden administration. Andreessen and his partner, Ben Horowitz, said in July that their financial support of the Trump campaign was due to what they called a better “little tech agenda.”
A spokesperson for Andreessen Horowitz declined to comment.
Some techies who supported Trump in the campaign have taken to social media to defend their positions.
Venture capitalist Keith Rabois, a managing director at Khosla Ventures, posted on X on Thursday that “Trump Derangement Syndrome has morphed into Tariff Derangement Syndrome.” He said tariffs aren’t inflationary, are effective at reducing fentanyl imports, and he expects that “most other countries will cave and cave rapidly.”
That was before China’s Finance Ministry said on Friday that it will impose a 34% tariff on all goods imported from the U.S. starting on April 10.
At Sequoia Capital, which is the biggest investor in Klarna, outspoken Trump supporter Shaun Maguire, wrote on X, “The first long-term thinking President of my lifetime,” and said in a separate post that, “The price of stocks says almost nothing about the long term health of an economy.”
However, Allianz Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian warned on Friday that Trump’s extensive raft of import tariffs are putting the U.S. economy at risk of recession.
“You’ve had a major repricing of growth prospects, with a recession in the U.S. going up to 50% probability, you’ve seen an increase in inflation expectations, up to 3.5%,” he told CNBC’s Silvia Amaro on the sidelines of the Ambrosetti Forum in Cernobbio, Italy.
Former Microsoft CEOs Bill Gates, left, and Steve Ballmer, center, pose for photos with CEO Satya Nadella during an event celebrating the 50th Anniversary of Microsoft on April 4, 2025 in Redmond, Washington.
Stephen Brashear | Getty Images
Meanwhile, executives at tech’s megacap companies were largely silent this week, and their public relations representatives declined to provide comments about their thinking.
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella was in the awkward position on Friday of celebrating his company’s 50th anniversary at corporate headquarters in Redmond, Washington. Alongside Microsoft’s prior two CEOs, Bill Gates and Steve Ballmer, Nadella sat down with CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin for a televised interview that was planned well before Trump’s tariff announcement.
When asked about the tariffs at the top of the interview, Nadella effectively dodged the question and avoided expressing his views about whether the new policies will hamper Microsoft’s business.
Ballmer, who was succeeded by Nadella in 2014, acknowledged to Sorkin that “disruption is very hard on people” and that, “as a Microsoft shareholder, this kind of thing is not good.” Ballmer and Gates are two of the 12 wealthiest people in the world thanks to their Microsoft fortunes.
C-suites may not be able to stay quiet for long, especially if the recent turmoil spills into next week.
Lise Buyer, who previously helped guide Google through its IPO and now works as an adviser to companies going public, said there’s no appetite for risk in the market under these conditions. But there is risk that staffers get jittery, and they’ll surely look to their leaders for some reassurance.
“Until markets settle out and we have the opportunity to access valuation levels, public company CEOs should work to calm potentially distressed employees,” Buyer said in an email. “And private company managements should refine plans to get by on dollars already in the treasury.”
— CNBC’s Hayden Field, Jordan Novet, Leslie Picker, Annie Palmer and Samantha Subin contributed to this report.
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